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A Major Fundamental Factor In Stock Market - Interest Rate Levels - Constant Analysis

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Author Post
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
Oct 23
BULL STILL IS A FALLACY
But NEPSE gains definitely creates smile

Oct 03,
WHATEVER
NEXT BIG PRICE HIKES SHALL BE IN HYDROS

As of Today
Slow Buyings
Aggressively Alert About Market

.....BAKI ISHOWR KO LEELA.....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
As said earlier
WE ARE OFFICIALLY IN THE BEAR MARKET
BULL STILL EXIST IS A FALLACY

WAIT & WATCH
ENJOY WEEKENDS

.....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela...
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1839
The Rise in Intrest Rate is again going to Hamper the Outlook of the Hydro Power Companies.

As we are in the Grip of the Bear Market, Blue Chips too has become Aloo Chips at the moments.

Don't know till what extent Market will continue to fall, Today's down fall was very Horrifying in Nature !!

God Save the Bulls ..
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
Futuristjee,
AGREED

NRB looses its elegance
Governor MAHAPRASAD ADHIKARI is a Political as well as selffish Person not Central Bank Person
This types of third class person ruins things

CCD Ratio should have been cancelled with some transition time period
4/12 should have been brought with some transition time period
Other rules were also brought abruptly

However AS MENTIONED EARLIER
WE ARE IN THE BEARISH MARKET
BROUGHT EXCLUSIVELY BY NRB GOVERNER

.......Baki Ishwor ko Leela....
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 126
Governor le "Ku" garya ho desh lai. Entire country afno hat ma liyo. Not just share market, everything is gone.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
WELCOME TO BEARISH MARKET

HIKES IN INTEREST RATE

MARKET CRASH TURNED INTO BEARISH FROM DASHAIN

INVESTED IN FEW SELECTED SCRIPS INCLUDING FEW SELECTED HYDROS


.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
WHATEVER
NEXT BIG PRICE HIKES SHALL BE IN HYDROS

NOT ALL HYDROS
BUT FEW SELECTED ONES

IDENTIFY YOURSELF


.....BAKI ISHOWR KO LEELA.....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
AlgorithmJee
Not Optimistic about GBLBS
Bonus may come but very small amount


......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Sep 2021
Posts: 2
I have been following some members including Puji Bhairav ji for many years-- in fact from the days of the good old forum. Their insights have always been useful to navigate the market.

In this bull, most members of this forum-- especially Dubosi Ji, Puji Bhairav Ji and Deepak Man Ji ( although Deepak Ji ditched everything too early )--were spot on in their prediction of hydro bulls.
It was one hell of a rally and some correction was inevitable. RHPC, which was 180 a few months back, is still hovering above 700. So, I am not surprised at the way the market has been reacting the past few weeks. Let the market decide its course itself but I also think that this nosedive won't last long ( disclaimer : 80 percent invested ).

A query for Pujibhairav ji, is there possibility of bonus from GBLBS this year?

Thanks,
Member
Registered: Jan 2021
Posts: 8
Thank you for sharing @The futurist ji, It's relief to know that it's not only me who is fully invested in the market.

I am all in too.

No leveraged, borrowed, or loan money.

Today was the last purchase of 50 kitta.

No more money left. If I had I think I would have bought with that too.
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 126
I am all-in in the market. Bought in the crash. Let's see what happens next. I'm ready to let my capital get destroyed. Trading requires more of psychological discipline than fundamentals and business degree.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
September 23 Decision - See Below Posts
With Good Losses
However at good Net Profits, At Net Position

No further investment for now
50% cash to remain at 50% cash
Bulk Invested (50%) to remain as being invested, Shifting of scrips done
Amount Invested, sliced to 89.23%

Losses are good as well
I am good with lossess

We should cheerup and be peacefull at lossess at well
Be a real trader/ investor

......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Wed Sep 29, 2021 5:10 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
Sep 23, 2021 5:34 am (See Below Posts)
Well
Entered Yesterday In Bulk
All stoploss stocks recollected
Fresh positions in other stocks

It takes metal balls to accumulate the stocks in bulks during freefalls
When entire market is panicked



Vidhyut Niyaman Aayog Directive
1. The chairman was one of the most non-corrupted and gentleman in bureaucracy
2. The chairman does not have portfolio of stocks or neither is interested in stock market
3. Decision was to uplift hydropower sector which is backbone of Nepalese Economy
4. I have deep respect for chairman and the policy
5- We need to export hydros and also bring technology for its sustainable storage

Hydro Index
1. Wont be surprised if Hydros Index SURPASSES 5000 easily

NEPSE
1. Still in bullish mode

......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Mon Sep 27, 2021 6:38 am. »
Member
Registered: Jun 2021
Posts: 3
Thank You Punji Bhairabjee. You are so very true.


To add to your below remarks earlier, NRB, Govt, regulators are taking their authority as a corruption opportunity. Their intention seem so much to manipulate market than to regulate. A slight manipulation, regulatory directives, can make them each one of them multi billionaire in days, weeks. You see, there is no other explanation to 4-12 crore issue than corruption.

MAJOR CULPRIT OF MARKET
1 - Governer Narrow & Manipulative Mind
THIS GOVERNER IS CORRPUT and CORRUPTION IS ON POLICY LEVEL

2 - Maiost Finance Minister
The Corrupt & Bloody Political Party- What more can we expect

Bleeding can be stopped it its been minor cuts
But repeated stabbing means heavy bleeding
But when two peoples stabs repeatedly than its critical
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
THIRD QUARTER = FIRST QUARTER 78/79
Typo
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
MONETARY REVIEW THIRD QUARTER

IF NRB have some conscience left
IF NRB is for the people
Than
NRB SHOULD REVISE 4-12 CAP


ATLEAST
COMPANIES should be exempt from 4-12 CAP
COMPANIES gives employment to peoples
COMPANIES pays 25% tax


THIRD QUARTER REVIEW
GIVE EXEMPT TO THE COMPANIES
AND MAKE OTHER NECESSARY CORRECTIONS


LANDS HAVE BEEN INFLATED FAR FAR FAR THAN STOCKS
CHINA GOVT RULE EMPHASIZED ON REAL ESTATE RATHER THAN STOCK
AND EVERGRANDE CRISIS HIT HARD TO PEOPLES
PEOPLES REALIZED THEY SHOULD HAVE DIVERSIFIED INTO STOCK

MARKET TO GO BULLISH SOON
IF FEW THINGS ALIGN WHICH IS LIKELY TO ALIGN


.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Fri Sep 24, 2021 6:30 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
Confused InvestorJee
I was wrong to myself to think market wud be sideways until dashain
I might be wrong again to think this is right to enter the market

But
I stick to the principle, each day is a new day for the market and market is super dynamic

And
Took the risk
I might suffer lossess if NEPSE Goes down
But good gains if NEPSE Rises

Finger Crossed
Lets see how market goes on
But heavily into market yesterday

......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Sep 2021
Posts: 7
Puji Bhairav ji, You had said this whole week and till dasain is wait and watch and today you said you bought it.
What should I learn from it? People's concept is also dynamic?
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
Always Said
Market Is Dynamic

Well
Entered Yesterday In Bulk
All stoploss stocks recollected
Fresh positions in other stocks

WELL
Positions have been taken
Took all the risk
Lets see if market punishes or rewards

......BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
MAJOR CULPRIT OF MARKET
1 - Governer Narrow & Manipulative Mind
THIS GOVERNER IS CORRPUT and CORRUPTION IS ON POLICY LEVEL

2 - Maiost Finance Minister
The Corrupt & Bloody Political Party- What more can we expect

Bleeding can be stopped it its been minor cuts
But repeated stabbing means heavy bleeding
But when two peoples stabs repeatedly than its critical

NOT ENTERING THE MARKET FOR SOME TIME
NO SWING TRADES EITHER
EVERY GOOD NEWS & UPSURGE IS SALES OPPURTUNITY


........BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Tue Sep 21, 2021 5:56 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
Somebodyjee
Yes this entire week and until dashain is wait and watch

...BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA...
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 831
So this week is wait & watch ....

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 669
LIQUIDITY NOW
1. I think it is a short term phenomenon will last for sometime
2. Because Govt & NRB will not let interest rate hike as economy is injured from COVID
3. CCD Ratio cancellation caused significant drop in liquidity and NRB to blame for this so it will correct the situation somehow
4. Government Spending has been frozen
5. Bank usually hike interest rate at first quarters because lending is maximum until poush, this is cartel. Also there is space in spread rate and banks are greedy for it.

LIQUIDITY TOMORROW
1. All imports has been almost done. For Example, A single car main-dealer imports 500 vehicles (2 to 3 arab) during dashain, Clothing sector imports around 20 arab of clothes during dashain, etc . However now the outflows will be limited as businessess have restored their stocks and further imports have weakened.
2. All LC (sight or usance) has been materialized to TR Loans which matures in 90 days (previous 120 days), hence business will not import heavily in the future as they need to pay the LC amount within 90 days.
3. Pratisthapan bidhayek will pass this week and by next week govt will spend significantly.
4. Also remittance to increase
4. Also no big investments this year i.e. no new big hotels, no new big industries, existing will get loans but banks are unwilling to give loans to new big projects, also entrepreneurs have hold their projects and concepts for 2021
5. Liquidity will ease in coming days.

Who is to Blame for Liquidity?
1. NRB - because it has failed several times to envisage the future. Nrb dont have efficiency. Stupid board, stupid official. Where is long term planning?
2. Govt - since last 7 years it has failed to spend

OPERATORS
1. A section of investor want to push the market down
2. They have been hammering shares, they are well informed about everything, 1 week ahead of general investor
3. operators exist in our market, there is no doubt
4. however the hammering of shares has been absorbed surprisingly by retail investors. for example UMHL has badly hammered by 58, target was to push the price below 500 but price has managed to stay at 550 level.
5. Also there is cartel of such operators, medias, high level officials, high level bankers and now some strong mutual funds as well


MARKET NOW
1. Its a bull market
2. But we are in a sluggish zone

MARKET FUTURE
1. Still have to analyze as to when market will rise,
2. Swings will however appear

.....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
« Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Sun Sep 19, 2021 6:53 am. »
Member
Registered: Aug 2015
Posts: 134
whr are you sir plz analyze present context
Member
Registered: Jun 2013
Posts: 132
Thank you puji bhairab sir for the information. But isn't 5 lakh family@10000 is equals to 5 arab? But anyway thanks for the information.

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