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#1 Wed Mar 20, 2024 3:08 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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ब्याजदर निरन्तर घटिरहँदा पनि बैंकमा किन बढिरहेको छ निक्षेप?
Another garbage fake expert kept on floating- If interest falls, money would exit. Banks should increase interest to attract more deposit- but it never happened. Those dumb dangerous people destroyed out economy.
While SECOND TO GOD kept on saying- deposit in BFIs is affected by money available to the system- like balance of payment, monetary policy etc.
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#2 Thu Feb 29, 2024 1:12 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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Few months ago, some media wrote Banks have around 500billion in lendable money.
Then other said, around 60 billion.
Now, yesterday, Bank deposited about 300 billion in NRB.
So Bank may have about 400 billion lendable cash at this time.
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#3 Sun Oct 01, 2023 1:56 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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Date---- 2023/9/25- 2023/9/26 Deposit: 5757 --------5769 Loan::::: 4921-------4920 Com b loan:4354----4357 Other bfi loan: 567--563 Looks like Interest on loan and deposit are about to fall. Banks stealing loan from others. Used to be, stealing deposits. When are incompetent CEOs going to be replaced who gave bad advice to NRB, who could not make a right decision about interest and loan promotion?? (Directors and promoters should be replaced who selected bad ceos)
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#4 Thu Aug 31, 2023 7:16 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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Currency circulation: 613arab Cash deposit in NRB: 438arab
Cash outside NRB: 175arab In 175arab, under different heading NRB may have prevented banks from lending.
While US prints money and lends it to other country. Nepal can even utilize wealth we have cause of NRB and tells banks and business to borrow from CIA and pay interest to CIA and fall into debt trap.
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#5 Thu Aug 17, 2023 3:40 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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2023.8.17
Deposit: 5597 Loan: 4885
Monetary policy target 11% loan growth which is 540billion which is 45 billion/month.
In first month, there was hardly any loan dispersed (May be it went negative).
Dont think, reduced target of loan growth (last year it was 18%) will be achieved.
Like I have been saying, those minister, bureaucrat, pm who hate share market destroy economy. And those who ignore create big problem for the economy. Since, our economy is crisis- under current team, it will continue to be collapse. Under Prachanda and sher bahadur as PM- economy and share market have always collapsed.
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#6 Sun Sep 25, 2022 9:24 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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तरलता समस्या सामाधान गर्न अर्थमन्त्रीले बनाए समिति, एक साताभित्र प्रतिवेदन आउने, काे काे छन् समितिमा?
9-12 month too late.
- Go back to CCD ratio - Increase export. 5kharab immediately, import=export within 10-15year.
बढेको ब्याजदरको दबाब थेग्न नसक्ने अवस्थामा पुगे गभर्नर, छलफलका लागि सिइओलाई बोलाइँदै, कात्तिकदेखि निक्षेपको ब्याज घट्ने
- Is bull about to jump and run? Let's see 5 circuits.
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#7 Wed Aug 03, 2022 1:37 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 322
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(१) निक्षेपमा दिने ब्याजदर मासिक रुपमा मात्र परिवर्तन गर्न सकिनेछ । आगामी महिनाको लागि निक्षेपमा (स्वदेशी तथा विदेशी मुद्रा) लागु हुने ब्याजदरसम्बन्धी सूचना नेपाली महिना शुरु हुनु पूर्व प्रकाशित गरिसक्नुपर्ने छ । तर, नेपाल राष्ट्र बैंकले तय गर्ने बैंक दर तथा नीतिगत दर परिवर्तन भएमा तत्काल ब्याजदर परिवर्तन गरी प्रकाशन गर्न सकिनेछ । केही वैंकले १/२ दिनभित्र व्याजदर परिवर्तनकाे सूचना निकाल्छन् कि ?
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#8 Mon Aug 01, 2022 6:51 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2367
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31/7/2022
CD :87.74
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#9 Thu Jul 28, 2022 9:20 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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29/7/2022
Deposit: 5059 Loan: 4687
CD ratio: 87.62
Bfis have a lot of money but they have not been lending for sometime. Are they into loan holiday just like milk holiday????
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#10 Mon Jul 18, 2022 5:54 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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My prediction was:
----------------- My prediction------
Wed Mar 17, 2021 10:02 pm Prediction, By 2079 ashad end, Deposit will grow by 1000-1500 billion. Current Deposit 4352 billion.
------------ Very much achievable-----
In 16/7/2022 (so, they worked on saturday too)
Deposit: 5153 billion. Loan: 4700
And My prediction missed by 199. I made impossible prediction of growth in deposit of 1000-1500 in 16month, Even after NRB manipulation, it missed just by 199.
Even after loan restriction, whom did they gave so much loan???
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#11 Sun Jul 17, 2022 9:10 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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My prediction was:
----------------- My prediction------
Wed Mar 17, 2021 10:02 pm Prediction, By 2079 ashad end, Deposit will grow by 1000-1500 billion. Current Deposit 4352 billion.
------------ Very much achievable-----
In 14/7/2022
Deposit: 5102 billion. Loan: 4679
Let's see what is the number on 15/7/2022
One day left till 16 month number. In 14, the target is missed by 250 billion. This is one of the crazy prediction of mine, if NRB had not manipulated, My target would have been met.
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#12 Wed Jul 13, 2022 8:23 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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Some Idiots advised govt/NRB to reduce loan and bring down cd ration.
I kept on saying, if you pay back loan, not just the loan will fall, so does the deposit.
And it will lead to fall in- banking business, jobs, govt revenue, economy etc.
We have proof of that:
Total deposit: 5106 (22/7/12) fell by 5 billion (deposit on 22/7/11-5111) Total loan: 4685 (22/7/12) fell by 5 billion (loan on 22/7/11-4690)
We need to silence dumbs from talking on social media as well as in media.
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#13 Wed Dec 22, 2021 10:38 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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Repost after correction/addition.
Our economy needs 100 billion in liquidity in the bank all the time to run. Govt, most of the months, holds 200-300 billion in liquidity.
Which means, there should be, at least,400 billion in liquidity in Nepal.
How much liquidity is available in Nepal in this day??
- Govt may be holding around 250 billion. - BFIs current liquidity position is negative around 160 billion. - CD ratio is deficit by 1.14% which is 55 billion.
Meaning, Liquidity available in Nepal before govt and nrb's announcement was around 35 billion.
Which means, Nepal is short of 365 billion of liquidity before the two announcements.
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#14 Wed Dec 22, 2021 12:14 am
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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Our economy needs 100 billion in liquidity in the bank all the time to run. Govt, most of the months, holds 200-300 billion in liquidity.
Which means, there should be, at least,400 billion in liquidity in Nepal.
How much liquidity is available in Nepal in this day??
- Govt may be holding around 250 billion. - BFIs current liquidity position is negative around 160 billion.
Meaning, Liquidity available in Nepal before govt and nrb's announcement was around 90 billion.
Which means, Nepal is short of 310 billion of liquidity before the two announcements.
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#15 Fri Nov 19, 2021 4:02 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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All kind of people are giving all kind of reason behind the liquidity crisis. Is following calculation wrong? It looks obvious. Am I the one who is unable to understand liquidity crisis or other are too dumb? I need expert opinion. Since, this is very important topic to the economy and the country and the share market. Expert, make it clear about liquidity crisis.
Total deposit of bfis- 4793 billion Approax capital and reserve of bfis- 800 billion Current Loan of bfis- 4546 billion CD ratio- 90.08
As per current policy, 90% of deposit (CD) could be lended, which would be- 90% of 4793= 4313 billion. As per older policy, 84% of ccd ratio could be lended, which would be- 84% of (4793+800)= 4698 billion.
With NRB change in monitory policy, lendable amount has disappeared by almost 400 billion.
And still, some are giving all kind of nonsense reason. Am I wrong or they are wrong.
As per current policy, BFIs have lended around 250 billion more then they could. If NRB had not changed monitory policy, BFIs would still be sitting on far more than 150 billion.
There are 100-200 billion in extra cash NRB has injected as covid and other relief loan.
आयात निरुत्साहित गर्न ब्याज निर्धारणको जिम्मा बजारलाई छाड्नु पर्छ, सुनिल केसीको विश्लेषण
Are baje, if they follow, your advice, every part of the economy will be destroyed except for import. Dont give interview again. Resign from banking job. Start pan pasa.
- There are 100 things govt need to do to improve the economy. Currently, the most important thing govt need to do is reduce import till balance of payment is fixed. And they should do it by direct intervention, not indirect intervention. Indirect intervention would destroy the whole economy.
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#16 Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:36 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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Some idiots are saying, why there is still liquidity crisis.
Deposit: 4766 Loan: 4430
Loan capacity as per NRB circulation: 4289+150=4439 (150 is covid fund, it and other fund total could be 100-250)
Govt spent a lot in last few day, if not, Banks had given far more than they are suppose to give as per NRB policy.
All this is cause NRB changed the policy. And cause of New policy, 100s of billions lost over night.
And those idiots in NRB think they understand share market.
I just want election as soon as possible. Jay bishnu paudel.
Best FM for Nepal is the one who will take my order, second is bishnu pauded.
Economic and share market crisis have always started in Nepal due to NRB. Its time, to disconnect NRB from monitory policy.
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#17 Sun Oct 03, 2021 2:24 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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Can somebody teach me about NRB balance sheet.
In the balance sheet, does not 'deposit form govt' mean, amount NRB holding belonging to govt which govt collected from tax.
If yes,
As per the balance sheet, NRB is holding 301 billion on badra. Then, why some fake news keep on saying, Govt is holding only about 100 billion of liquidity when it is three times.
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#18 Thu Sep 30, 2021 5:23 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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From 28-29
Deposit UP 51 billion Loan UP 80 billion
Both UP by huge amount. A day earlier both down by a lot, but less than on 29.
Either, there was technical error, or change in rule.
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#19 Thu Sep 30, 2021 11:31 am
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2367
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Many of us may have get the answer of a question asked earlier.
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#20 Wed Sep 29, 2021 4:57 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2367
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Whats the reason behind massive drop in both deposit & lending yesterday ?
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#21 Wed Sep 15, 2021 11:22 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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As per shawan balance sheet of NRB, it says, NRB is holding 279 billion belonging to the govt. It must have increased by a lot at this time.
Today or yesterday, one fake news wrote, naming NRB official that NRB is holding 70/80 billion. Is that media trying to manipulate the market or the media is correct?
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#22 Wed Aug 25, 2021 3:30 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2367
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सीसीडी खारेजपछि बैंकको ऋण क्षमता घट्छ: बैंकर्स अध्यक्ष दहाल, '१२८ अर्ब रुपैयाँले क्षमता कम' This man is right. Many of us will feel this reality within short period.
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#23 Tue Aug 24, 2021 7:13 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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From 19-20
Deposit UP 2 billion Loan UP 4 billion
नेपाल राष्ट्र बैंकले कर्जा-निक्षेप अनुपात (सीडी) रेसियो गणनाको नयाँ व्यवस्था लागू गरेको छ | जसले गर्दा बैंक तथा वित्तीय संस्थाको संस्थाको कर्जा क्षमता साढे १ खर्ब रुपैयाँले बढेको छ
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#24 Tue Aug 24, 2021 12:01 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2367
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Whats the liquidity status at current date ? Market sign is ominous.
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#25 Wed Aug 18, 2021 11:07 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7697
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From 16-17
Deposit UP 3 billion Loan UP 2 billion
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