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NEPSE INVESTOR & TRADER FORUM !!!

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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 1441
BOP for the month of Shrawan : Minus 38.75 Billion.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
Today is my Last meeting and might get free after 1 PM, Then will watch the Market and will do some Value Purchase in the Market Today after the Meeting is Over.

Currently 20% Invested and 80% Cash.

Some of the Stock Prices are very attractively Priced.
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 831
Where did you go? Las Vegas??

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
1 Week of the Trip is over, Just Checked what are the Todays movements in the NEPSE but Unfortunately the NEPSE was Closed Today, Today is a holiday then went out of my Mind. :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

Last Week Nepse again came Close to its Support Level near 2800/-
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5715
Until bahunbad is in control of bureaucracy, govt wont be able to spend money in time which at currently they may be holding about 200-300 billion.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 1441
तरलता सन्तुलन कायम गर्न ३० अर्ब रुपैयाँ बजारमा पठाउदै राष्ट्र बैंक
बैंकको ब्याजदर बढ्ने, निक्षेपकर्ता खुशी हुँदा ऋणीको टाउको दुखाइ

Such news wont allow market to remain in SIDEWAYs position for a long period.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
The Maximum Upside Limit for NEPSE was Capped @ 3050-52 level but Nepse extended till 3000 odd level showed the sign of Weakness and we witness 2 days Negative tick on Nepse.

Now Market is likely to trade in sideways between 2800-3000 Zone.

The market will give some time to Investor and Trader to Clean their Portfolio between Quality and Non Quality Stocks.

We are also in the Process of Cleaning our portfolio by keeping the stocks backed by strong Fundamental and exiting the stocks not backed by Strong Fundamental.

We have a Neutral view on Nepse but Bullish View in Micro Finance and some Commercial Banks.

Today is the last day for us to Clean our Portfolio between Quality and Non quality stocks.

Upcoming 2 weeks our Participation in the Market will be Scanty as going for a 2 week Holiday Trip.

Active participation in trading from 26 Sept only !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
Many were making queries to me FB Messanger Personal Inbox what stock to Buy, What Stock to hold and what stock to Exit.

For them the simple solution is :

1. Buy or Hold those Stock whose Yesterday Closing Price is Higher then the Wednesday Closing Price.

2. Exit those Stock whose Yesterday Closing Price is lower then the Wednesday Closing Price.

This is one of the basic Parameter for Filter the Stocks which are likely to Perform or Under Perform.

Thank u and Happy Investment.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
Yesterday we witnessed a Strong Technical Bounce which was in line with our expectation and Nepse formed an Bullish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Chart.

Our expection is that this should extend upto 3050-3052 Level on Nepse.

We covered back some of our Short position a bit early on Thursday but covered all our Shorts position on Sunday. As on Sunday we were sitting on 80% cash, Yesterday we Deployed 20% additional cash in the Market and still sitting on 60% Cash at the moments.

Yesterday we bought majorly into Non life Insurance, Micro Finance and some A Class Commercial Banks and few proposition were pumped into Scraps stocks too for Technical Play only to Exit as soon as the delivery of those Scraps stocks in our A/c.

If Nepse Surpass 3050-52 Level by Wednesday then only we expect further upside in Nepse.

Whichever direction the NEPSE goes we feel the Micro Finance Sector to Outperform the most.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 667
small investor - Medium Investor - big investor

small investor becomes medium- medium investor becomes big

seed grows into plant - plant grows into big tree

Some had portfolio of 50 lakhs 15 years back - which increased 10 times - than 100 times

Stock Investor always paid all tax, all commission, and have very transparent transaction

Its natural process - everything strong grows big with time

NRB RULE IS BULLSHIT - Because such rules cannot be brought with so narrow time and so big drops

I AM NOT WITH NRB

I HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH NEPSE - WHETHER NEPSE GOES DOWN 2000 OR CROSSES 3200

BUT NRB HAS GONE TOOOOOOOOOO MUCH IRRESPONSIBLE
AND SUCH HARSH POLICY ALL OF A SUDDEN WITH SO NARROW TIME & BIG DROPS

Such policy sud be gradual

#AGAINST-NRB

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
Yes were sitting on 85% Cash but now we are sitting on 80% cash as yesterday we deployed 5% cash in the Market after Market resumed tradeing after hitting 5% Lower Circuit. Another 5% worth Cash Deployment Buy order remained pending as our Buy orders didn't got filled by the Sellers. Let's see whether the Buy Order at those rates will get filled today or not or we need to increase our Bid Rates.

Yes we did Short Sell in these below mentioned 5 Micro Scrips too, which were covered back in last 2 trading session i.e Thursday & Sunday, slight Mistake has happened we should not have covered back 50% on Thursday but should have covered back 100% yesterday, But as the Rate was Lucrative on Thursday itself that tempted us to Partially Cover our Short Position.

Yesterday we bought mainly into Micro Finance Sector, Non Life Insurance Sector & few Commercial Banks only.

We Continue to avoid Hydropower, Finance & Devlopement Banks as these 3 Sector don't have the Tendency to reclaim its Previous High but has the tendecy to make Lower Low & Lower Highs only. and these Sector will Continue to Drag down the Nepse in upcoming days too thus limiting the Maximum High Range for NEPSE till 3056/- Level.

If NEPSE breaks 2752/- Level then there will further Huge Cry among the Share Holder of these 3 Sectors which are Hydropower, Finance & Devlopement Banks.

We continue to maintain the Price Target of below mentined Micro Finance too.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Sep 06, 2021 7:25 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 1441
Aug 26
We have initated a Buy Call rating on 5 Micro Finance Scrips with the Potential Target for the Short Term which are as follows :-
1. BUY RSDC (CMP - 1033) for the Target of 1600/-
2. BUY FMDBL (CMP- 1192) for the Target of 1600/-
3. BUY RMDC (CMP - 1692 ) for the Target of 2400/-
4. BUY SKBBL (CMP - 1975) for the Target of 3200/-
5. BUY NUBL ( CMP - 1673) for the Target of 3200/-

Now sitting on 85% cash :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
As the market as already hit 5% lower circuit level and is under 40 Min cool off time.

I am Sitting on 85% Cash and planning to Deploy 10-15 % Cash in the Market, I will be Preferring Micro Finance & Non Life Insurance as first choice pick in this Fall.

As they were Performer in Bear Market too.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Sep 2014
Posts: 46
what the hell!!!!
how long will this downfall continue?????
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
At Current Juncture overall the NEPSE is in Over Sold Zone, The Oversold Sector are A Class Commercial banks, Micro Finance, Non life Insurance and Life Insurance.

But Hydro, Finance and Bikas Bank Technically continue to remain weak on Charts.

Among these 3 Hydro Power has broken the Major support of 3400/- thus strong Downside likely to continue further in Hydro Power Sector and if any immediate technical Bounce back happens in Hydro Power that will get limited to 3395/- level.

Avoid Hydro if any Technical Bounce back is seen, as it is not supported by strong Fundamental.

Instead you can opt for Micro Finance and Non Life Insurance as these 2 Sector has a track record of Performing during Bear market too.

Disclosure : I'm only 15% invested in market and 85% sitting on cash. Out of 15%, 5% was added in the last Trading session.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Sep 05, 2021 9:07 am. »
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 88
Ab palo good fundamental wala company kai ho jasto lagchha tara ke garne bazar bounce huda KKHC ma circuit lagchha Nabil 1 rupiya badchha ,,, Bidhi ko bidambanaa,,,,, NLIC ta patta saf bhai sakyo
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
Most of the Quality Stock Picking Ideas are their in the Company Balance Sheet itself.

But People are under illusion that Stock Picking Ideas are there in the Club House, Face Book, Tik Tok, You Tube and Non Line Media.

Stick to quality Stocks which are backed by Strong Fundamental, Sooner or later ultimately that will be only the winner.

It's a Marathon race, First 1000 meter someone is leading and leading ahead doesn't mean he is winner the Person who complete the Finishing line is an ultimate Winner.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
After every fall the mood of the market changes and Yesterday we witnessed Portfolio Churning by the Investor and Trader.

Now the Smart Investor and Trader are Buying Scrips which are backed by Strong FUNDAMENTALS and slow and Steady are exiting the stocks which are not backed by strong Fundamental.

They could not exit immediately too as immediate exit could lead to Crash in the Price of the Non Fundamental based companies.

Hydro Scrips Continue to fall once HYDRO INDEX BREAKS 3400/- marks then again Next round of Free Fall will emerge in Hydro Scrips, Avoid Hydro..

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
NEPSE has aleaday Broken the Support 1 @ 3060 , Then Support 2 @ 2985 & Now the Final Support stands @ 2956/-

NEPSE should not Violet 2956/- which is a Very Crucial Support Level.

Today i will be watching the Market if Market Continue to Hold above 14 Point Premium to Support Level of 2956 i.e @ 2970/- till 12:00 Noon then i would be going for the Fresh Purchase in the Market and my first Choice will be Micro Finance Sector.

Among the Non Wholesale Micro my favourate Stock is NUBL (Nirdhan Utthan)

Among the Wholesale Micro my favourate stock is SKBBL (Sana Kissan)

Hydro Power Sector has a very Crucial Support Zone @ 3400 Level. A break below 3400/- Mark in Hydro INDEX will Trigger Next Round of Free Fall in Hydro Scrips, with Next Support Zone pegged @ 3185/-. Cautious approch is advised in Hydro Scrips.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
NEPSE has broken the Support of 3060/-, Which states the Downfall to Continue with Next Line of Support Pegged @ 2985/-

During the Downfall the High Beta Stocks are Likely to Fall Fast and furious with Lower Circuit Level hitting Kind of Fall which are likely to be from the Hydro Power, Devlopement Bank & Finance Sector.

Don't try to Fish the Stocks from these 3 Sectors. Else you will burn your Fingers !!

We could witness some sort of Artifical Price Maintance in these 3 Sectors by some Players, However Artfical Price Maintance they Keep the Market will follow its Natural Course.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 88
Hope microfinance will go up from today, life insurance also need to go up as well ...
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
The Book Close of SFMF (Sunrise Fist Mutual Fund ) 50% Cash Dividend is 15 Bhadra 2078 !!

Let see how it moves before Book Close !!


Eagerly Awaiting for NUBL (Nirdhan Utthan) Dividend Announcement to Re-rate Micro Finance !!

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Aug 29, 2021 7:47 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1838
The NEPSE lost more the 100+ Points in just 2 trading Session, Now The immediate Support for NEPSE INDEX is Pegged @ 3060/- Level.

Yesterday we witnessed Relief Rally in some of the Hydro Scrips and in some Hydro Scrips there is a Continuation of the Free Fall, I Continue to have a Bearish View in Overall Hydro Power Scrips Except 2 which are AKPL (Arun Kabeli) & MEN (Mountain Energy).

We have initated a Buy Call rating on 5 Micro Finance Scrips with the Potential Target for the Short Term which are as follows :-

1. BUY RSDC (CMP - 1033) for the Target of 1600/-
2. BUY FMDBL (CMP- 1192) for the Target of 1600/-
3. BUY RMDC (CMP - 1692 ) for the Target of 2400/-
4. BUY SKBBL (CMP - 1975) for the Target of 3200/-
5. BUY NUBL ( CMP - 1673) for the Target of 3200/-

It's an Ideal time for those Investor Who Bought Finance & Devlopement Bank Scrips when Buy Recommendation was Given by me @ 145-180 Level for Target of 450-500 Level, Infact the Price has hit Beyond those Levels too.

I Remember Many Messaged me at that Point "Sir ! Tetro Target Pugla ra ?? " And My Answer was YESSSSS !!

Now it's an Ideal time to SWAP their Finance & Devlopement banks Scrips with Micro Finance, If they are Still Holding them.


Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Thu Aug 26, 2021 6:56 am. »
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 132
Yes dipak ji, with my trend line skill, i found r is common which might act as strong support.
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 831
@deepak ji,

With my technical skills, i found that there is O letter common in both.

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

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