Author |
Post |
|
#26 Tue Mar 05, 2024 8:01 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
"""I"""s this prediction rate has been absolute.
SECOND TO GOD been saying for years- those finance minister 'who hate share market or ignore share market' go on to destroy not just share market but also economy.
सेयर बजारप्रति गभर्नर भन्दा निर्मम थिए अर्थमन्त्री महत, रिक्स वेटेज घट्न नदिनेमा समेत बनेका थिए बाधक
This prediction has come true for at least half a dozen time. I have been watchin Nepal's economy and share market for more than 19 year now. And I made this prediction around 5 year back.
---------
"If person in power have following views, Economy/share market would crash under his leadership: 1: If ignores share market or is anti share market 2: Talks about productive sector and unproductive sector 3: If talks about economic independency of country or making self sufficient in manufacturing 4: If hates other's profit 5: If talks about socialism or communist economy 6: If talks about nationalizing 7: If gives important to distributing free stuffs 8: If talks about controlling 9: ............. "- SECOND TO GOD
Another predictions have come true too. ----------------
Another prediction also has come ture. """I""""s 2024 prediction.
""I"" here present you '2024 prediction'
14: Recovery of Nepal's economy- if govt try little harder. Prachanda (and finance minister) will regret for delaying economic recovery plan since he only has one year left. But cooperative may not come out of crisis in 2024.
This prediction has come true in the third month of the year.
|
|
#27 Fri Mar 01, 2024 6:09 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
Israel-Gaza war: More than 100 killed as crowd waits for aid
"""I""" could like to predict that "Israel wont exist in next century".
|
|
#28 Thu Feb 29, 2024 7:52 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
""""I"""" told you so:::
Years back I said- if People demand high interest on deposit, they may even lose their principle.
4-6 year back- I believe- I predicted, Cooperative will be the first one to go bankrupt.
It's amazing, even after cooperatives went bankrupt- Governor/NRB, Finance minister, PM did nothing to prevent economic collapse. It tells us- what kind of dumb are ruling this sh!thole country.
Cause they ignored cooperative collapse (caused by economic collapse forced by NRB) .... then came micro finance collapse. ..... what next ---- NRB, Government is still not doing anything significant to deal with economic collapse. I almost forgot about IMF. IMF also has hand in the collapse of Nepal's economy.
It's already too late, but still only SECOND TO GOD can fix this from total collapse. I can restrict collapse in BFIs under .25-.5% and collapse in Cooperative to 5-15%. (read again this paragraph)
-----------------------
Thu Dec 22, 2022 1:41 pm
* We had one crisis- Foreign currency crisis (Which could have been easily dealt by banning import[short term] and increase export [long term])
* Then in the name of solving foriegn currency crisis- NRB destroyed share market (this could be motivated due to jealousy of bahunbad, due to bahunbad getting angry for not getting bribe from investors [its amazing, big investors who bribe bureaucrats and politician in other matter are also share investors but they won tell their doggo in bureaucracy to fix share market])
- NRB destroyed economy (Since you are dumb- destruction of economy includes- collapse of business, collapse of jobs, collapse of govt revenue, destruction of investment, etc etc, meaning of economy is huge)
- NRB tightened loan policies (Probably Nepal is the only country in the world where giving and taking loan is a crime, why- bahunbad)
- NRB forcefully created liquidity crisis instead of solving it (destroyed blood line of the economy. In US fed making sure, there wont be problem with liquidity)
- NRB forcefully increased interest rate to 18% (This destroyed existing economy. Dumb in Nepal may not know, Fed or other country increasing rate means increasing rate of money banks take from govt. and they increase to discourage banks from taking loan from govt, real rate is not that high. But in Nepal- real rate has reached 18% and first casualty is about to be cooperative- garbage created by socialist and communist politician to loot and feed their doggo)
{{{{{{{{{first casualty is about to be cooperative---------- Look, I did warn}}}}}}}}}}
And Except for me, No body ask or talk about- why NRB (and their supporter- bureaucracy, media, patrakar, fake expert, alchin commenting in media/social media who supported in NRB's destruction) destroyed everything in the economy just to fix foreign currency problem which could easily have been fixed without destroying the whole economy?????
Let me repeat again, I AM THE ONLY ONE IN NEPAL WHO UNDERSTANDS ECONOMY.
Plz, somebody hang alchinas (most of them are bahuns btw. I know, do you know why its always bahun?) from talking in the media and social media.
-------------------------
Mon Jan 02, 2023 1:00 pm
Cooperative crisis:
When interest rate was going up by a lot, when NRB was forcing BFIs to increase interest by a lot, when govt wanted to increase interest .......... cooperative was- instead of telling govt that if interest rate goes up by a lot, economy will collapse, cooperative will collapse, there will be huge NPL in BFIs- what cooperative demanded/talked about? they were demanding NRB to let them increase interest rate too.
{{{{{Look I warned so many times-------- instead of telling govt that if interest rate goes up by a lot, economy will collapse, cooperative will collapse, there will be huge NPL in BFIs- what cooperative demanded/talked about? they were demanding NRB to let them increase interest rate too.}}}}}}
I had warned about this. I have been raising voice regarding this. Very few had similar view like mine. Many were supporting NRB.
People running cooperative should be qualified- who understands economy, banking, finance, money, business .....
Just like those in NRB, banks, so called economic experts, cooperative running individuals are not qualified too.
For years, I been warning depositors that, if you demand high interest on deposit, you will lose your principle too. Depositors in cooperative are learning it the hard way.
With this crisis teach them- management in bfis, promoters, nrb bureaucrats, govt bureaucrats, politicians, so called civil society, media etc the lesson? I doubt.
{{{{Nope, this crisis did not teach them anything- then microfinance collapsed and today, we are talking about banking crisis and still NRB/finance minister/prime minister/so called expert still have not woken up}}}}
WHEN BORROWER SUFFER, EVERYTHING COLLAPSE.
-----------------------------------------------
And look at- all those study committee ....... instead of blaming the right reason they blame- cooperative collapsed cause they gave loan.
Lender giving loan caused default.
|
|
#29 Tue Feb 27, 2024 9:21 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
After grand success of '2023 prediction', ""I"" here present you '2024 prediction'
8: China's rise as technological power. Almost out of High end Chip problem. Chinese EV going global commercially but sanction by west especially by US- or higher tax.
*** State TV airs China's first AI-developed cartoon series, as Sora sets off frenzy for text-to-video generation tech
Just a few weeks ago, some US company demonstrated their 'text to video generation tech' sample, and today, China has released 'text to video generation AI' based series.
Where did the China got the Chips from which US dont even have??? Is China already using photonic chips (I forgot what it is called) they been talking about for last few years.
US and Taiwan based Chips share price rocked due to the revelation of text to video generation tech. After Chinese discloser, they may fall again. China may control AI based chips soon.
"West talked about developing sodium based rechargeable batteries, then few weeks later, 'China introduces EV with sodium based rechargeable battery'."
"Lately, NVIDIA CEO talked about AI doing coding. A year or two ago- I heard, no one will be able to replicate TIKTOK cause it's algorithm was coded by AI. so it is too complex and time consuming".
|
|
#30 Sun Feb 18, 2024 7:06 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
""I""" believe- just like WATER CYCLE, there is 'CARBON CYCLE'. But this cycle takes long long time and need intervention. solid C (organism)- liquid C (oil) - CO2- organismsWhen I was very young- some ingo/ngo used to promote ' save tree, use aluminum door/window'. I was very young and still I was like- Tree grows but what happens if aluminum runs out?Great minds are born, not made.
|
|
#31 Sat Feb 17, 2024 6:50 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
Only three power can stop Gaza genocide:
1: The world
2: US
3: Middle eastern dictators: They wont cause they only care for their own personal benefit. When they got close to Russia/China, I thought- they wanted to free themselves from west since balance of power is shifting which gave them the opportunity, turned out, they are just putting their legs in both boat- for their individual benefit.
|
|
#32 Wed Feb 14, 2024 3:12 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
""""I""""s fact: 'I' ask Gods and Goddesses for things. But, 'I' thank Mata Saraswati for what She has given 'I'.
Happy Saraswati Puja!
|
|
#33 Thu Feb 08, 2024 7:04 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
How to solve China's housing crisis?
* Increase economic activity to increase purchasing power.
* To sell 35% unsold housing stocks- offer housing loan at 0% interest.
* After clearing 35% stocks, to sell another 35% stock- offer housing loan at 1.5/3% interest.
* Make sure, there wont be over supply in future.
|
|
#34 Thu Feb 08, 2024 2:22 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
Imran Khan may get 55-65% votes, but the question would be- who will be declared winner????
|
|
#35 Wed Feb 07, 2024 3:20 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
HANG SENG INDEX -0.34%
SSE Composite Index +1.44%
Shenzhen Index +2.93%
Chinese Government should write down in their 'share market code of conduct'-
- When share market collapses- let's say 100 makes profit while 100 thousand go into huge loss. Which makes share market and economy weak.
So never let collapse of share market. If you let, cost for the government and society will be huge. Like, today, Chinese government may have to make 50trilliona yuan fund available to rescue the share market.
|
|
#36 Tue Feb 06, 2024 11:34 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
To save China's economy, Chinese govt may have to pump 80 trillion yuan (or at least, make that kind of fund available. All fund may not be needed though). If there will be Trump's trade war, then, that fund could reach 120 trillion yuan.- What lead to this economic threat? I did warned at that time. I did say, Company like Alibaba built China, not CCP. Chinese government attacked companies. Remember, how arrogant they were, just like in Nepal- NRB, finance minister Sharma and his team. Then came attack on housing. When Chinese government stopped funding for even the projects which were already sold- I was like, what kind of dumb were running Chinese economy? Then finally, Chinese government realized their mistake a year or two ago- but it was already too little too late. Now they need 80trillion yuan now and when Trump wins, they need to increase the fund to 120 trillion yuan. HANG SENG INDEX +4.04%
SSE Composite Index +3.23%
Shenzhen Index +6.22%Sati ko sarap- Government of Nepal still does not know that Nepal's economy has collapsed and is in coma.
|
|
#37 Mon Feb 05, 2024 2:37 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
Trump promised to raise import tax on Chinese goods more than 60%. (That's far less than Nepal's import tax)
Ever Communist economies have collapsed in the past, including USSR. China may have Capitalist economy, but it is ran by communist with commie mentality.
China needs to hire real good economists.
China's policy under these circumstance should be- achieving goals:
* Current goal- China needs to increase domestic consumption by 50% within 2/3 year. And increase share market to 150% of GDP.
* As soon as Trump start talking about raising import tax after he wins election- China's goal should be increasing domestic consumption by 100% within 3/4 year. And share market to 150% of GDP.
China not just focus in domestic consumption and GDP but also intervien to raise domestic consumption and GDP of friendly countries.
Today's economy is very complicated. If you don't take it seriously, it could collapse over night. And could fall into coma just like Nepal's economy.
Remember I have been saying- Pakeh le des chalauen haina. Bahun le des chalaune haina.
SECOND TO GOD- did warn everyone.
(BTW- SECOND TO GOD- can revive Nepal's most of the economy within 3month, can spread positive vibe in 24 hour)
|
|
#38 Sun Feb 04, 2024 7:05 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
China Academic Calls for $1.4 Trillion Stock Stabilization Fund
China should set up a stocks stabilization fund as soon as possible to boost market confidence, with an aim to get its size to 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) or more, according to an academic at a government think tank.
- Chinese government recently started fund of about 450billion$ to support their stock market.
- My advice was, China should make 50trillion yuan available for their stock market. China should divert about 50% saving of chinese people into Stock market. Total saving around 18Trillion$.
Chinese Market capitalization is round 9trillion$.
|
|
#39 Sun Feb 04, 2024 2:24 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
China and US GDP growing while economy in crisis:
US: US economy is in huge crisis but their GDP grew cause govt printed around 2 trillion $.
China: China's economy- in sectors wise- in crisis but their GDP grew by 5.4%. I believe it could be cause China invested 1.7 trillion $ in renewable alone in 2023.
I have said this before: US has inflation problem, could be cause they are pulling out investment from China. Same reason could be the reason, there is some crisis in China's economy and deflation.
|
|
#40 Sat Feb 03, 2024 1:52 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
If China dont handle 'Chinese economy and share market' soon, China will face deep crisis like in Nepal.
China needs to pump economy with 30trillion yuan. 10 inside China and 20 outside China.
And China should make 50trillion yuan available for share market.
|
|
#41 Fri Feb 02, 2024 2:19 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
Russia is having their election this year.
Anglozoo will increase activity in Ukraine war.
Even after 2000 year history with zoo, Ukraine still voted for a zoo and Ukrainians are paying with their blood.
|
|
#42 Tue Jan 30, 2024 2:12 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
After grand success of '2023 prediction', ""I"" here present you '2024 prediction'
11: EV rule begin- In 2023 it's share is 16%, in 2024 it will get close to 22%. Sanction on Chinese EV has already begun.
---- By the end of 2024, EV battery price will fall by around 45%. CATL, BYD.
So price of Bigger car may fall by around 15%.
It's over for ICE. EV may control 80% of consumer market by 2030.
|
|
#43 Sun Jan 28, 2024 2:49 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
The creation of Israel is the worst mistake Zoo committed.
Before the creation of Israel, Zoo been committing war crime, genocide, crime against humanity, loot, bribe, pedophilia etc etc using others.
After the creation of Israel, Zoo cant blame crime committed by Israel and Israel society on others.
Also, if Israel had not been created, Zoo could have said, not all zoo are evil, just a handful of zoos in power are evil.
After the creation of Israel, the world could see, openly/without confusion, more than 80/90% of zoos are evil.
Pure evil!
(((Be careful what you wish for)))
|
|
#44 Fri Jan 19, 2024 12:12 am
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
It is said- Chinese public have 18$trillion in saving.
That is what is keeping Chinese from becoming super rich.
Chinese govt should tell those savers to invest in stock- Below 50 yr can invest 50% in stock and above 50yr can invest 25% of their saving into stock market.
In short time, their wealth will double. And help the country as well in process and end the anglozoo's hegemony too.
|
|
#45 Tue Jan 16, 2024 11:32 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
Every government dreams of doubling their economy overnight.
No1 reason preventing it is hyper inflation.
But China has deflation. Which gives China huge opportunity to double their market size within 2/3 year.
""I"" suggest China to inject 10 trillion Yuan into Chinese market and 20 trillion into international market.
Rest of the world (west vs rest) needs China to double their domestic market/consumption asap.
|
|
#46 Mon Jan 08, 2024 7:07 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
China is in a great position to increase their domestic consumption by 50% within 2/3 year due to deflation.
By doing so, China could make their economy more independent and increase influence.
""I"" suggest China to inject 10 trillion Yuan into Chinese market and 20 trillion into international market.
|
|
#47 Sun Dec 31, 2023 11:30 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
After grand success of '2023 prediction', ""I"" here present you '2024 prediction'
1: I think 2024 will decide between 'War or Peace' for at least a decade or two.
2: The world may see some peace for a few year (at least), no big wars like- Ukraine, Gaza.
3: I also think, 2024 will decide where the economic power center moving and will remain that way for many decades.
4: Western world will focus on Economy/economic recovery/economic relation with China/Russia/Others.
5: Gold UP, Dollar down.
6: GDP in dollar term of countries will face drastic change- most countries' will go up. My 2020s prediction was- 'China will become no1 economy in mid 2020s, and few years later, I gave the date-2024. So will it happen? It depends on- how much dollar will weaken and how big will be US recession?
7: Balance of power- economy, military-'s shift will accelerate toward rest (west vs rest), more than during 2023.
8: China's rise as technological power. Almost out of High end Chip problem. Chinese EV going global commercially but sanction by west especially by US- or higher tax.
9: Western Money will move to rest of the world.
10: India's relation with US will change in 2024. Question is, will India become bigger vassal or freer. Assassination accusation is the catalyst.
11: EV rule begin- In 2023 it's share is 16%, in 2024 it will get close to 22%. Sanction on Chinese EV has already begun.
12: One of my prediction of 2023 was, 2023 will show us what will happen in 2024/25 and future. Gaza war has a big effect. So is Houthis- cause of Red Sea. US will think 100 times before starting war with Iran. And Cause of Houthis- 5eyes' plan to sea blockade of China (also Russia) will be complicated. It is looking like, in blockade war- 5eye is more venerable than China and Russia.
13: Most of those who supported Ukraine will lose election. I think there will be election in Argentina in 2024 or 25.
14: Recovery of Nepal's economy- if govt try little harder. Prachanda (and finance minister) will regret for delaying economic recovery plan since he only has one year left. But cooperative may not come out of crisis in 2024.
15: NEPSE will break record.
|
|
#48 Sat Dec 30, 2023 6:34 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
2023 prediction analysis:
1: Eurasia will get closer. (Indeed, got closer. Gaza Genocide made them even more closer they have ever been. West, mostly US/UK are kind of isolated. Even India seems like got slightly away from US)
2: World economy will shift more towards eurasia. (You may not see in data cause of Money printing- west is devastated by Ukraine war. They say, Germany is destroyed, Japan/korea in big problem, US is in deep problem- only 10% money printing is making data look not too bad, EU is in problem too. Russia is doing great, China is doing fine had been better if their govt had done more)
3: If there is no peace in Ukraine, Russia will hit Ukraine harder and world may witness frozen conflict. (Russia is hitting Ukraine harder. Ukraine is close to collapse. US been proposing frozen conflict, but Russia still not ready. Now, US/west pushing for unofficial frozen conflict- i.e. going for defensive war after totally failed with huge loss counter offense)
4: EV will see start of the commercialization. (In 2023, EV share of total Car sold is around 17%.)
5: EU, US, G7 economy will crash. (Germany, Japan crashed, worst economic condition probably since wwii, but data dont reflect the truth. US has not crashed as per GDP data, but other data says- crash. Crisis in EU too)
6: Eurasian financial block will begin. (Minor block has been formed in BRICS+, Yuan use has increased, even in SWIFT data, US dollar as reserve has decreased a little to below 60%. Local currency use has increased between traders. Non SWIFT has increased by a lot)
7: China will over come chips difficulties. (Hawaii has introduced their own 5G phone. They are talking about 3nm chips but I cant understand, what technology/method they are talking about. They are introducing many high end chips)
8: 2023 may give us clear picture of what's coming up in 2024/25. (Gaza Genocide has become the catalyst- which has isolated west/mostly US and UK. US accusing India of attempted murder is another catalyst in US/West-India relation; which could lead to BRICS+ currency which India been stalling)
9: Balance of power will shift towards eurasia- economic, military, political, technological etc. (Huge shift, especially due to Gaza war, Ukraine close to collapse, Houthis, technological progress made by China) 10: NEPSE BOOM BOOM (In terms of number, BOOM BOOM has not begun but confidence of BOOM BOOM in investor is there, If PM's action happened 6 month earlier, we would have seen boom boom in numbers too)
""I"" would claim- prediction has been accurate by 85%.
|
|
#49 Tue Nov 21, 2023 3:00 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
"""I""" would like to present my analysis and prediction about 'using US Dollar as domestic currency'.
Argentina's President Milei said, would use US$ for domestic use:
So what will be the economic impact? Someone will buy Argentina for 1$.
Let me be realistic. If $ is used in Argentina for domestic use, the price of whole Argentina will be 1trillion dollar. China will easily buy them. Other countries who could afford would be Japan and Germany.
Today, its value could be around 4trillion dollar. Their GDP is about 650billion$. After using $, their GDP may crash to 250billion$.
Assets value: Assets that can be traded in international market like fuel, metal, food etc wont impact much in value, will remain as per international rate. But assets like land and building, those assets that cant be sold in international market will fall sharply.
Rent, salary, cost of services will fall sharply. People/country will become poorer.
When US prints $, that dollar will circulate inside US first, US gets some benefit, but Argentina will lose every time US prints $.
If they use $$, US and west will be able to stop transaction of any individual as they like outside Argentina.
Since, they wont be able to print money, they will have to lend from other countries during fiscal crisis. And they will fall into bigger debt trap than today, more like Pakistan or far worse. The real debt trap. Even for little money, they will have to borrow from outside.
Private debt, public debt will be devastating and will fall into an un imaginable crisis even with slight problem.
Their economy will totally rely on export and their economy will stagnate.
If cash is damaged, they will be done.
They will have zero control over their Monetary policy.
Since using foreign currency will lead to depression, you wont be able to reduce interest or increase supply of money to get into good inflation. If interest is decreased, money will flow outside, and to increase money supply, you will have to borrow from others. And while paying interest, money will flow outside.
Even with minor crisis, their money will easily exit which will collapse the economy. Value of assets will fall to close to zero like War torn courtiers like Afghanistan.
Conclusion: No control over fiscal and monetary policy. Best case scenario for economy would be stagnation but most likely scenario would be deflation. Wealth value will collapse. Blackmail/Sanction threat from outside.
Pegging would be far better.
[Ps- I did all above analysis under 45monute.]
|
|
#50 Mon Nov 20, 2023 10:23 pm
|
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7657
|
Some wishful thinking in the west and India: Chinese economy crashing, Chinese economy falling into middle income trap, China becoming Japanification.
- Chinese economy is not crashing. Current some crisis is due to Chinese govt tightening, attacking on corporation few year ago. And it will easily be fixed.
- China wont fall into middle income trap. It means- China peaked mid tech economy and not competitive enough to enter high income country. Wont happen since- China is leader in most of the high tech. Only problem is semi conductor. But remember, China is the only country in the world who has domestic supply chain in semi conductor.
And also dont forget, western technology rely on Chinese- engineers and scientists.
- And China wont fall into Japanese like trap. Cause, Japan crisis happened when Japan was on top of the economy then US/West destroyed them. While China just entered high tech economy, China about to enter low lever of high income country. And China rules in most of the important technology. And China is not small like Japan or France. China is bigger than NATO, West. Meaning, China is about to begin from low.
In other news- Japan and France about to make 1nm chips. Remember, Japan and France were sanctioned by US, destroyed their economy by US for becoming better than US in technology, decades back.
Now, why are they about to become better than US in chips technology. Why disclose now, why entering into chips competition now??? Cause, China and Russia have created multi polar world. Now, Japan and France are confident enough to challenge US. Now, US wont dare to sanction Japan and France for this.
Milei from Argentina seems like Zelenski from Ukraine.
-- Milei worked as an economist for 13 years for an Argentinian oligarch, Eduardo Eurnekian.
The "Zelensky of Argentina" was promoted on the oligarch's TV channels.
And Milei's fascination - fake or not - with Judaism might be because the oligarch is Jewish.
--
Another question: Did US/UK used international people/nation inside a nation to destroy Argentina's economy, destroy Argentina's Currency?
|