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A Major Fundamental Factor In Stock Market - Interest Rate Levels - Constant Analysis

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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
The FuturistJEE

The Main Reason Behind Uncertainty Is
1. Evergreening has happened tremendously in balance-sheets of BFI, especially those who aggressively expanded their business (Example NICA)
2. Loan for Loans, Loans for Interest Payments, Loans for Penalties, Loan for fees, hence loans has increased manifold but earning have been hit hard since 2020. This is making entire financial system unstable.
3.Nobody knows the actual position of Bank's/ MicroFinance Balance-sheet
4. NRB Policy is much awaited as it will determine the provisioning/ balance-sheet-making / refinancing/ rebate / extent of income accruals etc
5. NRB policy will also determine extent of expansion or contraction or stagnation in money supply and areas where money will go
6. Also banks core capital have exhausted relative to their core business and hence capital increment is must, but mode of capital increment is still unknown and will be determined by monetary policy

Hence amidst these uncertainty no prudent and medium or big investor will invest
It will take no time for the turnover to cross 10 billion if things comes favorable
So everything is uncertain, whether bull or bears, both are sleeping, nobody knows who will wake first
Four peoples determines monetary policy, nobody knows their intentions, not even the big players


.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Wed Jul 07, 2021 7:04 am. »
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 125
What is the main reason behind this uncertainty Pujibhairav ji?

What is it that you know and most do not?

You used to say in your earlier posts, as long as interest rates are down, liquidity maintained and other sectors are unfavourable, NEPSE will soar high, high and high. But you have changed your stance in a matter of weeks.

We know that trading is dynamic and things change in an instant, but something big must be cooking which made you change your earlier assertions.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
Same Assertion
Little Positive Only
No Big Purchases
Only Little Purchase so that sell off can be easy if situation is adverse and buy can be quick if situation becomes positive

BigBull
All sectors are in uncertainty zone

Somebody
:P

I am in hillside in the city of lakes
Finally Vacation

.....baki ishwor ko leela.....
Member
Registered: Jul 2021
Posts: 1
Pujibhairab ji, what's your opinion toward the insurance sector in current scenario??
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 831
Is Pujibhairab is richest guy on this forum ??

Lakhs kitta purhases would definately need over 10 crore unless he is taking of MF..

Any arabpati visits this forum ! Raise your hand..

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Jun 2021
Posts: 5
@pujibhairab ji, good going!!! ;) :D 8) :P
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
@dlnusmle
I said LITTLE positive
Only 2/3 hydro scrips
And Good Banking & Finance Scrips
&
LITTLE POSITIVE because NEPSE is still in the UNCERTAINTY ZONE
& LARGEST IMPACT WILL BE DONE BY MONETARY POLICY
& LARGE RANGE OF INVESTORS WILL COME TO MARKET ONLY AFTER ANALYSIS OF MONETARY POLICY
&
Now LITTLE POSITIVE for LITTLE PURCHASES ONLY
Few thousand kittas purchase only, No Lakh Kittas purchases

......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
Member
Registered: Oct 2020
Posts: 27
Puji ji's patience and the habit of doing the right thing has become a guide. Thank you for being aside us. Meanwhile 2780 may just be a critical level.

If the nepse engine gets marching, What do you think of hydro sir? Again shall we expect another surge or any other sector you would prefer for now?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
Been Bearish For Almost 18 days
&
Its Time To Be Little Positive For Now
&
Leaving The Assertion of Strong & Major Correction & Downfall
Minor Fluctuations being common


@ArthaVidhya
In 2059 when NEPSE fell from its highest to 210 levels
Wore a big hat topi ;)
So wearing Topi days are over as no topis can dare to fit

......Baki Ishwor Ko Leela......
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Thu Jul 01, 2021 7:44 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2020
Posts: 4
I have a prophecy here.

In this bull run, Pujibhairav jee will wear a big hat topi at the end!

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Jun 2021
Posts: 5
I think pujibhairab ji will enter next week!!
Member
Registered: Aug 2020
Posts: 21
Now, let's hope to expect Pujibhairabji's entry signal soon.
Member
Registered: Jun 2021
Posts: 5
On june 14 pujibhairab ji exited the market and we saw a big fall.. Tapai ko experience lai maniyo
Member
Registered: Feb 2018
Posts: 56
Your Experience is just Great.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
Many of us were bullish
But PujiBhairav was bearish and suggested sale and asserted big correction
And continuously asserted big corrections and falls since last two weeks in every posts
Yesterday fall was also one of the glimpse of it

TIME AS JUDGE
TIME PROVED IT

Still with the same assertion
Market not strong and not sustainable

Many of the investors who followed TA and new self proclaimed experts faced serious lossess
"No Technical or Fundamental is important than EXPERIENCE & clarity" - Anonymous

.......Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Wed Jun 30, 2021 6:55 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
Said on June 14, about the Market Correction
& Continuously maintaining the same assertion
& Today also the Assertion Is Same

Market is still Weak for good surge
& as earlier said, every uprise is weak & unsustainable


.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
Yesterday Rise Was Anticipated
Also
No Strength In The Surge
And
There is a big question in its sustainability

....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela......
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
As said in previous posts,
DownFall (Rather Than Correction) Continues
Nothing encouraging to step-in in the market
Nothing substantial until monetary policy
Further, Monetary policy can batter with surprise & market can further despair

For those who liquidated on june 14 & before, as said in the posts
Enjoy The $$
Enjoy The Market


....Baki Ishwor ko LEELA....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Mon Jun 21, 2021 1:38 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
On 14th June 2021 (See below Post)
Suggested Clearance of Short Term Portfolio

TIME AS A JUDGE
Seems that decision was very appropriate
As market seems to fall continuously and bull sentiments weakening
& Seems Good Correction Imminent

Estimate
SEBON attempt was only to make aware (which it did in inappropriate way)
On the next note, Monetary Policy will have impact on the sentiments of stock market
NRB will use some policy tools that might have impact on stock market & prolly tightens the money flow into it
Also NMB rise in interest rate was not a good sign

WATCHING THE PLAY IN THE MARKET
AS VACATION CANNOT BE DONE DUE TO STAGNATED AIRWAYS & ROADWAYS

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Sun Jun 20, 2021 11:31 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
Interest Rate Levels
एनएमबि बैंकले साना निक्षेपकर्ताहरुलाई उच्च ब्याजदर दिने भएको छ।
बैंकले साना निक्षेपकर्ताहरुलाई वार्षिक ५.६० प्रतिशतसम्म ब्याजदर तोकेको छ। हाल वाणिज्य बैंकहरुले प्रदान गरिरहेको मध्येकै सर्वाधिक ब्याज भएको दाबी बैंकको छ। बैंकले मुद्दती खातामा भने ८.३० प्रतिशतसम्म वार्षिक ब्याज दिने जनाएको छ।

As liquidity tighthens
Particularly because of Govt inability to spend
Govt is unable to spend since last 7 years and this time its worst than ever

Increase in Interest Rate Level not a good sign for the stock market

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Fri Jun 18, 2021 8:57 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 695
२०७८ जेष्ठ महिनाको कुल Turnover( २ खर्ब ९२ अर्ब) > सात प्रदेशको बजेट (२ खर्ब ६१ अर्ब)


:) :)
« Last edit by nissan on Wed Jun 16, 2021 9:19 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
To FUTURISTJEE
On 14th June (See Below Post)
I indicated SALES
Also Indicated MASSIVE SELL OFF of 80% of PORTFOLIO at 1:00 pm WHEN market was active

Hope all of you benefitted
HYDROS NON-LIFE everything into sales
&
Also Indicated its time for a retreat into nature

To All
SO WHO WHO MADE LOADS IN HYDROS HAAHAH
INDICATED BUYING POINTS & SELLING POINTS, VERY VERY VERY VERY CLEARLY IN THIS POSTS
HOPE U MADE LOADS OF PROFITS

NOTE
PLEASE DONATE PORTION OF YOUR PROFITS INTO GOOD CAUSE


.......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 125
Now what should we do with LGIL? You recommended to buy madly.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
People are REBUKING SEBON
How many of you have attended BOILER ROOM?

WHY? Do know GROUND REALITY?
Narayani hitting circuits everyday?
Gorkha Finance on its way to 2000
Khani Khola on its way to 500

WE KNOW, DONT WE
Many of us are in stock market for long time, and some of us know the inside story, dont we
how sharply the stocks are being manipulated and cornered and profits made
These Fauniyar, Sipendra, Dambikas, Mulsis, kURUNGS, Kishnus, Malans etc are OPERATORS
Great face outside and SCAMS inside

AS FOR SEBON
IT DID THE RIGHT THING
The son of common villager will no longer buy shits like Gorkha Finance, Uppers

BUT
Publishings the name should not have been done
As it reduces the integrity of SEBON Itself
So this act is irrational and show have done in rational way

ALSO
SEBON Wants market to act NATURALLY and not HEAVILY MANIPULATED like now
AND IF MARKET WUDNT RECORRECT NRB WUD HAVE INTERFERED


And
Dont REBUKE ANYONE
Stock Market have lot of odds
Thats why only 10% make very good money
If you can stay atleast one step ahead of market, sebons, nrb, its than you make money

Be smart enough, act ahead enough and watch the drama

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Wed Jun 16, 2021 5:26 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 666
PUJI BHAIRAV FULLY CONDEMNS THIS IRRATIONAL ACT OF SEBON

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....

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