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NEPSE INVESTOR & TRADER FORUM !!!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Today we Witnessed a Profit Booking Session in NEPSE which was Due for the NEPSE.

Despite Profit Booking Session we Continued to hold above 2140 Mark which is +VE Sign for the Market with Record Turnover of 9.76 Arab which is Tentatively 28 Month High Turnover.

We used the Todays Correction to Accumulate more Stocks mainly in 3 Sectors which were :-

1. Development Banks
2. Investment Sector &
3. Finance Sector

Apart from that we have also accumulated 4 Scrips only in Hydro Power Sector.

Apart from that We also witnessed some Tourist Investor taking out Cash from the Table 1 to Put the Cash in Table 2 for Next Strong Speculative up moving Sector.


Disclosure : The Above statement is for Study Purpose Only, One must Consult an Expert before making any Financial Decision.
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Jan 17, 2024 4:49 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
:lol:
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Jan 17, 2024 5:16 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
The Regional Level Development Banks Latest Annualized EPS are as follows :-

1. Green Development Bank : GRDBL Annualized EPS +8.39
2. Karnali Development Bank : KRBL Annualized EPS +32.50
3. Narayani Development Bank : NABBC Annualized EPS -18.53
4. Sindhu Bikas Bank : SINDHU Annualized EPS +1.38
5. Miteri Development Bank : MDB Annualized EPS +6.31
6. Corporate Development Bank : CORBL +2.99
7. Saptakoshi Development Bank : SAPDL -57.6
8. Excel Development Bank : EDBL -44.50

National Level Development Banks :-

1. Garima Bikas Bank : GBBL Annualized EPS +14.19
2. Lumbini Bikas Bank : LBBL Annualized EPS +19.70
3. Muktinath Bikas Bank : MNBBL Annualized EPS +12.99
4. Kamana Sewa Bikas Bank : KSBBL Annualized EPS +14.57
5. Shine Resunga Development Bank : SHINE Annualized EPS +16.19
6. Shangrila Development Bank : SADBL Annualized EPS +5.43
7. Jyoti Bikas Bank : JBBL Annualized EPS EPS +4.62
8. Mahalaxmi Bikas Bank : MLBL Annualized EPS +9.15

In Total we have 8 Regional Level & 8 National Level Development Banks

Among Regional Level Highest Positive Annualized EPS is of KRBL @ 32.50 & Among National Level Highest Positive EPS is of LBBL @ 19.70

The Above Data is Compiled from Mero Lagani Data , Kindly Re-confirm it from other sources too.

Happy Trading and Thumbs UP to NEPSE !! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Hydro Power Sector looks good but is not much backed by fundamental except for Few.


After Doing a Lot of Brain Storming Session came to Conclusion that for Better Capital Appreciation, The Sector to look in Seems to be Development Banks & Finance the Moment :-

1. Development Banks Sector basically those with Lower Paid Up and has been in Profit in last Published Report.

2. Finance Companies Sector basically those with Lower Paid Up and has been in Profit in last Published Report.

I feel Average Market Price of Development Banks & Finance Companies stocks are likely to Beat the Average Market Price of Micro Finance Stocks.

Disclosure : The Above statement is for Study Purpose Only and one should Consult an Expert before making any Financial Decision.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
As Market has manged to sustain above 2075/- Mark in last 2 trading session before Poush 29 and has managed to break 2100 mark on closing basis on Poush 29 Now hereby Confirms that Market has made the Final Bottom @ 1800 odd levels.

Now we have upgraded the Market from Negative to Neutral.

Now symalteniously we have also upgraded the market from No Activity to Accumulate on stock's.

We expect further Momentum from hereon after the break of 2100 mark Physological Resistance.

Once we break 2352/- mark on closing basis that will indicate the Beginning of the New Bull Cycle.

Currently Evaluating the Stocks and the Sector which could give better yield in terms of Capital Appreciation.

Happy Accumulation.

Disclosure : The Above statement is for Study Purpose only and one should consult an expert or a CA before making any Financial Decesion.
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Jan 15, 2024 7:29 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Market witnessed a Bounce Back and is heading for the Target of 2075/-. which will act as the Immediate Resistance.

In 2 Trading session if Market managed to move above 2075/- then 2100 will act as the Physological Resistance.

If Market Manages to Break 2100 mark on the closing basis in this week ie Poush end then Market will catch the upside Momentum.

If Market fails to Break the 2100 mark on the closing basis then in coming days we will trade in a Narrow Range of 100 odd points between 1992-2095/-.

As it is the Month of Poush if Market remains above 2100/- means Market has Formed the Final Bottom @ 1800 odd levels else there is still a Probability for a lower bottom range then the Previous mark of 1800/-

Market Surpassing 2352 Mark on the closing basis states beginning of a New Bull Cycle.

Let's see what is there on the Card for the Market.

Disclosure : The Above statement is for Study Purpose only and should not consider it as an advice, One must consult an expert or CA before making any Financial Decesion.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
We Booked Profit on 20 Dec 2023 after Formation of 3 White Soldiers and the Next day after that Market started correcting and we are witnessing Downfall consecutively.

Now we will be watching whether 1992 level support is defended or Not ??

If 1992 level is well defended then we will Re enter the Market again.

Before 1992, 2000 is the Physological Support for the Market.

Let's see what is on Card for the Market.

Happy Trading
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Market after reaching near to Neck line near 1800/- of some what pattern looking similar to head and shoulder pattern, Market didn't broke the neck line and took a Reversal.

Then market formed a Strong Bullish candle and hit the 6% Upper circuit, though I didn't bought on the circuit day.

Next day we waited and bought the every dip in the Price and started accumulating.

3 consecutive days we bought till level below 2000 level on NEPSE. And NEPSE was forming Bullish Pennant pattern on Chart.

After breaking of Bullish pennant we observed 3 strong Bullish candle in a Row.

Currently we will hold till we don't witness any sign of Reversal on the Chart.

As the NEPSE has formed 3 White Soldiers on the daily chart so there is a Probability that today might be a some Profit booking session.

Let's see what is on card, if Profit booking is seen we might also exit and take the cash out of the Table and will Buy Again on Dips. :

My investment theme is listed New companies only.

Happy Trading !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Dec 20, 2023 8:20 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
In a Span of 16 Months NEPSE has moved above 2200 mark for 3 times and has come close near 1800 for the 4 times.

Looking at the Current Pattern it looks some what like Head and Shoulder Pattern but not exactly the same.

If we consider it as a Head and Shoulder Pattern then we Assume 1800 to act as the Neck line of the Head and Shoulder Pattern and infact a Major Physological Support Level too.

1800/- is a MAGIC Number for the time being, If Broken concisely then a Next Phase of MINI BEAR 🐻 will come.

We have already completed 2 years of the Current Bear Market Cycle out of 4 Years Cycle.

Disclosure : We have No investment in the Market except for few 10 odd kittas alloted in the IPO.

Happy Saving !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Despite entry of estimated 11 Arab of Fresh Money from the Estimated 18 Arab of Projected Fresh Money Entry, Market broke the Level of 1952/- on closing basis.

Currently Hovering Below 1900 Mark Currently at 1874.60 Mark.

The main culprit for the Market going Down is the Continues supply of shares from the IPO market which continue to Suck liquidity from the Market.

My assumption was that Market will hold 1952/- because of the flow of Fresh Money which will rebalance the liquidity outflow from the IPO Market, But I turned to be Wrong.

1838/- is a Level to be watched as the Major Support Level in upcoming days followed by 1800/- as Physological Support Level.

Let's see what is Next for the Market.

Disclosure : We don't have any Exposure in the Market except for the 10 odd kitta allotted in few IPO's.

Happy Investment !
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
As per our Study an estimated 18 Arab ko Fresh Money is likely to enter the Market.

Of the estimated 18 Arab estimated 2 Arab has already entered the market.

Which will provide support to the Market and 1952/- will act as a Very strong Support for the Market.

For the next upcoming trading session for the month of Ashoj and Kartik I won't see Market going below 1952/- mark.

This Fresh money might also act as a catalyst for a Mini Bull schedule in the Month of Kartik.

Disclosure :- We don't have any Exposure in the Market.

Happy Investment
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Market made a strong upmove last week especially in the last Trading session of the week.

The Technical Chart suggest 2048/- to act as the Next Hurddle for the NEPSE.

If NEPSE manages to break 2048/- and continue to Hold above it then we might see 2096/- as the Next Major Resistance for NEPSE.

But if Market tries to shy away from or below 2048/- then we will witness again a Next Round of Correction.

Let's see what is the Destinity for the Market.

Disclosure : We have no exposure in the Market.

Happy Trading !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Companies in Q to Get listed :-

1. Upper Lohore khola
2. Manakamana engineering Hydro Power.
3. Bhagwati Hydro Power
4. Mandu Hydro Power
5. Citizen life Insurance
6. Hathway Investment.
7. Mid Solu - ipo result yet to come.
8. Sonapur Minirals - upcoming IPO.
9. Mathillo mailing - in Q
10. Chirkhawa - in Q
11. Lumbini Urja - in Q
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Today we lost more then 40 odd Points.

As if Many Retail Clients are Selling shares to arrange Money to Watch Cricket World Cup 2023, Happening in India during Dashian Tihar.

Or its just the Bank intrest Rate ??

🤔
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Companies in Q to Get listed :-

1. Upper Lohore Khola
2. Reliable Nepal Life Insurance
3. Sun Nepal life Insurance.
4. Bhagawati Hydropower.
5. Mandu Hydro Power.
6. Citizen life ( IPO allotment in Process )
7. Hathway Investment (IPO allotment in Process)
8. Mid Solu Hydropowe ( Upcoming IPO)
9. 3 Hydro & 1 Cementi in IPO Pipeline date announcement soon.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
More then 2000+ People died in the Morocco 🇲🇦 Earth Quake as of Now.

The magnitude of Earth Quake was 6.8
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Today Mega Right issue of Upper Tamakoshi will open.

NEPSE continue to fall.

1960/- Mark on NEPSE is major Support Zone.

If 1960 is broken on a closing basis and continue to trade below 1960 for 2-3 trading session then Next Major Support for NEPSE is pegged @1845/-

Let's see What is Next for NEPSE.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
" Ram Varose Hindu Hotel "
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Few Scams in Neighbour Nation :-

1. Harshad Mehta Scam -1992.

2. Ketan Parekh K-10 / Dot Com Scam -2000.

3. UTI Scam - 2002

4. Roopan Ben Panchal - IPO SCAM -2005.

5. Satyam Scam - Megalingam Raju Scam -2008.

6. NSE CO-LOCATION SERVER SCAM - 2012.

7. FT / MUTUAL FUND SCAM - 2020.

8. I guess 2024 will be year of FINTECH SCAMS.

What is the History or Records of Stock Market Scams in Nepal ?

Anybody can throw any light on it ??

Thank You.
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 319
deepak_mm sir
यस अघिको बुल मार्केटमा पनि नेप्से २२०० नपुग्दै थन्किनु भएको थियो । अहिले त वल्ल बजार Accumulation phase मा छ, अहल्यै २/४ प्रतिशत घाटामा बेचेर बजारबाटै गायव हुने भनेपछि तपाइले पनि नेपालको शेयर बजार चिन्नै सक्नु भएन जस्तो लाग्यो ।
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Yesterday (Wednesday) we liqudated our remaing 15% Holdings in the Market with an average Loss of 1.7% .


Now 100% of our Holding is liquidated on an average LOSS of 2.85%.

Now we are fully out from the Market.

Happy Investment.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Last week we sold off 50% Equity on an average loss of 3.5%

On Sunday we sold off 20% on an average Loss of 2.5%, .

Yesterday (Tuesday) we sold off Another 15% on an average Loss of 2.3%.

Till date we have liquidated 85% of our Holdings on an average Loss of 3.05%.

Remaing 15% will liquidate by end of this week.

As we are winding up the Equity Investment Portfolio for ever.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
Last week 50% Sold off on an average Loss of 3.5%.

Yesterday we sold off another 20% on an average Loss of 2.5%.

Currently Now Hold 30% and MTM loss based on yesterday close price on an average stands @4%.

Now local level deposit Amount 60% can be counted as Deposit as per News from some E Portal.

Let's see this will help in defending 2000/- level or Not ??

I have lost Hope in the Market due continious Q of Right Share and IPO which is sucking the liquidity in the Market and there is No Fresh inflow of Money.

The Market Equilibrium is Lost.

Disclosure :- The above statement is for Study Purpose only and should not considered as an investment Advice.

Happy Investment!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2069
In the Current week Sunday, Monday and Tuesday, In 3 Trading Session we liquidated 50% of our shares with an average Loss of 3.5%.

Remaining 50% holding we are currently sitting on 3% MTM loss based on Thursday Close Price due to Uptick seen in Price of Hotel Sector.

In the coming week will watch whether the Market will continue to defend 2000/- Mark or Not ??

If Market breaks 2000/- then we will liquidate the remaining 50% of our holding and wait for 1800 level based on the Current IPO and Right Scenerio in Pipeline.

If there is further increment in IPO & Right then will wait for 1600/- level.

These IPO and Right issue are sucking the liquidity from the Market in Faster pace and Fresh Money is not coming in the Market.

If the momentum continues for IPO and Right we are not far away from a Big Recession in NEPSE.

LETS SEE WHAT IS NEXT FOR MR. NEPSE.

Disclosure : The above statement is for Study Purpose and should not be considered as an Investment Advice. Consult an expert before making any Financial Decesion.

Happy Investment.

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