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Why SCB share going down?

Moderators: बिमलमान, Dilbert.

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Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 105
Nepali share market is in infancy stage still. We are mostly concentrating in one factor at a time. Sometimes we got carried away with Rights shares, sometimes by capital gain, sometimes by dividend and particularly sometimes by bonus shares.

Last year Reliance Industries provided 90% cash dividend for a share with a book value of Rs 10. The market price in March 2013, when the dividend was declared was Indian Rs. 914.70. Hence, the actual return was 0.98%. It was considered good and nobody was surprised as mostly they were expecting higher capital gain. On October 31, 2013, its share price was 912.35 and people exchanged 387523 shares at BSE, and another 4.5 million unit at NSE at a price of 914.70. In another 4 to 5 months, they are expecting that it will pick up.

We should have long term perspective as investors and trend that creates ups and downs as traders. Treating shares as fixed deposits in the banks and expecting always a high dividend is not what is there in the market. Personally, I prefer capital gain on the long run. Dividend is something extra. An investor running after dividend is strange, but it is a reality in Nepali market.

My priority order as investor is: 1. Credibility of the company and its standing in the industry, 2. Promoters and management
trustworthiness, 3. Regular AGMs, growth history and future prospects, 4. Financial indicators and fundamental as well as technical analysis 5.Annual capital gain/loss/reasons, 5. Price analysis, 6. sale-able, and 7. Dividend/returns.

My priority order as trader is: 1. Credibility of the company and its standing in the industry, 2. Trend – fluctuations in the last 3 to 6 months, 3. Financial indicators and fundamental as well as technical analysis, 4. Share liquidity – volume and retention rate 5. Price - projected buying and selling.

However, two different individuals may not have the same priority, perspective and way of doing business. Hence, I do not claim that whatever I am doing is correct. Moreover, all of us are learning and we may not claim as successful to advise to replicate. We all are learning from trail and error. Hence, let's share our perspectives to help each other.
« Last edit by Rajesh Sharma on Thu Oct 31, 2013 6:41 pm. »
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 100
Return herikan mahango 6...
Moderator
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 574
Location: Kathmandu, Nepal
Aarthik Dainik have been very critical of SCB in the past few weeks. I don't know about others.
Member
Registered: Sep 2013
Posts: 23
Location: Kathmansu
thank you
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 105
Please join the discussion group:

https://www.facebook.com/groups/531177483586163/

or please visit:
http://sharenepalcomments.wordpress.com/
« Last edit by Rajesh Sharma on Thu Oct 31, 2013 3:08 pm. »
Member
Registered: Sep 2013
Posts: 23
Location: Kathmansu
@rajesh sharma> thank you so much for the information......I have seen your comments and suggestions in this forum and I came to learn many things from you......Can you give me your email id of fb so that i can add you and get help when needed.....
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 105
Yes, it could go a bit further down, but after Tihar when this group goes to "sell" mode, the price will go up. Hence, this is a "Hold" share for the time being. This is what I think. However, many times assessments go wrong. Hence, please take it simply as my opinion.
Member
Registered: Sep 2013
Posts: 23
Location: Kathmansu
then you mean to say it will have further decrease @rajesh sir
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 105
This has been happening partly due to the rumors designed and spread by the new "Investor Group" and partly the continuing bad impression because of the bonus factor, which was much less than expectation. The informal new "Investor Group" has control over some powerful financial portals and a few investment columns of newspapers. Hence, the new rumor infrastructure is being created against SCB. The foot solders of the new "Investor Group" have started to spread rumors about its 'decreasing profit', 'negative financial indicators', 'inefficient management' and 'wrong investment decisions'.
Member
Registered: Sep 2013
Posts: 23
Location: Kathmansu
SCB share is going down can anyone tell what is the reason behind that? Is it the right time to buy the SCB share or it will even go down in following days. Please give your views. I am new to this share market. Thank You.

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