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Earthquake/Blockade Vs Today

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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7912
syal le bakhra (small investor) chorcha ke hatti (big daddy), time will tell.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 95
TA संगको कुराकानी

Disclaimer:
this is available here for only purpose of education as well as general knowledge. Any similarity to actual person or firm is purely coincidental.

आकाश - Buyer
धर्ति - Seller

नमस्ते म VJ। अहिले धर्तीमा खडेरी लागिरहेको छ। आकाशले थप्ने र थाम्ने गरिरहेको छ। कतिन्जेल खडेरी हुन्छ र आकाशले कतिन्जेल थाम्न सक्छ भन्ने बिषयमा कुरा गर्नका लागि एक प्रख्यात TA (Temper Analysis) निम्त्याएका छौ। उहा हुनुहुन्छ () स्याल सर।

VJ - सर यहालाई यो कुरामा स्वागत छ। के भन्नु हुन्छ तपाई ?

स्याल सर - धन्यवाद, सर्वप्रथम त यो आकाश र धर्ति जन्मे देखि नै हेर्दै देख्दै आएको हो। समय समय मा आकाश रिसैरहन्छ।

VJ - यो त हामीले पनि देखेकै कुरा भो सर। यो असहज स्थिति किन भन्ने मेरो प्रस्न सरलाई ?

स्याल सर - एज अ TA समुन्द्र सुक्दैन, सुक्दै सुक्दैन। लेबल घट्ने मात्र हो। घटेको मात्रा आकाशमै गैरहेको छ। एक दिन बर्सिहाल्छ।

VJ - तपाईहरु बटम लायन कहिले यो लेवल, कहिले त्यो लेवल भन्नुहुन्छ, कहिले सहज हुन्छ त ?

स्याल सर - मेरो Temper Analysis अनुसार ४५ डिग्री देखि भन्दै आएको हो। अहिले ५० डिग्री मा आइपुगेको छ। अबको महिना हरुमा झनै नराम्रो स्थिति हुदै ६० डिग्री सम्म temperature पुग्छ भन्ने मेरो व्येक्तिगत analysis हो. यो १०० % हुन्छ भन्ने छैन।

VJ - Temper ले मान्छे धेरै मर्ने भो नि हैन ?

स्याल सर - तेही भन्छ मेरो थर्मोमिटर ले।

VJ - कतै तपाइको थर्मोमिटर त बिग्रेको छैन नि ? कुनै त म्यानुफ्याक्चर नै बिग्रेको हुन्छ नि त। तपाइको अनालाईसिस जस्तै।

स्याल सर - भर्खर सरभेसिंग गरेर ल्याको, हेर यो minor digree A B C D wave-१, यो अर्को digree A B C D E wave-२, यो हो मेरो थर्मोमिटरको कमाल।

VJ - एस्तो प्रेसर, टेम्परको उपाय ?

स्याल सर - यो टेम्पर २०१९ संग संगै हट्दै जान्छ। अनि ठुलो बारिश हुन्छ। ७०% पानी भएको यो धर्तीमा ७५% पुग्छ, सुनामी जस्तै।

VJ - भनेपछि समुन्द्र ओरिपरि ५% बस्ति हटाउनु पर्यो तपाइको बिचारमा।

स्याल सर - आती हाल्नु पर्ने स्थिति छैन। अझै छ नि समय।

VJ - तपाइको खाली समय बिताउनु भो धन्यबाद सरलाई।


निर्णय - Bullish and Bearish स्टक मार्केटको जीवनचक्र हो। कुनै पनि theory प्रणालीमा बाँधेको हुन्छ नराम्रो हुदैन ।

निस्कर्ष - Market Maker ले मार्केट लाई नबिगारी बोल्नुपर्छ। मार्केट बचाएर बोल्नु उसको दायित्व हो।
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7912
During earthquake/blockade NEPSE did not fall much, there was only little confidence lost

While, today, NEPSE has crashed and has no confidence at all. No share market in the world may have crashed like in Nepal or has lost confidence whose economy is growing above 0% and for this long.


Must be, since bid daddy/manipulators (criminal big investors, bureaucrats, media etc) did not caused earthquake/blockade, and that time their plan was not to crash the market. If I remember, during those dark days, media too promoting positivity. They were saying, there is no need for NEPSE to loose a lot, future is great.

But, today, since their agenda is to crash the market, that is why through media as well as social media they are spreading nonsense, they are trying to link every negativity with NEPSE to demoralize investors.


During those bad days, since big daddy were not trying to destroy NEPSE, may be that is why and to save their own investment, they must had ordered NEPSE/SEBON/NRB to halt trading of shares for more than a month. Had there been trading, NEPSE would have fallen closed to Ground.

But today, when over all economy and listed companies are doing relatively well, even when NEPSE has crashed for no good reason and for such a long time SEBON/NEPSE/NRB are doing nothing to save share market of Nepal. Why? Cause their agenda today is crashing NEPSE?


What is biddwan DR.Yuraj k, hero Oli is panning to do with NEPSE, with manipulator? How are they planning to save NEPSE from manipulator?

Its very simple- immediately implement reform agendas- from NRN to market maker, 70% margin loan to 85% margin call, online to reduction of commission. All govt has to do is, announcement from FM which only take one evening.


For last one year, our average daily transaction could be between 30-40 crore. In that amount, I guess 5-10 crore must be coming from those who are desperately need money. Around 5crore must be from those opportunist but not manipulator who are selling hoping to buy back at lower price and rest must be being dumped by big daddy to crash market. And by using manipulation misusing media and social media and by joining hand with criminals in SEBON/NEPSE/NRB they are able to crash the market.

But who the hell has been buying? small and medium investors are out of cash, not much from new (small and medium).


IN SHORT, NEPSE DID NOT CRASH DURING EARTHQUAKE/BLOCKADE CAUSE MANIPULATORS HAD THEIR MONEY IN NEPSE, TODAY, EVERY THING IS RELATIVELY GOOD AND STILL NEPSE CRASHED AND THERE IS NO CONFIDENCE CAUSE MANIPULATORS WANT NEPSE TO CRASH.


What plan Oli has, Yuraj k has to protect NEPSE, bring back confidence, make market stable?

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