Forum


ShareSansar Main Page

New Topic

I

Moderators: बिमलमान, Dilbert.

Post Reply

Page: 1 2 3 4 5 ... > »

Author Post
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
After grand success of '2023 prediction', ""I"" here present you '2024 prediction'

8: China's rise as technological power. Almost out of High end Chip problem. Chinese EV going global commercially but sanction by west especially by US- or higher tax.








*** State TV airs China's first AI-developed cartoon series, as Sora sets off frenzy for text-to-video generation tech

Just a few weeks ago, some US company demonstrated their 'text to video generation tech' sample, and today, China has released 'text to video generation AI' based series.

Where did the China got the Chips from which US dont even have??? Is China already using photonic chips (I forgot what it is called) they been talking about for last few years.



US and Taiwan based Chips share price rocked due to the revelation of text to video generation tech. After Chinese discloser, they may fall again. China may control AI based chips soon.







"West talked about developing sodium based rechargeable batteries, then few weeks later, 'China introduces EV with sodium based rechargeable battery'."





"Lately, NVIDIA CEO talked about AI doing coding. A year or two ago- I heard, no one will be able to replicate TIKTOK cause it's algorithm was coded by AI. so it is too complex and time consuming".
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
""I""" believe- just like WATER CYCLE, there is 'CARBON CYCLE'.

But this cycle takes long long time and need intervention.


solid C (organism)- liquid C (oil) - CO2- organisms




When I was very young- some ingo/ngo used to promote 'save tree, use aluminum door/window'.

I was very young and still I was like- Tree grows but what happens if aluminum runs out?


Great minds are born, not made.
« Last edit by The Rising Sun on Sun Feb 18, 2024 7:08 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
Only three power can stop Gaza genocide:

1: The world

2: US

3: Middle eastern dictators: They wont cause they only care for their own personal benefit. When they got close to Russia/China, I thought- they wanted to free themselves from west since balance of power is shifting which gave them the opportunity, turned out, they are just putting their legs in both boat- for their individual benefit.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
""""I""""s fact: 'I' ask Gods and Goddesses for things. But, 'I' thank Mata Saraswati for what She has given 'I'.


Happy Saraswati Puja!
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
How to solve China's housing crisis?

* Increase economic activity to increase purchasing power.

* To sell 35% unsold housing stocks- offer housing loan at 0% interest.

* After clearing 35% stocks, to sell another 35% stock- offer housing loan at 1.5/3% interest.

* Make sure, there wont be over supply in future.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
Imran Khan may get 55-65% votes, but the question would be- who will be declared winner????
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
HANG SENG INDEX -0.34%

SSE Composite Index +1.44%

Shenzhen Index +2.93%





Chinese Government should write down in their 'share market code of conduct'-

- When share market collapses- let's say 100 makes profit while 100 thousand go into huge loss. Which makes share market and economy weak.

So never let collapse of share market. If you let, cost for the government and society will be huge. Like, today, Chinese government may have to make 50trilliona yuan fund available to rescue the share market.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
To save China's economy, Chinese govt may have to pump 80 trillion yuan (or at least, make that kind of fund available. All fund may not be needed though). If there will be Trump's trade war, then, that fund could reach 120 trillion yuan.


- What lead to this economic threat?

I did warned at that time. I did say, Company like Alibaba built China, not CCP.

Chinese government attacked companies. Remember, how arrogant they were, just like in Nepal- NRB, finance minister Sharma and his team.

Then came attack on housing. When Chinese government stopped funding for even the projects which were already sold- I was like, what kind of dumb were running Chinese economy?


Then finally, Chinese government realized their mistake a year or two ago- but it was already too little too late. Now they need 80trillion yuan now and when Trump wins, they need to increase the fund to 120 trillion yuan.




HANG SENG INDEX +4.04%

SSE Composite Index +3.23%

Shenzhen Index +6.22%








Sati ko sarap- Government of Nepal still does not know that Nepal's economy has collapsed and is in coma.
« Last edit by The Rising Sun on Tue Feb 06, 2024 11:37 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
Trump promised to raise import tax on Chinese goods more than 60%. (That's far less than Nepal's import tax)



Ever Communist economies have collapsed in the past, including USSR. China may have Capitalist economy, but it is ran by communist with commie mentality.





China needs to hire real good economists.

China's policy under these circumstance should be- achieving goals:

* Current goal- China needs to increase domestic consumption by 50% within 2/3 year. And increase share market to 150% of GDP.

* As soon as Trump start talking about raising import tax after he wins election- China's goal should be increasing domestic consumption by 100% within 3/4 year. And share market to 150% of GDP.


China not just focus in domestic consumption and GDP but also intervien to raise domestic consumption and GDP of friendly countries.






Today's economy is very complicated. If you don't take it seriously, it could collapse over night. And could fall into coma just like Nepal's economy.

Remember I have been saying- Pakeh le des chalauen haina. Bahun le des chalaune haina.

SECOND TO GOD- did warn everyone.


(BTW- SECOND TO GOD- can revive Nepal's most of the economy within 3month, can spread positive vibe in 24 hour)
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
China Academic Calls for $1.4 Trillion Stock Stabilization Fund

China should set up a stocks stabilization fund as soon as possible to boost market confidence, with an aim to get its size to 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) or more, according to an academic at a government think tank.





- Chinese government recently started fund of about 450billion$ to support their stock market.

- My advice was, China should make 50trillion yuan available for their stock market. China should divert about 50% saving of chinese people into Stock market. Total saving around 18Trillion$.

Chinese Market capitalization is round 9trillion$.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
China and US GDP growing while economy in crisis:

US: US economy is in huge crisis but their GDP grew cause govt printed around 2 trillion $.

China: China's economy- in sectors wise- in crisis but their GDP grew by 5.4%. I believe it could be cause China invested 1.7 trillion $ in renewable alone in 2023.



I have said this before: US has inflation problem, could be cause they are pulling out investment from China. Same reason could be the reason, there is some crisis in China's economy and deflation.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
If China dont handle 'Chinese economy and share market' soon, China will face deep crisis like in Nepal.


China needs to pump economy with 30trillion yuan. 10 inside China and 20 outside China.

And China should make 50trillion yuan available for share market.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
Russia is having their election this year.

Anglozoo will increase activity in Ukraine war.


Even after 2000 year history with zoo, Ukraine still voted for a zoo and Ukrainians are paying with their blood.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
After grand success of '2023 prediction', ""I"" here present you '2024 prediction'

11: EV rule begin- In 2023 it's share is 16%, in 2024 it will get close to 22%. Sanction on Chinese EV has already begun.




---- By the end of 2024, EV battery price will fall by around 45%. CATL, BYD.

So price of Bigger car may fall by around 15%.

It's over for ICE. EV may control 80% of consumer market by 2030.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
The creation of Israel is the worst mistake Zoo committed.

Before the creation of Israel, Zoo been committing war crime, genocide, crime against humanity, loot, bribe, pedophilia etc etc using others.

After the creation of Israel, Zoo cant blame crime committed by Israel and Israel society on others.

Also, if Israel had not been created, Zoo could have said, not all zoo are evil, just a handful of zoos in power are evil.

After the creation of Israel, the world could see, openly/without confusion, more than 80/90% of zoos are evil.

Pure evil!


(((Be careful what you wish for)))
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
It is said- Chinese public have 18$trillion in saving.

That is what is keeping Chinese from becoming super rich.

Chinese govt should tell those savers to invest in stock- Below 50 yr can invest 50% in stock and above 50yr can invest 25% of their saving into stock market.


In short time, their wealth will double. And help the country as well in process and end the anglozoo's hegemony too.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
Every government dreams of doubling their economy overnight.

No1 reason preventing it is hyper inflation.

But China has deflation. Which gives China huge opportunity to double their market size within 2/3 year.

""I"" suggest China to inject 10 trillion Yuan into Chinese market and 20 trillion into international market.


Rest of the world (west vs rest) needs China to double their domestic market/consumption asap.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
China is in a great position to increase their domestic consumption by 50% within 2/3 year due to deflation.

By doing so, China could make their economy more independent and increase influence.

""I"" suggest China to inject 10 trillion Yuan into Chinese market and 20 trillion into international market.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
After grand success of '2023 prediction', ""I"" here present you '2024 prediction'

1: I think 2024 will decide between 'War or Peace' for at least a decade or two.

2: The world may see some peace for a few year (at least), no big wars like- Ukraine, Gaza.

3: I also think, 2024 will decide where the economic power center moving and will remain that way for many decades.

4: Western world will focus on Economy/economic recovery/economic relation with China/Russia/Others.

5: Gold UP, Dollar down.

6: GDP in dollar term of countries will face drastic change- most countries' will go up. My 2020s prediction was- 'China will become no1 economy in mid 2020s, and few years later, I gave the date-2024. So will it happen? It depends on- how much dollar will weaken and how big will be US recession?

7: Balance of power- economy, military-'s shift will accelerate toward rest (west vs rest), more than during 2023.

8: China's rise as technological power. Almost out of High end Chip problem. Chinese EV going global commercially but sanction by west especially by US- or higher tax.

9: Western Money will move to rest of the world.

10: India's relation with US will change in 2024. Question is, will India become bigger vassal or freer. Assassination accusation is the catalyst.

11: EV rule begin- In 2023 it's share is 16%, in 2024 it will get close to 22%. Sanction on Chinese EV has already begun.

12: One of my prediction of 2023 was, 2023 will show us what will happen in 2024/25 and future. Gaza war has a big effect. So is Houthis- cause of Red Sea.
US will think 100 times before starting war with Iran. And Cause of Houthis- 5eyes' plan to sea blockade of China (also Russia) will be complicated. It is looking like, in blockade war- 5eye is more venerable than China and Russia.

13: Most of those who supported Ukraine will lose election. I think there will be election in Argentina in 2024 or 25.

14: Recovery of Nepal's economy- if govt try little harder. Prachanda (and finance minister) will regret for delaying economic recovery plan since he only has one year left. But cooperative may not come out of crisis in 2024.

15: NEPSE will break record.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
2023 prediction analysis:

1: Eurasia will get closer. (Indeed, got closer. Gaza Genocide made them even more closer they have ever been. West, mostly US/UK are kind of isolated. Even India seems like got slightly away from US)

2: World economy will shift more towards eurasia. (You may not see in data cause of Money printing- west is devastated by Ukraine war. They say, Germany is destroyed, Japan/korea in big problem, US is in deep problem- only 10% money printing is making data look not too bad, EU is in problem too. Russia is doing great, China is doing fine had been better if their govt had done more)

3: If there is no peace in Ukraine, Russia will hit Ukraine harder and world may witness frozen conflict. (Russia is hitting Ukraine harder. Ukraine is close to collapse. US been proposing frozen conflict, but Russia still not ready. Now, US/west pushing for unofficial frozen conflict- i.e. going for defensive war after totally failed with huge loss counter offense)

4: EV will see start of the commercialization. (In 2023, EV share of total Car sold is around 17%.)

5: EU, US, G7 economy will crash. (Germany, Japan crashed, worst economic condition probably since wwii, but data dont reflect the truth. US has not crashed as per GDP data, but other data says- crash. Crisis in EU too)

6: Eurasian financial block will begin. (Minor block has been formed in BRICS+, Yuan use has increased, even in SWIFT data, US dollar as reserve has decreased a little to below 60%. Local currency use has increased between traders. Non SWIFT has increased by a lot)

7: China will over come chips difficulties. (Hawaii has introduced their own 5G phone. They are talking about 3nm chips but I cant understand, what technology/method they are talking about. They are introducing many high end chips)

8: 2023 may give us clear picture of what's coming up in 2024/25. (Gaza Genocide has become the catalyst- which has isolated west/mostly US and UK. US accusing India of attempted murder is another catalyst in US/West-India relation; which could lead to BRICS+ currency which India been stalling)

9: Balance of power will shift towards eurasia- economic, military, political, technological etc. (Huge shift, especially due to Gaza war, Ukraine close to collapse, Houthis, technological progress made by China)

10: NEPSE BOOM BOOM (In terms of number, BOOM BOOM has not begun but confidence of BOOM BOOM in investor is there, If PM's action happened 6 month earlier, we would have seen boom boom in numbers too)




""I"" would claim- prediction has been accurate by 85%.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
"""I""" would like to present my analysis and prediction about 'using US Dollar as domestic currency'.





Argentina's President Milei said, would use US$ for domestic use:

So what will be the economic impact? Someone will buy Argentina for 1$.


Let me be realistic. If $ is used in Argentina for domestic use, the price of whole Argentina will be 1trillion dollar. China will easily buy them. Other countries who could afford would be Japan and Germany.

Today, its value could be around 4trillion dollar. Their GDP is about 650billion$. After using $, their GDP may crash to 250billion$.







Assets value: Assets that can be traded in international market like fuel, metal, food etc wont impact much in value, will remain as per international rate. But assets like land and building, those assets that cant be sold in international market will fall sharply.

Rent, salary, cost of services will fall sharply. People/country will become poorer.





When US prints $, that dollar will circulate inside US first, US gets some benefit, but Argentina will lose every time US prints $.



If they use $$, US and west will be able to stop transaction of any individual as they like outside Argentina.




Since, they wont be able to print money, they will have to lend from other countries during fiscal crisis. And they will fall into bigger debt trap than today, more like Pakistan or far worse. The real debt trap. Even for little money, they will have to borrow from outside.


Private debt, public debt will be devastating and will fall into an un imaginable crisis even with slight problem.


Their economy will totally rely on export and their economy will stagnate.

If cash is damaged, they will be done.



They will have zero control over their Monetary policy.



Since using foreign currency will lead to depression, you wont be able to reduce interest or increase supply of money to get into good inflation. If interest is decreased, money will flow outside, and to increase money supply, you will have to borrow from others. And while paying interest, money will flow outside.






Even with minor crisis, their money will easily exit which will collapse the economy. Value of assets will fall to close to zero like War torn courtiers like Afghanistan.




Conclusion: No control over fiscal and monetary policy. Best case scenario for economy would be stagnation but most likely scenario would be deflation. Wealth value will collapse. Blackmail/Sanction threat from outside.


Pegging would be far better.




[Ps- I did all above analysis under 45monute.]
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
Some wishful thinking in the west and India: Chinese economy crashing, Chinese economy falling into middle income trap, China becoming Japanification.



- Chinese economy is not crashing. Current some crisis is due to Chinese govt tightening, attacking on corporation few year ago. And it will easily be fixed.


- China wont fall into middle income trap. It means- China peaked mid tech economy and not competitive enough to enter high income country. Wont happen since- China is leader in most of the high tech. Only problem is semi conductor. But remember, China is the only country in the world who has domestic supply chain in semi conductor.

And also dont forget, western technology rely on Chinese- engineers and scientists.


- And China wont fall into Japanese like trap. Cause, Japan crisis happened when Japan was on top of the economy then US/West destroyed them. While China just entered high tech economy, China about to enter low lever of high income country. And China rules in most of the important technology. And China is not small like Japan or France. China is bigger than NATO, West. Meaning, China is about to begin from low.







In other news- Japan and France about to make 1nm chips. Remember, Japan and France were sanctioned by US, destroyed their economy by US for becoming better than US in technology, decades back.

Now, why are they about to become better than US in chips technology. Why disclose now, why entering into chips competition now??? Cause, China and Russia have created multi polar world. Now, Japan and France are confident enough to challenge US. Now, US wont dare to sanction Japan and France for this.











Milei from Argentina seems like Zelenski from Ukraine.

--
Milei worked as an economist for 13 years for an Argentinian oligarch, Eduardo Eurnekian.

The "Zelensky of Argentina" was promoted on the oligarch's TV channels.

And Milei's fascination - fake or not - with Judaism might be because the oligarch is Jewish.

--



Another question: Did US/UK used international people/nation inside a nation to destroy Argentina's economy, destroy Argentina's Currency?
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
During Covid- People learnt more about virus.

During Ukraine war- People learnt more about european history.

Now, during Gaza war- People are learning more about middle east.



""I"" did my PHd in virus during Covid. People learned too.





"""I""" learnt the most during Ukraine war. Before Ukarine war, I thought Anglozoo been trying to start that war, cold war since 1990s. Months later I found out Soros entered Ukraine 40 year ago. And about 2 year later, I found out, Anglozoo been planning Ukraine war while WWII was on going.

I also found out, USSR was the Ukraine of WWII. They were the proxies. Zoos were the commie, and zoo controlled USSR from behind, who could had dragged USSR into the war, just like most of the unwilling countries.

Before the war, I thought, europeans wanted to free themselves from anglozoo, turned out, 90% of european politicians, bureaucracy, media, generals, intelligence are all in payroll of anglozoo and are being blackmailed.


I already knew about Ukraine war so much that I created the thread 'Conspiracy theory' to warn the world.









""I"" learned least during Gaza war. Only think, till now, only major thing I have learnt is- Hamas was created by Israel (CIA/Mossad/MI6/Qatar). Others are past atrocity of zoo on Palestine.

People are learning about Palestine, Israel, Middle east now cause of the war like- The Bin Laden's letter, how evil are zoo, who controls the west (G-Z thought they controlled west), etc.





May be, I should share with others regarding my knowledge about Zoo during this war.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
Thanks to Gaza war: Transvestite found out that 'they have zero control over western- government, media, social media, corporation, bank, society, university, school ...'.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7319
Face reading: Hitler Vs Netanyahu


Yesterday, I watched some videos and speeches of Hitler. He did not seem like genocidal. His face, body language said- he was defending his country, people.

(There were many other concentration camps during wwii- for Germany, for Japanese; controlled by west/US too. Where millions said to have died too. Meaning all were evil. The most evil from wwii could be Churchill.)





Last few weeks, I have been reading face and body language of Netanyahu. He is the one who looked like genocidal, narcissist, psychopathic, Sociopath (all in one).

When he is pushing (speech/talk) for genocide- he tends to tilt his head slightly down.

And when he is disrespecting person he is talking to- he tens to smirk a little.

Post Reply

Page: 1 2 3 4 5 ... > »

Sharesansar Forum Powered By Miracle Hub