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Falling NEPSE Index

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Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 503
Dear Friends...The conclusion is holding is only a best option to win in long rUn...so let's be calm and hold our shares.
Member
Registered: Dec 2013
Posts: 132
I had bought shares when the Nepse was at its peak 1175 in the last uptrend and I have also seen it fall to 292. I happened to survive in both the cases as I continued to hold and by averaging on the best companies. This is just natural but I don't think this time, it will fall below 800 at any case. Today I have found three of the stocks I hold has not fallen. All the stocks I have bought are good with a very good dividend history. I have no loan at all in all of the stocks I have bought. I know the fall and rise is just part of the game. So I don't worry because the dividends will cover all my profits. All I have to do is hold them for minimum three years.

What I have learned over the years is even in the falling market you can earn a lot of money. People become scared when they invest naked i.e. investing without analyzing and without having back up money in case of emergency. If you invest with both the fundamental and technical investment techniques and with sufficient backup money in case of emergencies and without loan, there is nothing to worry about the falling market. If we can spend more time in learning how to invest by making a lot of mistakes (which I did when I entered this market four years back) I don't think anybody will lose in this market. If the market is falling now it will surely rise sooner because there is no reason whatever for the market to fall now! If we sell in panic we are the losers and there are always others who will benefit from the falling market! :D
« Last edit by Sathi on Sun Nov 16, 2014 9:50 pm. »
Member
Registered: Jul 2014
Posts: 65
Rajesh ji....Thank you....
And could you name the company which is profitable??? just curious to know about it.....
hope things will get better soon as 'The night is darkest before the dawn'
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7913
Rajesh Sharma ji, I was not there during last crash... Could you please tell me how did the market stabilized after the crash? What was needed to stabilize the market?

We need younger finance minister.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7913
Looks like our share market is in the hand of vegetable sahuharu, who think shares are like vegetable, if you dont well before the dawn, it will rotten next morning so they are selling at what ever rate they get.

They need to think like tomato shau who throw their tomato in the street instead of selling them for garbage rate. This way, they not only get good rate, the whole market will see correction.
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 105
NEPSE index has come down significantly (866/16//11/2014). It may make things different for many people and areas. Many small traders might have disappeared already from the scene or will follow soon. Their holding capacity may be not so strong to resist such scenario. The insurance companies and Mutual Funds may suffer in areas of their investment as banking stocks as their major investment avenue have come down tremendously. If the insurance and hydro sector shares would fall big, banking sector would get more and more loss as the banks including other BFIs have invested in insurance and hydro-power companies. Though by a smaller fraction, their investment income would decrease. The liquidity scenario has not improved radically, there is added obligation due to bonus/rights shares issues and political environment not still so conducive for investment, this falling trend of share market would add salt to their injuries.

Due to uncertainties created by half hearted implementation of CDS, complication in getting loan against demated shares, pressure on clearing BT and negative mass market psychology together with unstable and unpredictable political situation; we are in this situation.

Hence, NEPSE should implement CDS in full as soon as possible and change in date from Magh 2 would further erode investor confidence. The Rastra Bank should issue directive as soon as possible to flow bank loan against demated shares. Book closer date coming to end by next month for a large number of popular companies certainly that would clear the BT store. And, if at least these three factors would be in place, the mass market psychology of investors may turn to positive. The political course, we do not know and may be if other micro-level initiatives would be in place, the effect of political instability could be minimized.

For me and friends like my background who have seen NEPSE sliding to 290 from 1175; this is not a terror. We had flourished, got nearly bankrupt, became nervous and humiliated by none other than oneself, stood some how in fragile state, got some light, recreated hope, built some confidence, slowly started to stand firm, saw the darkness gradually thinning and once saw an orchestra creating wonderful waves of lovely music when NEPSE reached to 1083.

Therefore, I believe, this fall is nothing new for us and would not fall flat. But, other friends also who are particularly new, my advice is to hold firm and live life as normal as possible. Days are dark; days are sunny. In such situation, harvesting happiness is what we should concentrate on. Today, all my companies are going down except one. I am proud of that one particular company. For other companies too, I have sympathy. Without any fault of theirs, they have been suffering. Cure is there and they would start jumping one day when the environment would help them to flourish.

May be, I am a diehard optimist, I am not sure.

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