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Year 2019 - Predictions, Assumptions, Analysis

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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
People are ready with their money.
Soon Bhadra Upsurge will show its move.
Fundamentally, best time to put money and hold.
Big Merger to come-up as well.

....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Thu Aug 29, 2019 8:01 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
Market will now come to 1208 or even below that because a fibonacci wave have come from the elliot sea.... And a dismal face amidst the investor. By the way how many of the top investors have so much of leisure time to listen all these and make decisions.

Market is heading down because of same CD Ratio stuff, same supply issues, and unclear picture of monetary policy.
1 . Money has been out of banking system for investments mainly in hotel (Over 1kharab cash in hotels in current fiscal year) and hydro sector (Over 2 kharab in hydro sector) . These sector need to earn and start repaying the loans.

2 . Projects like tamakoshi/ sanjen/ bhotekoshi, middle tamor etc should be completed fast and commercial operation should begin as soon as possible. Agreement should be nailed with bangladesh. Tourist should come fast and hotel should start running in profit. And loan repayment should start.

3. Merger should happen as soon as possible. Weaker will get less swaps and as a result AGGREGATE SHARE SUPPLY will evaporate.

4. Govt spending should be expedited.

.....whther the market is to surge or not depends upon the prevailing situations which is dynamic not on fibinacci waves from elliot seas....The best trait to endure is patience....real investors should be indiscriminate about price flux and remain content and get fixed to the fact that eventually market is to surge...things to improve continuously in coming days.....invest if u have money to the best scrips....... BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2292
Every new thing are not always good. ECB seems fascinating to most of us and especially for those from banking sector. Nobody has done adequate homework in this context. So for the time being it is just a ZARGON.
Till now our economy is growing slowly but relatively in stable way. I think ECB may increase our growth TEMPO but destabilize our ECONOMY at some point of time in near future.
So advice to our concern stake holder : Do your homework properly considering every aspect and worst case scenario before stepping forward.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
THE WAY AHEAD IN 2019 - ANOTHER 6 MONTH

1 - The plan to reduce trade deficit by cancelling TR Loan TO AUTOMOBILE IMPORTER is a good work
2 - The story will change and capital expenditure will be good from new fiscal year...
3 - Monetary Policy will be liberal to stock market and ease liquidity
4 - Best time to invest in stock market. Now there is no chance of significant fall
5 - ECB must be enabled. it will ease the black money to flow back in the country and also help to increase foreign currency borrowings in different formats.

.......Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Tue Jun 25, 2019 9:09 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
By Asar 15
It is likely to be announced in Asar First Week if everything goes as planned


...Baki Ishwor Ko Leela...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 48
When will the monetary policy announce?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
1 - A good surge is imminent.
2 - Monetary Policy will will be supportive and will not discourage stock market. That is a good news.
3- Many Banks will go into merger and acquisitions after current f/y ends and after finalization of current year accounts.
4 - Some Banks price to rise from 25% to 40%.
5 - Merger and acquisitions to finish soon within few months rather than years which was witnessed in past.

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
As envisaged,
2019 - a year for stock market - a government positive attitude makes this more conspicuous


NEPSE HIGH - PROFIT
NEPSE LOW - PROFIT
NEPSE STABLE - TOUR

....Baki Ishwor Ko LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
Overall Good Budget Is Coming
1 - Mechanism for Capital Expenditure shall be improved
2 - Salary Increment of Govt Employees
3 - More focus on infrastructure
4 - Benefits for merger
5 - Differentiation of STCG & LTCG

....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
Govt decision will not affect liquidity if the debt is managed effectively.
No particular sector is good/bad.
But particular scrips are good/bad.

See the scrips (company) and not the industry.

As said earlier, IGI carries potential.....See the floorsheet of past few days.... Same brokers are buying wild....
As said NBL is good for short term.
As said GBLBS turn will come soon.
And SHIVAM, today was the profit booking day....

As for NEPSE, still the surge is inadequate....NEPSE will surge more.....Its brakes will not sooner be applied.....

.....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 67
Sure, not only the Insurance, MFI, , after Banking Sectors but I am optimistic for all sectors which could be seen on Very good movement of NEPSE week per week.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
Enjoy the Nepse Rise for Now which will come again

There are Insurance, MFI, , after Banking Sectors

It goes Up and it goes down, difference is profit and it goes down and it goes up and difference is profit

....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela.....
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 173
https://www.nayapatrikadaily.com/news-details/12582/2019-04-29


Is it because of Baluwatar scandal all premier banks(NICA, NIB) are provisioning huge amount for losses?

Banking pani dubaune bhayo muji haru ley. Katai basna khana diyenan.
Member
Registered: Jul 2015
Posts: 30
Thanks pujibhairab jee for your genius information and your advice!
Member
Registered: Jul 2015
Posts: 30
Thanks pujibhairab jee for your genius information and your advice!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
INDEX
1 - Yes will surge more that what it is now

SHREEKRISHNAJEE
1- holding the shares was the right decision rather than selling it at that filthy low price, isnt it


Stuffs like this are emerging now,

https://bankingkhabar.com/archives/54614#.XMkdw78_TaM.facebook


Another Possible Big Merger in Microfinance Industry... GBLBS +Sana Kisan ...Market Price.....Rs 360 (GBLBS) & 1050 (SANA KISHAN)....GBLBS has lots of fixed assets and intensive network of branches and is excellent MFI while Sana kishan have loads of reserves and excellent wholesaler...If this happens swap ratio must be very competative........Both are Govt Owned.....

...Time will tell the reality.... Baki Ishwor Ko Leelaa....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Wed May 08, 2019 8:36 am. »
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 130
Many thanks Pujibhairav jee.
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 137
thanks puji bhairab ji.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
FUTURIST JEE

As for MFI
1 - Always said that, National Level Strong Micro finance will be successful ones
2 - Even Micro finance which has been opened by commercial banks cannot compete with Established National Level Micro finance
3 - Micro finance is a specialized business which has its own business & corporate structure & commercial banking is another specialized business with its own business & corporate structure
4 - Staying here and investing is one thing. But understanding the business structure is completely another thing. The staffs travel several kilometers into rural surroundings to take-in deposits, to give out loans, to collect interest. Commercial banks can never do that.
5 - Small Micro finance has exploited their employees with low salary and perks and harder jobs. Further their business cannot substantiate their existence. Hence small have to go into rapid mergers. And BIG MFI have good working environment with good salary and perks will witness good growths and existence.

......Some people alike see Cheapest stocks which are simultaneously strong and carries a potentiality....As for now for MFI, it is National Level GBLBS....I said earlier that structural shifts are coming in this stock and we saw big leaps in reserves this quarter.....Some more rapid structural shifts are coming in this scrip in near future which is evident if we minutely analyse its balancesheet ...Further as interest rate goes down, MFI EPS surges more....

As for Non Life Insurance
1 - This sector needs more time to align itself
2 - Short term price surge may be there but in a long term this sector will be slow
3 - Some structural shift in terms of capital must come in IGI as public promoter is 80:20 which should be 70:30. They didnt issued FPO earlier due to sluggish market and lower capital base. Issuing FPO now on 1 billion capital will ensure more kittas in FPO. As the promoters are players in stock market, they will ensure full benefit from FPO.
4 - For others non life, its a slow situation.


....NEPSE WILL SURGE....Take good care of your investments.....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Tue May 07, 2019 7:25 am. »
Member
Registered: Jun 2018
Posts: 91
MICROS WILL SURGE UNDOUBTEDLY; BUT A RULE AND STEP FROM NRB CAN BRING THEM TO EARTH. INSURANCES, IF ARE FORCED TO MERGER, THEY ARE COMING DOWN. INVESTMENT IS RISKY, BUT 90 OUT OF 100 TIMES IS REWARDING.
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 130
Now that many are convinced this is a new bull run and I have seen people began dreaming too, how about we share our views on sectorwise breakdown so that we can make wise decisions on balancing our portfolio?

A well known analyst has sparked a deep fear among novice investors to not invest in Microfinance and Insurance sector. It is because of such rumours some people are deliberately avoiding these sectors. Personally, I am unable to comment on Insurance sector, but I do see good prospects in Microfinances. What are your thoughts and views in this matter Pujibhairav jee although you have commented much that micros will surge?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
And yes it bounced back...it was destined to....

NEPSE will make good surge again....


....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 812
Market to bounce back soon...

....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 74
Arko naulo khabar :D :D
Bank ley short term ko lagi Arabpati banayeko khabar :roll: :roll: :roll:
https://clickmandu.com/2019/05/81293.html

k k ho k k ho... bujhnai garho :lol: :lol:
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 173
What is this bullshit? Just when everything looked set for a good bull run, we get news like this.

https://www.nayapatrikadaily.com/news-details/12582/2019-04-29

I am tired of this crap. My money has been dead money for a year now. Bought $30k at 1300. I think I will have to go cooperative route and collect 15% rather than put my hard earned money in market where there is nothing but scandals.

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