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- Year 2020 - Way Ahead - Predictions, Analysis

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Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 107
I hold some good kittas of large caps MFIs like CBBL, NUBL, FOWAD, SWBBL. I am at good profits. But confused whether to hold or switch scrip. All of these are at P/E less than 25 (and even close to 20). What do you suggest on these large cap MFIs?

Also, what is that subsequent package that you mentioned and when is that likely to come?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
The FuturistJee
1. MFI were previously transferring 1% of the profits to each of Grahak Samrakshyan Kosh & Samajik Uttardayitwa Kosh
2. With new provisions on the line MFI are obliged to transfer further 50% of amount exceeding 20% of the dividend to these reserves

3. This will have following major impact
i} MFI shall opt for FPO's & strong Mergers & Mergers sentiments in coming days.
ii} MFI shall give 20% bonus shares and reinvest its profits to business
iii} MFI shall be more obliged to its Customers.
iv] Mergers & Merges & Mergers & FPOs & FPOs & FPOs

4. However subsequent package on MFI is likely to come. This provision is likely to get some modification.


5. Profits of MFI to further surge as cost of funds goes down with each passing day


....Personally i feel this is a good provision...MFI must be obliged to its customers who are underprivileged peoples...I hope many of you have already sold and did charity....For those whose did not, hold your shares if your MFI HAVE P/E RATIO OF LESS THAN 25 AS YOUR COST WILL EVENTUALLY BE AVERAGED & profits will emerge ....................Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Tue Mar 03, 2020 6:00 am. »
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 107
Monetary policy has made new rules for MFIs.

२० प्रतिशत भन्दा धेरै लाभांश वितरण गर्ने लघुवित्तलाई कडाई

राष्ट्र बैंकले वार्षिक २० प्रतिशत भन्दा बढी लाभांश (नगद वा बोनस शेयर) वितरणको प्रस्ताव गर्ने लघुवित्तले २० प्रतिशत भन्दा माथिको प्रस्तावित लाभांशको २५ प्रतिशतले हुने रकम ग्राहक संरक्षण कोष र २५ प्रतिशतले हुने रकम सामाजिक उत्तरदायित्व कोषमा जम्मा गर्नुपर्ने व्यवस्था गरेको हो।

What are your views on it Pujibhairav jee?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
CORRECTION TO GET WEAKENED FROM TOMORROW,

ON THE OTHER SIDE
1. Massive Liquidity Creation due to SLUGGISH lending owing to variety of factors and interest rate to go down further

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Mon Mar 02, 2020 8:24 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
SAID on Fri Feb 28, 2020
On following week
1. CAUTION is advised
2. Major Correction Pending...


TODAY 3/2/2020
1. another of the major correction..

....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
SAID on Fri Feb 28, 2020
On following week
1. CAUTION is advised
2. Major Correction Pending...


TODAY 3/1/2020
1. we saw one of the major correction..

...BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4927
I have always wanted Oli to say and yuraj k to be sacked since yuraj k is behind all economic, share market misery.

Looks like yuraj k will be staying for 6 more month.


If things dont improve drastically (which is impossible)- there has always been huge problem going on with the economy, and yuraj k added many more...... now corona is about to added more problems. .................. KP Oli should be sacked. Sack him while he is replacing/stealing other's kidney. Some young person's kidney.

some old man, who is close to dying wants to destroy the future of young person, just to extend few more months.

Due to corona problem, at least tourism and foreign employment will be hit hard for at least 6 month. Tourism for at least a year.

Things will only get worse for yuraj k.

Improving is impossible, but two thing govt can do. Maintain current economy and build base to improve economy as soon as corona impact is neutralized.

Does yuraj k knows, what is building base is????? I know, and wont tell it to yuraj k. Will disclose if surendra panday becomes finance minister.














Share market. just looking at this forum, one group tried to bring down the market, could not.

Then another group looks like joining.



But, it is clear, grand daddy who were not part of last 2 year, have joined the party. who are bigger than big daddy. And its almost sure, yuraj k will be out in 6 month, more will join the party.

There may or may not be correction. If there is one, as soon as it is over, those who sold big quantity wont be able to buy at lower price, than the price they sold at. Too risky to sell.

Hold or keep buying. specially, bfis which has not increased much.
« Last edit by The Rising Sun on Fri Feb 28, 2020 5:30 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 681
प्रचण्डको घोषणा: राष्ट्रियसभामा बामदेव, अर्थमन्त्रीमा खतिवडाको निरन्तरता

News impact on sunday market ?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
On Thursdays 2/27/2020,
1. As said (In Thursday 8:31am) untapped buyers of 1 arab were left from 2/26/2020 and hence buying pressure will continue, SAME HAPPENED IN THURSDAY
2. As said (In Thursday 8:31am), despite anything, clock will eventually tick upsurge and SAME HAPPENED IN THURSDAY


On following week
1. CAUTION is advised
2. Major Correction Pending...

....Time will tell.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Fri Feb 28, 2020 7:43 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
Market Would take its normal course
Some may have 8 billion worth of share combining many peoples
Some have over 10 billion worth of shares ALONE

Market will bend, reshape, flux, and take its ascension which is inevitable over the course of time
Nobody can control the market
And Everybody is free to take their decisions
And yet MARKET always rises over a courses of time
This is beauty of market

Traders never entered when the market was low
But Investors made their way into market with all their money
Whatever happens market will never come to the those buying levels again (Below 1200)
Whatever funky games of greed and fears traders play, we sit back and watch, investors always have lot of blood in their nerves, to sit back and watch the show
Buying today and selling tomorrow is not part of investors saga

Market will eventually make new high, and even has not been 6 month that we have bought, portfolio already multiplied, and have sold minor portion to cover opportunity holding cost for next 2 years and will hold tight for some good time

.....Baki Ishwor ko leela...
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Thu Feb 27, 2020 6:38 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
Today On 2/25/2020
1. Bank Charm again declined
2. Charm again on Micros & Insurance
3. Undervalued (WHEN Compared with PEERS) MFI might surge more


...Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
Yesterday on 2/24/2020
1. Selling Pressure came on Banks
2. As a result NEPSE was down/stable
3. Whenever Banks Will Rise, we will see corrections due to massive supply of Banks
4. Lets see how NEPSE rolls today. ILets see in Which sector will money flow

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
On November 2019 - When i Started This Thread
STOCK MARKET
2019 should have been the turning point of NEPSE
But 2020 to keep the leverage
The stock market peoples have started buying
People have stopped seeing any kind of risk now and has identified current NEPSE as oppurtunity
The piles of Money of market peoples which sat in BANKS has now started to go to stock market
we will witness a good restoration

Yes The Serious buying started since then, that is why i had to open the thread of 2020 on november itself
1. Congratulations to All for the record breaking turnover
2. Banks will increasenominally and the charm shall still be kept by MFI

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
Like said yesterday that GBLBS needs good and significant surges

TODAY
Finally, BIG MONEY in GBLBS
Strong RaceUpwards
Some good publishing is about to come as well which might confirm the bonuses from GBLBS
This will further strengthen the sentiments
Now, STRONG, & i will say again VERY STRONG Pullup of price will be seen FURTHER

I never say how much pullups of price will be there as i do not want to speculate and i am not into trade games.......substantially an investor and minor trader..... but TA's targets and estimates on this scrips can materialize this time.......

.......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Thu Feb 20, 2020 6:35 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
As said,
GBLBS surged reasonably with good volumes (All its surges have been sustainable surge)
However still it isnt enough and need good & significant surges
Still Undervalued when compared to its peers
Still not saturated
Anyways will push through for heights
A little bendings (decline) will be a good buy opportunities

...BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 681
व्याजदर घटने चर्चाले शेयर बजारमा उछाल
नेपाल राष्ट्र बैंकले आगामी सातासम्म मौद्रिक नीतिको अर्धवार्षिक समिक्षा गर्ने
हिजो बैंकर, व्यवसायीसँगको छलफलमा अर्थमन्त्री डा. युवराज खतिवडाले उनीहरुले उठाएका जायज माग सम्वोधन हुने गरी मौद्रिक नीतिको समिक्षा गरिने आश्वासन
Member
Registered: Aug 2015
Posts: 53
At least 5-6 trading days either micro will go consolidation or small correction to go up
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
YESTERDAY'S MARKET
Buyings going at speed
Buyings are more solid than selling
Those who liquidated their position at around 1350 reentered again due to breakout

...Baki Ishwor Ko Leela...
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 111
GOD DAMN!!

1500 by end of Falgun.

Congrats folks who has been buying last few months.
People who bought at 1800, Keep the faith.
Slow and Steady wins the race.
WE may have to dust off few weak legs on our way to record high in in January 2021.

1890 by Jan, 2021.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
As At 2/17/2020 & 12:48PM

LIKE SAID IN FEB 16, 2020
IF nepse goes up than GBLBS will also go up
Today we can see nice volume (biggest volume in MFI scrips traded) with good surge

LIKE SAID
1. It should come to atleast P/E Ratio of 25-30 (moderate risk) upto which we can buy.
2. Its price is reasonable if it is around 550+
3. Some good sentiments must come again
4. Today's floor sheet suggests good BUYS

AND
1. IGI which i have spoken abount when its price was below 300, now has saturated and time to sell

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
SPREAD RATE
1. No change in spread rate should be coupled with strict policy for processing & renewal fees
2. Good decision by NRB
3. As said "BANK WITH SLIGHT GROWTH - MFI WITH MIGHT GROWTH"

.....Baki ishwor ko leela...
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 107
https://www.corporatenepal.com/2020/02/166548/?fbclid=IwAR3lJzzdWh9NHx5vJNFXuZsA1BjIf7tYB1y4v7zWBY6xOrJ8mALANI6MEmU

NRB is not changing spread rate. Spread at 4.4 will reduce current profit by nearly 20%. BFIs days are gone.
Member
Registered: Jan 2020
Posts: 11
Thank you Puji bhairab Sir
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 467
@KATHMANDUPOST
Institutional Investors have been purchasing.

@SHARE03
If NEPSE goes up than GBLBS will go up
Bit Selling Pressure might come
But Buying Urge will also soon emerge to stabilize the price and will go up if NEPSE goes up
Question is who will buy?. Those who sold above 485 will again reenter and buy.
Some good sentiments should also build soon
(These are now shapes of anticipations and personal opinions)
(Buying & Selling continuously happens when we trade. Continue buy and sell... Ppl get confused.. But profit continuously builds up)

....Own research & discretion is advised....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Sun Feb 16, 2020 7:36 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4927
My family have been buying from the beginning of this year too.


In a couple of months, its market capitalisation- currently just north of Rs1,700 billion-expanded by Rs300 billion. That is a lot in a Rs3,500 billion nominal economy.


Sounded like alchina, so I stopped reading his vomit.

No wonder, US is a dying empire, when you hire brain dead like that guy.



US economy is 20T, while their share market is 70T.


Alchina was suppose to ask why Nepal's share market is so low.








Pandey worked in the securities industry in the US for two decades

- as a janitor???? We do have in Nepal, Nepalese working in foreign as labor are presented as expert in media by Nepali media.

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