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2020 Bull started from 31.12.2019 !!

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Member
Registered: Sep 2020
Posts: 6
राजनीतिक घटनाक्रम अनि सुरक्षाका कारण अबको शेयर बजार कता ?

आज जसरी ने.क.पा. भित्र सक्कली पार्टी र नक्कली पार्टी छुट्याउने अलमल्लता बढेको छ भन्ने कुराले राजनीति तताएको छ भने अर्कोतिर सभामुखले संविधानिक आयोगको नियुक्ति विरुद्ध रिट दायर गर्नुपर्ने स्थितिको सृजना वा संकट देखा पर्नुले अहिले शेयर बजारमा उत्साहपुर्वक खरीद बिक्री हुने विभिन्न शेयरको मुल्य कुन सक्कली हो र कुन नक्कली मुल्य हो भन्ने कुरामा सबै लगानीकर्ताहरु पनि अलमल्लिएका छन् तसर्थ अब होहल्लाको भरमा हौसिएर होइन यथार्थ बुझेर लगानी गरि दु:खपुर्वक संग्रह गरेको धनको सुरक्षित गर्न परिस्थितिलाई विचार गर्दै सबै तिरका अध्ययन गरेर मात्र अगामी लगानी गर्दा सुरक्षित हुनेछ भन्ने कुरामा कसैको दुई मत नहोला भन्ने आफ्नो ब्यक्तिगत मनसाय मात्र व्यक्त गरेको । DMM दाईको कुरामा सहमति जनाउदै अहिलेको परिस्थिति अझै नबिग्रीएला भन्ने कुनै निश्चितता नभएकोले समय मै सबै विज्ञ लगानी कर्ताहरुबाट यसरी नै भर्खर छिरेका लगानी कर्ताहरु लाई समय मै सचेत गराई दिनु विज्ञको कर्तब्य अनि ईमानदारीता पनि हो भन्ने लागेकोले दिपक दाईलाई धेरै धेरै धन्यवाद ।
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
Thank you Deepak ji for your views on hydro's PE for both investor and trader. Thursday there was clear breakout on hydro and I hope it is valid breakout.
Member
Registered: Dec 2017
Posts: 32
Your analysis misses a point: hydropower firms can also grow. They can reinvest, and they issue bonus shares precisely for reinvestment.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
The Political SCENERIOS some what looks Neutral only at the moment.

Which is a good News for the Market !!

2500/- is the Magic Number for the Market at the moment.

It is creating a room for Confusion for many Investor and Trader whether to Hold or to say Namaste to the Market 🤣🤣.

Tough Decesion making time at the moment.

We are sitting 100% on Cash as till now we haven't got any clear conviction of the Market !!

The momentum is seen is the Micro Finance Sector followed by Insurance.

Some Hydropower Valuation look attractive but then also we hesitate to Deploy money in those Hydro Power as there is No Growth Opurtinities. A 5 Mega watt Project can Produce only max 5 Megawatt only it can't produce 10 Megawatt 🤣🤣

So Hydro Power Sector Should not a right candidate to deserve higher PE Valuation compared to other Sectors.

Hydropower Sector PE valuation above 10 is very Expensive for Long term Smart Investor. For Foolish Investor PE of 15 also looks cheap.

For Traders PE of 50 is also OK as for them "Trend is their Friend."

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
I was going through the Price of 2 life Insurance Stocks :-

1. Prabhu life @ 840/-

2. Reliance Life @ 677/-

Both Company shares almost same Fundamental of 19/20.

PRABHU LIFE 19 AND WHERE AS RELIANCE LIFE 20.

Either Prabhu life need to adjust with Reliance Life or

Reliance Life need to catch up with Prabhu Life.

Let see what happens in near term

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Two Ox Eggs RBCL and BBC have got delisted from Today onwards.

More Eggs of Corruption and Non- Compliance should be hatched by Nepse in coming days.

Look into your Portfolio whether it has some Eggs which has the possibility to be hatched by Nepse in coming days.

The Bear took the Control of the Market for whatever reason such as Upfront Margin, lots of media baazi and others.

The Upcoming Political Events of Magh 23 will dictate the next Direction of the Nepse.

Today is India Budget Presentation, A good Budget could lead the flow of Marwadi money from Nepse to Sensex via its relatives channel.

The Investors and Traders should remain in Sideline till the Clear Clarity comes on Political SCENERIOS.

Must take call after Magh 23.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
I believe the 25% news from merolagani will add fuel to correction mode of Nepse
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 1259
:mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 844
Every week vacation, haat ma share nabhaye pachi...

Hope you have a good one

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Earlier Buy Call given on BFC for Target of 247/- has been Downgrade to Sell Call for Target of 129/-

The Q2 of BFC has could meet up our expectation, As the management could not managed to reduce the NPA in Q2 but in fact there was further hike in NPA by 14.57 Odd Crores.

In Q2 BFC reported a Net Loss of 9 odd crores which ultimately suggest the Reserve and Surplus of the company is further Negative.

BFC Result has overall destroyed the sentiment of the Finance Sector. Our Recent 1.00% deployment of Cash in the Finance Sector from which we did Shree Ganesh are all sitting on M2M losses at the moment.

The Start or Shree Ganesh itself was Panvati Trade for us after a long gap of Holiday, which is not a good sign for us may be the almighty has hinted us not to enter the market.

Whatever happens happen for Good !!

SO WE ARE AGAIN GOING BACK FOR HOLIDAY.

WE HAVE ALSO DROPPED OUR PLAN TO BUY NIFRA FROM THE SECONDARY MARKET, EARLIER WE HAD A PLAN TO ADD 200K KITTA NOW WE HAVE DROPPED THE PLAN.

AS WE BELIEVE IN SIX SENSE TOO.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
The BFI result session is On !!

Some Blue Chips Banks are turning into Aloo Chips.

Some Aloo Chips on the way to become Blue Chips.

Would Prefer those Banks where the Management is lead by Young Chaps rather then Old Chaps.

Today we will witness churning of Portfolio by Traders and Investor.

Yesterday we deployed another 0.5% of our cash in Finance Sector. Net net we have infused 1.0% of our Cash in the market in last 2 trading days.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
After the Long Holiday mood we are Back in the Market from Yesterday !!

The Current Valuation across all Sector we found it Expensive so it was very difficult for us to decide what to buy what not to Buy !!

So Now our Investment Theme in the Current Market at the Moment is like Small Cap Fund !! So we will be buying companies with Small Market Capitalization !!

Yesterday we did Shree Ganesh in Finance Sector Where we Deployed 0.5% of our Cash in the Market and will Deploy further Today !!

As we feel None of Finance will remain below 200 Mark in upcoming days.

Similar way we did saw the Hydro Power Companies not remaining Below 100 Mark in the Past Days !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
Thank you Deepak jee for RLI, profit booked for BFC. I believe, however, I missed your post on IGI. I've added HDL little bit to park the profit from BFC. Yesterday I sold RLI, now will check RLI tomorrow again for entry.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
The Nifra Allotment could by this weekend most likely.

The Buy Call given on IGI after the Bullish Break Out @ 647 has achived it Buy Call Target of 956/- yesterday. In fact Price Higher then the given Price Target.

Now the Investor can initiate Profit Booking in IGI.

NBB has now managed to Close above 302 mark on Closing basis has confirmed the Bullish Break Out on Chart.

Yesterday we witnessed Profit Booking Session in BFC and most of Profit Booking is over and Now Fresh Long can be initiated on BFC for TGT of 247/-

RLI once again has shown the Sign of Bullishness as it managed to close above 640/- after prelong period of Sideways Movement. 720/- a crucial resistance level for RLI a break of 740/- level will give a strong Bullish Break Out for TGT of 856/-

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Jan 25, 2021 8:06 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
I was going through the Chart Pattern of Multiple Commercial Banks i came across 3 Banks which shares some what similar Fundamentals like 19/20 scenarios which were :-

1. Prabhu Bank

2. Prime Commercial Bank

3. Nepal Bangladesh Bank.

Among the 3 Banks i Liked NBB which is showing the sign for a Potential Bullish Break Out, If Today NBB Continues to Trades above 302 Mark or Average Trade Price is Above 302 Mark then it Confirms a Bullish Break Out On Chart.

Based on above Parameters NBB is a BUY Call for the Target of 429/- in Short Term.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
GRADING BROKERS : Good initiation by Deepak ji.
But how will you grade BROKERS, becoz not a single broker is good for all client nor bad for all.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Finally NIFRA IPO is Closed with Approx 1.5 Million Investor Applying for the IPO.

As from Magh 11 (26 JAN 2021) The T+2 Settlement likely to get implemented.

The Commission Slab across all Brokers are the same. So Now the Investor & Traders should Look for the Right Selection of the Brokers, As now there could be a need for Changing the Current Existing Brokers to Some Other Brokers.

A Wrong Broker Selection could lead to Multiple Profit Opportunity Losses by the Investor & Traders :-

Based on Multiple Parameters we are likely to Rate all 50 Brokers Lists :-

1. Top 15 Brokers which Investor & Traders should Choose.

2. Worst 15 Brokers which Investor & Traders should Avoid or it's time to say Namaste "Golden Hand Shake"

3. Neutral 20 Brokers with Average Services.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Hmmm Today is the Last Day of the NIFRA as IPO has already been fully Subscribed !!

Our Holiday Tenure is Coming Closure to the End.

The Market Continues to Roar !!

BFC at the Crucial Break Out Level Now !!

A Break above 161 mark on BFC will give it a Strong Bullish Break in-fact it will be entering an Un-charted Zone !!

Thus its being a Low Cap Based Stock so if Bullish Break out with entry in Un-charted Happens then the Minimum Price Target is Pegged @ 247/- Mark.

Few More days to go after that our Holiday Period will Get Over.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Hmmm Today is DAY 2 of NIFRA IPO ...

We are Still in the Holiday Mood will be back to work after the Listing of NIFRA.

The AGM OF UFL didn't made much excitement towards Growth.

Thus Earlier BUY Call Given on UFL for the Target of 456 has been Downgrade @ 347/- though it has already hit 354/- Mark.

Those Who Hold UFL can initiate Profit Booking.

Looking at the Rally in Finance Sector Investor should Opt for those Finance Stocks which has not yet Participated in the Bull Rally Like SFCL (SAMRIDDHI FINANCE) & BFC (BEST FINANCE).

There is also Rumors' about PCBL & BFC Merger, don't know how much authentic the News is but Technically BFC is Looking STRONG on Chart. As limited Supply & Less Paid up Capital so the Upside Target is difficult to Predict.

The Upside Target could be 200-300-400 or 500 too.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
The Market Lions Continues to Roar !!

Awesome !!

i am Still in a Holiday Mood will be back after NIFRA Listing !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
It's difficult to fool somebody in the market where participants have access to information and financially literate.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7426
somebody got fooled or somebody tried to fool somebody. :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
As on Yesterday Evening we are sitting on 99.65% Cash and hold only 2 Stocks in our Portfolio.

Bonus + Right Shares are excluded which will come in our Portfolio after many days.

Remaing 0.35% Holding will exit by today or if not by Tomorrow.

Now will be going for 3 weeks Hibernation will be back after the Listing of Nifra.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
Thank you Deepak Jee. Will be wait and watch. Deployed some cash on NIL, NTC and NRIC for time being.
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 844
Market is not tricky, instead you are a deluded mind. One day you say market is bullish and next day you say market is bearish .. i m sitting on 95% cash bla bla...

Whatever you said , we trust you blindly ... we have no brain...

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

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