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NEPSE INVESTOR & TRADER FORUM !!!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Today is Ashad 25,

Today 20K City Hotel was Added to the Portfolio on An Average Price of 711/- based on Todays Chart Pattern 740/- to act the immediate Resistance for City Hotel if it is unable to Climb above the 740 mark in tomorrow Session.

If its unable to Climb above 740/- Mark in Tomorrow Session it Means that the Uncharted Territory's Chapter is closed for City Hotel.

This was the Second Scrip Added in the Hotel Sector from Today Onwards.

Earlier Bought SHL Continue to remain one of our favorite's in our Portfolio.

We Continue to have a Bearish View in the Overall Market mainly in Hydro Power Sector followed by Micro Finance.

we have a Neutral view on Hotel & Insurance Sector with +VE Bias.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Jul 10, 2023 6:04 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
I was going through the Chart of City Hotel.

Every intraday Correction in the Price is Bought up currently trading @715/- per kitta.

Limited supply compared to other Hotel makes it a Bit interesting stock.

I have started buying into it from today's but unsure about its Resistance as currently under uncharted Teritorry its difficult to guess its Resistance.

Mufu holding is almost Nil and seems like some strong hand has already bought it.

Just added 17k kitta till now
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Today is the Last day for to Top Up or Top Down the Ipo for Ghorahi Cement followed by cancellation.

I had applied for 20 kitta and has decided not to do any thing and leave it as it is.

Let's see the IPO will be further extended or Not ?? I feel it won't get extended.

Is City Hotel making the same Pattern like CGH made in the Past, Where CGH surpassed 2000+ /- mark. ??

Any body any Guesses ??
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Some News states due to flood Property worth estimated 8 Billion is lost by Hydro Power Companies.

Among them 10+ listed Hydro Power companies are going to suffer the loss followed by the time requirement to reconstruct it back which will also impact their Production followed by additional Financial cost which will lead in the Poor Balance Sheet.

There will also be impact on insurance companies and mainly the major impact will be on Re-Insurance Companies.

Which all insurance has an exposure on these Hydro Companies that also need to be assessed.

Technically NEPSE INDEX is also not looking good on charts.

Looking at the Poor Balance Sheet with low cash flow to no cash flow on these Hydro Companies The Commercial Bank might opt for liquidation Procees for Some of the Hydro Companies in order to recover its loan exposure to Hydro Companies.

Disclosure : This is for Study Purpose only kindly do proper research before taking any Financial Decesion.

Happy Investment !
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 319
मेरो विचारमा पहिले Cancel होला । त्यसपछि मूल्यमा पुनर्विचार गरिएला र Rating पनि फेरी गरिएला ।
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
What are the Updates on Ghorahi Cement ??

1. IPO FULLY Cancelled ??

2. TENURE TO BE ADDED TO FOR IPO ??

3. ALLOTMENT TO CONTINUE TO IPO APPLIER ??

4. ADJUSTMENT IN IPO PRICE FROM EXISTING 345/- TO 290/- ??

I PERSONALLY PREFER POINT 2 AND 4.

Let's see What is Next ?? What are yours Openion ??
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
I was in one of the Coffee Shop there were Few Investor and Trader which were discussing about the Nepse movement.

Investor A - NEPSE ma halka Correction aayo.

Investor B - Mero tah Porfolio ma bhako Hydro mathi ne gayena, Ulto tesma pani Correction aayo, Khoi ke khoi ke khal ko Market ho yo ??

Investor C : Afu tah 1 kitta pani ghata ma bechinna.

Investor D : Hami haru Afnu emotion Vanda ni Market Anusar Chalda jittdo rahixa.

Among them I Liked Investor D Openion.

Thought of the Day "Elon Free BOB"

Have a Good Day !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Jun 21, 2023 10:30 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Yesterday we witnessed Lang Lang Move in the NEPSE Which hinted us to Exit our Purchase which we did to ride the Relief Rally in the NEPSE.

On an Average NEPSE gave 15% Return but few Stocks gave 40% return was a Good Profit in a very short span tempted us to Book all the Profits and was Booked.

Don't know what will happen to this Cementi Offer.

The IPO will be Cancelled or will be Alloted or there will reduction in the IPO price from 435 to 290/-.

Let's see what is there.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
In a Span of 9 Trading session the Overall of NEPSE has given a Return of 10% on an Average.

It was a Good Relief Rally witnessed in NEPSE after a Pretty long time on Expectation of Market Favor Monetory Policy which is Still Away a month and a few days.

Apart from that Few Mutual Fund picked up the shares to Boost up their NAV of its Mutual Fund Scheme.

We continue to Remain on Sideline but the Technical Behaviour of the Nepse tempted us to Buy few scrips in the Relief Rally.

What we Purchased was basically the Stragetic Buy only to ride the Relief Rally.

If Today the NEPSE show Lang Lang movement then we might Start Exiting what we purchased or else will continue to Hold till the Lang Lang move doesn't come in the Market.

Currently 2038 to Act as Resistance and 1965 to act as Support.

We continue to have Bearish View in the Market for Tgt of 1652-1720 level the Golden Support Level.

Happy Investment
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Yesterday we witnessed a 50+ Point Rally on Nepse on News cover that 5% & 7.5% is the Final Tax.

But until on unless the above statement is not amended in the Income Tax 2058 or by some other mean as per the Provision/Clause mentioned in the Income Tax 2058 it's difficult to Trust the same has been incorporated. Any Legal Person in the Group can further elaborate on it.

We continue to remain in the Bear Market as Fundamental aspects
has not changed yet for the Economy.

The Central Bank Continue to issue Treasury Bills to Raise money for the Goverment expenditures.

The Market continues to give Hopes for the end of the Bear market but again Kills Hope's of the General Investor.

Let's see what is destination for the Nepse. We Continue to have the Bearish View on Nepse for the Target of 1652/-.

After Pre Budget exit from the market we continue to remain in side line, Some were teasing me Tapai ko Train Chutiyo.

My Reply was Is it the Coromandel Express I Missed ?? 🤣

Happy Trading !! Enjoy the Day.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
1845-1848/- is the immediate support zone for the NEPSE.

Yesterday it took support near that Zone but 1845-48 is not the major support zone but a immediate support zone only.

After that the Next Immidiate support Zone for Nepse stands @1818/-.

Since the last 3 trading session we have Witnessed the free fall in the Market just like a falling knife, Anything on its way is destroyed.

If we break 1845 level in todays session then the free fall is likely to Continue till 1818/-. Which is the Next immediate support zone.

A break of 1818/- level means a Next level of Panic will be created in the Market.

Before Budget we have exited 98% of our previous Buy Position just holding 2% only at the moment as we didn't know what will be the outcome from the Budget, thus exited our Position.

General Advise : Take that much Risk only which you can afford to take. Don't gamble with your hard earned money.

Happy Trading !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Thu Jun 01, 2023 6:46 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
As said earlier the Market will remain Volatile on a Day before Budget and a Day after the Budget.

And we witnessed strong Volatility on 14 & 16 Jestha.

On a Daily Chart the Market has Confirmed A shooting Star Pattern which hints there is More Room for Downward momentum to Contine.

1845-48 is likely to be Support Zone for the Nepse.

The Budget made us Disaapint as there was no Increment in the 1% Tax limit which Remained at 600k as the Market was expecting for 800k Limit for 1% Tax Limit.

Due to this the Appetite for Life Insurance Products is unlikely to increase and EMI paying capacity of Salaried Individuals also unlikely to increase, which will impact the overall reduction in the consumer demands for multiple Commodities and Apparel Products.

Shutter Khali xa will continue to Dominate in the Properties market.

The Hike in collage and School fees likely to hit the Pocket of General Public which will impact many General Public.

Now we have withdrawn our earlier statement of Nepse Index that it has formed the Bottom.

Now we have Downgraded the Nepse for the Target of 1652/-

The Golden support Level.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
As said in the Past the Rally will continue till 1929-1938 Zone and today the said range is achieved as the Nepse closed @ 1942.63.

One day Prior to Budget i.e 14 jesta and day after the budget I.e 16 jestha is likely to remain Volatile.

As the Budget day is on 15 jestha which is a holiday on ocassion of Republic Day.

Any Buy Tomorrow onwards will be a Bit Risky in Nature and scheduled delivery of shares will be available for trading on the volatile day only.

Before buying one must understand by when their bought shares will be credited in their Demat A/c.

After the Rally we also expect the Profit booking session and from Tomorrow onwards profit booking is likely to start.

The talks about the liquidity of kharab amount in next 2 months which is talked by the Nepal Banker Association will be basically the Income Tax Payment paid by corporate business House's till ashad end.

That liquidity will be IN and OUT in very shrt time frame.

Today onwards we have started liquidating our Position and will exit 98% by Thursday.

After Budget will Re-evalute the prospective on the equity investment.

Happy Trading !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Thought of the Day with reference to Water.

Jasma xa, Safa Pani tesmai xa Lagani.

Jasma xa For Pani tesma xaina Lagani.

Just for FUN.😃😃
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
On 16 May 2023 (Tuesday) Nepse made a Tweezer Bottom on Daily Chart and we witnessed a rally in the Nepse for 2 consecutive trading session.

Similar way MKHL ( Mai Khola) has also formed the Tweezer Bottom on 18 May 2023 (Thursday ) on Daily Chart, Though till date the Chart data is for 3 trading session only.

Let's see what is Next for the Market.

Happy Trading !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
We have Witnessed 2 days of strong upmove in the Nepse ahead of the Budget.

This is a Pre-Budget Rally seen the Market with some sort of expecting from the Investor from the FM.

This Rally is likely to Continue till 1929-1938 Zone.

Few stocks were added among the old which were backed by strong Fundamentals.

Among the 2 listed new scrips 000 kitta were added as required volume of liquidity was not seen, may be on Sunday we will get the volume.

After the Budget speech will decide whether to add more or to reduce the holdings or to remain invested in whatever is bought among the old stocks.

I have expectation from the Budget in mainly 4 Sectors among the Nepse listed segments.

Life Insurance, Trading, Hotels and Hydro Power (Among Hydro which are backed by strong Fundamental only,)

TAX relief to Salaried Individual will boost demand for Domestic Tourism, FMCG consumption, Life Style goods, Electric consumption based Consumer Durables and Life Insurance Products.

Fly Dubai is now @ Bhairawa Sky @ 28000 feet height.

Happy Investment !
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Fri May 19, 2023 6:49 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
My Investment theme for 2080 is not a specific or Particular sector for sure but individual stock specific only.


My buying intrest will be in New Companies only which are backed by strong Fundamental and among them 2 has already got listed.

1. ANLB
2. MKHL

I won't be interested in Buying Old listed companies except the Scenerio the valuation is very attractive based on the Bull or Bear Cycle.

Waiting for more Companies to get listed in Multiple Sectors.

Sabhasad pani Naya khojeko among then few had already become the Member of the Parliament Symalteniously Stock pani Naya khojeko.

Happy Investment with a New theme !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Thu May 18, 2023 7:38 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Slight update Mutual Fund Sold Off Approx 15K Kitta in 2 days out of approx 76K Kitta in FLY Dubai.

Which is Said to flying Above Dharke :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


Well well @ Rising Sun i Have no Insider Info About Mai Khola (MKHL).

If Anything interesting comes about the Company, then it will be just a mere Coincidence Only. :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed May 17, 2023 5:47 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7306
If Deepak ji is buying means you must have insider info. What could be the development we get to see soon???
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Today Added Additional 5000 Kitta of MKHL (Mai Khola) @ 274.5 and Previous it was 1000 kitta @ 301.50/-

Total 6000 Kitta added in 2 days @ 279 excluding Broker Commission.

In terms of Nepse Todays Top Looser it was was Ranked 1.

In terms Todays NEPSE Top Turnover it was Ranked 5.

In terms of Todays NEPSE Volume it was Ranked 7.

But And in Terms of Transaction it was Ranked 1.

Mutual Fund Sold off approx. 9K Kitta out of their 76K Kitta Holdings.

At the current Juncture it's just like a FLY Dubai flight which took off from the Kathmandu for Dubai.

Currently it's Circling around TIA. :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
To Remove my Itching Hand, Today I Bought MKHL (Mai Khola Hydropower) just 1000 Kitta only @ 301.50/- .

A 10% Lower Circuit Level from the Listing Price of 335/-.

It's a Low Cap Hydro Power Company with Super Mai Cascade Hydropower Project.

Total Share issued to General Public on Baisakh 08 (2080) is 12,69.411/- Kitta Approx. 12.69 Lakh Kitta.

All Nepalese Mutual Fund together hold approx. 76K Kitta only after allotment as on Today.

Rest All 10 Kitta Holder Investor Only.

The Company has declared a Dividend of 10% in Financial year 2078-79 and is on +VE on Reserve & Surplus Status,


Among the Hydro Stocks based on Reserve & Surplus, Dividend Paying & Low Supply of shares in the Market could be a good Speculative Bet for Good Capital Appreciation.

Today based on Market Depth figure the Total Supply of the stock was seen for 25K Kitta Approx. As Many Retail Investor wanted to Book Profit on the Listing Gain of the share.

If a Small Amount of Speculative Buying Interest emerges in this stock then It could give a Good Capital Appreciation.


Disclosure : This is for a study Purpose only and one should not consider it as an Investment or Trading Recommendation or Advice. One must consult an Expert, an Adviser or CA before making any Financial Decision.

Happy Trading !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue May 16, 2023 5:35 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
TODAY ADDED MKHL (MKHL) 1000 KITTA @ -10% LOWER CIRCUIT LEVEL @301.50.

It's a Pure Speculative Bet only.

Though I don't like Hydro Stocks 😁😁

Just to remove my itching hand only.

Happy Trading
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
The Update Report on DHPL (Dibyashwari Hydropower Limited) is Published :-

Net-worth Per Share as on Q2 was 12.69 Now Net-worth Per share as on Q3 is 6.73

Paid up capital stand @ 26.40 crore as in Q3. No changes.

Reserve stands as on Q2 was Minus 23.05 crores and as on Q3 is Minus 24.62 crores.

Equity Left to to get exhausted to be called as Bankrupt Company is 1.78 Crores.

I Personally feel this Company should be Delisted from NEPSE.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2066
Upcoming AGM of most Hydro Power Companies will be limited to Chiya and Biscuit only ??

Or on addition to it, it will Right Share too ??

😃😃😃

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