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2020 Bull started from 31.12.2019 !!

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Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 844
Deepak ji is cannot do anything..

he sells and buys hundred times in a years, empties his portfolio like 50 times in a year..

He must be actually a broker's representative in disguise.. urging innocent investors to buy today and sell tomorrow and MF makes Commissions...

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7425
That person is not MARD who dont take revenge.


Time for revenge Deepak ji.


You and your gang sold when NEPSE was at 2300 and bought back at 2550. That's insult 'unforgivable'.

Those who insulted your gang are now selling.

Time to teach young lion, who the real king of the jungle is. (You know what happens when you dont take care of young lion in time?)

Cause of them, NEPSE increased a lot even after you sold. Since, your gang have connection, so, as soon as they sell all their share, start bull again.

TAKE REVENGE BY MAKING THEM BUY AT 3200. They made you buy at 250 higher.

Market increasing even after your gang selling means, there is not enough supply for all players. So rule of the jungle applies here. SURVIVAL OF THE STRONGEST.






:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:



Looks like, NRNs are investing 100 billion per year. Supply will only get squeezed.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Down Again What's Next in the Market !!

Anybody any Guess 😁😁
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 173
Market manipulation did work when NEPSE had turnover of 20 corores. It doesn't work now as much.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Yesterday Banking Index Slipped below its Support Level of 1790/- but smartly managed to Closed above its support level encouraged us to Deploy Further Cash in the Market !!

Yesterday We Deployed 2.5% of our Cash in the Market out of which 2.00% was deployed in A Class Banking Sector and 0.50% of Cash Deployment was in Finance Sector !!

Last week we had Deployed 5.00% Cash in the Market whose shares are already credited in our A/c, But they are Still in MTM Losses at the moment based on Yesterday Close Price.

The Value of 5 Rs at the moment is 4.85, Still on an average we are 3% losses.

The Bounce back was expected in the Market but lets see till which Level bounce back will get matured.

The Four Sector Life Insurance, Manufacturing, Non Life Insurance & Micro-Finance Sector we have a Bearish View on these 4 Sectors But among these 4 Sectors we have exposure in Life & Non-Life Insurance Sector only.

May be Today or may be Tomorrow we would Exit these 2 Sector Life & Non-Life Insurance !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Toady Started Deployment of Cash in 2 Sector :-

1. A Class Commercial Bank
2. Finance Companies

Will do Shopping in these 2 Sector only for Today !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
The First Sector to Show the Bearish Trend after Forming Double Top Pattern was Life Insurance Sector :-

Then it was joined by Manufacturing & Processing Sector then it was joined by Non-Life Insurance Sector :-

But Yesterday Micro Finance Sector also joined the league of Bearish Trend after forming Double Top and breaking the Support Line.

Now These 4 Sector are in Bearish Trend and an Investor should use any Technical Bounce Back in its Price as an Exit Opportunity.

NEPSE has broken its Support of 2485/- on closing basis and Now the Next Immediate Support for NEPSE is Pegged @ 2460/-.

Today the Sector to watch is A Class Commercial Banking Sector as it is trading very near to its Support line of 1790/- A break of 1790 on Closing Basis indicates end of Corrective mode and beginning of Bearish Trend in A class Banking Sector

TRADING, DEVELOPEMENT BANK, FINANCE, HYDROPOWER, HOTEL & OTHER SECTOR LOOKS NEUTRAL.

BUT MUTUAL FUND INDEX CONTINUE TO REMAIN BULLISH ON CHART AND WE HAVE BUY CALL ON MUTUAL FUND and with the INDEX Target Pegged @ 20/-

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Mar 01, 2021 5:45 am. »
Member
Registered: Dec 2020
Posts: 22
LUK does not have Nepal Infrastructure Bank in its portfolio as of their Magh NAV. What gives? Every other mutual fund has listed NIFRA in its portfolio, but not LUK.

https://www.sharesansar.com/announcementdetail/laxmi-capital-market-limited-has-published-the-laxmi-unnati-kosh-net-asset-value-nav-till-magh-2077-2021-02-26
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
NEPSE is Currently in Corrective mode but 2 Sector have turned Bearish Which are Life Insurance & Non Life Insurance Sector !!

Now the Question comes in the Mind of the Many Investor What to Buy & What Not to Buy & What to do in the Current Market !!

The Ideal & Theme Bet in Current Market has to be the Mutual Fund !!

Year 2020 and 2021 were one of the Best time for the Mutual Funds and Must have Made Decent Money via Multiple IPO Such as NRIC, AIL, NRN, LEC, RLI, GIC, SGI, UMRH, MEN, PLI, NIFRA, CGH and some Micro Finance.

The Timeing of 2 Mutual Funds were Excellent :-

1. SFMF (Sunrise First Mutual Fund)
2. LUK (Laxmi Unnati Kosh)

These 2 Mutual Fund timeing was so Good that even if they have bought any Jhandu Company Also from the Secondary Market it must have Given them Excellent Returns apart from IPO Investment !!

4 Months and Few odd Days Left for the Current Financial Year to Get Over !!

Excellent Dividends are Expected from all the Mutual Funds Excepts two (Sanima Large Cap Fund (SLCF) & Kumari Equity Fund (KEF), This 2 Mutual Fund could be the Candidate to Wear HAT (Topi) if they are are entering the Secondary Market, IF its Only IPO & Money Market Instrument then its Fine !!

Before end of Ashad Non of the Mutual Fund will be trading below 20 Mark and some would be 30+Mark Except 2 Sanima & Kumari !!


The Above Investment Idea for Investor only, not for Traders.

Now it's time to Allocate Certain Portion of your Investment in Mutual Fund !!

Note :- The Above statement is for Study Purpose only, One Must consult an Expert or Advisor before making such Investment Decision :-

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Now a days Neupane Brand of Dhaka Topi preety famous among Investor and Traders.

What are the other branded Dhaka Topi which General Public are Aware of, Which I am not ??
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
Thank you Deepak jee for the updates.
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 844
is surpreme court also part of your gang ?? you already knew the verdict well before it was revealed later in the evening... how can recovery of yesterday in later session can be attributed to the verdict that came in evening??

talk something sensible...

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
The Supreme Court Verdict on reinstate of House of Representatives led the recovery of the Losses in NEPSE in Second Half of the trading session but still could managed to Closed in Green.

Yesterday We Deployed 5% of Our Cash in the Market Out of which :-

1. 3.00% was allocated in Commercial Bank
2. 0.50% was allocated in Finance Company
3. 1.00% was allocated in Hydro Power
4. 0.25% was allocated in Life Insurance
5. 0.25% was allocated in Non Life Insurance.

Among the 5 Sector Commercial Bank, Finance Company & Hydropower are the Short term Bullish Bets by us But Where as Life Insurance & Non Life Insurance are just the Technical Bounce Back Play by us.

Yesterday we booked Good Profits on NIFRA which were Purchased from the Secondary Market Last week.

Thank You NIFRA for Giving Good Return in such a Short Span.

Today Market to Witness more reactions on Supreme Court Verdict, Don't get too much motivated by the Filmy Dialogue :-

" RISK HAI TO ISHQ HAI " else it will be like those Guys who yesterday catched the "DOUBLE CIRCUIT" in NIFRA.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
After Life Insurance Sector, Now Non-Life Insurance Sector too after forming Double Top has broken its Support Line.

At Present 3 Sector has entered the Bear Teritorry which are Life Insurance, Non Life Insurance & Manufacturing and Processing !! Any Bounce Back in this 3 Sector should be used as an Exit Oppurtinity.

Hotel and Trading continue to remain Neutral.

Micro Finance Sector has also formed Double Top but is still trading 3.5% above its Support of 4150/-. A break below 4150 only will trigger Sell Call by us. Till then its hold.

Thus the Conclusion is :-

1. Life Insurance : SELL
2. NON LIFE INSURANCE : SELL
3. MANUFACTURING & PROCESSING : SELL
4. MICRO FINANCE : HOLD
5. BFI : ADD ON DECLINE
6. HOTEL & TRADING : NEUTRAL
7. HYDROPOWER : BUY
8. MUTUAL FUND : BUY
9. OTHERS : HOLD

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Feb 23, 2021 8:02 am. »
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
Thank you Deepak Jee. Few Banks added which I sold earlier - KBL, EBL, SBL, NCCB. Unfortunately I added NLICL, I'll see whether to make stop loss for NLICL or not. Happy to see the circuit in Upper today as well.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Sorry.!! Small Correction !!

Nifra is no more the Part of Devlopement Bank Index !!

It's Currently in Other Index !!

Thus Bullish View on Other Index is Abolished.!!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 844
yes..exit all other sectors and invest on banks..

for the first time you are taking rationally..

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
At the Moment NEPSE remains Neutral with Bullish Bias :-

1. Among the Multiple Sector Life Insurance Sector has formed Double Top Pattern and Simultaneously has broken its INDEX Support Level of 18156 too. So it's a Clear Indication that Life Insurance Sector is a Pure Sell Call as Bear has taken the Control on the Life Insurance Sector.

2. Non- Life Insurance has also formed Double Top but is trading near it INDEX Support Level of 13065/- @ 13105.36 a break down of 13065/- on Non Life Insurance INDEX means Bear Taking Control on Non Life Insurance Sector too.

3. Manufacturing & Processing has broken all Support Level and are a Clear Free Fall Candidate.

4. Hotels, Micro-Finance & Trading looks Neutral.

5. Banking & Finance are Looking Bullish on Chart followed by Other Index Segment. Development Bank Index is not taken into Consideration because of NIFRA effect on Development Bank Index.

6. Hydro Power & Mutual Fund INDEX has given Clear Bullish Breakout on Chart.

7. So the Conclusion is Fully Exit Life Insurance, Manufacturing and Processing Sector and watch Non Life Insurance whether it takes support or not @ 13065/-. If Non Life Sector Unable to take Support then Non Life Insurance Sector is also a Fully Exit Counter.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
Thank you Deepak Jee. Election funda is ahead so bit of confusion remains. Let's hope for best.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
The Market Slow and Steady edging towards a Secular Bull Run Level of 2702/-. If Nepse breaks 2702/- on closing basis and Continue to Hold above it for 3 consecutive Trading session then we have entered the Secular Bull Run.

Secular Bull run means the BULLS are here to stay for atleast 3 Years and the Potential Target of Nepse is Pegged @5420/-.

In Nepali Lehman term Secular Bull means "Double Bull".

A Break of 2352/- on closing basis and holding below 2352/- level on Closing basis for 3 consecutive trading session refer to end of Bull Rally and beginning of Bear Market !!

Till eithher above 2 Conditions are not validated till then we are in Bull Run only.

This week is the time to remain cautious and alert on the market.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Feb 21, 2021 7:53 am. »
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 42
Thank you Deepak Jee for the insights. Few hydro added for now just for trading purpose. Exit done from few weaker banks and dev banks. Will follow up for the CFCL which I missed today somehow. I've hopeful for max 2550-2800 level for now.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
YES IT'S TRUE TO SOME EXTENT !!
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 844
yes these TA are like if nepse increase then it will reach 2700 if not it may fall to 2352..

and in either case one of the stament will definately come true..

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2089
Speculation in NEPSE Stocks Continuous with a slight sign of Cautious.

A Break down of 2352/- Level on NEPSE on Closing Basis Confirms End of the Bull Rally !!

But NEPSE Up-move beyond 2702 on Closing Basis Confirms of a Secular Bull Run !! :roll: :roll:

At the Moment we are in the Bull Run Phase...

Lets see What NEXT :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

CFCL (Central Finance) formed Inverted Hammer then followed by 3 Hammer on daily Chart which is one of the rare Patten observed in Technical Analyst.

IT Has hinted the Consolidation Phase is Over, Now getting ready for a very very very Strong Breakout !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 36
"As I said Earlier" ...deepak ji ...malai ek cup Tokla tea hai ... milk chini kam!!.... :P


Yesto po analysis ho ta yaar !! ... ki 100% ki Half .... waw guru waw!!!

Aba weather forecast ni garna thalnu k tapai .... "Aja ki ta 100% Panni parcha, ki ta pardaina" bhanera
ani rainfall bhaye pani na bhaye pani " As I said Earlier" bhanna payo tapai le !!

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

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