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2020 Bull started from 31.12.2019 !!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
As there is No Much Volume based Sell Off, So Now its time to BUY But Slow and Steady in the Market !!

I Feel Market has alreday formed Intra-day Bottom Near @ 2869.78 Level.

Infact i have started Adding in the Market

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
Yesterday Market started the Move in Northward Direction, But Market changed it's Direction due to few Events :-

1. Beema Samiti Chairman Surya Prasad Silwal comment on Tightening the Insurance Company on Capital Market Investment.

2. After the Publish of "51 Stock List by SEBON" the Market Reacted in a Negative Mood, Thus After the Beema Samiti Chairman Comment, The Broker took the caution Approch and thus reduce the Trading Limit of Multiple Clients on assumption of Same Kind of Negative Market Rection Which could happen and could Increase their Risk Exposure and many of their Clients could be caught on the Wrong Foot too.

3. Technically The Market Broke the Support Level of 2943/- which also led the further Sell off in the Market which further Dragged down the Market.

4. As the Market has broken it's Support Level Now the NEXT Support Level of the Market is Now Pegged @ 2843/.

5. Now the Previous Support of 2943/- on NEPSE will now Act as the New Resitance, Until or Unless we don't break 2943/- Mark on Closing basis a Fresh buying is Not advised at all except few scrips.

6. We Continue to remain Bullish in the Market for the Short Term Target of 3200/- But But But if we break 2747/- Mark on Closing basis then we come to the Conclusion that 3050 Mark the TOP of the Market of the Recent Bull Run.

7. Until or Unless we don't break 2747/- on Closing Basis we Continue to have a Bullish View on the Market with a Short term TGT of 3200/- But if We break 2747/- on Closing Basis then Our Bullish View will be converted in Bearish View for the Target of 1700/- on NEPSE.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Jun 21, 2021 6:28 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 70
Sab ka analysis le hawa khaya, nepse ghater gaya....
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5489
Monitory policy after a month, first week of next week as per one online.


Time to take badla. Deepak ji and gang needs to take NEPSE to 3600 with in a few week.

I would support from behind. :mrgreen:

Second to God is with you in this. :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
After the Publish of 51 Stocks List by the SEBON the much awaited Correction Phase got trigerred in the Market and in Last 2 trading session 90+ % of the Correction phase Got Over.

From Today Onwards NEPSE is again going to Peep in the Northward Direction.

3000 Level on NEPSE is likely to Act as a Physological Resitance where 3052/- is Likely to Act as the Crucial Resistance.

The immidiate Support for NEPSE is Pegged @ 2943/-.

We Continue to remain Bullish on 2 Sectors which are Hotels & Life Insurance Sector along with 2 Heavy Weight Stock like NRIC & NIFRA.

We Continue to remian Bullish in the Market with Short Term Target of 3200/-

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Jun 20, 2021 7:48 am. »
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 122
Deepak ji, what are your bullish bets beside hotel sector?
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
After the Recent Run Up in the Market the NEPSE Required a Correction :-

Some time the Correction happens in the Name of Political Event, Some times on Intrest Rate, some times on Big Boy Comments, some time on strong Profit Booking session, Some time on Raids, Some time on Payment Default, etc. etc.

At the Current Juncture it happened in the name of 51 Stock List Published by SEBON.

Every fall in the Market always give a Good Buying Oppurtinity in the Market.

Today's Fall in the Market was used by us as a Buying Oppurinity infact a Bargain Buying oppurtinity rather then a Panic Selling.

We Continue to Remian Bullish in the Market for the Short Term Target of 3200 on NEPSE.

Till the Liqudity Chase the Market, The Market will Continue to Outperfom.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 70
hydro ni dui din udho bullish hunchha hola ni ta....
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
@ Kohinor

Yes i feel and i am Bullish too in Hotel Sector at the Current Juncture for both Short and Long Term Bet.

Mere 1% Income Tax instead of 25% applicable from Sharwan 01 for few Years itself makes me excited.

Apart from that they are sitting on Lands whose values are very High.

And Technically also they have given a Very Strong Bullish Break Out on Daily Chart.

Most of the Low Purchase of Hotel Stock were Sold Off Strongly Yesterday but despite their Strong Sell off the Market easily digested the Sellers Supply and continued to Close in +VE teritorry.

Kindly Cross Check with the Datas on the Volumes of Yesterday on Hotel Stocks you will Find the Record Volume based Buy has Happened in Hotel Sector, Despite 2 Consecutive Upper Circuit still managing to Close in Good Gain in Price despite NEPSE being Negative.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
SEBON has Published a List of 51 Stocks which were Randomly Shorlisted by them as a part of their Research Work as per their Claim.

I don't Know who is the Researcher, But whoever it was it gave a feeling that there was a Vesting Intrest in his or her Research Work, I Don't know the Reality but the Presentation Pattern Look so.

Market will move in their Normal Course.

Who are Paniced will Sell and who find these kinds of event as a Good Buying Oppurtinity will Buy.

Rise and Fall are the Part of the Market.

But Technically I feel Market will continue to Make New Highs.

We continue to Remain Bullish in NEPSE for the Short Term Target of 3200/-

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Jun 15, 2021 7:49 pm. »
Member
Registered: Jul 2017
Posts: 11
Deepak_mmjee, do you think hotel sector is still safe to invest????
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
After Closing above 2983/- On Sunday The NEPSE started the Next Leg of Bull Run and Yesterday it well managed to Close Above the Phyosological Level of 3000/- too and managed to close @ 3025.82 up by 42.72 points.

Technically on the daily basis chart it's a Clear Bullish Break Out with Unchartred teritorry Zone, So its very difficult to Guess the Next Resistance Level. At the Current junctute it's now SKY is the Limit kind of Scenerio for the NEPSE.

But based on Multiple Theories and alogorithem based caluculation we are still awaiting for some more datas to calculate the Potential Next Resitance Level for the NEPSE.

Yesterday All 3 stocks in the Hotel Sector made 2 Consecutive Upper Circuit Level and well maintained the Upper Circuit Level with a strong Bullish Momentum, Apart from that all 3 Hotel stocks have given a Strong Bullish Break Out, Apart from that it also need to Catch Up a Lot at Par with the Other Sector Peers like Hydro, Bikas Bank & Finance Sector.

We Continue to remain Bullish on NEPSE with a Short term Target of 3200/-

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Jun 15, 2021 7:08 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
NEPSE Continue to remian in Bullish Mode and is maintaing 100+ Points Premium to Market Capitalization to GDP Figure which ia Pegged @ 2843/- mark for the NEPSE.

Nepse likely to face Physological Resistance at 3000/-, In the Past as soon as NEPSE reached 3000/- Level the Selling Pressure Emerged in the NEPSE. which dragged down the Market.

The Current Technical Setup suggest NEPSE likely to be in the Range Bound Session Between 2843 to 2983 Mark.

Until or unless we don't break 2843/- Mark on the Closing basis the Bullish Momentum to remain intact in the Market.

Once We break 2983/- Level on Closing basis that will Trigger Next Round of Bullish Momentum in the Market.

We Continue to Remain Bullish on NEPSE with a Short term Target of 3200/-

SHL (Sholtee Hotel) Continue to form a Bullish Flag Pattern with Sideways movement, The Next Strong Bullish Breakout Level for that Bullish Flag Pattern will occur once it Surpass 250/- Mark on Closing Basis for the Next Leg of the Target of 302/- Mark. SHL Must to be Kept on Watch List for the Traders and Investors.

We have a Buy Call on SHL for the Medium Term Target of 456/-.

Hydropower at the Current Junture should not be part of the Portfolio for Investment Purpose at All, It's a Pure trading/ Speculative Stocks only which should be traded with Strict Stoploss Only.

We offloaded 100% of our Hydro Portfolio Last to Last Week but Last Week We Bought Back 38% of what We sold off Last to Last Week for Just Mere Technical Bounce Back Play Only. It's a Pure Speculative Play only who cannot Play Well in Speculation moves should 100% Avoid it.


Happy Investment
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Jun 13, 2021 8:24 am. »
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 10
Thank you Deepak ji.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
The NEPSE Continue to form Higher High and Higher Lows Pattern with Strong Bullish Momentum.

The Mood of the Market is such that :-

1. None of the Hydropower and Commercial Banks wants to Stay below 300/- Mark.

2. Non of the Finance Companies & Developement banks wants to Stay Below 400/- Mark.

3. None of the Non Life Insurance wants to Stay Below 1000/- Marks.

4. Traders and Investor are avoiding Micro Finance as there could be Merger / Force Merger Card for them.

5. NRIC Willing to Stay above 2000/- Mark.

6. Hotel Sector Consodilating at the moment before a Big Strong bullish Break Out

7. Current Stragerty HODL, No over trading, Over trading would result in paying More Comission only rather then Return.
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Jun 09, 2021 6:40 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
The NEPSE Continue to form Higher High and Higher Lows Pattern with Strong Bullish Momentum.

Among all the stocks Currently these 3 Stocks are my Favourate which were added as soon we saw the Consodilation Phase Got Over.

1. NIFRA
2. NRIC
3. SHL

We Continue to maintain Bullish View on the NEPSE for the Short Term Target of 3200/-

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 10
Thank you Deepak ji for the update. It's just matter of one or two week for NRIC to reach 2200, imo. For life insurance I've decided to pick few more tomorrow.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
Finally on the Last trading session NEPSE Market Capitalization Surpassed the Nepal Current GDP Figure on the closing basis ie. Above 2843/- Mark !! Infact it also closed above 2852/- Mark.

Today Market need to Hold above 2843/- mark on the closeing basis, If it continue Hold above 2843/- on closing basis then Bulls Will be very Agressive.

We Continue to maintain Bullish View on NEPSE with a Short Term TGT of 3200/-

We Continue to remian Bullish on Hotels and Life Insurance Sector along with NRIC.

We have Upgraded our rating on NIFRA on 03 JUNE 2021 (Thursday) from Neutral to BUY.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
Yesterday Chart Pattern Suggest NEPSE has Completed it's Correction Cycle and the Bulls are Back with a Bang.

Now the Bulls will be eyeing the 2843/- Level on Closing Basis and 2852/- Level on Intraday Basis.

If we continue to trade above 2843/- till 01:00 then Bulls will Bang Bang the Bears.

On the Technical aspects NRIC Looks amazing and has a very strong Bullish Momentum.

We Continue to Top Up the Hotels & Life Insurance Stocks and trimming our holdings in Hydro Power Sector.

We Continue to maintain Bullish View on NEPSE for Target of 3200/-

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Thu Jun 03, 2021 8:12 am. »
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 10
Thank you Deepak ji.
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 141
Why are you beholden on GDP to market cap ratio? It doesn't have any technical significance. It is as if a kid got a toy and didn't know what to do with it.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
On Multiple attempts Market tried to Surpass the Annual GDP Figure in terms of Market Capitalization on Closing basis but could not suceed, ie. 2843/- Mark on NEPSE. Though it has broken it on Intraday Basis.

Unable to Surpass the 2843/- mark on Closing basis resulted the Bulls to take a Break for a while.

Now the immidate Support for the NEPSE Stands @ 2747/-. Until or Unless we don't break 2747/- Level on Closing Basis the Bullish Momentum is Still intact & Hurdles for the Bulls stands at 2843/- Mark, which will act as the Crucial Resistance for the Bulls.

We have a Bullish View on NEPSE with a Target of 3200/-

As the Part of the Stragety we continue to Churn the Portfolio and continue to Pick those stocks which are likely to give more Capital Appreciation in terms of Percentage.

At Current Juncture we continue to Buy Hotel Scrips and Yesterday Onwards we initated fresh Long in Life Insurance Sectors,

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
In Last 2 trading session we have been churing our Portfolio.

We have been reducing our Holdings from the Hydro Power Sector and increasing our Holdings in Hotel Sector.

We have reduced our Net Hydro Power Holdings by 70% and of that 70%, 20% has been deployed in Hotel Sector.

At the Current Juncture we are Fresh Long on Hotel Sector only and today onwards will create Fresh Long in Life Insurance Sector.

1. We have redcuced our rating in Hydro Power Sector from Bullish to Neutral Zone.

2. Our rating in Devlopment Banks & Finance Sector Continue to remain Bullish.

3. We have Upgrded our Rating in Hotel Sector from Neutral to Bullish.

4. We upgraded our rating in Life Insurance from Neutral to Bullish.

NEPSE Target of 3200/- is still Intact by us.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1780
From 23 MAY 2021 onwards NEPSE Continues to hold above 2800/- mark and continue to Consodilate above 2800/- Mark !!

On Intraday Basis Nepse Market Capitalization has surpassed Nepal Current GDP Figure multiple times (i.e NEPSE 2843 Mark) but has not manged to Surpass on the Closing Basis.

Once NEPSE manages to Close above 2843/- Mark on Closing Basis means NEPSE Market Capitalization has surpassed the GDP Figure on Closing Basis. That will Act as the another Big Trigger for the Bulls.

At the Current Juncture we continue to ADD Hotels Stocks as we feel the Recent Budget has given a Big Boost to the Hotel Sector and we consider them as the NEXT Doge Coin of NEPSE.

Among the Hotel my Favorate Stock is SHL and Yesterday it Confirmed a Clear Bullish Breakout as it managed to Close Above 230/- mark @ 233 with 10% UC with a very Strong Volume ever recored till date as per the avaiable Data with me. The Block Deal Matching Volume is not considered.


Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon May 31, 2021 7:06 am. »

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