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As the NEPSE could not reclaim above 2752/- and continued to remain below and infact for the hope of the Bull to continue also it should have to reclaim 2700/- mark but it could not conqure it has has clearly confirmed that we have entered the Bear Market. Our Bull Market Target for NEPSE was 3200/- and it is was well Achived too. We haven't iniated the Bear Market Target for the NEPSE at the moment.

As Now we have already entered the Bear Market now approx 85% of the Listed Stock will Underperform and only approx 15% of the Stock is Likely to Outperform.

It's time to Say Good Bye to High Beta Stocks and its time to Welcome the Defesnsive Stocks.

Now the Bull Move will be in only few selective Stocks only out of which 70% will be from Defensive stocks & Financial instruements only and only 30% from Non Defensive Stocks, infact the Blue Chips Stocks which are backed by Strong fundamentals.

Many of the Tourist Investor and Trader has alreday Burnt their Hands in this Market Especially in Hydro and Finance Sector and will they will Continue to Burn in Near Future too.

Happy Investment !!

The Continues Fall in the Nepse was arrested Yesterday as some Players started Buying at Lower along with us.

Yesterday we Deployed 6% Fresh Cash in the Market infact our orders were worth 12% of our cash allocation but Seller Didn't gave us shares in our Bidded rates, Looks like we need to further increase our Bid rates.

Net Net 37% of Cash is already invested in Nepse as on Yesterday Evening, We Continue to accumulate the Defensive Stocks in the Market.

For the Bull market to Continue it need to Surpass 2752/- mark in Today's trading Session if Not today atleast 2700/- mark it need to Cross to Keep the Hope of the Bull Market.

Happy Investment !!

NEPSE Continue to Fall for the Fourth Straight Trading Session and Now the fall is likely to get arrested by Us.

We are Eagerly waiting for the Level near 2583-2600 to Buy Defensive Stocks in the Market.

The Marwadi Money which has flown into Indian Equities to make quick bucks will return Back soon as Indian Equities market are likely to fall Heavely.

Globally the Stock Market around the world is likely to crash Heavely like 2008 due to Lehman Brother if Chinese Real Estate Giant "Evergrande" get Bankrupt. It has a Total Loan of 305 Billion $$ in its Books of A/c.

The Major impact will be in the Industries such as Cement, Iron & Steel, Base Metal Manufactures, Electrical Cables, Heavey & Light Engineering Companies.

If that Happens then we all know NEPSE Boom Boom Again !!

Don't know whether that will Happen or Not , But i will be Buying and Accumulating Defesnsive Stocks. Among the defesnsive stocks all 4 Wholesale Micro Finance & one Non wholesale NUBL being my favourate Stocks.

Happy Investment

NEPSE Closed below 2752/- mark on closing basis on 20 SEPT 2021, Continued to Remain Below 2752/- Mark on closing basis on 21 SEPT 2021 and Yesterday again it Closed Below 2752/- Mark on closing basis for the Third time Clearly Suggest the Dominace of Bear Player in the Market.

Now NEPSE should not Hold below 2752/- Mark for the Next 2 Trading Session if It continues to Hold below 2752/- Mark on Closing basis then it gives a Confirmation that the Bear Market has Begun in the NEPSE.

Currently I am 31% invested and my Exposure in the Market is into Defensive Stocks only & Under valued Mutual Funds whose Intrensic Value (NAV) is Higher then its Current Market Values.

We are Likely to Allocate Major Fund in Micro Finance Sector irrespective of NEPSE bearish Move because we consider Micro Finance as a Defensive Sector as it continue to give a Compounded Growth Year on Year. Among the Micro the 4 Whole Sale Micros are my Favourate Pick followed by Non-Wholesale NUBL.

The Current Market Move has turned lot of Trader into an Investor Now

Happy Investment !!

Kahile ho kahile paine hydro ko right ko pachhi lagne bhanda varkhar declare hune ra bhai sakeka bank bikash bank kine jitinchha hola ab bazarma....

The Market again witness a Sell off in Yesterday trading session which has cornered the BULLS again.

Today is an Important day to be watched.

Whether we are Breaking 2752/- level on closing basis or Not ???

If we break 2752/- level on closing basis then Bear will take the Control of the market.

Currently we are 30% Invested and 70% Cash.

Today we might add certain stock Specific Scrips only which has the tendency to Perform in Bear Market too.

Let see How Nepse shapes up Today.

Happy Investment !!

The Nepse tried to enter the Bear Zone by going below 2752/- level but were defended well by the BULLS.

The Market should not break 2752/- level again in Upcoming Trading Sessions on closing basis else Bear will take the Control of the Market.

At Current Juncture we Continue to have a Neutral view on the NEPSE.

We Continue to do Value Picks in Stock Specific Out of which mostly are from Micro Finance Space and few others which are backed by Strong FUNDAMENTALS followed by good volume of Liqudity in the Market.

Bcoz we think even if Nepse enter the Bear Zone these stocks are likely to Outperform but may be Quantam of Outperformance could be slow if we enter the Bear Zone.

Among the Micro 4 Wholesale + 1 Retail (NUBL) continue to be our Favourate Cherry Picks and Few Others in Non Life space We Continue to accumulate this whenever we see a down tick in its Price.

Happy Investment !!

On Wednesday We Deployed 10% Fresh Cash into the Market after the end of my meeting, But Yesterday could not look into the Market as as was in the Process to Travel Back to Nepal From India.

Yesterday returned Back to Nepal.

As on Current Status we are 30% Invested in the Market and 70% Still on Cash.

From Next Trading Session We will be Regular Active in the Market.

Today is my Last meeting and might get free after 1 PM, Then will watch the Market and will do some Value Purchase in the Market Today after the Meeting is Over.

Currently 20% Invested and 80% Cash.

Some of the Stock Prices are very attractively Priced.

Where did you go? Las Vegas??

1 Week of the Trip is over, Just Checked what are the Todays movements in the NEPSE but Unfortunately the NEPSE was Closed Today, Today is a holiday then went out of my Mind.

Last Week Nepse again came Close to its Support Level near 2800/-

Until bahunbad is in control of bureaucracy, govt wont be able to spend money in time which at currently they may be holding about 200-300 billion.

तरलता सन्तुलन कायम गर्न ३० अर्ब रुपैयाँ बजारमा पठाउदै राष्ट्र बैंक
बैंकको ब्याजदर बढ्ने, निक्षेपकर्ता खुशी हुँदा ऋणीको टाउको दुखाइ

Such news wont allow market to remain in SIDEWAYs position for a long period.

The Maximum Upside Limit for NEPSE was Capped @ 3050-52 level but Nepse extended till 3000 odd level showed the sign of Weakness and we witness 2 days Negative tick on Nepse.

Now Market is likely to trade in sideways between 2800-3000 Zone.

The market will give some time to Investor and Trader to Clean their Portfolio between Quality and Non Quality Stocks.

We are also in the Process of Cleaning our portfolio by keeping the stocks backed by strong Fundamental and exiting the stocks not backed by Strong Fundamental.

We have a Neutral view on Nepse but Bullish View in Micro Finance and some Commercial Banks.

Today is the last day for us to Clean our Portfolio between Quality and Non quality stocks.

Upcoming 2 weeks our Participation in the Market will be Scanty as going for a 2 week Holiday Trip.

Active participation in trading from 26 Sept only !!

Happy Investment !!

Many were making queries to me FB Messanger Personal Inbox what stock to Buy, What Stock to hold and what stock to Exit.

For them the simple solution is :

1. Buy or Hold those Stock whose Yesterday Closing Price is Higher then the Wednesday Closing Price.

2. Exit those Stock whose Yesterday Closing Price is lower then the Wednesday Closing Price.

This is one of the basic Parameter for Filter the Stocks which are likely to Perform or Under Perform.

Thank u and Happy Investment.

Yesterday we witnessed a Strong Technical Bounce which was in line with our expectation and Nepse formed an Bullish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Chart.

Our expection is that this should extend upto 3050-3052 Level on Nepse.

We covered back some of our Short position a bit early on Thursday but covered all our Shorts position on Sunday. As on Sunday we were sitting on 80% cash, Yesterday we Deployed 20% additional cash in the Market and still sitting on 60% Cash at the moments.

Yesterday we bought majorly into Non life Insurance, Micro Finance and some A Class Commercial Banks and few proposition were pumped into Scraps stocks too for Technical Play only to Exit as soon as the delivery of those Scraps stocks in our A/c.

If Nepse Surpass 3050-52 Level by Wednesday then only we expect further upside in Nepse.

Whichever direction the NEPSE goes we feel the Micro Finance Sector to Outperform the most.

Happy Investment !!

small investor - Medium Investor - big investor

small investor becomes medium- medium investor becomes big

seed grows into plant - plant grows into big tree

Some had portfolio of 50 lakhs 15 years back - which increased 10 times - than 100 times

Stock Investor always paid all tax, all commission, and have very transparent transaction

Its natural process - everything strong grows big with time

NRB RULE IS BULLSHIT - Because such rules cannot be brought with so narrow time and so big drops

I AM NOT WITH NRB

I HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH NEPSE - WHETHER NEPSE GOES DOWN 2000 OR CROSSES 3200

BUT NRB HAS GONE TOOOOOOOOOO MUCH IRRESPONSIBLE
AND SUCH HARSH POLICY ALL OF A SUDDEN WITH SO NARROW TIME & BIG DROPS

Such policy sud be gradual

#AGAINST-NRB

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....

Yes were sitting on 85% Cash but now we are sitting on 80% cash as yesterday we deployed 5% cash in the Market after Market resumed tradeing after hitting 5% Lower Circuit. Another 5% worth Cash Deployment Buy order remained pending as our Buy orders didn't got filled by the Sellers. Let's see whether the Buy Order at those rates will get filled today or not or we need to increase our Bid Rates.

Yes we did Short Sell in these below mentioned 5 Micro Scrips too, which were covered back in last 2 trading session i.e Thursday & Sunday, slight Mistake has happened we should not have covered back 50% on Thursday but should have covered back 100% yesterday, But as the Rate was Lucrative on Thursday itself that tempted us to Partially Cover our Short Position.

Yesterday we bought mainly into Micro Finance Sector, Non Life Insurance Sector & few Commercial Banks only.

We Continue to avoid Hydropower, Finance & Devlopement Banks as these 3 Sector don't have the Tendency to reclaim its Previous High but has the tendecy to make Lower Low & Lower Highs only. and these Sector will Continue to Drag down the Nepse in upcoming days too thus limiting the Maximum High Range for NEPSE till 3056/- Level.

If NEPSE breaks 2752/- Level then there will further Huge Cry among the Share Holder of these 3 Sectors which are Hydropower, Finance & Devlopement Banks.

We continue to maintain the Price Target of below mentined Micro Finance too.

Happy Investment !!

Aug 26
We have initated a Buy Call rating on 5 Micro Finance Scrips with the Potential Target for the Short Term which are as follows :-
1. BUY RSDC (CMP - 1033) for the Target of 1600/-
2. BUY FMDBL (CMP- 1192) for the Target of 1600/-
3. BUY RMDC (CMP - 1692 ) for the Target of 2400/-
4. BUY SKBBL (CMP - 1975) for the Target of 3200/-
5. BUY NUBL ( CMP - 1673) for the Target of 3200/-

Now sitting on 85% cash

As the market as already hit 5% lower circuit level and is under 40 Min cool off time.

I am Sitting on 85% Cash and planning to Deploy 10-15 % Cash in the Market, I will be Preferring Micro Finance & Non Life Insurance as first choice pick in this Fall.

As they were Performer in Bear Market too.

Happy Investment !!

what the hell!!!!
how long will this downfall continue?????

At Current Juncture overall the NEPSE is in Over Sold Zone, The Oversold Sector are A Class Commercial banks, Micro Finance, Non life Insurance and Life Insurance.

But Hydro, Finance and Bikas Bank Technically continue to remain weak on Charts.

Among these 3 Hydro Power has broken the Major support of 3400/- thus strong Downside likely to continue further in Hydro Power Sector and if any immediate technical Bounce back happens in Hydro Power that will get limited to 3395/- level.

Avoid Hydro if any Technical Bounce back is seen, as it is not supported by strong Fundamental.

Instead you can opt for Micro Finance and Non Life Insurance as these 2 Sector has a track record of Performing during Bear market too.

Disclosure : I'm only 15% invested in market and 85% sitting on cash. Out of 15%, 5% was added in the last Trading session.

Happy Investment !!

Ab palo good fundamental wala company kai ho jasto lagchha tara ke garne bazar bounce huda KKHC ma circuit lagchha Nabil 1 rupiya badchha ,,, Bidhi ko bidambanaa,,,,, NLIC ta patta saf bhai sakyo

Most of the Quality Stock Picking Ideas are their in the Company Balance Sheet itself.

But People are under illusion that Stock Picking Ideas are there in the Club House, Face Book, Tik Tok, You Tube and Non Line Media.

Stick to quality Stocks which are backed by Strong Fundamental, Sooner or later ultimately that will be only the winner.

It's a Marathon race, First 1000 meter someone is leading and leading ahead doesn't mean he is winner the Person who complete the Finishing line is an ultimate Winner.

Happy Investment !!