Economy on right track: Nepal Rastra Bank Governor Adhikari




Is this suppose to be a joke?


Nepal is the only place where incompetent are not humiliated.

Zoltan: "This Is What The New World Order Will Look Like" After Europe's Minsky Moment "Where $2 Trillion Of German Value Depends On $20 Billion Of Russian Gas"








This is what Economics boys!

I have been talking about fundamentals like this, I have been warning about this. Not just in europe and west but also in Nepal. And there is chain reaction too.


NRB, bureaucracy, fake expert, wanna be expert in media and social media destroyed economy of Nepal even after my warning.

चालु पूँजी कर्जाको नयाँ व्यवस्थाले निजी क्षेत्र सशंकित, कर्जाको सीमा निर्धारण गर्दा २५ प्रतिशत मात्र गरिनु अव्यवहारिक: महासँघ





In politics, there is a saying:

First they came for X, I said nothing.
Then they came for Y, I again said nothing.
Then they came for me, Nobody said nothing.


Same with Nepal's economy, share market. Every time, during previous economic crisis again in this economic crisis, first sector they blamed is 'share market'. Not just them, those criminal, black marketer also blamed 'share market'. No NRB is also going after business.



Is this funny or something tragic?



NRB been attacking one after another but problem is not solving. Why? Cause if you try to fix something, which did not create the problem, problem wont be fixed. Instead, new problem arises. Now, whole economy is crashing- proof: collapse in petrol and diesel demand.


Dont tell me, I did not warn about this crisis.

Cause I am Second to GOD.




Last crisis, liquidity crisis was caused by high import lead by over investment in business like hotel, cement factory etc. I kept on saying, the liquidity crisis was cause of over investment, and govt need to slow it down, dont hit the economy with tighter monitory policy and high interest rate.


But they kept on saying: it is due to high bank loan. (every idiot in nrb, government, adviser, media, social media kept on saying that).

What I taught them last time, they learned this time. They are now saying, liquidity crisis is caused by high import.
(liquidity crisis is also caused by govt policy, monitory policy, NPL etc).













This time, also same liquidity crisis, we are facing. This time it is cause of high price of commodity in international market due to sanction and war. But in Nepal, they first blamed on share market, now NRB is hitting on every sector.


Current, main cause of liquidity crisis is lack of export. Instead of solving this problem, they are hitting every sector and have already destroyed the whole economy.
(I thought, they are going to increase export of cement, but I have not heard of it. Current finance minister and finance secretary and prime minister is destroying Nepal's economy and selling Nepal.)




May be they will learn current problem in next crisis from me. There are dozens of major fundamentals in economy. If they learn one in every 3-5 year, how long would it take them to learn about all?



All problem is cause by not listening to me. Instead they listen to dumbs from media and social media and criminal dumb experts. I tried to silence them all, but could not cause I am not getting help.




UNLESS YOU IDENTIFY THE MAIN PROBLEM AND FIX IT, YOU WONT SOLVE THE PROBLEM, INSTEAD CREATE NEW PROBLEMS.

कडाईले घट्यो आयात, चालु आर्थिक वर्षको पहिलो महिना १ खर्ब ३१ अर्बको मात्रै सामान आयात







If they had tightened import when I advised them, our liquidity crisis would have been solved 9 month back and it would have prevented total economic collapse. Instead, they wanted to decreased import by destroying our economy and killing nepalese.


Govt needs to tighten import for another 3/4 month. Then slowly loosen it.




Few days ago, I read that our petrol and diseal consumption have decreased by half. Wanna be expert in media and social media may tell you, this is a good thing.

NO, this is the sign of 'the total collapse of economy of nepal'.


NRB and fake economic advisers have destroyed economy of Nepal.



sati ko sarap.

कोभिडकै अवस्थामा अर्थतन्त्र, बजार खुला छ तर सबै आर्थिक तनावमा, व्यवसायीक क्षेत्र खुम्चिँदै



Dont tell me I did not warn about this. Even more importantly, I am the only one who warned about this.

I know, dumb are not just dumb, their memory is also bad.




Blame dont just go to- NRB, governor, d governors, top nrb officials, finance secretary, tax secretary, finance minister, pm, their advisers, fake economist in media/social media, wanna be economist in social media/media but also on media.



I have always been saying, the biggest criminal in Nepal are:
1: Media
2: Judiciary
3: Police




Media did not just publish alchina negative views/advise from fake economist to wanna be economist, they also published 'srilanka crisis' 'chinese debt trap' propaganda (china only holds 10% share in srilankan loan- I did a simple check in social media about 'where loan in srilanka went to. I found that chinese loan went to port and port city but i could not find where loan form cia (89%+) loan went to)



All those negative views/advise from fake economist/wanna be economist and srilanka crisis affected decision making of nrb as well as govt.

You need positive action to build a country, and we find negative view/advise every where in Media. One advisor who gave negative advise to nrb, fm, pm is now ambassador to india- who is sher bahadur ko swasni le paleko kukur.




Media is not just no.1 criminal in Nepal, Media also has been destroying society and economy of Nepal.


We better take care of media asap.








How dangerous media could be?

Ukraine war.

I blame media, that cause of media ukraine was is possible.








There is war in ukriane cause people of europe supported it.

People of europe supported it cause they hate Russia.

They have Russia cause CIA/MI6 media told them to hate Russia.





For example- Years before this war, there were, mostly in MI6 media, and CIA media they organized fake assentation by Russia using nerve agent/poison.

The most powerful poison that did not kill three people. But it were in MI6/CIA media every where. I think MI6 was behind those fake poisonings drama. (MI6 involved in white helmet. russia gate, anti china etc)

This is how, by using fake media, they were able to start war in Ukraine.





VOTE RIGHT, media in Nepal is not just no1 criminal in Nepal, they are creating economic, social, foriegn policy problem. We need to take cared of them. We are in last stage, media is one of the culprits. We need to investigate media and their financial backers. Their activities, connection with foriegn and domestic enemies.

धरानमा बराह सहकारीपीडित आन्दोलित, मेयर साम्पाङको कार्यकक्ष तोडफोड


Every idiot think they know all. Reality is 99% are dumb.


Reason behind collapse of cooperative is- it is impossible business. Only real cooperative which is involved in cooperative like agriculture is sustainable and beneficial.

In Nepal, cooperative is introduced to challenge bfis and for politicians to loot.

Blame these for collapse of cooperative- politicians, nrb, yuraj k ....


People are so dumb, they dont know whom to blame.

Find out which politicians are behind the cooperative. Burn them and their houses, burn NRB, burn yurak k.

Without out working a single day or without investing in life- yuraj k has become owner of 10s of croroe. No surprise how he made all that money.


This yuraj k, who increased tax on every one decreased income tax on cooperative. Burn Yuraj k.

Newman ji after months or even year.

mero profit ma jana 30-40% badnu parcha. months bhayo share lai secondly follow na ga reko.

ajkaal ta rising sun ji le mnbbl ko kura garnai chodnu bhayo ta

गाैतमश्री सहकारीका संचालक फरार, स‌याैंकाे संख्यामा वचतकर्ता रकम फिर्ताकाे माग गर्दै विभागमा उजुरी दिँदै

करिब ५ अर्ब रुपैयाँकाे माग दाबी पर्ने अनुमान गरिएकाे छ

सहकारीमा जेष्ठ नागरिक र असक्तहरुकाे पनि ठूलाे लगानी छ




- Remember I warned about this.

- BTW, I dont think, they scape with money. They may have engulfed commission from projects like housing, but I did not think they ran away with money, they may have ran away with some money that was left but not all money. They had to un away cause that company bankrupted. In Nepal, bankrupted means promoter stealing all money, which means, promotes have to run away or people will burn them alive.


- Remember, I had been saying this will happen, cause all the investment they make are bad ones and ultimately it will crash. Their interest is too high (today, banks' interest rate is similar. blame NRB if bank meets cooperative fate. NRB is forcing banks to become like cooperative).

- Cooperative is like this cause of politician, political party. Mainly UML. Others too. Dont forget Yuraj k. UML's politicians, cadres used to be in payroll of ngo/ingo. Since it is gone, they today rely for their living on loot from cooperative.

Remember, Yuraj k increased tax on almost everyone but reduced tax on cooperative. Cause cooperative belongs to politician. Cooperative is suppose to be non profit but he reduced tax for non profit. He is suppose to decrease tax on profit oriented organization to lure investment but he did opposite. Cause he is criminal working for politician.


- Cooperative take deposit wit high interest rate and invest in housing, hospitals, schools, shopping center and many which all will go bankrupt. None of those business can be successful with expensive capital. No business could be run wit expensive capital. No body can afford expensive loan. But NRB is forcing expensive loan to all. End game- all will go bankrupt cause of NRB.

But those business wont look like bankrupt cause of account book, they will officially go bankrupt when money runs out. Its like Ponzi scheme.



- They, including NRB are forcing bfis to become like cooperative. They are forcing NRB to give high interest on deposit. It will ultimately lead to collapse of every thing and prevent people from investing in business (we went through this process last time too, again this time. Both time, NRB forced them).

Morons, I hear in media, social media to increase interest on deposit and attract deposit? Brain dead piece of Sh!t.


- When bfis go bankrupt, dont forget to burn governors, d governors and advisers (from past and present).

- You want your deposit to be safe or you want high interest. High interest always means you will loose, for guarantee.


- Instead of investing, people are money are putting money in FD due to high interest rate. Nepal is hopeless all cause of NRB and their advisers.









VOTE RIGHT to bring in intelligent people, not like yuraj k who comes in power to serve politicians and criminals and CIA.

मनि सप्लाइ रोक्ने टाइट मौद्रिक नीति, उद्यमीदेखि अर्थशास्त्रीसम्मले भने, 'अब महँगी थेग्न तयार हुनुस्'


Finally they are learning. Low money supply, high rate means high inflation.

Normally it depends upon variables. In Nepal, it means high inflation in most of the case.

Tragedy will be, from bureaucracy and fake expert side and patrakars pretending to be economist and wanna be expert from social media, when inflation rises due to NRB policy, they will tell NRB to increase interest and decrease money supply to control that inflation.


In the world, countries those have hardly any influence in international inflation, they raise their interest rate to protect their currency.

In countries like US and China, they raise rate so that people would sell their commodity futures and price of raw material would fall, this would decrease demand.


But in Nepal, NRB or fake experts are simply dumb.



In economics, up to certain level certain move will give you certain result. After certain level same move will give you different result.


Last time, when interest rate is high, those with money did not want to invest, and they would rather deposit at the bank, which had harmed productivity and the economy..... now, people forgot about that and they are going for same mistake by raising interest rate. 4king apes.


With 1% increase in interest, they will raise rate by 5%.

Last year, interest rate increased by a lot and credit was halted, did it decrease inflation?? NO.

They are repeating same expecting different result.

How to solve problem?


First thing first. To solved problem, first of all, you need to find/see the problem.
Then find the reason behind the problem.
Then comes right solution.

(In my case, I dont only see/find problem, I predict it. As for solution, not a big challenge for me.)




Current problem is liquidity crisis. Foreign currency crisis.





Reasons behind the crisis:
This liquidity crisis is also created by foreign currency crisis. Which is foreign currency left Nepal more than entered Nepal, which is balance of payment crisis. Also by monitory policy when changed from ccd ratio to cd ratio.

(Other reason liquidity crisis is created with monitory policy, fiscal policy, rise in non performing loan.)


Crowd is saying, liquidity crisis/dollar crisis is created by import crisis. Not really, it is created by export crisis.



CD ratio: Remember, before NRB changed CCD ratio to CD ratio, some banks CD ratio was close to 86% which was under control as per NRB's policy.
As soon as NRB changed CD ratio into CCD ratio of 90%, then the very next day, such banks CD ratio was well over 90%. So this liquidity crisis was created by NRB. And soon NRB blamed them on Banks and threatened them.






How to solve liquidity crisis?
Increase export- only major short and long term solution.. Change to CCD ratio. Change monitory policy like undoing/making share investment as liquid assets.


I have already advised about how to increase export few weeks ago. Shor term- cement export, doubling what is being exported. To long term- finding new products, choosing those products that consume high electricity would be the best and others.





Media needs to stop making noise that current liquidity crisis is created by import crisis. It is not, it is created by export crisis.
If we focus on wrong reason and forget right solution, problem will not be solved.



And sudden increase in import is caused by higher price of fuel. And it is not in the hand of Nepal. And it also increased inflation, which is also not due to Nepal, so stop trying to fight inflation through monitory policy. By increasing interest.



If you want to decrease inflation, you have to decrease price of import and to do it, reduce tax.

High interest rate means more inflation.

High international inflation is due to US sanction and printing money. Supply side inflation can be dealt with by increasing supply not by increasing interest.

Countries are increasing their interest to prevent their currency from falling due to US increasing interest. Not to decrease demand.


End war. Solve inflation problem.

US could give Russia weapon coordinates of Ukraine, stop supplying more weapon. War will end and solved inflation and soon they will be out of recession within a year. If not, depression.



Nepal has nothing to do with inflation, and should not try to fix with high interest. One thing Nepal can do is go after source of black money and stop govt from taking loan to loot.

re post...




I did not want to give advice for monetary policy since they know everything, but due to crisis ....

- Go back to CCD ratio.
- Bring down interest rate.
- Tight import for 6 more month.
- Make 1 kharab available for export based industries at 3% interest for 5 year.
- Reverse all share related bad policies.
- Slowly lose tighter loan policy.
- Let everyone invest in share with capital and reserve including cooperative. NRB should invest too.
- Accept share investment as liquid assets.



Who gets export loan:
- Those who want to open factory who will be exporting at least 25% of production capacity.
- Those who been exporting and wants to expand production and at least 25% of extra production capacity should be exported.
- What if they are able to export only 20% (80% of target)? They should pay interest 3% on 80% loan and 8% on 20% loan.



To solve foreign currency crisis:
Short term- Export cement like they been talking about and motivate those who been exporting to export more.
Long term- Within 3 year, add more export oriented factories and new products. Go for those industry that uses electricity.





While, every idiot been talking about factories to create jobs, while I kept on maintaining that in Nepal, factories should be used to bring in foriegn currency and reduce exist of foreign currency... job creation through manufacturing in Nepal should only be secondary policy. I always knew about current foreign currency crisis, Nepal be facing. In Nepal, we need to import raw material, semi finished product, parts, almost finished product ..... for all those we need foreign currency. Out only way is we need to export. We need to balance export and import. Saying, we should only export, it does not work like that.



We need to reduce tax (including import tax) to bring down cost of doing business, to bring down cost of living so that we would be able to compete in international market. No body going buy our product if we tax high on their product. IF tax is high, cost of living in Nepal stay high which would increase cost of production too.











I had been saying I have a plan to increase Nepal's GDP to 200 kharab but I dont want congress and communist to success. But due to crisis, I have, above, disclosed part of my plan.

On budget day, plane crashed. I said, this budget will lead to something bad. When such thing happen, I mostly focus on share market, economy or society.

But after the budget, I did not see any big problem.

Now, Finance minister has resigned. So this is what that accident was trying to tell me, which I did not see that time.

I thought, after the budget, 'may be this time, the plane crash is just an accident, coincident'. Turned out NO. It was a message.

All the accidents on special day has always lead to something bad.



-------
Said on: Sun May 29, 2022 12:14 pm



Last year, on the day of Monitory policy, something bad happened, probably bus accident, and I did say, that monitory policy will harm and the governor is alchina.

And that monitory policy destroyed the economy, share market and banking. Some People think this is superstition, really even after proof, same happened when KP oli became PM, I think.



Today is budget day and a plane has been out of contact. Hope plane is safe, which is not possible or somebody stop the budget.

Our village idiot finance minister may increase tax, probably in import, and destroy out economy and exporting capacity and manufacturing capacity just to make some criminal industry happy cause they will get to increase their profit margin.



-----------------------------------------------

copper: 15% down yoy
steel: 8.3% down yoy
Iron ore: 45% down yoy
wheat: up 28% yoy, 28% down monthly
sunflower oil: 41% up yoy, 19% down monthly
Urea: 53% up yoy,


Nepal has been building multi purpose irrigation, they say it will complete in 2080s. I saw in youtube, Nepal's pride projects, It seem like they are using only one machine per type.

It seems like they will take 8/10 yr to complete the project.
If total cost is 15kharab, and they invest 1kharab extra, they could increase machinery by 10time each and complete in half the time. This could save interest in 3/5kharab and we could get extra production of 5-10kharab. They are working slowly to loot Nepal.

Posted this October last year.

1. Electricity Shortage
2. Possible Dollar Shortage
3. Inflation
4. Possible load shedding during winter

If you are leveraged, its time to lessen your exposure. Inflation worldwide will be running high unless we enter in a serious recession due to slowdown in China. Oil prices will probably end the year over $90 per barrel, next summer it may get to $120ish. LPG gas is up 126% YTD. Coal up 196% YTD. Crude oil up 70% YTD. Copper up 22% YTD. Most of the heavy industries in Nepal use these commodities. Nepal Oil Corporation will post historic losses this fiscal year if it doesn't raises fuel prices. The price difference in Nepal and India is Nrs 20, hence smuggling fuel to India will reach another level. This government will not dare to raise fuel prices due to coming elections. Serious fuel supply shock coming due to decreasing capex by oil majors in the West. OPEC is most likely bluffing about its spare capacity, and will most likely enjoy the higher fuel prices. Saudi needs 80 dollar oil to balance its budget. As fuel prices go up, the INR will lose its value against the dollar. Hence, imports to Nepal will be costlier as we are pegged to INR. USD will likely make a huge gain against EURO, YEN and INR.

Overall, it looks like we are fucked. Not sure what is NRB thinking? We haven't had tourism dollars for almost two years now. Remittance growth probably is not as sustainable for the next few years, as we haven't exported labor at the same pace last two years. AID dollars will lessen, as the West will be fucked by the rising inflation too.

Few steps the government can do for next 1-2 year term to escape this bout of inflation and conserve foreign currency.

1. Stop new hydro projects. Complete those that are in various stages, complete the transmission lines. India won't be buying our surplus electricity unless its from projects where Indians have invested.
2. Stop imports of luxury vehicles.
3. Stop imports of foreign wines/spirits/beer.
4. Put restrictions on imports of cereals/grains/palm oil/soybeans from Argentina. Most of them are being smuggled to India.
5. Put special units to stop gold smuggling from TIA.
6. Jail Hundiwalas. Have police special forces go after them.
7. Open the country to people who are vaccinated. Make VISA free if they spend more than 15 days in the country. 8. Improve process for folks willing to go to S. Korea, Japan and Israel. These countries are clamoring for Nepalese labor.
9. Start landing buddhists from around the world in Lumbini.
10. Start campaign to reduce consumption of imported goods.
=======================================================================
It was not that hard of predictions to make even for a little interested observer. But, our policy makers are asleep at the wheels. Govt has made some adjustments but they are not enough. New focus for short term should be on,

1. Jail hundiwalas. Unleash the whole law enforcement on this. Go after under invoicers.
2. Stop Gold Smuggling from TIA.
3. Ration petrol for the next six months, not diesel. Even America did this in 1970s. Government should buy 10% less petrol from IOC than last year, period. I know rationing brings a lot more problem of black market. But, if done in a smart way, it will change consumers' behaviors and bring more awareness about the dire situation we may be in the near future. I suggest mandating fuel stations of allowing a certain amount of petrol per fill. Institute odd/even for private vehicles for a couple of months. Encourage ride sharing.
4. Again the logjam for sending workers to Japan, Korea and Israel should be removed. Government should start a task force for promoting and facilitating employment in these countries. These three countries are good for Nepalese workers, and most come back richer and gaining skills.
5. Tourists/Tourists/Tourists: Nepal Airlines should start routes from Bangkok to Lumbini ASAP.
6. Stop subsidizing LPG gas.
7. Government should start a special powerful task force to complete several irrigation projects in Western Nepal. Rani Kumaiya and Sikta and Mahakali irrigation projects should be completed within the next two years. This will help with food sufficiency.
8. Tighten imports of unnecessary items.
9. Awareness. For ****'s sake, banks are giving double digit interest rates on savings and people are still consuming? What will stop folks from consuming? Lets start a societal awareness program of less consumption, starting from politicians and public figures.
10. Beg Bangladesh/China for fertilizers. Crop yield will be fucked up this year if we don't get fertilizers soon.

The above are just short term fixes.

Long term,
1. We need more electrification of our transportation.
2. Completing Fast track, strategic tunnels and several main road projects would lead to lesser consumption of fuel.
3. We need to focus on irrigating our Terai belt, produce crops/staples three times a year. Rain water harvesting in hills and vegetables and fruit production.
4. Infrastructure around main Tourist hubs, Kathmandu, Pokhara, Lumbini, Everest, Annapurna routes should be maintained properly. We should try to do 2 million tourists by 2025. 3 million by 2030.
5. Need to mine our own Iron and Copper. Stupid newsmakers focus on Uranium, not knowing the fact that economical Uranium deposits are all over Australia and Canada and Central Asia.
6. Let them start more medical colleges and engineering schools. 55 lakhs to study medicine is cheap. Its a price of a CRETA. ****, these people are so stupid. We are sending all our brightest abroad to study and they never come back.
7. Lets make all our garments and shoes domestically.
8. Exports, honestly, don't know what we can manufacture cheaply. Curse of geography. IT products and services can be our exports. May be bottled water. May be Himalayan Cheese and Spirits. Its hard to arbitrage our cheap labor when there are a billion cheap laborers in our South. If promoted, we can export fresh fruits/vegetables to the Gulf. A little Netherlands is one of the biggest agro exporter. We can probably try to be like them rather than become a Singapore.
9. Build reservoir projects in partnership with India/Bangladesh on favorable terms.
10. Produce more nurses, plumbers, electricians, carpenters, doctors, engineers. India takes 3B remittance from Nepal each year, according to ILO.

We have lots of challenges. But, we have opportunity too. For now, remittance is the cash cow, which we need to move in favor of tourism dollars and income from selling electricity in mid and longer terms. We need to promote import substitution industries, while also training our youth to be more skilled workers, substituting Indian skilled laborers in Nepal.

विज्ञहरुको चेतावनी- 'आयात नियन्त्रण गर्न नसके नेपाल पनि श्रीलंकाको पदचापमा जान सक्छ'



who विज्ञ? In Nepal Only I understand economics.

And I say,'If we cant increase export, we shall go Srilanka way".

Last time I checked import list, I dont see anything which we can decrease in import. If we dont export many many times more, we wont even be able to import even raw material.


In the picture of विज्ञ, all I see are dalal of communist and congress and raw and cia.

विज्ञ? MC khate, jhole, dalal,

आयातमा प्रतिबन्ध लगाउने र एलसी खोल्दा नगद मार्जिन राख्नुपर्ने व्यवस्था हटाउन आईएमएफको दबाब
(Guess who is promoting this news, the channel financed by gupta and sons, who also hate share market and who imports expired, damaged products into Nepal)





When Chinese gives loan, they demand either guarantee or want that project to remain with china for certain period. Everybody does that.


But in case of west like IMF, Anglozoo send organization and other gangs to destroy the economy, then IMF, World banks etc come to the country and offer loan and demand collateral like basic infrastructure like railway, water supply.

Their goal is to destroy economy, than offer loan then make sure that country wont be able to pay back and in the name of privatization- their people take over basic infrastructure.


This way, they keep on making money from that country, keep $ demand, keep that country weak and rule for ever.





This is what debt trap is. But they spread the lies about Chinese debt trap.

And doggo of dalal indian nepali congress spread that garbage in Nepal.

VOTE RIGHT, vote dalals out

When there was communist economy in China, millions died and forced to become capitalist.

But they never accepted capitalism from deep, they keep on calling themselves chinese style socialism (china is bigger capitalist and US in my view) .... so they never fully understood capitalism or economy.


Months back, when they had evergreen housing group (or something) crisis, their govt stopped credit to the whole housing sector which almost crashed the entire economy, so they backed down in a few month.





In Nepal, they dont care. Dont forget to thank- governor, d governors, fake economist, wanna be social media/media expert, politicians, bureaucracy, media, bankers.

घरजग्गा बजारमा 'डिस्ट्रेस': बेच्नेको ‌ओइरो, किन्ने शून्य, एजेन्टकोमा प्रोपर्टी लिस्टिङको चाङ
https://bizmandu.com/content/20220629191250.html

& final shock will be transferred to banking system. What will be the magnitude of EQ created by this shock ?

I did not want to give advice for monetary policy since they know everything, but due to crisis ....

- Go back to CCD ratio.
- Bring down interest rate.
- Tight import for 6 more month.
- Make 1 kharab available for export based industries at 3% interest for 5 year.
- Reverse all share related bad policies.
- Slowly lose tighter loan policy.
- Let everyone invest in share with capital and reserve including cooperative. NRB should invest too.
- Accept share investment as liquid assets.



Who gets export loan:
- Those who want to open factory who will be exporting at least 25% of production capacity.
- Those who been exporting and wants to expand production and at least 25% of extra production capacity should be exported.
- What if they are able to export only 20% (80% of target)? They should pay interest 3% on 80% loan and 8% on 20% loan.



To solve foreign currency crisis:
Short term- Export cement like they been talking about and motivate those who been exporting to export more.
Long term- Within 3 year, add more export oriented factories and new products. Go for those industry that uses electricity.





While, every idiot been talking about factories to create jobs, while I kept on maintaining that in Nepal, factories should be used to bring in foriegn currency and reduce exist of foreign currency... job creation through manufacturing in Nepal should only be secondary policy. I always knew about current foreign currency crisis, Nepal be facing. In Nepal, we need to import raw material, semi finished product, parts, almost finished product ..... for all those we need foreign currency. Out only way is we need to export. We need to balance export and import. Saying, we should only export, it does not work like that.



We need to reduce tax (including import tax) to bring down cost of doing business, to bring down cost of living so that we would be able to compete in international market. No body going buy our product if we tax high on their product. IF tax is high, cost of living in Nepal stay high which would increase cost of production too.











I had been saying I have a plan to increase Nepal's GDP to 200 kharab but I dont want congress and communist to success. But due to crisis, I have, above, disclosed part of my plan.

How to solve foreign currency problem?

Shor term solution;
1: Cement industry been saying, they could export 1.5 kharab worth of cement immediately as soon as govt exempt them of tax.

Reduce tax and export for 5 year.

- Give them quota.
- Reduce quota by 10% every year, since cement raw material is not unlimited.
- But no quota for those, who import raw material and export cement using that raw material.
- If somebody misuse quota or tax, then fine them 100 times.


2: Increase export from those companies who been exporting. Increase their production capacity.


3: Build export oriented factories with in 3 three year for long term solution.

"""When yuraj k is out, I will advice next FM how to increase growth and problem high growth creates and its counter measures."""" -Wed Apr 03, 2019 7:44 pm



- Development, economic growth have negative consequences too. Politicians talk as if development, growth is good and so called expert think they are bad (indirectly) and should not be the goal.

They term they use is 'over heating'.



But I have always been taking about consequences. And it should be handled well as well as we can handle those consequences.

But incompetent economist say, we should not go for development and growth to avoid negative continuances.

When right person comes in power, I will disclose the ways to deal with those.





पूर्वगर्भनर रावलले यो वर्षको मौद्रिक नीति विगतका वर्षहरुमा आएको जस्तो लचिलो र खुकुलो नआउने पनि बताए| आन्तरिक र बाह्य कारणले मुद्रास्फीतिको दर उच्च ८ प्रतिशत रहेको र सो दर अझै बढ्ने सम्भावना रहेको उनले दाबी गरे| 'त्यसैले लचिलो र खुकुलो मौद्रिक नीति आउँदैन होला', उनले भने| पूर्वगर्भनर रावलले यो वर्षको मौद्रिक नीति विगतका वर्षहरुमा आएको जस्तो लचिलो र खुकुलो नआउने पनि बताए| आन्तरिक र बाह्य कारणले मुद्रास्फीतिको दर उच्च ८ प्रतिशत रहेको र सो दर अझै बढ्ने सम्भावना रहेको उनले दाबी गरे| 'त्यसैले लचिलो र खुकुलो मौद्रिक नीति आउँदैन होला', उनले भने|


Third ex governor, who also became governor through setting talks same as another two incompetent governors who became governor through setting. So dumb expert think a like???



While they say so 'मुद्रास्फीतिको दर उच्च- त्यसैले लचिलो र खुकुलो मौद्रिक नीति आउँदैन होला'- our patrakar dont ask them or should I say, cant ask the right question------- "In last one year, our credit is almost stopped, what could be the tighter monitory policy than the last one? If stopped credit cant solve inflation and high import problem, what else monitory policy could do? Would not the whole economy be destroyed if credit is closed?""""



Our self claimed economic expert patrakar cant counter such question. Why- cause they are dumb.

And still why do they think they understand economics?

The answer shows light to another problem that so called expert economist in Nepal are dumb. Those patrakar who are khate, malik ko kaile gharla ra khaula bhanee patrakar thinks they are expert in economics cause they compare themselves with those incompetent expert economist and find not much differences with the ability of those fake expert economist.

Which makes both the patrakar and fake expert a like.





Like I had been saying, NRB destroyed the economy with their failed policy. Now they will focus on and try to make themselves right and blame all problems on others and double down on their bad policy.




Amazing right, completely halting credit could not solve inflation (multiplied by sanction, I did say, corona majors will create inflation in future but it is good, but then came war and sanction) and high import, what tighter monitory policy would solve that problem????









Remember, when every politician and fake expert kept on telling that 'we need to build factors and create job'.

While I kept on saying for years, out first focus on building factors is to bring down balance of payment problem not creating job. We need factories to bring foreign currency and slowdown foriegn currency exit. I always been visionary.










It is not right to say 'you know everything and other are dumb'. Only some dumb psyco do that. Then why do I too do that? Like I been saying, its psychological warfare. I have been trying to silence dumb dangerous people from talking in social media, media. Remember, all those dumb economist giving negative advices in media, I tried to stop them. Govt, politician listen to them. Bureaucracy, politician, media- like flies, they are attracted to sh!t, negativity, alchina... cause they are one too. But I did not get help. Now face the consequences.

Dumb in Nepal think, current inflation is cause of Nepal. Nepal is worthless, it has no power to do either good or bad.

Stop trying to control inflation using monitory or fiscal policy. Same goes out to worthless countries like India.



The world has been facing high inflation cause of supply constraint created by sanction and war.

The world should pressure US to lift sanction and help to end the war.

West is about to go into deeper recession which would help to bring down the inflation. But Putin may not agree until the war and sanction are over.

During Ukraine War, I heard from US president as well as from think tank , probably RAND corporation backed, that they are going to destroy Russia long term using brain drain.

I used to think, US gives visa to bring in expert so that they can stay on top of technological field.

Then question used to come in mind, why dont they just give visa to top class experts not average?

The answer was, you cant tell who is no 1 until he invests something. No 1 in school is hardly no 1 in real life so they have to give visa to every one.


Now after US president and think tank said it, it has become clear that they give visa to every expert so destroy the country, society.






Then comes Nepal. In Nepal, they used to have stricter visa law. Lately they started to give visa to all expert. Is it possible that US wants to destroy Nepal too. That Nepal would fall into chaso due to brain drain lead poverty and do their 'turning Nepal into Ukraine thing to use Nepal against China/Tibet".

The main reason Nepalese go to US cause there is no job and for Car dream. Its amazing, chappal chap in Nepal rides expensive car while they draft economic policy/budget so that people working hard cant afford car. Many youth leave Nepal to peruse their car dream in US.




Not just a high import tax (for car too), government's budget, fiscal policy, monetary policy try to destroy official economy while main souse of black money is the budget.

Its like those behind those policy wants brain drain from Nepal. Its like they are following CIA order.



And same happens in India, China, Asia ..... West gives a lot of visas to people from asia as if they want to keep asia backward. Amazingly, Indian politician, govt demand more visa to Indians.






VOTE RIGHT, if you want country to create environment for self employment, good job, cheaper car.