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2020 Bull started from 31.12.2019 !!

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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 811
Deepakjee
Central bank should remain indiscriminate to stock market.
They should focus on overall financial system and banking system.
This time Central Bank is indiscriminate towards stock market and we should not conclude it as fueling the bulls.
Market went up as interest rates went down and as savage bear fell off the cliff.
Market now has grown much big and matured.
However new entrants will surely not show maturity.

... BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7426
Instant mood change........ must be drinking tokla tea. :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
Thank you Deepak jee. Planning to settle the weaker stocks this week.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
The Recent Central Bank Monitory Policy indicates that the Central Bank is in No Mood to ARREST THE BULLS In-fact they are fueling the Bulls. As if They are indirectly heavily invested in NEPSE Stocks ??

The Central Bank at the moment has Ignored some Parameters of Basel III Guidelines, The Central Bank always need to be Conservative in Nature but instead of being Conservative they have turned Speculative in Nature.

There was a need to Increase the CRR by 50 basis Points followed by increment in SLR by 50 basis points too.

Some of the Commercial Banks CDD Ratio are near to 80%, which suggest they have almost utilize their maximum Business Limit.

So the Moral of the Story is Now Market has the Tendency to JUMP another 100% from the Current Level or Get Halved from the Current Level. Now the Market has turn fully Speculative in Nature.

The Magic Number for Bear Move is 2352/- i.e STRICT STOPLOSS Level.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Apr 2016
Posts: 339
As i said earlier.....bhanna paunu bhayena deepak ji le :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
I was going through the Chart of CFCL (Central Finance), It has formed an Interesting Flag pattern on Daily Chart !!

Likely to Give a Strong Bullish Break Out , Don't Whether this week itself or Next week.

But Very Strong Up move is expected on it's Card !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
Thank you Deepak Ji. 9th Feb ko post sandarvik bhayo hajur ko. 2352 lai crucial maner sano sano trade gardai ma pani. Hopeful for NRIC, Shivm and select insurance. Margin based sell off le asar garla sayad.
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 36
Oho.....
Mrs/Miss Deepak ji, sanchai ??? U still here???

I thought since you have jumped out of the moving train long ago u were out of the Game.!!!


Tapai ta Nepse 2100 nahudai Exit gareko manche.... months bho "100% cash" ma baseko manche !!
Yaha kina Hajur feri, kehi kaam thiyo? ...... 2352 samma ayo bhani chai feri chirchu bhanera basnu bhako ho? :shock: :roll:


My Free advice tapailai !!
Money should be put to work.... paisa lai move garirakhna parcha.
Tyo 100% cash lai katai utilize garunus k... aile ta Intrest rate ni low cha bank ma k rakhnu.
Market ma na auni bhaye its ok, take your time.

Aile lai Tea shop matrai bhaye ni kholni hoki ??
Hami tapai ko yo guff sunna tetai auchu ... guff ko guff kaam ko kaam !!

what say, Deepak ji?
Member
Registered: Jul 2017
Posts: 11
Please don't close this thread; DeepakMMjee; liking your comments.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
Agreed again with some addition

The Volatility has just began in NEPSE !!
Once NEPSE Breaks 2352/- then i will be closing this Thread !!
Are you really closing this thread ?

ANNEX :If NEPSE Breaks 2352/- market will fall steeply.


Stay Safe
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
As Expected the Market Celebrated the 14 Feb 2021 i. e. Valentine Day (The Day of Red Colour)

As expected the Turnover reduced further to 6.4 Billion NPR.

Apart from that the Nepse also Broke the 2500 Physiological Support Level which has Disappointed the BULLS.

A Further Break Down of Nepse will Create a room for Margin based Sell off of Positions by BULLS.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 36
#BankbankbankBULL!!!
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Be a part of it Buy or Hold !!!
« Last edit by Mannu_manek on Fri Feb 12, 2021 8:01 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Enjoy the Weekend !!

Will be Back on Valentine Day !! FEB 14 2021 / Falgun 02 // SUNDAY !!

Till then Enjoy Today's "Promise Day" & Upcoming "Hug Day", "Kiss Day" and "Trading Day/Valentine Day" On Sunday !! :P :P :P :P :P
Member
Registered: Apr 2016
Posts: 339
:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :lol:
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
The Volatility has just began in NEPSE !!
Once NEPSE Breaks 2352/- (then i will be closing this Thread !!) - market will fall steeply

Agreed with both statements
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
The Volatility has just began in NEPSE !!

The NEPSE formed Lower Top Lower Bottom Pattern which says there were Selling on Every Rise of the Market.

Sunday there was 10.4 Billion Turnover & Monday had 10.0+ Billion of Turnover, so the Conclusion is People Who Bought on Monday were those People Who Wore the Last Hat (Topi) of the Bull Market !! Might become a Black Monday for them till the bought shares comes to their De'mat A/c.

Tuesday The Turnover shrunk by Approx 20% @ 8.1 odd Billion NPR, which is likely to Shrink further in coming days.

On Monday Bear took the First Step of the Control in NEPSE & Tuesday it took an another Step forward of the Bear Grip !!

In 9-12 Months tenure the Bear has an intention to Drag Down the Market till 1300 Odd Levels.

The Stronger Bear Hammer will happen by Bears once the NEPSE Breaks 2352 Level !!

Once NEPSE Breaks 2352/- then i will be closing this Thread !!

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Feb 09, 2021 7:36 pm. »
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
Thank you Deepak Jee for presenting overall picture. Today profit booking done on microfinance. Select hydros went up which is good sign. Will wait for monetary policy and this election funda for major investment. Profits poured into KBL, MNBBL and HDL little bit.
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 36
Yes ... Stay Cautious!!

Investor haru le overvalued stock haru sanga social distance maintain garna parcha.


Aba market ma basni bhaye best bets are on Banking and Dev bank sector, which has Average P/E ratio of 22 and 14.6 time respectively. Still, choose or hold wisely !!

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


BANK BANK BANK !!!!
Deepak mm sarkar le 100% cash ma bhandai .... luki luki BFIs haru ma enter gardai jasto lagcha. :lol:
aja "we have enterd the Rings of Nepse " bhandai cha !!! hahaha
ki feri BBC ma ghusdai ho ?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
@Deepak
according to your saturday post (6th FEb 2021)
We are sitting 100% on Cash as till now we haven't got any clear conviction of the Market !!

Your todays post (8th Feb 2021)
Now we have also entered the Rings of the NESPE by Purchasing few shares a week ago but not for the Purpose of Making Money but to make some Players Out of the Market.

I think you are great fan of Mr Oli :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Finally the Market Breadth are now in the Favor of the Bears despite NEPSE being UP by 37.48 Points.

For Every 9 Shares Closing in +VE Zone there were 10 Shares Closing in -VE range.

The Bear took the Clear Control in 5 Sectors which were :-

1. Hydro Power
2. Non Life Insurance
3. Micro Finance
4. Manufacturing & Processing
5. Life Insurance, Despite Life Insurance Closing in Green which was Backed by NLIC & LICN.

Trading & Hotel Sectors remained Neutral no Clear Conviction.

Commercial Bank and Development Banks are just like 1 Night Stand kind of Move " Ek Din ki Chandini phir Andheri Raat", Any Upmove in Banking INDEX Doesn't Excite much.

Tomorrow the Market Session will remain Volatile Where an Unexperienced Traders might Loose if their bets are on the wrong Direction.

Stay Cautious !! Now we have also entered the Rings of the NESPE by Purchasing few shares a week ago but not for the Purpose of Making Money but to make some Players Out of the Market.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Today's Current Market Bredth of 1:0.90 has hinted that now the Bull and Bear Battle has begun from Today.

Earlier Bull were the Sole winner.

Once the Bear takes the Control of the market then it will drag down Nepse till 2352/-.

Now the Market is almost 100% matured for the BULLS now its the Turn for the Bear to show the Action in the Market.

BULLS do keep Strick STOPLOSS Profit Position.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 36
Deepak_mm sarkar lai ...hami le ali profit book garos ... market ali correct hos ... banking sector ma enter garna pau bhanni bhako rahecha !!!

hami le bujyau !! ... :mrgreen:

we invite you to join us ,,
Plz, Historically THIC volume bhako BFIs haru ma enter garera join garnu hola !

you are welcome.


:D
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 36
Deepak_mm sarkar 100% cash ma baseko lai profit booking ko sapana le satako rahecha ... hamilai aucha profit book garna ... dont worry !!!

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


Tapai ko profit booking ko strategy le ta Bank ko hold garnu aru bachnu bhanna khojeko bujincha ... aba market ma lower swing ayo bhani BFIS sector tira enter garnu bujincha !!!


:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Nepse Cheered as the Political Uncertainty remained Neutral and the Benchmarked Nepse managed to close above 2500+ for the first time on the Closing Basis with Turnover surpassing 10 Billion mark for the first time Pegged @10.4 Billion NPR. These data will be recorded in the History of Capital Market in Golden Words.

In last 90 Days Nepse has gained more then 1000+ Points the Biggest gain ever recorded in such a short Span of 90 days, which is an another big historic record after a record.

The multiple Record Breaking session continues but now there is need to RE-Look on multiple Parameters as there is a saying "Precaution is Better then Cure", So a step of Precaution is required,

Every Tom, Dick and Harry makes good money during the Bull Market, Infact their Returns might beat the return earned from the Multiple renowned Experts too.

Now the question comes what Stragety a Person should follow when he want to Partial book the Profit in this High Index Market.

In a Portofilo is there are Multiple Stocks then Priority should be given on selling those shares which has History of trading in thin VOLUMES ( LESS SHARES TRADED) and where the difference between the Best BID and ASK is more then 1% of LTP ( Last Traded Price), If Market falls then these types of shares will be the First which will fall on 10-10 kitta kind of Volume. 50 kitta Volume for the day is enough to Hit 10% Lower Circuit Level. These kind of share should never be Purchased on Loan Money, as this kind of shares could destroy your Happy Family.

Never led the Greed taking Control on Your Wisdom.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:40 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Buy Call Given on SNLB @ 920/- for TGT of 1704/- has hit the Target. In fact it has hit 1740/- on Intraday Basis !! Investor can initiate Profit Booking on SNLB.

NEPSE Now @ 2500+. It's always better to book Partial Profit from the market and take the Cash Out of Table.

As upside Reward is limited only but Downside Risk is more.

Happy Investment !!

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