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2020 Bull started from 31.12.2019 !!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
NEPSE Continue to remian in Bullish Mode and is maintaing 100+ Points Premium to Market Capitalization to GDP Figure which ia Pegged @ 2843/- mark for the NEPSE.

Nepse likely to face Physological Resistance at 3000/-, In the Past as soon as NEPSE reached 3000/- Level the Selling Pressure Emerged in the NEPSE. which dragged down the Market.

The Current Technical Setup suggest NEPSE likely to be in the Range Bound Session Between 2843 to 2983 Mark.

Until or unless we don't break 2843/- Mark on the Closing basis the Bullish Momentum to remain intact in the Market.

Once We break 2983/- Level on Closing basis that will Trigger Next Round of Bullish Momentum in the Market.

We Continue to Remain Bullish on NEPSE with a Short term Target of 3200/-

SHL (Sholtee Hotel) Continue to form a Bullish Flag Pattern with Sideways movement, The Next Strong Bullish Breakout Level for that Bullish Flag Pattern will occur once it Surpass 250/- Mark on Closing Basis for the Next Leg of the Target of 302/- Mark. SHL Must to be Kept on Watch List for the Traders and Investors.

We have a Buy Call on SHL for the Medium Term Target of 456/-.

Hydropower at the Current Junture should not be part of the Portfolio for Investment Purpose at All, It's a Pure trading/ Speculative Stocks only which should be traded with Strict Stoploss Only.

We offloaded 100% of our Hydro Portfolio Last to Last Week but Last Week We Bought Back 38% of what We sold off Last to Last Week for Just Mere Technical Bounce Back Play Only. It's a Pure Speculative Play only who cannot Play Well in Speculation moves should 100% Avoid it.


Happy Investment
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Jun 13, 2021 8:24 am. »
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 7
Thank you Deepak ji.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
The NEPSE Continue to form Higher High and Higher Lows Pattern with Strong Bullish Momentum.

The Mood of the Market is such that :-

1. None of the Hydropower and Commercial Banks wants to Stay below 300/- Mark.

2. Non of the Finance Companies & Developement banks wants to Stay Below 400/- Mark.

3. None of the Non Life Insurance wants to Stay Below 1000/- Marks.

4. Traders and Investor are avoiding Micro Finance as there could be Merger / Force Merger Card for them.

5. NRIC Willing to Stay above 2000/- Mark.

6. Hotel Sector Consodilating at the moment before a Big Strong bullish Break Out

7. Current Stragerty HODL, No over trading, Over trading would result in paying More Comission only rather then Return.
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Jun 09, 2021 6:40 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
The NEPSE Continue to form Higher High and Higher Lows Pattern with Strong Bullish Momentum.

Among all the stocks Currently these 3 Stocks are my Favourate which were added as soon we saw the Consodilation Phase Got Over.

1. NIFRA
2. NRIC
3. SHL

We Continue to maintain Bullish View on the NEPSE for the Short Term Target of 3200/-

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 7
Thank you Deepak ji for the update. It's just matter of one or two week for NRIC to reach 2200, imo. For life insurance I've decided to pick few more tomorrow.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
Finally on the Last trading session NEPSE Market Capitalization Surpassed the Nepal Current GDP Figure on the closing basis ie. Above 2843/- Mark !! Infact it also closed above 2852/- Mark.

Today Market need to Hold above 2843/- mark on the closeing basis, If it continue Hold above 2843/- on closing basis then Bulls Will be very Agressive.

We Continue to maintain Bullish View on NEPSE with a Short Term TGT of 3200/-

We Continue to remian Bullish on Hotels and Life Insurance Sector along with NRIC.

We have Upgraded our rating on NIFRA on 03 JUNE 2021 (Thursday) from Neutral to BUY.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
Yesterday Chart Pattern Suggest NEPSE has Completed it's Correction Cycle and the Bulls are Back with a Bang.

Now the Bulls will be eyeing the 2843/- Level on Closing Basis and 2852/- Level on Intraday Basis.

If we continue to trade above 2843/- till 01:00 then Bulls will Bang Bang the Bears.

On the Technical aspects NRIC Looks amazing and has a very strong Bullish Momentum.

We Continue to Top Up the Hotels & Life Insurance Stocks and trimming our holdings in Hydro Power Sector.

We Continue to maintain Bullish View on NEPSE for Target of 3200/-

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Thu Jun 03, 2021 8:12 am. »
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 7
Thank you Deepak ji.
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 138
Why are you beholden on GDP to market cap ratio? It doesn't have any technical significance. It is as if a kid got a toy and didn't know what to do with it.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
On Multiple attempts Market tried to Surpass the Annual GDP Figure in terms of Market Capitalization on Closing basis but could not suceed, ie. 2843/- Mark on NEPSE. Though it has broken it on Intraday Basis.

Unable to Surpass the 2843/- mark on Closing basis resulted the Bulls to take a Break for a while.

Now the immidate Support for the NEPSE Stands @ 2747/-. Until or Unless we don't break 2747/- Level on Closing Basis the Bullish Momentum is Still intact & Hurdles for the Bulls stands at 2843/- Mark, which will act as the Crucial Resistance for the Bulls.

We have a Bullish View on NEPSE with a Target of 3200/-

As the Part of the Stragety we continue to Churn the Portfolio and continue to Pick those stocks which are likely to give more Capital Appreciation in terms of Percentage.

At Current Juncture we continue to Buy Hotel Scrips and Yesterday Onwards we initated fresh Long in Life Insurance Sectors,

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
In Last 2 trading session we have been churing our Portfolio.

We have been reducing our Holdings from the Hydro Power Sector and increasing our Holdings in Hotel Sector.

We have reduced our Net Hydro Power Holdings by 70% and of that 70%, 20% has been deployed in Hotel Sector.

At the Current Juncture we are Fresh Long on Hotel Sector only and today onwards will create Fresh Long in Life Insurance Sector.

1. We have redcuced our rating in Hydro Power Sector from Bullish to Neutral Zone.

2. Our rating in Devlopment Banks & Finance Sector Continue to remain Bullish.

3. We have Upgrded our Rating in Hotel Sector from Neutral to Bullish.

4. We upgraded our rating in Life Insurance from Neutral to Bullish.

NEPSE Target of 3200/- is still Intact by us.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
From 23 MAY 2021 onwards NEPSE Continues to hold above 2800/- mark and continue to Consodilate above 2800/- Mark !!

On Intraday Basis Nepse Market Capitalization has surpassed Nepal Current GDP Figure multiple times (i.e NEPSE 2843 Mark) but has not manged to Surpass on the Closing Basis.

Once NEPSE manages to Close above 2843/- Mark on Closing Basis means NEPSE Market Capitalization has surpassed the GDP Figure on Closing Basis. That will Act as the another Big Trigger for the Bulls.

At the Current Juncture we continue to ADD Hotels Stocks as we feel the Recent Budget has given a Big Boost to the Hotel Sector and we consider them as the NEXT Doge Coin of NEPSE.

Among the Hotel my Favorate Stock is SHL and Yesterday it Confirmed a Clear Bullish Breakout as it managed to Close Above 230/- mark @ 233 with 10% UC with a very Strong Volume ever recored till date as per the avaiable Data with me. The Block Deal Matching Volume is not considered.


Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon May 31, 2021 7:06 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
The Budget was Awasome and it covered the Hospitality Industry !!

आगामी आर्थिक वर्षका लागि अध्यादेशमार्फत आएको बजेटमा कोभिड १९ बाट अति प्रभावित होटल, ट्राभल, टेकिङ, यातायात, हवाई, चलचित्र क्षेत्र र सञ्चार गृहको करयोग्य आयमा १ प्रतिशतमात्रै आयकर लाग्ने व्यवस्था गरी ती व्यवसायको नोक्सानी सार्न मिल्ने अवधि बढाएर १० वर्ष पुर्याइएको छ।

Time to add More Stocks in Hotel Sector !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
Yesterday NEPSE Market Capitalization Hit the Nepal GDP mark once it Hit 2843/- Mark Infact Nepse Market Capitalization has surpassed the Nepal GDP Mark on Intraday basis.

NEPSE After Hitting 2849.11 mark the NEPSE was dragged down to Negative Teritorry but it managed well to Close in the Postive teritorry with a gain of 3.07 Points @ 2823.06/- Mark.

Despite the Sell Off the NEPSE continued to remian above the 2800+ mark, through out the day which is a very +VE Sign.

Once the Nepse manged to Close above 2852/- mark on Closing basis then the Next Big Rally of the Market will head towards 3000 Mark !!

The Liqudity in the Market Continue to Chase the NEPSE.

Someone Great Person has said " The Mother of any Bull run is Liqudity ".

In a Bull Market Investor Looks @ Danda and in Bear Market Investor Looks @ Funda.

In a Bull Market Investor Look at those Stocks which has a Cheaper Price Tag, means stocks which has the Lower Rate Per Unit.



Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
Many were texting me on the Messanger among the Hotel Sector which one is your Favorate :-

The Answer is SHL, The Reasons :-

1. It has Strong Reserve & Surplus.

2. The Management Contract ended with Intercontinetal Hotel Groups (IHG) on 14 MAY 2021, and The Hotel is Rebranded as "The Soaltee Kathmandu" thus a Big amount of Saving on Royalty Fee Paid to IHG.

3. SHL owns LSG Sky Chefs Kathmandu, Nepal's only in-flight catering for Multiple Airlines.

4. SHL also own Horizon Lounge, an executive lounge at the departure terminal of Tribhuwan International Airport.

5. SHL also owns "Soaltee Westend Premier" a five-star hotel in Nepalgunj.

6. The Hotel Guest Occupancy is still Strong Despite of Corona Lock Down.

7. The Above all are likely to give Very give Strong Cash Flow as Multiple Vaccine from UK, USA and others have come and the Vaccination Process will Speed Up in Nepal.

8. We have a Buy Rating on SHL for the Target of 456/--

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
Congratulation Everyone !!

First time Maket Closed above 2800/- Mark !! Infact Closing at the Highest Point of the Day @ 2820/-

Now the Next achievement for the NEPSE is Conqure the 2843/- Mark.

Once NEPSE Hits 2843/- means The Market Capitalization of NEPSE has Hit the Nepal GDP Mark.


Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
Technically NEPSE is Looking Bullish on Chart !!

NEPSE Continue to make Higher Highs and Higher Lows with NEPSE under Strong Control of the Bulls.

The Recent Election Announcement by the President is likely to act as the Big Trigger for the Bulls.

The Bulls are are going to Roar Big on Sunday !!

Once NEPSE Market Capitalization Surpass the GDP Size, that will Act as the Another Big Trigger for the NEPSE Bulls.

Based on the Current Market Scenerios I Feel Hotel Sector is Likely to Give the Best Return in term of %%. That Dosen't means the Others Won't give Good Return !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
The Week the Market could not conqure the Market Capitalization to GDP Mark !!

Before hitting the Market Capitalization to GDP Mark the Market witness the Correction Phase and Data Suggest the Correction Phase is Over for Now.

The Coming Week the Market is Likely to Surpass the GDP Mark !!


We Continue to remain Most Bullish on Hotel Sector and it need to catch up a lot based on the NEPSE Current movement to all to High Range !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 595
NEPSE
Promoter shares are not traded and should not be included in free float
Such Non Traded Shares should be excluded from Market Capitalization
Than Market Capitalization will be half of GDP

The free-float methodology is usually thought to provide a more accurate reflection of market movements in the market.
SIMPLE AS THAT


...BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Wed May 19, 2021 9:07 am. »
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 54
America ma market capitalization GDP ko 80% mathi chha vanchhan hamro ma kaha samma janchha kunni...
Herau sabaiko falifap hos...
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1730
The Estimated GDP Size of Nepal Stands @ 3943 Billion NPR, Where as NEPSE Total Market Capitalization stands @ 3876 Billion.

So the NEPSE Overall Market Capitilization is very Close to the Stricking Distance of NEPAL Estimated GDP.

We are just approx 1.73% Away from the Striking Distance to GDP.

NEPSE Continue to make New Highs with Records Volume.

Once NEPSE Hits 2843/- mark, means NEPSE Market Capitalization has Surpassed the NEPAL GDP.

Time to Distribute Ladoos, Exchanging Best Wishes & Cake Cutting Ceremoney Once NEPSE Hits 2843/-



Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: May 2021
Posts: 7
Thank you Deepak ji !!!! Hotel fapyo malai.
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 762
@Berkshire, if you flirt too much you gonna get herpes or at the worst case HIV that can ruin your life. Play safe.

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :P
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 54
@Dubosi Ji
Hotel le ahile staff ko salary dine sales pani chhaina, loan ta refinancing gari sakeka chhan, auda dina pani chunauti purna chhan, laharo tanda paharo garjanchha bhane jasari hotel le garda bank ke hunchha bhanne stithi chha aru kura afai bujhnus, jageda kosh maintain garek hotel le ta share ma nai invest gareka oani chhan yeta bat kamayer uta kharcha garlan ki...
Member
Registered: Nov 2020
Posts: 10
I guess this should be clear to my friends that in Nepse, more sensation and hulchul is created nowadays by those stocks which are not in a position to give any dividend to shareholders for a couple of years. Patru kind of hydros, dev bank and finances are some examples. And to some extent this happens in market outside Nepal too. A good chunk of profit is made from such kind of stock in bull market and sadly at the other side, equally true is that good number of murgas are slaughtered due to such stocks.

So, flirt those kind of stocks including hotels safely and make sure you don't marry them.
Happy flirting! :D :P

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