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2020 Bull started from 31.12.2019 !!

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Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 284
काेराेना वीमा राेकिए पछि सरकारकाे प्रतिनिधित्व भएकाे वीमा समितिले कार्यविधि वनाएर सरकारले काेराेना वीमा पुनः सुचारू गरेकाे थियाे, काेराेना वीमा भएकाकाे उपचार खर्च वीमाबाट व्यहाेरिएकाे थियाे नत्र सरकारकाे पनि थप खर्च हुन्थ्याे । काेराेना वीमाकाे रकम भुक्तानी नभएकाेमा सरकारकाे पनि टाउकाे दुखाइकाे विषय बनेकाे छ, असार अन्तिममा सरकारकाे बजेट फ्रिज हुने हुँदा काेराेना वीमाकाे रकम सरकारले भुक्तानी गर्छ हाेला । पूँजी वृद्दिकाे कुरा पनि रहेकाेले ननलाइफकाे राम्राे पक्ष पनि देखिन्छ ।
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 1244
NON-LIFE ;) NO-LIFE :D
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
At the Current Juncture We are very much Confused with Non Life Insurance Sector at the Moment !!

The Corona Beema Settlement is not yet Fully Settled Yet !!

The Huge Due of Corona Claim Worth Billions of NPR yet to be Settled, Non Life Company Says The Claims are not Settled as GON as not released the money for the Corona Claim.

Technically Whatever kind of Agreement the Non Life Insurance Companies has with the GON but The Beema Holder identifies Non Life Insurance Companies only to Settle their Dues, The time is getting elongated and elongated.

In Last 2 trading session we are trimming Down our Holding in Non Life Insurance Sector, Don't know whether we are doing good decesion or Not but will Prefer to Stay Safe as a lot of Uncertainity is there in Non Life Insurance Sector with regards to Corona Claims.

Micro Finance Possible Capital Increment Plan with 00000 Posibility of Right Issue is likely on Card. The Bonus Announcement by Micro Finance if Any will be not enough to Cover the Capital Increment Plan, Thus a Merger Plan looks more Possible, Though the Word won't be Forced Merger but Still it is likely to be Force Merger Only.

Merger could lead to Suspension of Trading of the Micro Finance Companies till the Merger Process is Over, We all know How much time it takes the Merger Process to Get over here in Nepal and Relisting of Shares of the Merged Company in NEPSE.

I won't Prefer my Shares getting Locked or Suspended for Trading due to Merger Process which is announced on DAY 1 and Trading Get Suspended on DAY 2.

Disclosure : We have NIL Holding in Micro Finance !!

Happy Weekend !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
The STRONG UPMOVE in the High Beta stocks somewhat suggesting a Strong Change in the Market Mood.

BEAR Player might say the market will go down or likely to move in Sideways directions but Market is showing sign of Double Bottom formation. Once NEPSE SURPASS 2863/- OR CONTINUE TO HOLD ABOVE IT CONFIRMS THE DOUBLE BOTTOM HAS BEEN FORMED. THEN WE MIGHT SEE A V SHAPED RECOVERY IN THE MARKET INSTEAD OF U SHAPED RECOVERY.

WE CONTINUE TO REMAIN BULLISH FOR THE SHORT TERM TGT OF 3200/- AT THE SAME I WON'T BE SURPRISED IF IT HITS THAT MARK BEFORE ASHAD END.

We Continue to remain BULLISH in the Market and SHL being my Favourate Stock and I like its other Business MODULE like :-

International Flight Catering - LSG SKY CHEFS.
Executive Lounge @ TIA - HORIZON LOUNGE.
Additional HOTEL Property @ Nepalgunj :- SHOLTEE WEST-END PREMIER.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
In the Early Hours of trade the Bear Player Dragged down the Market but their Quantam of Sell off was not much volume based, Along with the Bear Players some Panic Investor and some Traders Stoploss their Long Position which lead the Market Fall Below 2800/- Mark.

We were just watching the Game till 1:30 P.M. just as an Audeince, after 1:30 P.M. We entered the Market Ring with Slow and Steady Purchase Nature.

Our First Priority on the Purchase List were those High Beta Stocks which has the tendecy to move at Fast Pace.

The smart recovery in the Market is Hinting for the Double Bottom Formation in the Market and Once it Surpass 2863/- Marks and Continue to Hold above it will Confirm the Double Bottom formation.

We Will Continue to Defend the 2800/- Mark on NEPSE till the extent we Can.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
Yesterday Market made a nose dive of 47.49 Points thus closing @ 2828/-

It again broke all the bases and came close to Base 1 Level.

Today is most important day as Today is, Make or Break for the Market.

Today there is likely to be Swing Trades.

If Market moves up beyond last base level of 2861.55 confirms the formation of Double Bottom in the market and U TURN rally will occur which could lead for a very very strong move.

But don't be in hurry to Sell when you see a Down tick in the Price, some time intraday down tick in price could be mis-leading, remain calm till 12:00 Noon before making any Sell Decesion if you made up a mind to Sell some today.

Yesterday we added few stocks in Hotel Sector, Non life Insurance and Life Insurance and will continue to add today too.

Today we are again Poised to Defend the Support level again in the Market and will continue to provide Support Buy.

Let's see who Wins.

We feel 70 + 48 Point rally is due in the card.

Happy Investment,
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
The NEPSE continue to Form the Higher Base Level each as every day trading Session.

Base 1 was formed @ 2824.08 Level then Base 2 was Formed @ 2833.06 Level then base 3 was formed @ 2834.42 Level and now the Current base is formed @ 2861.55 Level.

Last Week Market Closed @ 2843/- and based on certain Parameters I Forsee a Rally of 103 Points Atleast in the Current Week.

2 trading session for this current week has alreday been completed and till nowand in this current week we have seen a rally of 32.49 Points till Now, Now the Rally of another 70.51 Points is Due for the Current Week.

Weaker hands are Exiting and Stronger & Smart Hands are entering the Market since last Few days.

We Continue remain Bullish in the Market for the Short Term Target of 3200/- And i won't be surprised if NEPSE hit that Target Level before Ashad End also.

We Continue to Remain Bullish the Most on Hotels & Insurance (Both Life & Non-Life) and Heavy Weights like NIFRA, NRIC and CIT.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
Yesterday When NEPSE came close to 2829/- @ 2835 Level. We initated Fresh Buying in Market After reamining silent for 2 Consecutive Trading Session in the Last Week. We bought into those Sectors too which we don't have a that strong Bullish View But Just in order to Defend the Support Level and to Defend the Bears.

We will Continue to Give Support BUY in all Sectors as on when Market Come Close to 2800-2850 Level on NEPSE, As our Current Stragety is to Defend the Bears rather then making Profits, But our Nature of Buying was Slow and Steady, But we will Go on Agressive Buy Only then When NEPSE Surpass 2943/- Mark on Closing Basis.

Now the Volatility has reduced by 95% compared to Last time of 74%.

Our Short Term Target of 3200/- on NEPSE remains intact Until or Unless We don't break 2747/- Mark on Closing basis followed by Trading below 2747/- Mark for 2-3 Consecutive Trading Session.

We Continue to Remain Most Bullish in 3 Sectors, Hotel & Insurance (Insurance Both) followed by Heavy Weight like NIFRA & NRIC, and Yesterday onwards added CIT in our List.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Jun 28, 2021 8:27 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
The Volatility in the Market has reduced by 74%. Now the Market is showing the sign of stability.

The Mutual Fund based Sell off is mostly over as they were bound to Sell in order give Cash Dividend to the Unit Holders of their Unit after the end of the Financial Year.

Few Sector like Hotel and Hydro have raised their head from the deep water which is showing the Sign of Reversal.

Technically we have closed exact at the Support level of 2843/-

The Next Support of the market stand at 2824/- Level followed by 2800/- Physiological which is the level where we are likely where we will go for the Agressive Buy once the market comes near to that level.

Since last 2 Trading session we are watching the market with 0000 activity in the Market.

Now the Market is oversold Zone.

Sunday we plan to Deploy cash in 2 Sectors which are Hotels and Non Life Insurance.

In Rest of other Sector also we will deploy if Nepse tries to come near to 2829 level just in order to defend the Bears only.

We Continue to remain Bullish in the Market for the Short term Target of 3200/- Until or Unless we don't break 2747/- mark on closing basis and continue to remain below that for 2-3 trading session.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sat Jun 26, 2021 7:18 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
Today Market Respected the 2800/- Physoligical Level Infact maintained a minimum 25 Point Premium too in terms of Intraday Day Low Point too.

Apart from that Market also Formed the Bullish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Chart.

It also maintained the Premium of 8.69 Point against 20 JUNE Close i.e Sunday Close of NEPSE @ 2905.15 and Today Close of NEPSE @ 2913.84.

Throught out the day in today's trading session it was making Higher Top and Higher Bottom Pattern on Intraday Chart Apart from that it manged to Close at the Highest Point of the Day, Which Shows Bulls were Very Hungary and the Bear took the Back Foot.

We surpassed 2843/- mark followed by 2900 Mark on NEPSE which gives a great advantages to the Bulls.

Now Bulls need to Surpass 3 Hurdles before makeing a New All time High :-

A) 2943/- A Technical Resistance Level.
B) 3000/- A Physological Resitance Level.
C) 3052/- A Major Resitance Level Once Broken the Flood Gate will Open.

We Continue to remain Bullish in the Market for the Short Term Target of 3200/- till we are Staying Above 2747/- Mark.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Jun 22, 2021 4:47 pm. »
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 784
Heard that bashyal told in a clubhouse meeting that he has already sold his belonging re..

He is no different...Every one is biased...

"DOSHI chasma"

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 69
You are right rising Sun jee, yo Baisyal malai pani dal me kuchha kala hai jasto lagchha,,, posiible they have sold their share market seems bouncing back even from today....
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5475
Looks like Deepak ji has dumped 1000 gang.

I think, those (the main ones) who are behind the crash are 1000 gang and baisyal.


There is halla, baisyal's bosses, taking baisyal's advice, been selling at low and buy at high.


I believe, they must have sold at least 50 billion worth of shares.



Inside 200 points, more than 300 billion worth off shares have been traded........ It means only one think, next target will be 3600 and those who sold 50 billion worth of shares will be buying 25 billion worth of shares at 3500+ points.


I believe, current dumping will give them the worst loss of this bull. Loss means, loss of opportunity.

If they have already sold, 50 billion, means somebody have bought it. And Looking at the trading, there are big players, who are trying to make NEPSE go ROCKET. When there is no longer selling pressure, NEPSE go ROCKET.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
NEPSE Broke the Physological Support Level of 3000/- on 16 JUNE 2021. (WEDNESDAY)

Then NEPSE Broke the First Support Level of 2943/- on 20 JUNE 2021. (SUNDAY)

Then NEPSE Broke the Second Support Level of 2843/- on 21 JUNE 2021, (MONDAY)

Now Market has the Phyological Support Level of 2800/- Followed by the Most Strong Support Level of 2743/- and infact the Magic Number Which will decide whether we are Still in the Bull Market or Bear Market has started.

Today We bought in the Market but Slow and Steady in Nature as we are awaiting for the Approciate time.

Once We see the Bear grip get's weaker then only we will go for Agressive Purchase in the Market.

Tomorrow We will try to Defend the Physological Support Level of 2800/- Mark, It's also a time to Check our Pulse in the Market too, Let's See Who Wins. Finger Crossed.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 1244
This is what our expert Mr Bishnu Prasad Basyal say

विगतमा भएका करेक्सनलाई हेर्ने हो भने २० प्रतिशतसम्मको करेक्सन आउन सक्ने सम्भावना देखिन्छ ।
http://merolagani.com/NewsDetail.aspx?newsID=72137
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 69
Panic seller sakiya hola sayed ab bazar badchhha hola... Fundamental ramro bhako share mathi nai jane dekhinchha,,,
Junk walaharu chahi dubna sakchhan... Do not buy junk even the price goes down because you might not recover your money for few more years...
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 284
माैद्रिक नीति अघि बजार २६/२७ सय तिर stable भएर बस्याे भने राष्ट्र वैंकले थप कडाइ नगर्ला । तरलता पनि साउन भदाैसम्म राम्रै रहला । भदाैमा बजार ३५०० सम्म पुग्न सक्ला कि ?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 625
deepakjee says,
How to counter the BEAR PLAYER ?

I Think
NRB Lobbying will be the best
NRB to tighten policies in this monetary policy


....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
@Somebody Well I had added today too but my Quantam of Purchase was Slow and Steady.

We went wrong on Intraday Bottom Formation for Sure.

Today again Market broke the another Support level on the Market.

Today will have a meeting for the same how to Counter the Bear Player and What Strageties to be adopted Next.

Happy Investment
Member
Registered: Oct 2020
Posts: 26
Looking at the chart.. I think the valid point of return upwards will be somewhere at 2825 points.
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 784
Deepaak ji,,

Failed again..

How much you have added? hajar, lakhs, 10 lakhs, crore or 10 crore..

Value matters...

:P :P :P
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 586
:) :)
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
As there is No Much Volume based Sell Off, So Now its time to BUY But Slow and Steady in the Market !!

I Feel Market has alreday formed Intra-day Bottom Near @ 2869.78 Level.

Infact i have started Adding in the Market

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773
Yesterday Market started the Move in Northward Direction, But Market changed it's Direction due to few Events :-

1. Beema Samiti Chairman Surya Prasad Silwal comment on Tightening the Insurance Company on Capital Market Investment.

2. After the Publish of "51 Stock List by SEBON" the Market Reacted in a Negative Mood, Thus After the Beema Samiti Chairman Comment, The Broker took the caution Approch and thus reduce the Trading Limit of Multiple Clients on assumption of Same Kind of Negative Market Rection Which could happen and could Increase their Risk Exposure and many of their Clients could be caught on the Wrong Foot too.

3. Technically The Market Broke the Support Level of 2943/- which also led the further Sell off in the Market which further Dragged down the Market.

4. As the Market has broken it's Support Level Now the NEXT Support Level of the Market is Now Pegged @ 2843/.

5. Now the Previous Support of 2943/- on NEPSE will now Act as the New Resitance, Until or Unless we don't break 2943/- Mark on Closing basis a Fresh buying is Not advised at all except few scrips.

6. We Continue to remain Bullish in the Market for the Short Term Target of 3200/- But But But if we break 2747/- Mark on Closing basis then we come to the Conclusion that 3050 Mark the TOP of the Market of the Recent Bull Run.

7. Until or Unless we don't break 2747/- on Closing Basis we Continue to have a Bullish View on the Market with a Short term TGT of 3200/- But if We break 2747/- on Closing Basis then Our Bullish View will be converted in Bearish View for the Target of 1700/- on NEPSE.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Jun 21, 2021 6:28 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1773

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