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- Year 2020 - Way Ahead - Predictions, Analysis

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Member
Registered: Aug 2015
Posts: 48
At least 5-6 trading days either micro will go consolidation or small correction to go up
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
YESTERDAY'S MARKET
Buyings going at speed
Buyings are more solid than selling
Those who liquidated their position at around 1350 reentered again due to breakout

...Baki Ishwor Ko Leela...
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 100
GOD DAMN!!

1500 by end of Falgun.

Congrats folks who has been buying last few months.
People who bought at 1800, Keep the faith.
Slow and Steady wins the race.
WE may have to dust off few weak legs on our way to record high in in January 2021.

1890 by Jan, 2021.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
As At 2/17/2020 & 12:48PM

LIKE SAID IN FEB 16, 2020
IF nepse goes up than GBLBS will also go up
Today we can see nice volume (biggest volume in MFI scrips traded) with good surge

LIKE SAID
1. It should come to atleast P/E Ratio of 25-30 (moderate risk) upto which we can buy.
2. Its price is reasonable if it is around 550+
3. Some good sentiments must come again
4. Today's floor sheet suggests good BUYS

AND
1. IGI which i have spoken abount when its price was below 300, now has saturated and time to sell

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
SPREAD RATE
1. No change in spread rate should be coupled with strict policy for processing & renewal fees
2. Good decision by NRB
3. As said "BANK WITH SLIGHT GROWTH - MFI WITH MIGHT GROWTH"

.....Baki ishwor ko leela...
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 104
https://www.corporatenepal.com/2020/02/166548/?fbclid=IwAR3lJzzdWh9NHx5vJNFXuZsA1BjIf7tYB1y4v7zWBY6xOrJ8mALANI6MEmU

NRB is not changing spread rate. Spread at 4.4 will reduce current profit by nearly 20%. BFIs days are gone.
Member
Registered: Jan 2020
Posts: 9
Thank you Puji bhairab Sir
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
@KATHMANDUPOST
Institutional Investors have been purchasing.

@SHARE03
If NEPSE goes up than GBLBS will go up
Bit Selling Pressure might come
But Buying Urge will also soon emerge to stabilize the price and will go up if NEPSE goes up
Question is who will buy?. Those who sold above 485 will again reenter and buy.
Some good sentiments should also build soon
(These are now shapes of anticipations and personal opinions)
(Buying & Selling continuously happens when we trade. Continue buy and sell... Ppl get confused.. But profit continuously builds up)

....Own research & discretion is advised....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Sun Feb 16, 2020 7:36 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
My family have been buying from the beginning of this year too.


In a couple of months, its market capitalisation- currently just north of Rs1,700 billion-expanded by Rs300 billion. That is a lot in a Rs3,500 billion nominal economy.


Sounded like alchina, so I stopped reading his vomit.

No wonder, US is a dying empire, when you hire brain dead like that guy.



US economy is 20T, while their share market is 70T.


Alchina was suppose to ask why Nepal's share market is so low.








Pandey worked in the securities industry in the US for two decades

- as a janitor???? We do have in Nepal, Nepalese working in foreign as labor are presented as expert in media by Nepali media.
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 100
https://kathmandupost.com/16/2020/02/13/nepse-springs-to-life

Who is buying rey?
I know I am buying a bit each and every week.
Member
Registered: Jan 2020
Posts: 9
Dear Pujibhairab Sir
Sir is there still opportunity if we buy gblbs and fmdbl at the current market price.
Regards
Share03
Member
Registered: Aug 2015
Posts: 48
Beyond eps pe..their are other parameters too...
low paid up,
capital adequacy ratio,
new micro,
promoters/BOD/CEO point of view,
growth pattern specially PEG ratio,
company's business mission are the major price driving forces.. Copy Paste from Facebook.

[b]Sabsl,Gilb are my favorite...

there is no price high....
there is no pe high.....

there is vast difference between growing and grown up company....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
Undoubtedly Micros Are Risky
Those With P/E Ratios above 20-25 (low risk), 25-30 (average risk), 30-35 (high risk)

Low Priced MFI with P/E Ratio upto 25-30 (average risk) can be considered for trading

STILL GBLBS
STILL EYE ARE ON GBLBS
AS its LOW PRICED
AS its P/E is below 25-30 range....
And very very soon something of strong positive sentiments in this scrip might emerge
As there is enough space for good things to roll in it

Current volumes says the same

...ELSE TIME WILL TELL...WE ONLY HAVE TO SIT BACK AND WATCH.....lTime will make a comment and time will judge the posts and predictions......None humans can......Time is a great judge......Baki ishwor ko leela...
Member
Registered: Jun 2018
Posts: 74
MICROS ARE MORE CHUTIYA THAN MYSELF IN THE ABSENCE OF GOVERNING BODY. FOR LONG TERM INVESTORS AND THOSE WHO CAN'T UPDATE THEMSELVES WITH DAY TO DAY NEWS, I SUGGEST BANKS RATHER THAN RISKY MICROFINANCES.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
Like Said in February 07, 2020
...Again we are left with micros and these to surge....And market kinda suggested the same during current surge....Same trend will continue for some span of time... Micros are vibrant shares for some good amount of time....Among them the Undervalued ones are the great stocks....Other sectors cannot have the same charm as micros for some good amount of time...


....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
moneycontrolJee

1. GBLBS & SHPC always have been the good stocks
2. Always wrote on it
3. GBLBS is still a genuine buy and it should surge, AS ENTIRE MFI INDUSTRY is bullish
4. As for SHPC, big players, included reputed stock investing groups, are stuck in the price range of 400-500 with bulk shares and full effort is there to recover the money
5. As for SHPC, have been a good shareholder since beginning
6. However for still more few years until it pays all of its loan doesnt quite seems it would witness a sustainable surge
7. Also it have enormous supply, However if trading opportunities comes, its only a short term

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 43
la ta sathiharu yeti vaye pugena aba SHPC RS. 300 pugne re watch the video on link below on 24 minutes on wards. 40% plus return re ahileko price (rs. 214) calculate garda! paisa chhapine vayo ki kya ho GBLBS ra SHPC ma. still believing on these stocks.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nhhjW6azRtU
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
1. Insurances will witness more IPO's, more competition, less growth (as loans dries the non-life insurance also dries), under average balancesheets, all insurances are now SELL

2. Hrdros have negative sentiments, high corruptions, low EPS, construction obstruction due to chinese contractors owing to chinese epidemics

3. Banks are the best but wont witness major surge as demand for loan will dry
a- As hotel sector will perform below average if corona situation continues, and no loans to hotels
b- Construction sector will also perform below average as hydros become sluggish and no loans to hydros
c- Normal Business loans are saturated
d - Steels & Cements will remain stable in loan demand and no additional wants
e- Banks profits to remain stable, significant growths is not possible
f- Huge Supply

4. We are again left with micros
a - Significant Growths
b - Low Supply
c- Great EPS
d- Heavy space for price surges
e- Need for Paid Up Increments

...Banks are best but Because of surrounding circumstances MFI will again come to heights......However going for MFI whose P/E is more than 25 to 30 IS NOT GOOD....MFI whose PE ratio is less than 30 is good enough.....And low priced MFI are good rather than high priced as price surge comes fast in low priced MFI....

....KALIKA MFI P/E 50 is can bring death in prices.....GBLBS P/E Ratio is around 22 and is still good enough....MFI with P/E less than 30 is good and less than 25 is very good....

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Fri Feb 07, 2020 8:43 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 535
Insurance will hit by CORONA and Banks by LALITA
HYDRO is already in MARIANA.

JAY HOS SABAIKO !!!
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
May hit Balance sheet for 6 month or a year of those banks but I am sure, those borrowers have huge property, a lot of black money and that loan they must have invested somewhere so BFIs can easily recover their lending.



This is why I have been saying, BFIs current income is too low to handle such future unseen risk- which could harm economic system of Nepal and stock market. can you imagine, what happens when income is halved, look at NIB. But our khate in media and social media who live on dalili bone think banks are making too much profit. Who should they listen to- me or jealous prostit...
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 104
Dear Pujibhairav jee and forum members,

This Lalita Niwas case has come up to the surface and has suddenly created unforeseen fear among general investors. Is this a true fear to be feared or just an overhyped situation?
Are commercial bank's days over? One after another new issues emerge.
Does the same apply to development banks?

What actions should general investors (commercial banks and development banks holders) do to handle this situation? or let it settle on its own?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
@SIMRIKJee
1. i know about those incentives
2. is shareholder since the beginning of the company inception
3. the thing is public sentiments isnt good on hydros
4. because the industry people became very corrupt

@GBLBS
1. Like forecasted the EPS is in between 21 to 26, the EPS came out to be 22.78
2. All parameters have significantly improved except Employee Expenditures
3. Need to work on Employee Areas
4. Core Income, Credit to Deposit, Reserves, Deposits all have improved
5. Like said all parameters are good than mero micro
6. Price of the share is the thing the market will decide,
7. Forecasts approved by time

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 100
I got to read an article where it says SHPC had signed a contract with the government that would provide the company an incentive of 50 lakhs per Megawatt of installed capacity. This was in the time when Nepal had severe shortage in power. SHPC fulfilled its end of the deal, but bidut pradhikaran has yet to pay the incentive it promised. If SHPC were to receive the incentive, it would be a positive 10 corore plus to its cash flow.
Puji jee, do you know anything about this?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
@moneycontrol
SHPC may witness a reasonable surge only, significant surge is not possible
&
GBLBS is yet to be seen and may rise again as it seems still undervalued if it publishes good results than its PEERS like MERO MICRO
As its PE Ratio will be low if it increases its EPS compared to what is there in first quarter (Rs 12)
And Also public confidence and bullishness is there in MFI
Current PE in MFI Industry is on an average 30

...BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Wed Feb 05, 2020 7:54 am. »
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 43
@पूजीभैरव ji, thank you for building our confidence over GBLBS and now believing over SHPC too as per your advocacy since long time which are bagging day by day.

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