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NEPSE INVESTOR & TRADER FORUM !!!

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Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 303
पुसकाे महिना नेप्से तलमाथि के हुन्छ भन्न सकिन्न । माघमा चुनाव घाेषणा हुन्छ । माघ लागेपछि पनि व्याजदर बढेन भने नेप्से विस्तारै माथि जादैं अर्काे वर्ष नयाँ रेकर्ड राख्ने् पक्का छ ।
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 90
ab Bull lai kasaile rokna sakdaina....
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 20
Are players trying the next hit and run at 2700 ?
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
The Current NRB POLICY ON IMPORT MARGIN will Trigger rise in Retail Inflation !!

Many Chinese and Indian Importers now need to cough out 100% Margin !!

To meet their Margin Requirement Burden that will Trigger them to sell their liquid assets like Shares, Withdrawal of Fixed Deposits and other Cash equivalent to meet up their Business Needs.

Don't know how much exposure they have in Nepse. Based on their Exposure the Market is likely to React.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 163
35% cash. Wish I was at least 50%. Waiting...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 1743
After SILVER SUPPORT knocks the GOLDEN SUPPORT,DIAMOND SUPPORT & TITANIUM SUPPORT respectively. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 90
I think jharecction is over and now market will go up again....
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
@ Rising Sun

Now the Silver Support of 2120/---
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 6148
yr wish has been granted.

what now???
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
The Bull and Bear Fight is Still on.

Today is the Last Day to know who will be the Ultimate winner !!

2405 is the Victory Mark for Both Bull and Bear !!

Close above 2405/- will indicate Bull Player are the Winner and Close Below 2405 will indicate Bear Player are the Winner.

If Nepse Close above 2405/- then the Short term upside Tgt of Nepse is Pegged @ 2575/- But if it closes below 2405/- the Short term Down side Target of Nepse is Pegged @ 2120/-

There is No activity from our side in the Market, We Continue to remain in Side line only, We won't Participate in Market till Chaitra 26.

Remittance inflow continue to remain weak and Central Bank has Forex Reserve to maintain import upto 7 Months only at the Moment.

This will Trigger Marwadi Community to Convert their NPR based cash Assets such as Stocks, Debenture, Bonds, FD, Bank Balance, etc to INR or INR equivalent Cash Assets.

This behaviour Pattern to Trigger Further Liqudity Crunch in the Banking System, Whatever Gentleman Agreement the Bankers do among
themselves for Intrest Rate it is bound to be broken for Sure !!

Disclosure : The Above statement is for Study and Entertainment Purpose only !! Plzz, do strong Research before making any Financial Decesion !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Thu Dec 16, 2021 7:59 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
Today is the Last trading session Day for NEPSE to close above 2405/-.

Failure to close above 2405/- will lead Nepse for the Silver Support level of 2120/- in Upcoming days.

Currently Nepse is 5% UC @ 2395.93 Up by 114.25 Points and Trading is Halted !!

Let's see what is on Card !! 😁😁

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
The Broze Support of NEPSE Pegged @ 2405/- was a Tough Nut to be Cracked by Bear Players but that Level was easily Broken, What Triggered the Break Down of Bronze Support was Comrade Prachanda Comment on Capital Market.

As now the Bronze Level of 2405/- is Alreday Broken, Now Need to See Whether NEPSE Climbs Backs 2405/- Level or Not ??

One Trading session has Passed now 2 More Trading Session is Left.

NEPSE unable to Climb Back 2405/- Level in Next 2 Trading Session then it means NEPSE will Head Towards the Silver Support Level of 2120/-

Lets see for 2 more trading Session for NEPSE.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
NEPSE Continue to remain under the control of the Bear.

Though I am not active in the Market at all it has been more then 2 months and multiple days.

At the Current Juncture 2405/- remains a very Strong Bronze Support level and its a Tough Nut to Crack by Bear Players. Intraday swing is not taken into consideration.

But if Market closes below Bronze support of 2405/- and Continue to trade below 2405 for upcoming 3 trading session then the Next Down side Leg for Nepse will open fo Strong Silver Support of 2120/-

And if Silver Support is also broken then Golden Support of 1656/-

The Moral of the Statement :: Want to Buy Bronze Now or Silver Later or Gold at last !!

Disclosure : The Above Statement is for Entertainment Purpose only, It should not considered as a Financial advice or Tip. One must consult an expert advisor before making any Financial Decesion.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
Oh !!
Nepse Formed a New Intraday low of approx 2440 on 06 DEC 2021, Now has broken its Previous low Level of 2480 approx formed on 19 0ct 2021.

THE NEPSE CONTINUE TO REMAIN BEARISH !!

Don't know how long this Bearish Cycle is here to stay.

:roll: :roll:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
NEPSE After forming a Low @ Approx @ 2480/- Zone on 19 OCT some Bulls Player Pushed the NEPSE till Approx 2880 Level which was made on 03 NOV 2021.

There is No Activity by us in the Market since last many days and we are not tracking the Market too these days.

Overall we are Not Bullish on Nepse as an INDEX but still Continue to Have a Bearish View on INDEX.

But My Hand is Itiching to remove that itchness i am Planning to Buy 10-20 Odd Kittas in 2 Companies :-

To Begin with i will Prefer to use the Scrips with a God Name :-

1. Manakamana Smart Laghubittya ( MKLB )
2. Maha Laxmi Bikas Bank ( MLBL)

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 20
Deepak sir market went up as expected. Tomorrow NICA holders might go berserk !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
Some Short term Traders bought on Wednesday and Market Moved up by 60 odd Points but could not maintain its gains on Thursday.

Prior to that on Tuesday some manged to Buy at Lower levels @2480-2500 level.

Tuesday Buyer got delivery of Shares on Thursday and Wednesday Buyer on Friday.

Now both Tuesday and Wednesday Buyer whose Purchase price is @ lower level will be able to Sell their shares on Sunday !!

Now there is a Media Coverage on Governer statement :-


नेपाल राष्ट्र बैंकका गभर्नर महाप्रसाद अधिकारीले तत्काल कर्जाकाे ब्याजदर नबढ्ने बताएका छन् ।

It's a mere Coincidence or a Trick to Trap Retail Investor to Sell their shares @ Higher Rate on Sunday Trading Session.

Buyer should not get Agressive by seeing a Uptick in Price, let the Turnover of 3 Arab Surpass before making a Buy, Who are still willing to Buy at Current Level.



Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 20
Thank you Deepak sir, yesterday I put my bet on MKLB @1649 evaluating the -4%
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
The Market Continue to remain like a falling knife, Yesterday downfall has further put us in cautious mode.

Earlier we had plan to Buy below 2450 mark considering 2425-26 to be a Potential bounce back Level, but looking at yesterday approx 3% fall in Index we have changed our mind to Buy below 2380 level only considering 2347-55 to be next Potential Level for Bounce back.

2100 is the Magic Number for Nepse if Broken then 1656 is on card for Nepse !!

Remittance inflow has reduced by 11 odd percentage approx, which suggest the Liqudity pressure to Continue in the Banking System.

The Rainfall in the Terai Belt has impacted the harvest of Paddy which will result in lower GDP.

Higher Intrest Rate to impact Hydro Power companies which has work in Progress and which has huge debt in Balance Sheet.

Don't know what is Quantam of losses beared by the Farmers, what could be Potential insurance Claim Figures yet to be assessed.

Happy Investment !!

Invest and Trade wisely !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
Todays Stock to Watch is MKLB (Manakamana Smart Laghubittya) whose Support Level is Near 1775/-.

Let's see Whether is breaks that Support Level of 1775/- or We Witness a strong Bounce Back !!

Kindly Note Average Trade Price of 1775/- Should be considered based 1000 Kitta Volume atleast not based on 10 Kitta based break Down :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

If Average Trade Price is above 1850 is seen then Technical based Buy is Advised in MKLB.

Though i dont like this Stock much but it has the Tendency to Move Fast in Upward Direction as Now 10 Kitta based major Sell off has alreday happened & Major Volume based Buy is Above 2000 Average Price, It's also a Ideal Candidate for Stock Cornering if that happens then i won't be Surprised seeing its Price Above 4K.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
NEPSE BELOW 2600/- MARK !!

LACK LUSTURE TRADE !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
Finally Nepse has confirmed Formation of Shooting Star on Daily Chart !!

Next Buy Level on Nepse has to be below 2450/-

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1911
On 13 Sept 2021 Nepse Formed an Early Indication of Shooting Star and It fell for Continious for 5 Days including that that till 21 Sept and Bounced Back in Second Half on 21 Sept.

On 23 Sept 2021 Nepse Again formed an Early Indication of Shooting star Pattern & it Fell for Continious 4 Days including that Day till 04 Oct and Bounced on 04 Oct in Second Half on 04 OCT 2021.

Today 10 OCT 2021 Nepse Again formed an Early Indication of Shooting Star Pattern, Now it Looks like it is likely to Drag Down NEPSE Below 2450/- Mark and might Bounce Back from 2425-26 Level.

These are Data forcasted based on Past Performance.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 20
Thank you Deepak sir
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 6148
2 and 3, at once, then.

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