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2020 Bull started from 31.12.2019 !!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Yesterday We did some Dashain Shopping in NEPSE across all Sector Except Life Insurance, Micro Finance, Trading, Others, & Manufacturing & Processing.

We bought in BFI space which includes some Banks, Development Banks & Finance Companies.

Followed by Non Life Insurance, Hotels and Hydro Power.

Today also we will be doing some more shopping mainly in Non Life Insurance, Development Banks & Finance Companies thus followed by Commercial Bank, Hotels & Hydro Power.

The NEPSE Support is intact @ 1552/- where Market Rebounded from 1555 Level Yesterday.

At the Current Juncture most of the Weaker Hand is already out of the Market, Now its only the stronger Hand in the Market, who are buying Slow and Steady.

Now the NEPSE is well Poised to Surpass 1600/- mark Let see whether it's Before Dashian or after Dashian.

If NEPSE manages to Surpass 1600/- Mark on closing basis before Dashian then we all know what is NEXT.

This Week which started from Yesterday for us is only a Pure Buying Opportunity for us.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
After testing Covid 19 +ve and spending few days under self Quarantine, Yesterday Re-tested for PCR and Today Got the Report that i am Tested Negative !!

So from Tomorrow i.e. 19 OCT 2020 i will be back to the Work !!

Tomorrow we Will be doing some Sort of Last Hour Window Shopping before Dashian.

We will start Deploying cash again in the Market from tomorrow onwards as Most of the Weaker Hands in the Market is already Out of the Market by today.

Even NEPSE has come Close to its Support of Level of 1552/-

We Like Non-life Insurance, Finance and some Development Banks at the Current Level as their Valuation looks attractive at Current Juncture.

The Market has already digested all Corona Beema related Liabilities which could arise in Non-Life Insurance Companies.

We Like Non-Life Insurance the Most as there were Negligible or Close to Zero (o) Claims in Motor Beema Products, due to Lock Down, which will definitely Boost up their Profits in the coming Quarter, And Much talked Corona Beema is just a small Percentage of overall Non-Life Insurance Products offered by Non- Life Insurance Companies, which will unlikely to Hit their growth in Profitability.

Among the Non Life the recent Listed Ajod Insurance we like the Most as it is one the Fastest Growing Company in Non-Life Insurance Business beating the Overall Market Growth in all Aspects.

The Premium enjoyed by the Few Days ago Listed General Insurance Company has resulted in Re-rating of the Overall Non Life Insurance Sector.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Despite being Covid 19 +VE, i couldn't Resist myself to Write a Small Note on the Market.

The Development Bank Index has Given a Bullish Break Out on Weekly Charts so the Momentum will be there in Development Banks especially in MNBBL (Muktinath Bikas Bank Limited)

Though Fundamentally i always Liked MNBBL but had never Preferred it because it was looking Weak On the Chart.

On Weekly chart MNBBL was under Prolonged Consolidation with Sideways movement since last few years and Finally it has Given a Clear Bullish Break Out Signal.

A BUY Call is initiated in MNBBL For Short Term TGT of 456/- with Medium Term TGT of 565/-

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
@Dubosi7 Yes i am Eligible for 1 Lakh Cash Prize :mrgreen: . But i haven't Claimed Yet !!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
Deepak ji, are you eligible to get ONE LAKH CASH PRIZE ?
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 137
Get well soon Deepak bro.
Member
Registered: Jul 2017
Posts: 11
Get well soon, deepakjee.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 811
Recover Soon Deepakjee
Eat right and sleep right
Durga Bhavani le rakshya garun

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 1259
सिघ्र स्वास्थ्य लाभको कामना !
Member
Registered: Jul 2014
Posts: 110
Dear DMM
Your confidence level is so high (As high as in stock market) that Corona virus wouldn't dare to stay in you for any longer. Best wishes for your speedy recovery and early come back to the forum.

You wouldn't trade for certain time period doesn't necessarily mean you should stop giving your updates on market here. Please continue giving signals at important terminals.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
बेसार बूढाले डुबाउने भए जस्तो छ
अहिले बढेको संक्रमणले दुई-तीन हप्तापछि मृत्युदर झनै बढाउँछ
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
Is it true ?
Get well soon BRO !!!

Even the most secured man in this planet caught CORONA, so its not surprising that any one of us fall prey of CORONA MAM !!!

Mr.DT took REGN COV 2, Remdesivir and Dexmaethasone combo treatment at once, which is not feasible for commoner like us. Use measures available in our context and as adviced by our state executive to get rid off the disease.

Good luck.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7426
besar!


You need to be alive and active for my future plans.


hot water, you can take steam in the morning since morning temperature has already dropped. Vitamin C and D.
Member
Registered: Sep 2020
Posts: 6
Get well soon brother ! We are following your instructions and have started to purchase selected companies like United Finance and below quoted Bank because we are also optimistic on the matter of acquisition of said Bank and hope to flesh out very shortly.
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 320
Get well soon.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
I am Tested COVID -19 (+VE)

TIME TO TAKE REST FROM THE MARKET.

YESTERDAY ONWARDS STARTED WITHDRAWING/ CLOSEING ALL MY LONG POSITION IN ORDER TO TAKE REST.

WILL BE BACK AFTER 2O OCT 2020 ONLY OR MAY BE AFTER DASHIAN ONLY.

HAPPY DASHIAN IN ADVANCE !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Yesterday NEPSE Closed in a Negative 3.63 Points and continue to remain in sideways Directions.

The Casino Index i.e Hydropower Index Continue to remain Volatile in Yesterday Trading Session too.

Retail Investor must avoid Hydro Power Stocks at the Moment, even if you can't resist yourself trade with Strict Stop-loss Only.

Today is the IPO Allotment of GIC and from tomorrow Sanima General Insurance to Open for IPO. When GIC gets listed there will be Re-rating in the Non-Life Insurance Stocks based on its Listing Price of GIC. Thus Followed by Listing Price of Sanima General Insurance.

We have a Buy Rating for Finance Sector and Non Life Insurance Sector.

We have Neutral Rating on Commercial Bank and Development Banks & Trading Sector

We have Neutral (-) Rating in Hydro Power Sector.

We have Sell Rating in Life Insurance Sector.

We have Strong Sell Rating on Micro Finance Sector.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
The NEPSE made Decent Gain Yesterday which was Backed by Up move in the Banking Sector !!

Hydro Power is in corrective zone followed by Price Volatility, Currently Hydropower Sector is a Pure Juwade Counter, which is followed by Shivam, Retail Investor should stay away from it. Even if you can't control yourself Trade with a Strict Stop-loss Only. I Repeat with a strict Stop-loss Only

The earning season is on where we will see Lots of Activity in Stock Specific mainly in BFI (Banking & Financial Institution )

We have Deployed Cash in some Banking stocks where we saw Good Dividend Announcement Expectation.

Followed by Development Banks & Finance Companies.

Among BFI we are more Bullish on Finance Sector B'coz there is a room for Good Dividend followed by Strong Capital gain in its Price. Among the Finance Sector we like UFL (United Finance ) the most, as it is Back by Very Strong Promoter, a Multi Billion $$ Company Muthoot Finance & Nepal's Chaudhary.

At the Current Juncture Life Insurance & Micro Finance sector should be avoided.

Once Upon a time i forecasted many Hydro Power Company to go Below IPO & FPO Price where Many People Laughed at that moment and as the time Passed it became the Reality.

In the similar way Currently i am seeing the Weather Conditions are not good for Micro Finance Sector and i Forsee that in coming days many MICRO FINANCE stocks to Hit Rock Bottom Price or NEW LOWS in coming days.

At the Current Juncture My Bullish Bets is building up mainly in Finance Sector & Non Life Insurance Sector and is under Accumulation phase with slow and steady Process, as we forsee strong Capital gains rather then Dividend gains in these 2 Sectors.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Oct 05, 2020 6:23 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Hydro Power Stocks has turned Very Volatile now a days.

Now it has become Investor Stock to a Juwade Stock.

STAY AWAY from it, If u can't stay away from it then Trade with a Strict STOPLOSS only.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
@ Kohinor

You can Opt for Any stocks of your Choice in Non Life Insurance & Finance Sector !!
Member
Registered: Jul 2017
Posts: 11
deepakjee, which stock to buy on sunday??
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Looking at the chart Pattern the Correction Phase is over in Non-Life Insurance.

After Correction now it's time for Erection for Non-Life Sector.

the Recent Listed Non- Life Insurance Company Ajod Insurance (AIL) has formed the Bottom on the Chart and has got ready for a strong Erection !!

As Retail Investor holds most of the shares in order to get a 1000 unit of shares need to sit in Q.

Per trade 10-10 Kitta kind of Collection.

We have given a BUY Call Rating in AIL for TGT of 740/-

I won't be surprised if it makes Crazy Moves Like NRIC in coming days with continuous Erection Move !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 844
" Finance Sector is all set for a Big bull Run Up Rally either it could be from Today onwards or from Tomorrow if not then in the coming Week for Sure, where the Lead will be taken by United Finance"....


Either Monday or Tuesday if not on Wednesday , or Thursday if not on Sunday for sure....

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :P :P :P :P
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Yesterday Also NEPSE Corrected with Turnover of 1.8ARAB.

Finance Sector is all set for a Big bull Run Up Rally either it could be from Today onwards or from Tomorrow if not then in the coming Week for Sure, where the Lead will be taken by United Finance.

Hydro Power Sector need to Correct but some events & updates Halted its Correction and Lead a Rally again in Hydro Power Sectors as we further re-rated the Hydro Power Sector due to these following Parameters :-

1. World Bank approved the First Loan of US$$ 100 Million to strengthen the Finances & Operation of Energy Sector in Nepal.

2. Some Hydro Power Companies has started exercising to Claim Carbon Credits under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM).

3. One Unit of Carbon Credit which was near at 7$ mark in 2017 now is currently traded at 27$+ Market which is roughly around 3200+ NPR for Per Unit of Carbon Credits.

4. If Hydro Power Companies manages to Get Carbon Credits under the above Kyoto Protocol Clause then apart from Energy Sales, there will be boost in their Revenues from Sales of Carbon Credits under Clean Energy Category and in the Past Prices has also moved up of Carbon Credits from NPR 750+ Per unit to NPR 3200+ Per unit due to Strong $$ against NPR along with rise in Price of Carbon Credits also.

5. Carbon Credits Sales could a Key Driver for the Overall Nepalese Hydro Power Sector.

Happy Investment.
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Sep 30, 2020 6:40 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Yesterday Nepse corrected on Weaker volumes with Finance Index being the Major Out performer.

During this Correction Phase Micro Finance and Life Insurance shouldn't be bought as these 2 Sectors looks very weak on Fundamental as well as on Technical Factor.

1. Micro Finance Index to Correct till level near 2352/- level in coming days which is a very Important level to be watched, if Microfance Index breaks that Level then Micro Finance Sector will Enter the Bear Teritorry.


2. Life Insurance Sector to Correct till level near 8229/-, which is an important level to be watched if Life Insurance Sector breaches that Level then Life Insurance Sector too will Enter the Bear Teritorry.

3. Hydro Power Sector to Correct 14.5% from current level which will be a Good Buying at that level.

Finance Sector to Out perform in the Current Market SCENERIOS too, making new highs, in fact new levels of all time high.

UFL is our Major Bullish Buy ++ Call for Tgt of 429 /-

One Hydro Power Scrips PMHPL ( Panchakanya Mai) looks Good on Daily Chart with Bullish Bias.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Sep 29, 2020 6:41 am. »

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