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NEPSE INVESTOR & TRADER FORUM !!!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Today after the Break down of the Technical Level of 2148/- we Witnessed Panic Selling among the Traders.

The Down Tick in Price in todays Session was Utilized as a Buying Opportunity by Us.

Today we Deployed 5% Cash in the Market Today instead of Earlier Way of 3% Deployment in a Day.

Net Net In total 25% Cash Deployment in the Market.

The Weaker Hand of the Market has Exited by 88% (Approx) in Last 4 Trading Session Now 12% (Approx) Weaker Hand is Left in the Market which will be Digested on Sunday Trading Session.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
The corrected one is :-

Yesterday We didn't Deployed Any Cash in the Market as we were watching whether NEPSE is going to Break the Support of 2148/- on Not ??

Today's Level to Watch is Whether we are breaking 2148/- mark or Not for NEPSE.

Will wait for first 28 min of trade to watch whether we are Above 2148/- or below 2148 /-.??

If 2148 is broken then again we will be in wait N Watch mode like Yesterday, If Not broken will Deploy fresh Cash in the Market mainly Hotel & Insurance Sector.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Yesterday We didn't Deployed Any Cash in the Market as we were watching whether NEPSE is going to Break the Support of 2148/- on Not ??

Today's Level to Watch is Whether we are breaking 2148/- mark or Not for NEPSE.

Will wait for first 28 min of trade to watch whether we are Above 2048/- or below 2048 /-.??

If 2048 is broken then again we will be in wait N Watch mode like Yesterday, If Not broken will Deploy fresh Cash in the Market mainly Hotel & Insurance Sector.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
When is the Listing of Nepal Republic Media ??


Anybody any update ??
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Today We Deployed another 3% Cash in the Market.

Total Cash Deployment in the Market Now Stood @ 20% Cash.

We Continued buying in Hotel & Tourism Sector and Insurance Sector.

Today we tried to defend 2200 mark in the first few minutes but later left it as we thought why to Defend Nepse as our theme of Investment is not Nepse Index but Hotel & Tourism and Insurance Sector only.

50% weightage in Hotel & Tourism.
25% Weightage in Life Insurance
25% Weightage in Non Life Insurance.

Disclosure: This not a Financial Advice but our Own Stragety for the Capital Market Investment which we following for ourself.

Happy Investment.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Today We Deployed another 3% Cash in the Market.

In Total we have Deployed 17% Cash in the Market.

Today is our Six Day of Continious Buy in the Market.

We are witnessing Weaker Hands of the Market are getting Panic and are Exited on seeing the Minus Index.

Yesterday Banking Index moved up Un-rationally and Today we witnessed the Sell off in the Banking Sector which dragged down the Market, Which was on card as expected.

We Continue to Buy and increase our Exposure in Hotel & Tourism and Insurance Sector majorly.

There were Support Buy on other Scrips too :x in Today's session as the part of the Index Management to defend 2200/- level on Index. And will continue to Defend 2200/- mark.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Jul 24, 2023 4:00 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Yesterday after the Publish of the Monetary Policy we Deployed another 3% Cash in the Market.

Symalteniously Market has also Broke 2200/- level on Daily Chart on Closing Basis.

Now the Target for NEPSE is Projected for 2400-2452/-.

We continue to Buy in Hotel & Tourism and Insurance Sector and 3 Hydro Companies out of Shorlisted 5 Companies.

Yesterday was the 5th session of our Continious Buy in the Market.

We are Slow and Steady but Continious buyer in the Market.

Happy Investment !
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Jul 24, 2023 6:34 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
The Current week in Last 4 Trading Session we have Deployed 11% Cash in the Market.

Now Awaiting for the Monetary Policy. Now there won't be any further Deployment of Cash from our End as the allocated Equity before Monetary Policy is Already injected in the Market.

After Monetary Policy will Decide Whether to Add Further in the Market or Not ......

But Before Monetary Policy if NEPSE Index Break 2200/- Mark on Closing Basis then We Might Deploy Cash on Technical Setup Parameter and will Ignore the Monetary Policy.

Already Deployed Good Cash in Hotel & Insurance.

Finger Crossed !! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Since last 3 trading session we are Buying in the Market I.e Monday onwards.

We have deployed 3%+3%+2% =8% of the cash.

Today will deploy another 3% to make completion of 11% before MP.

We are not Buying in Agressive mode but in Accumulation mode with Bargain Buying.

Our Major Allocation is in Hotel and Insurance Sector.

Happy Investment.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Nepal managed to Escape from FATF from being Grey listed.

This will Act as the Positive Trigger for the Market.

This News will devlope the +Ve sentiments among the Bulls.

Need to watch whether we are Breaking 2200/- on Nepse or Not ??

Once 2200 is broken then Traders are likely to Enter the Market with the Higher Target for the NEPSE.

As 2200/- is the major hurdle, once surpassed then we might see next Target for 2400-2452/-.

Once 2452/- is broken Consisively then it's the 100% End of the Bear Market and New Bull Cycle has emerged in the Market.

Let's see what is on card.

We continue to remain invested majorly in Hotel and Insurance as we believe these 2 sector will be front leader for the Bull market.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
City Hotel after taking support Near 678/- has bounced back and Currently it is under consolidation and is under Process of Making of Bullish Flag Pattern on Daily chart.

A Close Above 710/- Level for City will Confirm the Breakout of Bullish Flag Pattern.

And Break Above 740/- will Push the city Hotel to Un-chartered Zone, then its Difficult to guess its Peak.

Let See What is on the Card for City Hotel.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Today onwards we started buying into the Stocks !

We Deployed 3% of the cash into the Market Today.

The Major Picks were from Hotels & Insurance Sector ( Both Life & Non Life).

Due to Monetary Policy we are Avoiding BFI's Nothing were picked except 2 in BFI (One Micro finance & One Development Bank) & 3 Stocks in Hydro Power Sector.

Awaiting for the MP but before MP will Deploy Approx 11% cash in the Market.

Happy Investment !
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
We have added more of City Hotels in our Portfolio over the last few Trading sessions.

During the session we also dumped City Hotel to Check whether there was any follow on Buying intrest was emerging or Not ??

And we witnessed that Follow on Buying intrest were emerging at Lower level which hinted that the there is an appetite / Demand for the Shares of City Hotel.

Technically the Support for City Hotel is seen @678 followed by Resistance @740/-.

Once it's break Resistance of 740/- then we will witness very Strong Move in City Hotel.

Disclosure : The Above statement is for study Purpose only and should not used as an investment advice. One must consult an expert before making any Financial Decesion.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Added City Hotel in the Portfolio today.

We are Buying City on third Factor only.

No Fundamental, No Technical but the third Factor only in City.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Today is Ashad 25,

Today 20K City Hotel was Added to the Portfolio on An Average Price of 711/- based on Todays Chart Pattern 740/- to act the immediate Resistance for City Hotel if it is unable to Climb above the 740 mark in tomorrow Session.

If its unable to Climb above 740/- Mark in Tomorrow Session it Means that the Uncharted Territory's Chapter is closed for City Hotel.

This was the Second Scrip Added in the Hotel Sector from Today Onwards.

Earlier Bought SHL Continue to remain one of our favorite's in our Portfolio.

We Continue to have a Bearish View in the Overall Market mainly in Hydro Power Sector followed by Micro Finance.

we have a Neutral view on Hotel & Insurance Sector with +VE Bias.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Jul 10, 2023 6:04 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
I was going through the Chart of City Hotel.

Every intraday Correction in the Price is Bought up currently trading @715/- per kitta.

Limited supply compared to other Hotel makes it a Bit interesting stock.

I have started buying into it from today's but unsure about its Resistance as currently under uncharted Teritorry its difficult to guess its Resistance.

Mufu holding is almost Nil and seems like some strong hand has already bought it.

Just added 17k kitta till now
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Today is the Last day for to Top Up or Top Down the Ipo for Ghorahi Cement followed by cancellation.

I had applied for 20 kitta and has decided not to do any thing and leave it as it is.

Let's see the IPO will be further extended or Not ?? I feel it won't get extended.

Is City Hotel making the same Pattern like CGH made in the Past, Where CGH surpassed 2000+ /- mark. ??

Any body any Guesses ??
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Some News states due to flood Property worth estimated 8 Billion is lost by Hydro Power Companies.

Among them 10+ listed Hydro Power companies are going to suffer the loss followed by the time requirement to reconstruct it back which will also impact their Production followed by additional Financial cost which will lead in the Poor Balance Sheet.

There will also be impact on insurance companies and mainly the major impact will be on Re-Insurance Companies.

Which all insurance has an exposure on these Hydro Companies that also need to be assessed.

Technically NEPSE INDEX is also not looking good on charts.

Looking at the Poor Balance Sheet with low cash flow to no cash flow on these Hydro Companies The Commercial Bank might opt for liquidation Procees for Some of the Hydro Companies in order to recover its loan exposure to Hydro Companies.

Disclosure : This is for Study Purpose only kindly do proper research before taking any Financial Decesion.

Happy Investment !
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 320
मेरो विचारमा पहिले Cancel होला । त्यसपछि मूल्यमा पुनर्विचार गरिएला र Rating पनि फेरी गरिएला ।
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
What are the Updates on Ghorahi Cement ??

1. IPO FULLY Cancelled ??

2. TENURE TO BE ADDED TO FOR IPO ??

3. ALLOTMENT TO CONTINUE TO IPO APPLIER ??

4. ADJUSTMENT IN IPO PRICE FROM EXISTING 345/- TO 290/- ??

I PERSONALLY PREFER POINT 2 AND 4.

Let's see What is Next ?? What are yours Openion ??
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
I was in one of the Coffee Shop there were Few Investor and Trader which were discussing about the Nepse movement.

Investor A - NEPSE ma halka Correction aayo.

Investor B - Mero tah Porfolio ma bhako Hydro mathi ne gayena, Ulto tesma pani Correction aayo, Khoi ke khoi ke khal ko Market ho yo ??

Investor C : Afu tah 1 kitta pani ghata ma bechinna.

Investor D : Hami haru Afnu emotion Vanda ni Market Anusar Chalda jittdo rahixa.

Among them I Liked Investor D Openion.

Thought of the Day "Elon Free BOB"

Have a Good Day !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Jun 21, 2023 10:30 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Yesterday we witnessed Lang Lang Move in the NEPSE Which hinted us to Exit our Purchase which we did to ride the Relief Rally in the NEPSE.

On an Average NEPSE gave 15% Return but few Stocks gave 40% return was a Good Profit in a very short span tempted us to Book all the Profits and was Booked.

Don't know what will happen to this Cementi Offer.

The IPO will be Cancelled or will be Alloted or there will reduction in the IPO price from 435 to 290/-.

Let's see what is there.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
In a Span of 9 Trading session the Overall of NEPSE has given a Return of 10% on an Average.

It was a Good Relief Rally witnessed in NEPSE after a Pretty long time on Expectation of Market Favor Monetory Policy which is Still Away a month and a few days.

Apart from that Few Mutual Fund picked up the shares to Boost up their NAV of its Mutual Fund Scheme.

We continue to Remain on Sideline but the Technical Behaviour of the Nepse tempted us to Buy few scrips in the Relief Rally.

What we Purchased was basically the Stragetic Buy only to ride the Relief Rally.

If Today the NEPSE show Lang Lang movement then we might Start Exiting what we purchased or else will continue to Hold till the Lang Lang move doesn't come in the Market.

Currently 2038 to Act as Resistance and 1965 to act as Support.

We continue to have Bearish View in the Market for Tgt of 1652-1720 level the Golden Support Level.

Happy Investment
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2079
Yesterday we witnessed a 50+ Point Rally on Nepse on News cover that 5% & 7.5% is the Final Tax.

But until on unless the above statement is not amended in the Income Tax 2058 or by some other mean as per the Provision/Clause mentioned in the Income Tax 2058 it's difficult to Trust the same has been incorporated. Any Legal Person in the Group can further elaborate on it.

We continue to remain in the Bear Market as Fundamental aspects
has not changed yet for the Economy.

The Central Bank Continue to issue Treasury Bills to Raise money for the Goverment expenditures.

The Market continues to give Hopes for the end of the Bear market but again Kills Hope's of the General Investor.

Let's see what is destination for the Nepse. We Continue to have the Bearish View on Nepse for the Target of 1652/-.

After Pre Budget exit from the market we continue to remain in side line, Some were teasing me Tapai ko Train Chutiyo.

My Reply was Is it the Coromandel Express I Missed ?? 🤣

Happy Trading !! Enjoy the Day.

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