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NEPSE INVESTOR & TRADER FORUM !!!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
The Market continue to trade sideways with Negative Bias.

The Hydro Index will act as the main Culprit for Dragging Down the Nepse below 1800/- Mark.

But there won't be Free Fall in Hydro sector but will be slow and steady in Nature.

But some Hydro being a High beta stocks could witness a fall in higher %% then the fall in Index.

Major time has passed for cleaning the debt ridden Hydro stocks from the Portfolio but still not late too.

As Hydro stocks purchase are not backed by bank loan thus free fall is not possible except for the Reason on Stop-loss module on breaking certain Technical level.

It will take 6-12 months to adjust its price based on its Fundamental factors.

Regular Dividend paying stocks in Hydro can be kept in the Portfolio but companies with book value below 88 should be cleaned from the Portfolio.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Renewal of Treasury Bills
And Internal Borrowings Of Government TO GIVE SALARY TO GOVT EMPLOYEES
||||||||||||||||
Is a Deep Sign Of Worry


FEDERAL SYSTEM SHOULD BE CANCELLED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE


.......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA......
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
The 90 Point Rally on 12 April 2023 gave me a good Oppurtinity to Exit to My position which was bought on 26 Feb 2023.

Though my Exit was on Marginal loss of 1% compared to 6% MTM loss seen after Purchase of Shares.

The Frequent issues of Treasury Bill by The Central Bank worth Billions again and again is a sign of worry for me.

So I Prefered safe landing.

Will wait for the Annual Budget before taking any fresh decesion on the market.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
I was going through the Un-audited financial Report as on Poush masanta 2079 of DHPL (Dibyashwari Hydropower Limited)

The Current Networth as on Poush end stand @ 12.69

There is Continious Cash Burn due to higher Finance Expense.

Paid up capital stand @ 26.40 crore.

Reserve stands @ Minus -23 crores.

If Company Management doesn't take a quick appropriate steps then it might get Bankrupt in coming few quarters.

I personally have a sell call rating for the TGT of 22/-

Disclosure:- This is just a personal study report only and one might take a proper consultation from the Financial Advisor or CA or who has expertise in the Capital Market before making any financial Decesion. As equity market is subjected to Market Risk.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
I Last Purchased on 26 FEB 2023 from 1970-2000 Level of NEPSE just a Single Day Purchase only.

Today NEPSE Closed @ 1866.68 down by 5.20 Points.

Currently i am Sitting on an average 6% MTM Loss at the Moment !! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

Though that was just a Value Buy Only for us.

Evaluating whether to Add Now or Later, As some have started talking about 1600/- odd Levels on NEPSE.

1801-1810 level there could my Support Buy for the NEPSE to check the Strength of the Market at those Levels.

Happy Trading !
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
We are seeing Early sign of Stop-loss in action in Real Estate Prices.

Is it just the beginning of Bear engulfing in Real Estate Market.


What are your Openions ??
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
EVERY QUARTER ON QUARTER BASIS, THE BALANCE SHEET OF UPPER IS GETTING WORSE.

NOW NETWORTH @64 AS ON Q2 OF 79-80.

IS THIS IS GOING TO BECOME THE NEXT GORAKH KALI ??

REVENUE IS GROWING SLOWLY.

BUT ADMIN AND OPERATION EXPENSE IS GROWING AT FAST PACE FOLLOWED BY STRONG FINANCE COST.

@460/- IS THIS WORTH BUYING THE 35% ALREADY SINKED SHIP.
??
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
After Remaining in the side line for 20 Odd Months !

Today We initiated our First Shree Ganesh in the Market.

As the NEPSE has fallen Drastically in the Morning session, We believed it was Very Good Opportunity for us to buy in the Dip, And Today Dip was utilized by us as the Buying Opportunity.


Though we are Not Bullish in the Market, But the dip is used as the Value buy Opportunity by us.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Bull Not Confirmed Yet.

But Bottom is Confirmed.

Any Dip in Price should be used as a Buying Oppurtnity as Downward Risk is Limited Now and Upside Reward is More.

Currently we are advising Investment in Hall Mark Gold. The Impact on Gold Demand has Resulted INR NPR Grey Market rate @ 100:155-157 from Earlier Rate of 100:163-165.

If Russia start accepting Gold for Oil then Gold is likely to Sky Rocket from the Current Level.

Let's see What is Next...
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 319
Deepak Ji,
Bull Conformed ?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2262
We are not in buying mood before 2055. ;) ;)
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
There is a Slight Change in the date for holding above 2065/- till Magh 12.

As we need to add two more Trading session after Magh 12 as 2 trading session is lost due to SONAM LOSAR AND YETI CRASH Event.

The Conclusion Date is Magh 16.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Market dropped from 2277.42 to 2190.42/-

A drop of 87 Points from its Top, Is this Next 3200 Jr (Junior) ??..


Market Holding 2065/- till Magh 12 gives conclusion that Market has formed Botton else bottom has yet not been formed by the Market.

Happy Trading !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Today I was studying Few Trade datas on NEPSE and came to the Conclusion that Today was the Topi Diwas.

Guys Who bought Today were actually in the last leg of this Unmove Momentum.

Stock Market is a Business of Greed, some Sells Greed and some buy Greed.

Disciplined Investor always Win.

Good Night and Sweet Dreams.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7309
By Magh 12, NEPSE will (hopefully) be 2300+.


For coming 3/4 day, there may or may not be pressure due to quarter end and profit booking, though.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Kharo Month of Poush continue to show kharo moves in Nepse.

We Continue to remain in sidelines and continue to watch the moves in the Nepse.

Till Now as on till Poush 21 there is continuation of momentum in the Market, Which I call it as Relief Rally at the moment.

If Nepse continue to Hold above 2065/- level till Magh 12 then we come to the conclusion that Nepse has formed the Bottom.

Else will stick to our Previous statement only for the likely bottom level of 1656 to 1720 on Nepse.

Still awaiting for the Central Bank Monetory Policy, What will be its instance on CRR in upcoming Policy, whether they will suck the liquidity from the Banking system or Not ??

Till then it's a trader's market only till then they will continue to dominate the Market.

Happy Trading to Traders.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Today Central Bank to Auction Treasury Bill worth 18.5 Billion NPR.

This will absorb the existing Liqudity from the Banking System.

Market is also likely to React to Political event of Comrade Prachanda taking oath as PM.

Today Strong Precaution is advised in the Market as high Volatility is expected in this Kharo Month of Poush.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Today is the First Trading day of the Kharo Month of Poush.

Today 1880/- is a crucial level to watch.

A break below 1880/- and continuation of trade below 1880/- will trigger Sell off for the Next Level of 1838/-

A break below 1838/- will trigger Nepse to make a new 52 Week Low, a Level below 1800/-.

Trader and Investor should make a cautious approach whether to Buy in this Kharo Month of Poush, or After the End of Tharo Month of Poush.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
thank you for the updates, Governor speech, as published in ekantipur, conflicts with nonline statements about CD ratio and other factors supporting the liquidity ease. I believe there will be lower low during "M Adhikari ko palo ma"
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
In a span of 3 Months Nepse made 3 attempts to kiss 2000/- mark but was unsuccessful.

Now the daily chart suggest once 1880/- level is broken then selling will emerge for the Target of 1838/-.

But if 1838/- is broken on closing basis then we will witness a New 52 Week low on Nepse, A level below 1800/-.

We continue to remain on the sidelines just as a spectator and watching the match between Bull and Bear.

Happy Investment !
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
My Dream Team for FIFA world Cup 2022 England lost the Match against France in the Quarter Final.

Now my Wish is too see Croatia and Morocco win the Semi Final. Let's see My Wish is Fulfilled or Not.

🤔🤔👀👀
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Nepali Congress @ 56, UML @ 44 & Maobadi Centre @17 in Pratakshya.

2 More Seat left for the Conclusion.

Bajura Nepali Congress V/s UML.

Dolakha UML V/s Maobadi Centre.


Unified Socalist need few thousands Vote to garner Seat under Samanupatik.

Let's See the Final Outcome.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7309
did they change goal rule?
canada's ball went in and came out.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
In The Long Run, It Seems Only RIGHTIST & LEFTIST party will come into existence

Like BFI, the existing parties should go for merger & acquistion

Only Two Parties In Nepal will give the required stability

For Now the Dirty Politics Has Began as none has the majority

..BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Among the Battled 5 Seats between Congress & UML the Congress took on to 4 Seats and 1 seat battle is still on for Sunsari 04. Let see who takes it.

Congress now at 50+4 and UML at 44+0.

Now what is there on Card for the Rest 3 seat which are :-

Dolakha 01, Bajura 01 and Shyanja 02.

As Congress being the Biggest Party very soon First Lady of the State has to call the Nepali Congress to Form the Goverment and ask the Nepali Congress to Prove the Majority in the Given Deadline.

Don't know Whether Congress will be able to Form the Bahumat Sarkar or Almat Sarkar.

I Personally Feel to Bailout the Country from Political Crisis both Nepali Congress and UML should join hand Togather keeping their Personal Problem apart to Form the Goverment to give Political Stability to the Country else the External Power will easily Play in our Country.
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Nov 30, 2022 7:39 am. »

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