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2020 Bull started from 31.12.2019 !!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
Today will a very Interesting Day to watch being the Last Trading session of the week. A big battle between the Bulls and Bear will happen like a " Battle of Waterloo"

Arms are Loaded for the battle, I am on the Bear Side!!

B'coz every Action has an Equal and Opposite Reaction!!

Let's Fight Today and Let's see who win the battle by 3 PM.

Happy Investment !! 📌📌📌📌📌
Member
Registered: Aug 2015
Posts: 126
बाहियत दिपक! तिम्रो client ले हिजो बेचिसके आज गफ दियैा
Member
Registered: Jun 2018
Posts: 86
DEEPAK SARKAR LAI HYDRO LEY BAGAYO JASTO CHHA...STOP LOSS TIRA LAGEKO HO??
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 5379
So you are announcing about selling 8 billion worth of shares before selling them?????


I believe you like always. :mrgreen:



After your premature selling of insurance (which may have increased 50% after you sold), this may have become your second grave mistake. NEPSE increase big yesterday and today.



After 3rd qtr report, if you try to invest 8 billion in a month, market would increase 500 points before investing all.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
In A Short span of time a whopping Profit is seen in the Portfolio !!

From Tomorrow on-wards we won't be buying Anything but will be Purely Selling only !!

One theory of the Market is :-

" Buy On Rumors sell on Facts !! "

Clients are likely to sell 8.3 Arab Worth of shares and will be sitting in Cash once again and will be Back only after reviewing the Q3 Reports of the companies !!

Let see how many trading days it take to absorb the selling Pressure of ours.

Newton Law 3 says every action has an equal an opposite Reaction !!

Disclosure : The above statement is for Study Purpose only. One Should consult their adviser or Consultant before taking any such trading decision !!

Happy Investment !! :shock: :shock:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
The awaited correction which was expected has already happened yesterday on intra day basis.

So the next leg of correction will happen only once the NEPSE surpass 1600+ level.

Profit Booking in Banking sector is over along with Insurance and Micro Finance.

Though in Insurance and Micro Finance Profit Booking was one of the shortest tenure recorded in History of NEPSE.

Today again Up-move in NEPSE will lead by Banking and Hydro as their weight age is more in Index.

I see 1600+ soon lead by Banks.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 139
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
As said in Yesterday note once NEPSE breach 1529 and Micro Finance & Insurance are unable to break the Resistance then strong Profit booking was likely and the same was observed yesterday.

Micro and Insurance to see further profit booking today also.

Buy is not advised in Micro Finance and Insurance till the Profit booking process is over along with sign of Consodilation.

Who bought Micro and Insurance at higher should not try to average seeing the dip in the price till it forms profit booking bottom price.

Further long Position can be build in Bank and Hydropower as they are likely to move further up from the current level.

I see banking Index @ 1440+ level and Hydropower @ 1250 + level in very short term

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
In today session Banking and Hydro Power to continue the rally as both has broken their Crucial Resistance Level.

Micro Finance and Insurance sector looks like to face Resistance at current level as seen from Yesterday onwards.

Frequent attempts to break resistance by Micro Finance and Insurance would lead to strong profit and closing of open long Position in this by some traders and Investor!!

Hotel looking Weak should use exit on Rise stragety in Hotel.

NEPSE AT 1529/- LEVEL IF MICRO FINANCE AND INSURANCE DOSEN'T OUTPERFORM THEN EXIT IS ADVISED WHO ARE HOLDING LONG!!

HAPPY INVESTMENT 😊
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 764
Yo deepak ji ko ke kura garne, jan 28 ma nepse heading to 1280 bhanne ko.

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
WOW What a Day !! A Day to be recorded in the History of NEPSE !!

As said in last Note that today was a crucial day to be watched !!

As said Banking Index if managed to hold above 1200 for 1 hour then will see NEPSE Run UP till 1500+ Level without any halt and Hiccup and finally it happened Today and NEPSE hit an Intra-day high of 1511 and finally settled at 1504 Level with record Turnover of 3.6 Arab !!

Another Interesting & Positive pattern was also seen today in Hydro Power Sector !!

Finally Hydro Power INDEX Broke the Resistance of 1080/- on closing basis to settle @ 1083.68/- which means Hydro Power Sector has began the Initiation for a Big Bull Run !!

NOW Enjoy the Ride of Bull Move in 2 New Sector i.e. Banking & Hydro !!

Happy Investment !! :D :D
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
Tomorrow is very Crucial day to watched !!

If Banking Index continue to hold above 1200 level till 12 Noon then there will be unlikely to be any Correction and NEPSE will continue to Run to 1500+ level without any halt and hiccup.

Hydropower Index need to Surpass 1080 level to initiate a big Bull Run in the Sector !!

BUT I Personally feel the NEPSE will continue to move up without any correction on Card. The Pause I see only @ 1529/- Level only.

Happy Investment !!!!!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
Happy Poland Day !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
Finally the bulls has broken the level of 1400 also. Thus now onwards Market will continue to move up for new Record high level.!! HYDRO Power to move aggressively many Hydro which are below the Face value will catch up to 110+ level . Which are near or slight in Premium will also catch to 200+ level. Which are @ 200+ level will try to surpass 500 level.

Happy Investment!!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 1178
Good momentum seen in HYDROPOWER sector today (Almost 10 points UP)
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 139
I think among TAs, when things don't go their way, it is called a technical breakdown. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

I don't want to make fun of anyone in the forum. However, looks like Deepak ji missed the rally in MFIs and now want to force hydros to rally to make up for his deficiencies.
Most of the hydros are shitty investments. It is more of a speculation than an investment. No doubt, if NEPSE rallies like a beast, it will lift everything with it. However, Deepak ji and his like, even though, he may not feel like it are basically trying to manipulate market to his/their benefit. All his statements implying " we are big players, we are flooding money in these sectors, so expect these to rise" is manipulative. He should stop making such declarations. If his words are to be taken seriously and he is what he says he is, and manages big portfolios which can flood money in a sector, then my statement that he is basically trying to manipulate holds even more stronger ground.
Rather than saying or implying, I, a guy who manages huge portfolios, am going to start flooding these sectors, why don't he lay out investment thesis for a sector or a scrip like Puji ji other does this in the forum. We need to weed out manipulators and cons from Nepse. Trying to pump stocks with no investment thesis should be reported and flagged.

How is signing MCC going to help projects with bad hydrology, inflated investments and huge debt loads?
Member
Registered: Jun 2018
Posts: 86
DEEPAK SARKAR HYDRO HYDRO JATI KARAYEY NI NO ONE WILL INVEST. GOOD THING IS YOU ARE STILL IN SHARE INVESTMENT, SOMETIMES AJIB LAGCHHA WHO IS STILL FOLLOWING YOUR ADVICE AND ANALYSIS.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
The NEPSE will be likely to be in Range Bound region session for this week.

During this range bound session HYDRO Sector will Outperform this Week !!

MCC to get passed news is around the Corner !!

Bullish Long Bets should be initiated in Hydro Power from earlier accumulation Phase !!

1080/- Level is the Most Crucial Level for Hydro Power Once Broken Very Strong Up-move will be seen in HYDROS !!


Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 139
Hijo kata ho padeko, hydro ka mahanubhab haru ley sarkar sita bailout khoji raheko.
I would say, let them fail. Obviously some banks will be affected. My portfolio may go down. But, bad decisions should not be rewarded or supported. By this time next year, Nepal will have more installed capacity than the demand. Not sure what Bidyut Pradhikaran will do. They will obviously have to pay up. India may buy or not. Too much to put in one basket when your trade partner has history of blockades and unilateral change in trade policies.
Also read somewhere, Chinese are investing in hotels whereas Indians are more attracted to hydros. Very obvious why.
Chinese don't believe they can sell electricity to India.
Demand can obviously increased. LPG can probably be replaced (not sure why Oil Corporation is trying to put up bottling plants). Electric transport can be increased. Roads/charging infra may have to be significantly upgraded for electric transport to be widespread.
I have an idea. After Upper come to production, why don't the government bring a law to make Kulman Ghising a czar of Transportation in Nepal for a ten year period. Give his a minister level power. Make it like the Manhattan project which led to development of atomic weapon in America. He can only be removed by a 70% majority in the parliament. Transportation is the one holding us back big time.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 1178
hydro maintained its level above 1030 today. Hope BULL run in near future.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
From Sunday onwards we have entered hydro and today also we bought some !!

Once Hydro Index Cross 1180/- level our Speed of Purchase will further get accelerated.

Once MCC pass then Brake Fail type of Purchase will began.

Our Favourite Pick are AHPC and SHPC and others !!


Happy Investment !! 😆😆
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 603
....Hydros shares are good when the project gives u share @ Rs60 if u are promoter...and project itself increases ur share to Rs 100 at the time of IPO...The increment is there to compensate for holding period....THIS IS HOW INITIAL SHARES OF HYDROS IS GIVEN IN 90% OF PRIVATE PROJECTS...

...That is how the share deal is done....
....But Hydros aint increasing.....

.....Because have seen the hydros from very inside...
.....Have seen a person with nothing rise to person with prado, within a year....when such person somehow becomes a director/MD of hydro....
...Because Hydros have lot of manipulation inside....
....General Investor may not know it.
...But a prudent and experienced investors knows it all...
...And loads of cash is with prudent and experienced investors....
...And these loads of cash aint going to hydros....

....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 268
२०२० एक वर्षकाे बुलमा Micro & Insurance १०० प्रतिशतसम्म बढ्न सक्छ अब । स्प्रेड गणना Formula परिवर्तन भएन भने वैंक पनि बढीमा ३० प्रतिशत बढ्छ हाेला । बरू बिकास वैंक ५० प्रतिशत बढ्छ हाेला । Hydro बढीमा ३० प्रतिशत बढ्छ हाेला । किन Hydro काे पछि लाग्नु भएकाे छ दिपक सर धेरै खरिद गर्नु भयाे क्या हाे ?
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
In the Current Context the Risk Reward ratio dosen't look favourable in Micro - Finance Sectors.

I forsee a serious of Penalty to be imposed in Micro Finance.

Visit Nepal 2020 is badly hit by the Corona Virus outbreak.

The Canellations has began in many hotels.

Hotel Sector is NO NO for now !!

Banking and Finance Sector to be hit badely who has large chunk of exposure in Tourism Sector. Which could increase its NPA.

The impact will be seen in Q4 only !!

In the current context Hydro Power looks far better based on Reward and Risk ratio.

Happy Investment !! 😊😊
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Feb 02, 2020 7:51 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1734
MCC is Directly Propotinal to Hydro Power Sector !!

😊😊

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