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...NEPSE - OVERSUPPLY & INDEX?....

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Member
Registered: Jul 2013
Posts: 75
Gylsu sir
tapai lai kun return ramro lagchha
stock price increment
Right Share
Bonus share
Dividend
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 95
So funny sir, joke nagarnus na.
Share nai nabhako manchhe ys foram and yo dhyanma hudaina sir.
and other, you are one good knowledge investor i know.

maile sabai buy gareko bhaneko haina sir, mero pani ys bhitra pareko chha 3 items. market up huda transaction nai bhayena yaar. yesle garda mero portfolio 5% bhanda badhena.
Member
Registered: Jul 2013
Posts: 75
RSI bhaney ko ke ho
ma sanga ta yeuta pani share chhaina aaja ko din ma
tapai sanga ta tanni raichha
kina yati dherai company haru ko share kinnu bhako... yesto garda katiko ramro hunchha ra? tapaiko anusar

portfolio kasari banaunu bhako chha.... nepse change huda tapai ko portfolio/networth kasto behave garcha mostly?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 95
Bad luck today for these companie's Shareholder. me too... involved
SIFC
GRDBL
SINDU
PROFL
JFL
ICFC
LFC
KNBL
GFCL
TRH
GUFL
LBBL
SHINE
HAMRO
SPDL
DHPL
WMBF
PURBL
RHPC
TNBL
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 95
gbime and sbl my choice sir, company fundamental aspect. technically chai mero pani Rising sir kai calculation ho sir, nepse up script up, nepse down script down but my base RSI under 20 pick any you want to buy.
Member
Registered: Jul 2013
Posts: 75
aaja sbl nai chain garnu bhako reason share garna milchha
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 95
going to touch half century.
good going volume.
aasha chha next 3 days volume increase then market don't look downward.
« Last edit by Gylsu on Tue Mar 27, 2018 2:56 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 95
abiously market watching :twisted: :twisted:

i am in my small business shop abhi sir.

my learning period not been complete. small investing step to step in supporting level. aajako phal mitho bho malai. today's invest 100000 @ SBL @282
« Last edit by Gylsu on Tue Mar 27, 2018 2:22 pm. »
Member
Registered: Jul 2013
Posts: 75
Gyalsu sir
aja bholi k gardai hunu hunchha
buying
selling
watching nepse

side job pani chha tapai ko
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 832
@ GYLSU

Always understand that there are only 3 ways to invest, and all have grown richer due to either of these, mostly by investing into Profitable Companies and issuing its Shares
1 - Stock market - (Includes Shares of all Private Companies AND listed Companies)
2 - Real Estate
3 - Gold & Commodities

FINANCE MINISTER
1 - Because he studied economics all his life All he offers is explanation that the fair price of an item is the intersection of supply, demand, marginal cost and marginal utility, that is not always very useful in actual practice
2 - From Finance perspective, asset price is determined by its book value, cash flows, opportunity costs, interest rate levels, risk premium.
3 - His perspective is right only to some extent but wrong substantially


REASONS FOR YESTERDAY'S FALL
1 - Negative Sentiments
2 - Supply also played a role
3 - Stop Loss Strategy
4 - Companies price bracing its fundamentals as sentiments cracks and falls
5 - People sells to cover interest expense & build reasonable space for holding costs

ABOUT BIG STOCK PLAYERS
1 - They will come in once they find its perfect time to buy and before Sentiments begin to build
2 - They wont leave stock market
3 - They are waiting for auspicious moment to enter

ONCE NEPSE BECOMES STABLE
1 - Prices of selected scrips will rise (there isnt iota of doubt in this)
2 - Basically scrips which is falling due to positive correlation with market and getting undervalued, will rise
3 - In free falls there is no scope of price increment
4 - In settlement phase, they soar

FUTURE
1 - Fall in interest rates
2 - Entry of more participants in stock market
3 - Developed mechanism of trading
4 - NEPSE to break previous records


....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Tue Mar 27, 2018 8:12 am. »
Member
Registered: Jul 2013
Posts: 75
supply creates Demand
over supply increase participants
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 95
1. Macro fevr of bear.
2. huge supply.
3. big investor out.
4. midterm investor full fear & sell.
5. longterm investor start fear. nepse 1168.
6. No action, leave own way.
7. Nepse 1000
8. longterm investor fear & sell.
9. no action it's normal, leave own way.
10. Nepse 700
11. every fear and sell.
12. no action, it's normal, leave own way.
13. Nepse at par value.
14. no action, it's normal, leave own way.
15. Nepse no value.
16. no action, leave own way.
« Last edit by Gylsu on Mon Mar 26, 2018 6:15 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 95
Dear पूजीभैरव sir,
के भन्नु हुन्छ आजको क्रास को बारेमा ? Macro don't fever of Bear only? or huge Supply?or big investor go out of nepse?
« Last edit by Gylsu on Mon Mar 26, 2018 3:34 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7912
So called Dr (yuraj k) is suppose to list melamchi, fast track, second int airport, veri babai etc into NEPSE but instead he says Share market is unproductive.

I think no private sector (who are not forced by law to enlist in NEPSE) will list themselves in NPESE when this yurak K is still alive, who ever does are dumb so dont invest in his/her company.

If the one cement who was talking about enlisting lists, its price = 75% PE ratio of NTC, dont over pay for the share.

Looks like no listing of Ncell too.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7912
Trading pattern also says there is no problem with over supply, there was months back. Far more than 50% of the sellers are selling to bring down the market and those who are hoping to buy at lower point. That's not over supply.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7912
:shock:
« Last edit by The Rising Sun on Mon Mar 26, 2018 10:54 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 17
Total Dmate Holder=13 lakh

only for IPO/fpo = 2 lakh
non active = 1 lakh (assume)
for Promoter = 1 lakh (no idea) assume

rest all for Secondary trade = 9 lakh, kati janako dmate account khali hola out of 8.5 lakh?
I think all has a minimum 1000-2000 kittas.

my question: overall in nepse
more than 30% shares are in market for ordinary out of paidup cap. how many % exact shares are in the market for active? i mean without long term.

yo view bata pani clear garidinu na sir.
« Last edit by Ready on Mon Mar 26, 2018 9:31 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 832
As prices comes down = Shares will be absorbed
3/26/2018 = 17 commercial banks have EPS above 15 = At Par, They are earning above current level of interest rate

OVERSUPPLY?
1 - Roughly, 26 Private sector Commercial Banks shares worth 156 crore kittas worth 1.56 Kharab is added by capital increment.
2 - 51% is promoter and wont come to market for trading. Reduce it by 51%, so 76.44 crore kittas worth 76.44 Arab are in the market.
3 - If we assume minimum 5,00,000 general investors in Secondary stock market and if we assume each on an average holds ONLY MINIMUM 2000 kittas of commercial banks than the total market APPETITE is for total 100 crore kittas.
4 - If we assume minimum 5,00,000 general investors in Secondary stock market and if we assume each on an average has minimum 500000 investment than total APPETITE of market is 2.5 Kharab.
5 - Theme is, The Supply is much easily absorbed at much reasonable P/E Ratios and easily at reasonable P/E Ratios and little sluggishly at high P/E Ratios

ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT IS THE REASON
1 - They sold their shares and went as promoters of NEW Insurance Companies
2 - They sold their shares and went as promoters of Infrastructure Development Banks.
3 - They sold their shares and went as promoters of Hydro Power Project
4 - They sold their shares and went as promoters of cement factories.

LARGE PORTION OF PARTICIPANT IN STOCK MARKET IS MIDDLE CLASS
1 - This is the strongest class in any economy.
2 - This portion has steady income, have steady jobs, have steady business, have steady savings
3 - Supply shall be absorbed more heavily as prices moves down

Real Estate
1 - Real Estate will come down as Bhumi Sudhar will accelerate. High Leverage Buy/Sell of real estate will decrease significantly.
2- Government wont be harsh on stock market
3 - Good Portion of Real Estate money usually goes to stock market when Real Estate becomes less appealing.

Dividend
1 - Interest earned by banks will gets redistributed as dividend.
2 - Hungry promoter who has been injecting money continuously are desperate for cash.

Economy Is Ready For Marathon
1 - New policies and fiscal/monetary setups shall ease liquidity
2 - Interest rate will go down
3 - Earnings of listed companies will be lucrative
4 - People will buy good companies
5 - Economy will gain in value, gain in size.

NEPSE/SEBON
1 - Bring NRN
2 - Bring Online Trading
3 - Make the market access everywhere


THE GENERAL RULE
1 - Market goes down
2 - Market settles
3 - People exit. People make entry
4 - Interest rate goes down.
5 - In particular, EPS and Reasonable P/E will push prices up of the selected companies.

.....STOCK MARKET TRANSFERS MONEY FROM IMPATIENT PEOPLE TO PATIENT PEOPLE.....
.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Mon Mar 26, 2018 8:33 am. »

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