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NEPSE INVESTOR & TRADER FORUM !!!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Despite entry of estimated 11 Arab of Fresh Money from the Estimated 18 Arab of Projected Fresh Money Entry, Market broke the Level of 1952/- on closing basis.

Currently Hovering Below 1900 Mark Currently at 1874.60 Mark.

The main culprit for the Market going Down is the Continues supply of shares from the IPO market which continue to Suck liquidity from the Market.

My assumption was that Market will hold 1952/- because of the flow of Fresh Money which will rebalance the liquidity outflow from the IPO Market, But I turned to be Wrong.

1838/- is a Level to be watched as the Major Support Level in upcoming days followed by 1800/- as Physological Support Level.

Let's see what is Next for the Market.

Disclosure : We don't have any Exposure in the Market except for the 10 odd kitta allotted in few IPO's.

Happy Investment !
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
As per our Study an estimated 18 Arab ko Fresh Money is likely to enter the Market.

Of the estimated 18 Arab estimated 2 Arab has already entered the market.

Which will provide support to the Market and 1952/- will act as a Very strong Support for the Market.

For the next upcoming trading session for the month of Ashoj and Kartik I won't see Market going below 1952/- mark.

This Fresh money might also act as a catalyst for a Mini Bull schedule in the Month of Kartik.

Disclosure :- We don't have any Exposure in the Market.

Happy Investment
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Market made a strong upmove last week especially in the last Trading session of the week.

The Technical Chart suggest 2048/- to act as the Next Hurddle for the NEPSE.

If NEPSE manages to break 2048/- and continue to Hold above it then we might see 2096/- as the Next Major Resistance for NEPSE.

But if Market tries to shy away from or below 2048/- then we will witness again a Next Round of Correction.

Let's see what is the Destinity for the Market.

Disclosure : We have no exposure in the Market.

Happy Trading !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Companies in Q to Get listed :-

1. Upper Lohore khola
2. Manakamana engineering Hydro Power.
3. Bhagwati Hydro Power
4. Mandu Hydro Power
5. Citizen life Insurance
6. Hathway Investment.
7. Mid Solu - ipo result yet to come.
8. Sonapur Minirals - upcoming IPO.
9. Mathillo mailing - in Q
10. Chirkhawa - in Q
11. Lumbini Urja - in Q
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Today we lost more then 40 odd Points.

As if Many Retail Clients are Selling shares to arrange Money to Watch Cricket World Cup 2023, Happening in India during Dashian Tihar.

Or its just the Bank intrest Rate ??

🤔
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Companies in Q to Get listed :-

1. Upper Lohore Khola
2. Reliable Nepal Life Insurance
3. Sun Nepal life Insurance.
4. Bhagawati Hydropower.
5. Mandu Hydro Power.
6. Citizen life ( IPO allotment in Process )
7. Hathway Investment (IPO allotment in Process)
8. Mid Solu Hydropowe ( Upcoming IPO)
9. 3 Hydro & 1 Cementi in IPO Pipeline date announcement soon.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
More then 2000+ People died in the Morocco 🇲🇦 Earth Quake as of Now.

The magnitude of Earth Quake was 6.8
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Today Mega Right issue of Upper Tamakoshi will open.

NEPSE continue to fall.

1960/- Mark on NEPSE is major Support Zone.

If 1960 is broken on a closing basis and continue to trade below 1960 for 2-3 trading session then Next Major Support for NEPSE is pegged @1845/-

Let's see What is Next for NEPSE.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
" Ram Varose Hindu Hotel "
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Few Scams in Neighbour Nation :-

1. Harshad Mehta Scam -1992.

2. Ketan Parekh K-10 / Dot Com Scam -2000.

3. UTI Scam - 2002

4. Roopan Ben Panchal - IPO SCAM -2005.

5. Satyam Scam - Megalingam Raju Scam -2008.

6. NSE CO-LOCATION SERVER SCAM - 2012.

7. FT / MUTUAL FUND SCAM - 2020.

8. I guess 2024 will be year of FINTECH SCAMS.

What is the History or Records of Stock Market Scams in Nepal ?

Anybody can throw any light on it ??

Thank You.
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 320
deepak_mm sir
यस अघिको बुल मार्केटमा पनि नेप्से २२०० नपुग्दै थन्किनु भएको थियो । अहिले त वल्ल बजार Accumulation phase मा छ, अहल्यै २/४ प्रतिशत घाटामा बेचेर बजारबाटै गायव हुने भनेपछि तपाइले पनि नेपालको शेयर बजार चिन्नै सक्नु भएन जस्तो लाग्यो ।
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Yesterday (Wednesday) we liqudated our remaing 15% Holdings in the Market with an average Loss of 1.7% .


Now 100% of our Holding is liquidated on an average LOSS of 2.85%.

Now we are fully out from the Market.

Happy Investment.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Last week we sold off 50% Equity on an average loss of 3.5%

On Sunday we sold off 20% on an average Loss of 2.5%, .

Yesterday (Tuesday) we sold off Another 15% on an average Loss of 2.3%.

Till date we have liquidated 85% of our Holdings on an average Loss of 3.05%.

Remaing 15% will liquidate by end of this week.

As we are winding up the Equity Investment Portfolio for ever.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Last week 50% Sold off on an average Loss of 3.5%.

Yesterday we sold off another 20% on an average Loss of 2.5%.

Currently Now Hold 30% and MTM loss based on yesterday close price on an average stands @4%.

Now local level deposit Amount 60% can be counted as Deposit as per News from some E Portal.

Let's see this will help in defending 2000/- level or Not ??

I have lost Hope in the Market due continious Q of Right Share and IPO which is sucking the liquidity in the Market and there is No Fresh inflow of Money.

The Market Equilibrium is Lost.

Disclosure :- The above statement is for Study Purpose only and should not considered as an investment Advice.

Happy Investment!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
In the Current week Sunday, Monday and Tuesday, In 3 Trading Session we liquidated 50% of our shares with an average Loss of 3.5%.

Remaining 50% holding we are currently sitting on 3% MTM loss based on Thursday Close Price due to Uptick seen in Price of Hotel Sector.

In the coming week will watch whether the Market will continue to defend 2000/- Mark or Not ??

If Market breaks 2000/- then we will liquidate the remaining 50% of our holding and wait for 1800 level based on the Current IPO and Right Scenerio in Pipeline.

If there is further increment in IPO & Right then will wait for 1600/- level.

These IPO and Right issue are sucking the liquidity from the Market in Faster pace and Fresh Money is not coming in the Market.

If the momentum continues for IPO and Right we are not far away from a Big Recession in NEPSE.

LETS SEE WHAT IS NEXT FOR MR. NEPSE.

Disclosure : The above statement is for Study Purpose and should not be considered as an Investment Advice. Consult an expert before making any Financial Decesion.

Happy Investment.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Mai Khola Hydro Power (MKHL) recently Published its Un-audited Q4 Report.

I was going through the Report :-

Income from Sales increased from 7.03 Crore to 7.31 Crore compared to Last Year.

Paid Up stands at 39,21,56,800 = 39.21 Crores after IPO.

The Company has allocated NPR 2,10,52,632 towards Bonus & Dividend.

Bonus & Dividend Allocation stands @ (21052632/3921568 Shares) = 5.368 Per shares.

Thus it mean Company is Planning 5 Rs per Share towards 5% Bonus Shares & Remaining 0.368 Rs towards Tax for Bonus Shares ??

Technically on Chart after forming the Bottom its under Trend Reversal.

Lets see what is Next for it.

Disclosure : I have a Holding in this Company and the above statement is for Study Purpose only and should not be considered as a Financial Advice, Kindly Consult an Expert before making any Financial Decision.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Mai Khola Hydro Power (MKHL) recently Published its Un-audited Q4 Report.

I was going through the Report :-

Income from Sales increased from 7.03 Crore to 7.31 Crore compared to Last Year.

Paid Up stands at 39,21,56,800 = 39.21 Crores after IPO.

The Company has allocated NPR 2,10,52,632 towards Bonus & Dividend.

Bonus & Dividend Allocation stands @ (21052632/3921568 Shares) = 5.368 Per shares.

Thus it mean Company is Planning 5 Rs per Share towards 5% Bonus Shares & Remaining 0.368 Rs towards Tax for Bonus Shares ??

Technically on Chart after forming the Bottom its under Trend Reversal.

Lets see what is Next for it.

Disclosure : I have a Holding in this Company and the above statement is for Study Purpose only and should not be considered as a Financial Advice, Kindly Consult an Expert before making any Financial Decision.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Today the Physological level of 2000/- was not broken which gave us the confidence to go for a Fresh Purchase in the Market.

Today we Deployed 4% Cash in the Market.

We bought mainly into Hydro, Hotels and Non life Insurance Sector.

Hydro were purely Technical & Speculative Setup Buy only for Trading Propectives only as Hydro as a Sector were very much was in oversold Zone in the Market.

After 01 Aug today we were Buyers in the Market.

Happy Investment !
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Today I was expecting a +VE day for the Market but I went wrong and the Bear took the Control of the Market.

I was waiting if Market continue to Hold above 2052/- will go for a Fresh Purchase but it tumbled down from there.

Today we had decided to Deploy Cash but looking the Weakness in the Market we dropped our Plan to Buy.

Based on Today Close our MTM losses stand @ 6.5%..

Let's see tomorrow whether 2000 Physological Support level is Broken or not ??

If Broken again in sideline else will go for a Fresh Buy in the Market.

Finger Crossed !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
NEPSE has formed similar Doji Pattern as it has last formed on 06 July 2023 (Ashad 21, 2080, Thursday)

Last time also it was Battle zone Between Bulls and Bears and the Bulls were victrious.

First 45 minute of trade dragged the Index which stopped us to do Fresh Purchase and made us on wait n watch mode and remained in the sideline with No Purchase for the day.

In Today's Session if Market is Above 2052/- then will Deploy Fresh Cash in the Market.

Looking at the Market bredth it seems like that Bulls will beat the Bears Today . The trade day after 06 July with the similar pattern also suggest that Bulls beating the Bear based on past Data.

I guess yesterday Brave Heart buyers in the Market who bought in the Market are likely to WIN.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
We last Deployed cash on 01 Aug 2023 (Tuesday) and our Total Deployment of Cash in the Market as on 01 Aug was 30%. Based on Yesterday Close Price our MTM losses stand @ 5%.

Currently sitting on 70% Cash.

After any technical level is broken we began sitting on sideline.

Today is an important day for us to check whether NEPSE is breaking 2042/- level or remaining above 2052/- level.

If it Breaks 2042/- will sit on Sideline again.

If its Between 2042-2052 we remain in undecesive mode.

If it remains above 2052/- then will inject Fresh Cash in the Market.

Let's see What is Guided by the Market to us in the Today's Trading Session.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Aug 07, 2023 6:53 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Dibyawshwori Hydro Power (DHPL) Published its Un-audited Financial Report for Q4 2079-80.

The Debt is very High compared to its Capital and Reserve is Negative equivalent to its Capital.

The Net worth Per share stands @ 1.11

What is Next for it is still a big Question Mark ??

Let's see What is Next for it ??
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2294
KRBLको नाफा साढे ४ करोड, लाभांश क्षमता ९.३० %
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2108
Today is Thursday !!

Guruvaar is Generally Aggressive in Nature.

Let's see who is More Aggressive Today :-

The Bulls or the Bears ??

MKHL ( Mai Khola ) yesterday Hit an All time low of 265.70 in this Whether the Bear will be Aggresive or the Bulls ?? Need to Watch Today.

In this either the Bull will Give Up or the Bear will give up in today's Bull V/s Bear Battle.

Disclosure :- I have a holding in this Scrips @280/- Average Price.

Despite wherever it goes I find value for Money in this Stocks @280/- and will Continue to Hold.

Happy Investment !!

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