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कतिपय वाणिज्य बैंकभन्दा मुक्तिनाथको अवस्था बलियो



MNBBL looking strong in secondary market. Hope it turns into few dozen upper circuits soon.



Dev bank share in market capitalization is just 3%, but lately for weeks, its turnover have been around 1 billion. Something big could be on its way for dev bank.

Rising Sun Ji
I did tell you in the past that I ve significant left over chunk of MNBBL for zero investment & aint going to sell it.
Fresh buy is for trading purpose and contributes only single digit in our portfolio.
There are many other NASCENT SCRIPTS in market which has potential to give HANDSOME % in few days or week.
We are concentrating more on such scripts.

So Dubosi ji too secretly is MNBBL member. Must be just like me, MNBBL have not been performing in secondary for list 5 year, that is why you are angry with MNBBL.

I think, MNBBL is great for mid and long term than short term.



No 1 reason: Fundamental.

Since, there is no liquidity crisis, soon govt will spend 375 billion in three month. So MNBBL will smoothly maintain growth.

1- MNBBL made about 40 crore in 3rd qtr (three month). If it maintains that growth in 1st qtr, its EPS will be 33.

2- MNBBL made 14 crore in 9th month (one month). If it maintains that profit in 1st qtr, its EPS will be 35.

3- MNBBL performs better in 4th qtr. So its profit per month could reach 16 since deposit and loan will grow a lot in forth qtr. And if it maintain it in 1st qtr. its EPS will be 40.

4- Loan grows a lot in first qtr, so MNBBL could actually make 17.5 crore in 1st qtr per month. If it happens, its EPS will be 44.

I am expecting 44 EPS in first qtr. If MNBBL increase premium in loan by a little, EPS would grow even more.

MNBBL performs better in 3rd qtr and far better in 4th qtr so in 4qtr next year, EPS will be far more than 44, but there will be bonus added so let's see.

This is how strong MNBBL is fundamentally.




Now, let's come to the main reason.

- Total capitalization of dev bank is 100 billion. So 50 billion is ordinary shares.

- Bull in dev bank began just few days ago.

- During last 10 day, players have already cornered 10 billion worth of dev bank.

- In next, 10 to 20 day, that accumulation will reach 20-30 billion.

- I think after cornering 20-30 billion, there wont be many seller left.

So I expect, Rocket in Dev bank sector in 10-20 day.


And MNBBL is the best, with the best growth and fundamentally strong.

When dev bank price triples, then rats will join the party.









IF YOU HESITATE IN MNBBL OR DEV BANK, YOU MAY MISS THE ROCKET.



IF YOU SELL, O boy.................

We have freshly joined your club in last 7 days as per your suggestion, but with short term horizon. Expecting 10-15% value addition in a month or so. Old stock is for long term prospect.
To me , mid term performance of MNBBL seems doubtful. But if you are thinking of LONG, its really good. This impression is drawn on the basis of detailed analysis of there BUSINESS PORTFOLIO and fluky current financial state.

Now need to update again, Turned out NPL has no effect in BS. Even though its NPL is down by around .5%.

3rd qtr profit 1billion (3rd qtr report)
4th qtr deposit 90 billion (down by 10 billion, but still expect close to 100, govt need to spend about 375 billion in 3 month)
4th qtr profit above 1.45-1.5 billion (added lower side, was expecting 1.5+)
1st qrt profit around .5 billion.
Dividend next year- 15b+7Cash. (cash reduced by 5Rs)
Next yr 4th qtr deposit 150+ billion.
Next yr 4th qtr profit close to 3billion. (Due to huge business growth+additional premium in loan interest- which currently is at base rate or close on most of this year's loan)







Past projection:

Up dated projection: Fri Apr 02, 2021 5:17 pm

3rd qtr profit 1.1-1.25 billion. Minor change made- increased.
4th qtr deposit 100+ billion.
4th qtr profit above 1.5 billion.
1st qrt profit around .5 billion.
Dividend next year- 15b+12Cash.
Next yr 4th qtr deposit 150+ billion.
Next yr 4th qtr profit close to 3billion. (Due to huge business growth+additional premium in loan interest- which currently is at base rate or close on most of this year's loan)















Mostly of the indicators grew by 40% while interest income grew by just 12%. It time, promoters need to press top management to increase premium by .75% immediately and another .5% next year. In 4th qtr, base rate is likely to fall below 8% so wont hit borrower by much.



If somebody reading this comment know CEO or Chairman, could you please, tell them to book profit on their share investment and increase EPS by 5-10 just like other BFIs doing. Banking profit alone is not enough. And buy back shares after correction so that they can book profit on those next year.



Profit growth of 49% is very very impressive, but I expected slightly higher just above 30. EPS with other investment is around 28.5.













So Berkshire Hathhway ji is one of US with 15% long term investment (mine is almost 40%, so I am the King) in MNBBL. Have patience, 1st qtr next year 40+ eps min i current trend continues. More if something big happens.

EPS of 27.87 is not regarded as BABBAL growth for a dev bank like MNBBL. this is just normal growth, so don't expect substantial growth in the price immediately due to the report.

Yes, I see good increase in deposit and lending in the BS, which will have good effect in the net profit after 3,5 months.

Personally, with approx 15% of my portfolio in this script, accumulated since more than 10 years in NEPSE, I was also expecting EPS of 30+ but somehow it did not meet my expectations. No worries, this is the script I will never sell, so fingers crossed, and hopeful about the 4th quarter now.

Jay Muktinath!

ब. बाल , मज्..........आ आउने भयो
We were expecting DOUBLE CIRCUIT this week in MNBBL.
Lets see how the market reacts.

1 Billion profit posted by MNBBL in 3rd Q...

Expecting CIRCUIT in MNBBL at least TWICE in this week

JAY MUKTINATH

Congratulations when MNBBL crosses 1200 after 3rd or 4th qtr report. Hopefully 3rd qtr. Yes it is possible if big players take over MNBBL.


Do we get to see circuits this week?????

मज्...........आ आयो
Aftert a long long time, MNBBL increased by more than 3 % for two consecutive days.
ल बधाई छ, MNBBL CLUB MEMBERs सबैलाई

Bull ayao bull


Caution: side ma basera hernu hola

Yes stagnat MNBBL making me also mad..

People have made triple money by investing on upper and MNBBL has barely gave anything so far..

NEPSE doubled, MNBBL barely increased.

Couple of BFIs doubled, mostly increased 50%, MNBBL increased 20%.

Now, dev bank sub index seems to be entered into bull phase, and still there is no Bull in MNBBL.

What the F is going on in MNBBL?


Are big players, who have drowned completely into garbage shares, preventing Bull in MNBBL, till they are able to dump their garbage shares????


No where in the world, where best stock dont rise, while others doubles triples, increase 100 times. Many will pay for their gross violation of investment discipline. When dust settles, there will be blood bath.

Somegroup is preventing bull in MNBBL.

Either they are trying to buy at low

or

Those MF are preventing bull, may be to try to divert potential MNBBL investor into STC, CGH.....

विकास बैंक

यो समूहलाई बोलिंगर ब्यान्डमा राखेर हेर्ने हो भने मूल्यरेखाले अप्पर ब्यान्डलाई ब्रेकआउट गरिसकेको देखिन्छ भने ब्यान्ड क्रमश: साँघुरिँदै गएको छ| यसले के पुष्टि गर्छ भने आगामी दिनमा यो क्षेत्रमा पनि बढोत्तरीको सम्भवाना देखिन्छ|



MNBBL is suppose to be the leader, but not. From next week definitely, if not from tomorrow.

As per my projection, MNBBL will publish very close to around 30EPS. If NRB's refinancing does effect in NPL and BS the lot more.







Recent, new insurance and STC must have created panic in the mind of trend followers who follow stocks without strong fundamental.

Authority has banned new insurance to issue right and STC offered 25% dividend whose price was 13000.


Now those pussies will enter MNBBL(strong company with good growth and future) in mass, but they need a leader. Who is going to be that leader? Before rats, I want big ones to enter first.

SO EPS of MNBBL in 3rd quarer ~30 ??

यति राम्रो विकास बैक(MNBBL)को Price भने नारायणी development bank (NABBC) को भन्दा कम,


लगानीकर्ताहरुलेनै घाँस खाएपछि कसको के लाग्छ र ?

MNBBL progress in one month:

Deposit Up by 2.3 billion.
Loan UP by 3 billion.

Profit Up by 13.5 crore.
Profit for 8 month 86 crore.



------------
My projection for MNBBL from Tue Mar 16, 2021 11:34 pm


3rd qtr profit 1.05-1.15 billion.
4th qtr deposit 100+ billion.
4th qtr profit above 1.5 billion.
1st qrt profit around .5 billion.
Dividend next year- 15b+12Cash.
Next yr 4th qtr deposit 150+ billion.
Next yr 4th qtr profit close to 3billion. (Due to huge business growth+additional premium in loan interest- which currently is at base rate or close on most of this year's loan)

--------------------------------------------








Up dated projection:

3rd qtr profit 1.1-1.25 billion. Minor change made- increased.
4th qtr deposit 100+ billion.
4th qtr profit above 1.5 billion.
1st qrt profit around .5 billion.
Dividend next year- 15b+12Cash.
Next yr 4th qtr deposit 150+ billion.
Next yr 4th qtr profit close to 3billion. (Due to huge business growth+additional premium in loan interest- which currently is at base rate or close on most of this year's loan)




Remember, NRB just gave BFIs money to refinance some loan. If this loan help to reduce MNBBL's NPL by .5% then EPS may increase by 10. New accounting is complicated so I am gonna have to wait for 3rd qtr report.














So would this projection help to take MNBBL to 2000 by dashain????

CGH's price 2K and MNBBL price 0.4K

CGH is 5 times better than MNBBL, ***.??

CRAP companies are flying like SPACE X
HEAVY METAL companies are sinking to depth
If you wanna create wealth
Follow this mantra : जैसा देश वैशा भेष

So true, but you dont pay 10times more to fohor than to gold.

Rising sun ji,
If you are a trader,
Make मोहोर out of फोहोर

Gold company bad,

Garbage company good.


Good advice Dubosi ji.