Forum


ShareSansar Main Page

New Topic

2020 Bull started from 31.12.2019 !!

Moderators: बिमलमान, Dilbert.

Post Reply

Page: 1 2 3 4 > »

Author Post
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
As said last time market has seen a lot of Volatility and has broken the crucial support level of 1352/- when it hit 6% lower circuit. As said Bear has full advantage of it and Yesterday was the crucial level to be watched again whether we break 1352/- or not. As yesterday was the last battle for the Bull and finally Bull lost against the Bear.

This open an argument again we have entered the Bear market after the break Down of 1352/-.

But due to Corona Phobia, Yes Bank Phobia and Chinese trader Leverage loss exit Phobia give a reason for the discount for the support level of Bull market to continue until or unless we don't break 1256/- instead of 1352/-.

1300/- to act as Physiological Support.

Even if the Bear Market starts the value Picks are there in 2 Sectors.

1. Non Life Insurance stock which are near 400 +/- 20

2. Hydro Power Stocks which are near 100 +/- 20.

Irrespective of Index movement stock specific action will be there. Today we will be Purchasing stock with the concept of Cherry Picking ideas among multiple Sectors.

Happy Investment.!!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
The market it witnessing a lot of Volatility in last few session.

Some times 6% lower Circuit then again 5% up and then again down by more then 3%.


As the market has broken 1402 level and has also closed below 1352/- when it hit 6% lower Circuit.

The crucial break down of Technical level gives a strong advantage to Bears.

Today is very Crucial day to be watched as level of 1352/- is a very important level. Infact that is the last battle zone for the Bulls to survive in the market.

If we break 1352/- on closing basis again then again we might enter the Bear Market.

Finger Crossed let's see what is on Card !!

Stay Safe !! Stack up essential needs @ Home. But make sure that others also needs of those things so balance act should be done.
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Mar 15, 2020 8:54 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 591
महालक्ष्मी लाइफ इन्स्योरेन्स कम्पनीका प्रमुख कार्यकारी अधिकृत रमेशकुमार भट्टराई करिब ८० लाख बिमित रहेका नेपालमा कोरोना भित्रियो र नियन्त्रणबाहिर गएर महामारी फैलियाे भने भने बीमा क्षेत्र तहसनहस हुने बताउँछन्
https://www.onlinekhabar.com/2020/03/843225

More than 60 cases already recorded in India.
Nepal is likely to ve significant number of COVID-19 in coming days becoz its sandwitched between tow giants with large patient load. Its difficult to predict the exact number going to be infected. Considering mortality rate of around 3% situation can be dangerous.
Life insurance ve to pay the committed amount if mortality and Non life will get affected due to health insurance claim and cargo insurance.
Better is to choose safe sectors.
« Last edit by Dubosi7 on Wed Mar 11, 2020 6:38 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4795
1000 gang has been scattered.


I believe 1200 gang have max 3/4 week left to crash to 1200. After that .........


1200 gang member- hathway, teska bau ko lagani


Am I 50% right?

60% right?

90% right?
or
99% correct? :lol:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
This 1000 Gang has changed their name to 1200 gang.

Who is the master mind of this Gang ?? 🤔🤔

🤔🤔🤔

Will this 1000 Gang will achieve their Target ??

What u think Mr. Rising Sun ??
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 591
PLIC bonus just 12.5%
Why to pay 555 to get 12.5% return ?
Most of the general and life insurance companies disappointed investors this year.
Next year may be more disastrous if they ve to pay hefty amount to there client.
We dont ve the habit to listen before its too late. Be careful this time.
« Last edit by Dubosi7 on Tue Mar 10, 2020 1:55 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 591
Many compAnies are on GRAND SALE.
cHOOSE BEST cOMPANIES to buy.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 591
Market already closed below 1350.
Bottom ?
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
NEPSE has formed a Doji Pattern on daily chart with slight negative Bias. Which indicates battle to continue between Bulls and Bear and volatility to remain.

The market likely to remain in the Broad Range of 1400 to 1465 which will likely to get narrow in days to come.

Bulls need to Defend 1402 Level in coming days and Bear need to defend 1465/- to have a strong control in the market.

Till the Upper or Lower range is broken it's like wait n watch. "Ramita Herni"

Let see the impact of Global news on NEPSE. Like Cornavirus, Crash of Global Shares Market, Strong USD and JPY. Soft Crude Oil Prices direction of Bullion Market. Of course the Yes Bank event. From this what our Regulator learn and measures or Policy changes they could make in order to safeguard the Depositer Money. The Policy Changes could impact the Price of Commercial Bank, Devlopement Bank, Finance and Micro Finance.

Whether it could be increase in CRR or SLR or Repo Rates or other instruments.

Stay Clam and watch Ramita only.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 108
Expect 50 points basis rate cut in the US by March 18.
Expect bail out plan for the airlines.
Expect helicopter money to the tune of $1200 per working family. The may even do middle class tax cut.
Expect aggressive intervention in the markets by the governments across the world. The Fed, BOJ and European Central Bank will vastly expand their balance sheets picking up bonds and even stocks from the market.

Then again, if Corona keeps spreading, no matter of money will help the stocks.
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 108
What the bears couldn't do in NEPSE, can Corono do it? 1000 possible? God knows.
Double blow for the economy. The remittance coming from the oil producing nations in the Middle East may be jeopardized. Saudi, Russia and the US should settle their disagreements soon. Even then, the demand shock from corono virus for oil will be there.
Tourism for this year is gone to the hay basket. 8% of the economy.
If people start staying at home around the world and minimally partake in economic activities, will prices start to fall?
The drop in oil price is already deflationary in nature. The costs of goods should start falling. Is deflation going to be the problem rather than inflation?
On the other hand, interest rate may go down owing to rate cuts by the central banks around the world. This may be accompanied by fiscal stimulus in infrastructure spending, tax cuts and in some cases helicopter money. That may eventually drive consumption.
However, who knows in the short to the middle term?
Whole of the Northern Italy, a very critical economic region, is shutdown in Europe. Who knows if France and Germany is next? In the US, companies have started asking employees to work from home, if possible. The shale oil play got a gut punch by the oil war between the Saudis and Russia. If the price stays around $30 level, lots of small producers will have to close the shops, which in turn will hit small banks and private equities funding the oil exploration hard.
Australia is reeling. The commodity dependent economy which depends heavily on supplying China with raw materials will slow down due to China.
Today, Yen is rising against dollars which is detrimental to its export based economy. Not enough young people to consume there. Japan should take all our Nepalese workers from Malaysia.
Germany has had more than a quarter of negative growth. Canada and its carbon based economy is fvcked as well.

=====================================================================
Overall, a shitty situation worldwide. How insulated are the BFIs from slowdown in global economy and Tourism and remittance? For you observers, this is the link to monitor markets worldwide.

https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures

PS. Nepal Oil Corporation should make a killing this year.
« Last edit by simrik on Mon Mar 09, 2020 10:35 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 591
Global stocks are collapsing Monday as the novel coronavirus outbreak
S&P futures off as much as 5% and key Australian index on pace for biggest plunge since 2008
sensex already down by almost 900 (2.3%)

At least NEPSE is sustaining above 2 years High. Lets hope CORONA will not topple NEPSE height.
Aviation, Hotel and Insurance sectors are definitely going to suffer the most in coming days.
नेपालसहित १४ देशका नागरिकलाई कतार प्रवेशमा रोक
रेमिट्यान्समा कोरोनाको जोखिम

OMG :roll: :roll: :roll:
Banking sectors ve indirect effect later on due to rise in NPL, some of the government policies and reduced remittance.
Any one can guess the fate of HYDRO in such situation.

PASUPATINATH LE SABAIKO KALYAN GARUN
HAPPY HOLI
« Last edit by Dubosi7 on Mon Mar 09, 2020 9:01 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
Happy Nari Diwas and Happy Holi in advance !!
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 108
Member
Registered: Jan 2020
Posts: 11
Dear Sir,
As profit in MFI will rise more in coming quarter also. The effect of corona virus seems most less in MFI. Is it safe to invest in MFI only sir.

Regards
Share03
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 449
Commercial Banks growth will be stagnant
Provisions for loans to hotel which cant keep up
Lending being stopped
Deposits piling up

...BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 591
Coming days are going to be worst for hotel sector
कोरोना भाइरसको प्रकोपसँगै पर्यटक आगमनमा गिरावट आएपछि होटल व्यवसायीले कामदारलाई आधा तलब दिने गरि विदा दिन थालेका छन्
कोरोनाको कारण पोखरामा संचालित होटलमा यतिखेर १० प्रतिशत भन्दा कम अक्युपेन्सी कायम रहेको
OMG
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
Among the over all sectoral Index these Sectors has already broken Crucial Support Level and are under full control of Bears :- The Sectors are Micro Finance, Finance, Development Banks, Non - Life Insurance, Manufacturing and Of Course Hotel.

In this 6 Sectors further Downside Momentum to Continue.

Other Index is Neutral Zone so no decesisive move.

Banking Index 1275/- is a Crucial Support, Life Insurance Index Crucial Support is seen @ 8165/- and Trading Index Crucial Support is seen at @ 865/- and Hydropower @ 1008/-.

In these 4 Index if crucial support level is broken then these will also join the Party of Bears.

If any Retreat happens these 4 Sectors will make Smart Move.

The Summay is these 4 Sectors should be watched throughly rest all except other Index category is a Pure Sell Call.

Use uptick in Price an Exit Oppurtinity for 6 Sectors and watch for other 4 Sectors.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Thu Mar 05, 2020 7:50 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
Yesterday there was again a Lot of Volatility in the market.

The Volatility seems to favour Bears though Bulls defended the downfall and manged to push NEPSE in +ve teritorry but when certain level reached again Bear got active and push down the market and again bulls fought back.

The Summary is it was just a mere a technical bounce back which was imminent after such fall from 1600+ odd levels.

This indicates many People are stuck at higher levels which will not let the market move up and any rise will be used as an oppurtinity by the players who are stuck at higher level as an exit oppurtinity.

Yesterday we also witnessed some Punter bought on expectation of technical bounce back and are likely to exit today for sure.

Micro Finance is a Pure Dump your shares stragety and forget it due to NRB Policy.

Smart and Big Players are still Net Sellers in the market as they think by Chaitra End the market will be @ 1200 odd level.

Who are willing to enter the market then this is not the right time to enter the market as let the Battle between the Bulls and Bear get over.

If you ask me which side of the Battle I am then I am on the Bear Side for sure.

Think twice thrice or five times before entering the market.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
The Recent Policy of the Central Bank (NRB) will have a devasting effect on Micro Finance Mcap.

The Micro Finance Index likely to Crash like a Crash Never seen Before. We have already exited 70% of our Micro Finance Portfolio since last Wednesday to till date and will exit remaining 30% also. We will bring 0 kitta holding in Micro Finance.

We for-see a start of a Bear Market in Micro Finance. Not a time to Buy even 10 kitta in Micro Finance, time to sell Micro finance at whatever rate u get. I forsee Micro Index to the same Place from where it started it's upward Journey.

God Bless You !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
New History And Record Made in NEPSE !!

Cake katyo ki katena NEPSE le 🤔🤔🤔
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4795
Biggest crash in the history of Nepal.


Congratulations.







Remember, corona hits negative people harder, just like cancer.





Nepal may be wasting billion every year on KP Oli's treatment, indirectly as well as directly. Instead of wasting billion per year on that las, if we had spent on building communicable disease treatment center.................. we would have had hospital and we would have gotten read of that danav.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
Shooting Star Shot Down the Bulls. 😉
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
As said in the Previous note that Market Volatility has increased a lot with Market Bredth in favour of bears.

As said Bears will take the advantage of Volility and Market Breath which are in their favour and will take the control of the market on Sunday.

Finally bear took the control of the market yesterday. NEPSE was 70+ point down from Intraday High.

If we look at chart, market some what shows the pattern of Shooting Star which will get confirmed today. But personally I feel it is a Shooting Pattern without awaiting for the confirmation for the Next Day. 😉

Market Bears has also managed to Break 1596 level which was the closed level of NEPSE on 26 Feb 2020.

Right now market is like a falling Knife it won't be wise to catch the falling Knife till the Downfall Ends with Consodilation.

Thursday and Sunday we were Net Sellers and Today also we will remain Net Sellers. Every Rise is like a Sell Oppurtinity for us.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Mar 02, 2020 6:00 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1487
Online Portal ma kehi news aako xaina about land slide move ?? 🤔🤔 :(

Post Reply

Page: 1 2 3 4 > »

Sharesansar Forum Powered By Miracle Hub

General Error

General Error

An error was encountered. We apologize for any inconvenience.

In file Unknown on line 0:

E_WARNING - Unknown: write failed: No space left on device (28)

This error should probably not have occured, so please report it to the owner. Thank you for your help.

If you are the owner of this board and you believe this is a bug, please send a bug report.