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A Major Fundamental Factor In Stock Market - Interest Rate Levels - Constant Analysis

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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
बैंकहरुको उठ्न बाँकी ब्याज ६२.५१%ले बढेर १६ अर्ब रुपैयाँ पुग्यो, सरकारले ठोस कदम नचाले ठूलो संकट आउने
https://clickmandu.com/2024/01/290170.html?fbclid=IwAR1BPbCgYZI1wjf4QuAg8gMvmerr14xEsq2xh-75F6dj3zaPZ1iIKFibRw8


MASSIVE DROP IN INETEREST RATE IS INEVITABLE
WHEN INTREST RATE DROPS MASSIVE / MASSIVE RISE IN NEPSE IS INEVITABLE


.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
SAFEST & CHEAPEST STOCK IN HYDRO ?

CAME ACROSS THIS STOCK - PMHPL
Capital - 1.1 Arab
EPS - 23
MARKET PRICE - 260


Only problem in its balancesheet is accumulated loss of 12 cr (which is fictional loss emerging from depreciation charge in previous year - hence was not cash loss) - which will be nullified by chaitra end this fiscal year 2080/81

IS IT UNDERVALUED compared to other stock
While its peers are trading above 450, will its price also see significant surges
Is it Forming CUP & HANDLE PATTERN and looking for breakout

TIME WILL TELL
.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Tue Jan 16, 2024 12:05 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
SOME INSIGHTS UPPER TAMAKOSHI (Pre Auction Information)

1. Auction to close today
2. accumulated losses needs this fiscal year and another fiscal year to be neutralized
3. accumulated losses are fictional losses in this case due to heavy depreciation charge and hence its cash reserves will keep on becoming stronger and ability to service debt will not diminish
4. ANNUALIZED EPS SHALL HOVER AROUND 20-25 and than EPS will increase as finance cost decreases as subsequent installment will comprise greater principal portion and lessening interest portion thereby increasing net profits + decreasing interest rate level will give its profit more leverage
5. 25 years of license
6. Return from next fiscal year in best case scenario and return will primarily comprise of bonus shares until capital reaches 30 arab which is its authorized capital

AUCTION WILL BE OVERSUBSCRIBED


....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Sun Jan 14, 2024 9:00 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
After interest rate goes down
MICRO FINANCE will also feel relief in their cost of funds which is likely to push their profit higher
Selected MFI might see price hikes

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Non-Life Sector
Which has been making Higher Highs & Lower Lows
Just Expecting it to make another Good Higher Highs
Watch The Chart Yourself To Verfiy

...BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
why not possible to post?
been trying since last few weeks....

well this time it showed up....

Market is Good......
Few things coming up.....
1. 12 crore limit to be relaxed/cancelled soon
2. NRN will be able to open dollar account soon with flexibility in withdrawls and interest at nepalese market rates/ around 50 arab to 1 kharab deposit to be added
3. Interest Rate to further dwindle
4. Insurance (Non Life) seems promising
5. Stay away from HATHY now

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Tue Dec 19, 2023 7:25 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
the major deceleration in economy is caused by following,
1. Collapse of Sahakari
2. Collapse of Laghubitta
3. Material escalation of project cost so that promoters can pocket in large money, PRIMARILY TO OFFSET LOSSES IN OTHER SECTOR AND TO PROFIT. this has made such project financing loan unviable and also hit the bank's balancesheet hard
4. Large youths goings abroad and their purchasing are foreign based
5. Rampant corruption which takes place in cash
6. Meltdown in Real Estate (which was necessary) & Stock Market (which is not that necessary)
7. Burden of federalism which has enormous current cost

However the remittance which has been panacea to nepalese economy, continues to be
thanks to middle east nepalese, big salute
Assets prices will move up gradually now as liquidity will ease out more
STOCK MARKET MUST BE REVIVED

......baki ishwor ko leela....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Mon Nov 20, 2023 7:43 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
NIC ASIA reduces Interest Rates
Other Banks will also Reduce Interest Rates
Government Banks are also reducing Interest Rates, they will publish tomorrow

This is very good news for us all and for the existing sluggish economy as well
This is also very good for the market
All market now wants is liberal policies, specifically those Risk Weighted Asset Issue

Also Currently 1000 MW of electricity is being produced by projects which are financed by banks
These projects now pays / throws installments to bank, this is a SIGNIFICANT THING
Banks now can further finance up-to 3000MW Fresh without additional significant stress on liquidity
Also 1% reduction in consortium rates, decreases financial cost $ increases income of hydros by 3%

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA......
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Boom & Bust are Elements of Economic Cycles
However, Governer IS too much trying to squeeze the financial market

After Bust, Boom is inevitable under normal circumstances
So we are at lowest zones of Nepse

Selection should always be
SHARES HAVING LOW SUPPLY
LOW RSI
AVERAGE PE would be fine
Companies having regulator wud be nice

Once boom begins , share will low supply will hit circuits

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Jan 2016
Posts: 5
Dear Pujibhairab jee, at his juncture, where do you invest if you have surplus cash? Thanks in advance.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Happy Dashain To All

Induced by Lust, Greed, Ego - - - Creatures create boundaries in earth & in heart
Creatures do corruptions, wars, sabotage, bloodsheds
This has been agelessly after entropy occurred
May Durga Bhavani Bless All

May we all ascend in Spritual/material prosperity


....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
BACK TO KATHMANDU
After A Long Trekking In Beautiful Places In Nepal

All Shares are in Hold Position



...........BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.........
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
नेपालबाट १० वर्षमा १० हजार मेगावाट बिजुली किन्ने प्रस्ताव भारतीय मन्त्रिपरिषदबाट स्वीकृत

What a Gorgeous News
Amazing News For Hydro Promoter Shareholders & Developers
Amazing News For Nepal's Exports
We need to make more and more Hydros and export them

This news may or may not influence secondary market
But has certainly influenced to invest in Good Hydros as Promoter Shareholder

......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
NON-LIFE on HOLD POSITION/BARGAIN BUYS

Market doesn't have a place for substantial or significant fall.
Only good news to emerge.
All bad news have supposedly ended.

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Banking Sector Disposed In PROFITS
NRM Disposed in Break Evens
Hydros Disposed in Break Evens

NON LIFE INTACT, adding on bargains

......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
NRM seems good for the time being
4th quarter report 2079/80 may be disturbing
but EPS is around 16 (for 1st quarter 2080-81) & price of Rs 310 as of this moment (1:00 PM, 8/9/2023) when bargain purchase is going on can be a good bet

.....baki ishwor ko leela....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Wed Aug 09, 2023 1:41 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Yesterday Purchased Some Stocks
Havent Sold Yet But Gradual Purchases Made Until Today
Short Term Purchases have become substantial now (over 50%)

No Purchases AnyMore
Only Hold

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Unanticipated Falls
Holding the shares
No buys

Banks still above cost
Insurance on loss
Hydro on loss

Market is Market
Beyond comprehensions

.....baki ishwor ko leela....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Buying have slowly continued since last tuesday
Buying will continue
Insurance Sector Only

Betting On Three Banks, Non Life Insurance Sector & Three Hydros Only
Haven't Touched Life Insurances, Hotels, MicroFinances, Development Banks, Manufacturings

......Baki Ishwor ko Leela.....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Sun Jul 30, 2023 11:14 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Said on tuesday evening, time to buy
Buying From Wed & Thursday as said in earlier post
Shares at good bargains

Into The Market Again


.....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela.....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Time to Buy Has Come
For The Upcoming Swing That Talked About Yesterday

Risk Takers Only
Not for risk aversive traders

Sector is Insurance

Baki ishwor ko leela.....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Monetary Policy Enough To Fuel A Good Swing

...BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
Whats going on HOT in BANKING System?
The trifurcation of existing loans
1 - Existing Working Capital Loan (Hypothecation, Overdraft, Demand Loan, Trust Receipt Loan Etc)
2 - New Working Capital TERM LOAN (TO BE REPAID WITHIN 10 YEARS)
3- SPECIAL LOAN (To Be REPAID WITHIN 3 YEARS)

Hence, LIQUIDITY WILL BE ADDED MORE


THE INTEREST RATE?
Interest Rate is bound to fall in coming days under existing conditions.

THE MARKET
Will be directed by MONETARY POLICY

......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 810
SHARE03
Moneys are in wait position
Various loosening measures towards real estate and stock market and on personal loans

However the precise policy measures is not known

We have to wait for the monetary policy that will direct the direction of the money
Money is patiently waiting for monetary policy

Fri Jun 23, 2023 6:27 am - Said i am substantially out of market
Now just sporting lightly on the swings


......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Jan 2020
Posts: 68
Namaste Sir,
Will these positive news helps market to break the major resistance zones? Did you start buying sir or waiting for confirmation?
Regards
Share03

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