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NEPSE INVESTOR & TRADER FORUM !!!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
Slight update Mutual Fund Sold Off Approx 15K Kitta in 2 days out of approx 76K Kitta in FLY Dubai.

Which is Said to flying Above Dharke :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


Well well @ Rising Sun i Have no Insider Info About Mai Khola (MKHL).

If Anything interesting comes about the Company, then it will be just a mere Coincidence Only. :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed May 17, 2023 5:47 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7481
If Deepak ji is buying means you must have insider info. What could be the development we get to see soon???
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
Today Added Additional 5000 Kitta of MKHL (Mai Khola) @ 274.5 and Previous it was 1000 kitta @ 301.50/-

Total 6000 Kitta added in 2 days @ 279 excluding Broker Commission.

In terms of Nepse Todays Top Looser it was was Ranked 1.

In terms Todays NEPSE Top Turnover it was Ranked 5.

In terms of Todays NEPSE Volume it was Ranked 7.

But And in Terms of Transaction it was Ranked 1.

Mutual Fund Sold off approx. 9K Kitta out of their 76K Kitta Holdings.

At the current Juncture it's just like a FLY Dubai flight which took off from the Kathmandu for Dubai.

Currently it's Circling around TIA. :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
To Remove my Itching Hand, Today I Bought MKHL (Mai Khola Hydropower) just 1000 Kitta only @ 301.50/- .

A 10% Lower Circuit Level from the Listing Price of 335/-.

It's a Low Cap Hydro Power Company with Super Mai Cascade Hydropower Project.

Total Share issued to General Public on Baisakh 08 (2080) is 12,69.411/- Kitta Approx. 12.69 Lakh Kitta.

All Nepalese Mutual Fund together hold approx. 76K Kitta only after allotment as on Today.

Rest All 10 Kitta Holder Investor Only.

The Company has declared a Dividend of 10% in Financial year 2078-79 and is on +VE on Reserve & Surplus Status,


Among the Hydro Stocks based on Reserve & Surplus, Dividend Paying & Low Supply of shares in the Market could be a good Speculative Bet for Good Capital Appreciation.

Today based on Market Depth figure the Total Supply of the stock was seen for 25K Kitta Approx. As Many Retail Investor wanted to Book Profit on the Listing Gain of the share.

If a Small Amount of Speculative Buying Interest emerges in this stock then It could give a Good Capital Appreciation.


Disclosure : This is for a study Purpose only and one should not consider it as an Investment or Trading Recommendation or Advice. One must consult an Expert, an Adviser or CA before making any Financial Decision.

Happy Trading !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue May 16, 2023 5:35 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
TODAY ADDED MKHL (MKHL) 1000 KITTA @ -10% LOWER CIRCUIT LEVEL @301.50.

It's a Pure Speculative Bet only.

Though I don't like Hydro Stocks 😁😁

Just to remove my itching hand only.

Happy Trading
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
The Update Report on DHPL (Dibyashwari Hydropower Limited) is Published :-

Net-worth Per Share as on Q2 was 12.69 Now Net-worth Per share as on Q3 is 6.73

Paid up capital stand @ 26.40 crore as in Q3. No changes.

Reserve stands as on Q2 was Minus 23.05 crores and as on Q3 is Minus 24.62 crores.

Equity Left to to get exhausted to be called as Bankrupt Company is 1.78 Crores.

I Personally feel this Company should be Delisted from NEPSE.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
Upcoming AGM of most Hydro Power Companies will be limited to Chiya and Biscuit only ??

Or on addition to it, it will Right Share too ??

😃😃😃
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
The Market continue to trade sideways with Negative Bias.

The Hydro Index will act as the main Culprit for Dragging Down the Nepse below 1800/- Mark.

But there won't be Free Fall in Hydro sector but will be slow and steady in Nature.

But some Hydro being a High beta stocks could witness a fall in higher %% then the fall in Index.

Major time has passed for cleaning the debt ridden Hydro stocks from the Portfolio but still not late too.

As Hydro stocks purchase are not backed by bank loan thus free fall is not possible except for the Reason on Stop-loss module on breaking certain Technical level.

It will take 6-12 months to adjust its price based on its Fundamental factors.

Regular Dividend paying stocks in Hydro can be kept in the Portfolio but companies with book value below 88 should be cleaned from the Portfolio.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
Renewal of Treasury Bills
And Internal Borrowings Of Government TO GIVE SALARY TO GOVT EMPLOYEES
||||||||||||||||
Is a Deep Sign Of Worry


FEDERAL SYSTEM SHOULD BE CANCELLED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE


.......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA......
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
The 90 Point Rally on 12 April 2023 gave me a good Oppurtinity to Exit to My position which was bought on 26 Feb 2023.

Though my Exit was on Marginal loss of 1% compared to 6% MTM loss seen after Purchase of Shares.

The Frequent issues of Treasury Bill by The Central Bank worth Billions again and again is a sign of worry for me.

So I Prefered safe landing.

Will wait for the Annual Budget before taking any fresh decesion on the market.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
I was going through the Un-audited financial Report as on Poush masanta 2079 of DHPL (Dibyashwari Hydropower Limited)

The Current Networth as on Poush end stand @ 12.69

There is Continious Cash Burn due to higher Finance Expense.

Paid up capital stand @ 26.40 crore.

Reserve stands @ Minus -23 crores.

If Company Management doesn't take a quick appropriate steps then it might get Bankrupt in coming few quarters.

I personally have a sell call rating for the TGT of 22/-

Disclosure:- This is just a personal study report only and one might take a proper consultation from the Financial Advisor or CA or who has expertise in the Capital Market before making any financial Decesion. As equity market is subjected to Market Risk.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
I Last Purchased on 26 FEB 2023 from 1970-2000 Level of NEPSE just a Single Day Purchase only.

Today NEPSE Closed @ 1866.68 down by 5.20 Points.

Currently i am Sitting on an average 6% MTM Loss at the Moment !! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

Though that was just a Value Buy Only for us.

Evaluating whether to Add Now or Later, As some have started talking about 1600/- odd Levels on NEPSE.

1801-1810 level there could my Support Buy for the NEPSE to check the Strength of the Market at those Levels.

Happy Trading !
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
We are seeing Early sign of Stop-loss in action in Real Estate Prices.

Is it just the beginning of Bear engulfing in Real Estate Market.


What are your Openions ??
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
EVERY QUARTER ON QUARTER BASIS, THE BALANCE SHEET OF UPPER IS GETTING WORSE.

NOW NETWORTH @64 AS ON Q2 OF 79-80.

IS THIS IS GOING TO BECOME THE NEXT GORAKH KALI ??

REVENUE IS GROWING SLOWLY.

BUT ADMIN AND OPERATION EXPENSE IS GROWING AT FAST PACE FOLLOWED BY STRONG FINANCE COST.

@460/- IS THIS WORTH BUYING THE 35% ALREADY SINKED SHIP.
??
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
After Remaining in the side line for 20 Odd Months !

Today We initiated our First Shree Ganesh in the Market.

As the NEPSE has fallen Drastically in the Morning session, We believed it was Very Good Opportunity for us to buy in the Dip, And Today Dip was utilized by us as the Buying Opportunity.


Though we are Not Bullish in the Market, But the dip is used as the Value buy Opportunity by us.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
Bull Not Confirmed Yet.

But Bottom is Confirmed.

Any Dip in Price should be used as a Buying Oppurtnity as Downward Risk is Limited Now and Upside Reward is More.

Currently we are advising Investment in Hall Mark Gold. The Impact on Gold Demand has Resulted INR NPR Grey Market rate @ 100:155-157 from Earlier Rate of 100:163-165.

If Russia start accepting Gold for Oil then Gold is likely to Sky Rocket from the Current Level.

Let's see What is Next...
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 320
Deepak Ji,
Bull Conformed ?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2290
We are not in buying mood before 2055. ;) ;)
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
There is a Slight Change in the date for holding above 2065/- till Magh 12.

As we need to add two more Trading session after Magh 12 as 2 trading session is lost due to SONAM LOSAR AND YETI CRASH Event.

The Conclusion Date is Magh 16.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
Market dropped from 2277.42 to 2190.42/-

A drop of 87 Points from its Top, Is this Next 3200 Jr (Junior) ??..


Market Holding 2065/- till Magh 12 gives conclusion that Market has formed Botton else bottom has yet not been formed by the Market.

Happy Trading !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
Today I was studying Few Trade datas on NEPSE and came to the Conclusion that Today was the Topi Diwas.

Guys Who bought Today were actually in the last leg of this Unmove Momentum.

Stock Market is a Business of Greed, some Sells Greed and some buy Greed.

Disciplined Investor always Win.

Good Night and Sweet Dreams.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7481
By Magh 12, NEPSE will (hopefully) be 2300+.


For coming 3/4 day, there may or may not be pressure due to quarter end and profit booking, though.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
Kharo Month of Poush continue to show kharo moves in Nepse.

We Continue to remain in sidelines and continue to watch the moves in the Nepse.

Till Now as on till Poush 21 there is continuation of momentum in the Market, Which I call it as Relief Rally at the moment.

If Nepse continue to Hold above 2065/- level till Magh 12 then we come to the conclusion that Nepse has formed the Bottom.

Else will stick to our Previous statement only for the likely bottom level of 1656 to 1720 on Nepse.

Still awaiting for the Central Bank Monetory Policy, What will be its instance on CRR in upcoming Policy, whether they will suck the liquidity from the Banking system or Not ??

Till then it's a trader's market only till then they will continue to dominate the Market.

Happy Trading to Traders.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
Today Central Bank to Auction Treasury Bill worth 18.5 Billion NPR.

This will absorb the existing Liqudity from the Banking System.

Market is also likely to React to Political event of Comrade Prachanda taking oath as PM.

Today Strong Precaution is advised in the Market as high Volatility is expected in this Kharo Month of Poush.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2097
Today is the First Trading day of the Kharo Month of Poush.

Today 1880/- is a crucial level to watch.

A break below 1880/- and continuation of trade below 1880/- will trigger Sell off for the Next Level of 1838/-

A break below 1838/- will trigger Nepse to make a new 52 Week Low, a Level below 1800/-.

Trader and Investor should make a cautious approach whether to Buy in this Kharo Month of Poush, or After the End of Tharo Month of Poush.

Happy Investment !!

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