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Liquidity update

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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 30 to 4

Deposit Up 22 billion

Loan Up 23 billion
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 26-30


Deposit Up 8 billion

Loan Up 23 billion
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 25-26


Deposit Up 5 billion.

Loan Down 9 billion.








--------------------------
I assumed on: Tue Mar 16, 2021 11:02 pm

I had been saying, there is 200-300 billion in liquidity. Now I say, there is 300-400 billion in liquidity in Nepal.

------------------------------------------


As per NRB's balance sheet, NRB is holding 352 billion belonging to govt. And BFIs has 50+ billion in liquidity. Which is 400 billion liquidity is available in Nepal. Which is my upper level prediction.

Which means, My projection, which I said by going against the noise- from fake news to nrb top officials and top bankers too- Turned out to be perfectly correct, like most of my predictions.



What more huge, anti current predictions are active for upcoming 18 month:

1: My crazy dollar prediction.
2: My beyond imagination deposit prediction.
3: Every one's favorite NEPSE prediction.
4: My personal, the greatest of the great prediction about MNBBL- price target, profit target and deposit target. (I suggest all to go through my MNBBL predictions again :mrgreen: for your own good :lol: not for me :mrgreen: not for the motherland :mrgreen: :mrgreen: )










Who do you want to listen to- I or some idiot, criminal opportunist.......
« Last edit by The Rising Sun on Tue Mar 30, 2021 5:25 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
पुनरकर्जा र सरकारी खर्चको रकमले नेप्सेलाई 'टेको', बैशाखमा पनि ऋणको ब्याज नबढ्ने
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 23-24


Deposit Up by 5 billion

Loan Up by 7 billion




Total deposit of BFIs 4366
Total deposit of Non bank BFIs 522
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 22 to 23


Deposit Up by 6 billion.

Loan Up by 5 billion.



Deposit Bank 4361 billion.
Deposit other BFIs 521 billion.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 16-17

Deposit Up by 1 billion.

Loan Up by 7 billion.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 15-16

Deposit UP 3 billion.

Loan Up 3 billion.





Prediction, By 2079 ashad end, Deposit will grow by 1000-1500 billion. Current Deposit 4352 billion.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 14-15

Deposit down 2 billion

Loan Up 4 billion




नेपाल राष्ट्र बैंकको तथ्यांक अनुसार गत मंसिर मसान्तसम्ममा सरकारले राष्ट्र बैंकको ढुकुटीमा २ खर्ब ४५ अर्ब रुपैयाँ राखेको छ

I believe, a lot more has increased during last 3 month.

I had been saying, there is 200-300 billion in liquidity. Now I say, there is 300-400 billion in liquidity in Nepal.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 12-14

Deposit UP by 7 billion

Loan UP by 4 billion



This week could be interesting for deposit.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 10-12

Deposit UP by 8 billion.

Loan UP by 4 billion.




This week's deposit no would be interesting.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 9-10

Deposit Up 0

Lending UP 3 billion






INFRA listing 3+ arab bond in UK. I think, NRB gave them right to collect .6 or 1 or 2 times from foreigner. Which would be 12 to 40 billion. So, liquidity will be plenty for 5/7 year.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 7-9

Deposit Up 3 Billion

Loan Up 10 Billion





Total Liquidity available= {80% of (4336+950)-3841} {80% of(total deposit+Capital+Reserve)-total lending}
=(80% of 5286-3841)
=4229-3841
=388 Billion


Now I am confused. Where 66 billion liquidity fake news been spreading came from.



I guessed capital and reserve of BFIs to be 550 but some NRB official in an interview said 950.
« Last edit by The Rising Sun on Fri Mar 12, 2021 5:20 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 5-7

Deposit down by 6 billion (wonder if any thing got to do with 12 billion treasury auction)

Loan up by 9 billion



Base rate of banks down significantly. I thought it will be down little by little due to renewal of 10-14% FD from the past.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 4-5


Deposit UP 4 billion

Lending UP 4 billion





So called experts kept on calling for months that there is enough liquidity for X period, but, how come deposit keeps on increasing while BFIs kept on giving loan. Where would the loan money goes after lending and Where is this new deposit coming from? Does NRB kept on printing money just like in US of A? :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 1440
Floor Scenario,

Some of the Commercial banks on my access are reluctant to add even a DOT on existing FD interest rate, which probably means there are abundancy of liquidity or no need of excess liquidity to fulfill there existing business.
Good for stock market.

But whimsical investors are creating imaginary liquidity crisis which is used by tactful players to direct market in there favour.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 3 to 4

Deposit up 3 billion

Loan Up 6 billion
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 2 to 3.

Deposit Up by 4 billion.

Loan up by 5 billion.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 1 to 2

Deposit up by 2

Loan up by 2
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
O no. from 28-1

Liquidity fall by 1 billion in 5200 billion assets. (that's sarcasm btch)

Loan increased by 5 billion.






Wanna know a great news- If I am able to read NRB document- more than 70 billion of Treasury bill will be matured in around coming one month.
And there are 10s of billions of one year Treasury bill, which will mature next year.

Now tell me, sarba gyani tapare barking in the media, where is LIQUIDITY CRISIS?







NRB has sent about 600 billion in cash into the market. 10s of billions, 70 billion in 600 billion is huge. Your pakhe brain wont understand.








I can talk big, cause I am the only one in the whole universe who predicted last Liquidity crisis months before it started. And I also predicted end of liquidity a few years before liquidity eased. And I also analyzed the reason behind both of them. Now I am saying, there wont be problem in liquidity for another at least 3/4 year.

Who gave you tapare right to talk something beyond your aukat.







I happen to be SECOND TO GOD. Who the fk are you?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 665
CURSE TO THIS NATION == INABILITY OF THE GOVT TO SPEND

ARABS OF MONEY IN TREASURY PULLED BY TAX ==== BUT GOVT CAN NEVER SPEND

LIQUIDITY IS FAIRLY AT EASE === WUD HAVE BEEN EXCEEDINGLY EASE SITUATION IF GIVT SPENDS ON TIME

THIS IS 6TH YEAR IN A ROW THAT GOVT HAS AGAIN CEASED TO SPEND

WE DONT NEED FEDERALISM WHERE CURRENT EXPENSE IS MORE

WE NEED GOVT TO SPEND RIGHTFULLY ON TIME

.......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
From 26 to 28:

- Deposit increased by 5 billion.

- Loan increased by 7 billion.

Its like pigeon business. You sell it and it will return back to you. Again sell it. :mrgreen:


Loan interest at 7% is too low. It needs to increase to 9-10%.


Loan at Base rate is not good for business as well as for the economy. What happens if every body starts to sell their product and service at cost price. Who is going to pay tax? Who will become new investor? Then people start to loose job and weak link i.e. poor will die first.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
Deposit increased from 25 to 26 by 3 billion

Loan increased by 5 billion, so BS up extra by 2.5 crore.



Interbank interest- 0.46 (isnot that super low for a country like Nepal).
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
Deposit increased from 24 to 25 by 9 billion.

Lending increased by 6 billion in a day. (BFIs BS up by 3 crore in a day).



Last week, some tapare, in criminal ran media, were spreading panic that deposit decreased by 10 billion.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5706
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


Pujari calling those in power/royals as GOD is dalali and calling themselves second to god is threatening the society.






If you do research among two characters:

A- Pujari

B- Non pujari individual


If both been committing similar sin, GOD punishes A with far worse consequence than B.





NEVER HARM GOOD PEOPLE!

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