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Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada University Of Economics

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Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4690
« Last edit by The Rising Sun on Sat Mar 31, 2018 7:51 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4690
Student- There was an analysis about "China US trade war" by no body.
He was saying
1st stage- "if there is full scale trade war- US would loose 150B market in China and China would loose 500B market in US".

2nd stage- "Product China used to export to US wont be produced by US, cause cost of production in US would still be high, so some other country would sell that product to US, since, that countries could not sell/compete earlier cause they could not compete with Chinese supplier in terms of price and/or quality"

3rd stage- "Buying from third country the products US used to buy from China means, there will be inflation, price of those goods will be higher which means more people will become poorer in US".

In the one hand, US lost 150B market in China and in the other hand, US consumer are paying higher price, which will increase cost of production in US which will further make US less competitive in the international market.

But In case of China, those who replace China in US will get richer, who will buy more from China. Let's say China lost 500B in US but China may sell 100B worth of extra product to new supplying countries of US.

So, in US/China trade war, China would loose 400B + some job loss + Positive trade balance will be less while US would loose 150B (bigger trade deficit)+ higher inflation (higher poverty) + less competitiveness (less employment).

Student- What do you think of the analysis, sir??

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Economy means "demand and supply".

Student- :shock:
« Last edit by The Rising Sun on Thu Mar 29, 2018 5:11 pm. »
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Registered: Oct 2013
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Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Sugar and Share are same, Both starts with "S".

Student- Brilliant.

(Oli has chosen a great economist, after yubaraj FMship is over, may be India, WB, Russia, China, US, Japan will be fighting with each other to hire him. Great job Oli, Now I want my vote back)
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4690
Student- Hong Kong govt wants to share its $18bn surplus with 2.8mn citizens

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- So.

Student- They are saying, keeping Cash outside the system is bad, Cash not spending is bad. That is why they are distributing cash so that they would spend and run market economy smoothly.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Zzzzzzzzz

Student- In Nepal, around 40% equivalent of GDP, Cash is outside the system in the govt vault collected in the name of tax, in the Name of CD ratio in the BFIs, In the name of capital and reserve in the Bfis.

Student- Would not keeping so much cash outside the system harm economy. Dont you think, even if we inject 3/4th of that cash into the system would increase our GDP growth by double digit for at least 10 year?

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Zzzzzzzzzzzz !!!!!!!!
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
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Student- Sir, your sun bathing must be over, now you must be rain dancing. Banking, share market are doing fine, they are following natural course.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4690
I support half of what you say, deepak ji. Yuraj k should not make public comment, especially when Nepal or any country need a fixed rate, not high nor low.

But, idiots media, public wants more interest. They dont understand high interest will ultimately destroy them. They dont understand economy.

They have short memory- during housing crisis, there was liquidity problem, and those BFIs who used to give highest rates are the ones who could not return depositor's deposit. Idiots pubic would drown into a pan while trying to grab chicken drum.

In this case, one is the right thing, but media sentiment is another. So Fiance minister should solve this quietly and immediately.

Since deepak ji, you want NEPSE to crash, may be that is why, you dont want this problem to be solved. Leaving this issue to incompetent NRB, governor would be like magnifying the crisis.

NRB wont solve this problem, finance minister has to do it.

Nepal is far more important than some conflict with some governor. They have enough reason (incompetency) to sack governor. Solve this problem immediately or it will go our of our hand.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1456
NIC ASIA is isolated like Qatar :-

There was GCC here in NBA.

I think FM should not inter fair better he should stay Away from this event if he makes any comment then again this could lead to Controversy just like Productive & Unproductive Sectors. Which could tarnish his image as a FM.

IF asked any question about it then he should say there is a concerned Department for the same to look into these kind of Issue.

He should throw the ball to Governor if he is smart Enough !!!

If Governor is unable to Manage this issue then this could trigger his EXIT as a Governor, If he manages then his Job is safe !! God know whether this is a planned modal of Sting Operation against current Governor.
or its just my Imagination !! I hope its a imagination Only..

:mrgreen: :lol: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4690
Student- I met with the same woman yesterday, this time, she was sober.

Student- This time, I over heard her saying "wealth is like a tree and economy is like fruits it produces" and added "Just like without tree there wont be a fruit and without fruit, the value of the tree diminishes, same is with the wealth and economy"

Student- She again added "Wealth is not just important for investment but very important to consumption too. The person with little wealth is likely to spend less of his/her income than the person with bigger wealth". "Wealth is needed to drive market economy".

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Wealth=tree???? can we make furniture out of wealth. Mental!!


Student- NIC Asia Bank सँग कुनै पनि कारोबार नगर्न २७ बैंकबीच सहमति. Should Finance minister hold emergency meeting over this issue??? What is your view???

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- I am busy right now, I am sun bathing.
« Last edit by The Rising Sun on Fri Mar 09, 2018 2:27 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4690
Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Today we study about "correlation between wealth, capital gain, investment, economy and psychology"

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- The answer is 'absolutely nothing', there no relation between wealth, capital gain, investment, economy and psychology.

Student- In the last weekend, I went to a bar with friends, there was one drunk woman who claimed herself to be an scholar of 'University of Economics of 21st century' I overheard her saying- Only those individuals who has wealth invest in business, if s/he makes capital gain, the person increases investment if opportunity is there to make profit.

Wealth, profit gain(increase in wealth) are the motivators behind investment or addition in investment.

Without investment there is no economy, there is no creation of jobs, no revenue for govt, so Nation should give importance to wealth and capital gain too.
She adds, 'but the valuation of wealth, capital gain should be determined by the possible return like rent, dividend and their reasonable gain'. In economics, there is not good or bad, there is no right or wrong. In economics there is only right amount, right number, over and under.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- That's just, alcohol in her talking.

Student- But sir, I heard, when person is drunk, they speak up their mind.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- She is delusional. That makes her believe, what she think is the truth.

Student- You are right sir, she must be a wacko. I made a move on her so many times, she never responded back.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- When I was in 'University of Swarg', Gandhi himself taught me economics. His philosophy was "if you want milk- raise a goat, if you need cloth- knit one".

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Cause of Gandhi's teaching, Economics today run in the vein of Indians, who learnt to utilize resource in the best possible way.

During the day, they use their beautiful road for travelling and at night, they turn them into lodging for 10s of millions.
Nepal should learn from them and stop running after wealth. You know what, govt should ban wealth.

Student- Gandhi is a genius, no wonder, world follows his teaching.
Member
Registered: Sep 2013
Posts: 222
thank you The Rising Sun sir and bluechipsnepal .
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 552
Rising Sir, went through your 101 Economics, hilarious.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4690
bluechipsnepal- Professor Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada will get back to your query in next chapter "correlation between wealth, capital gain, investment, economy and psychology" as soon as he is happy or really pissed.
Member
Registered: Feb 2014
Posts: 34
Reply
Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Cement factory is productive sector.

Student- Exactly sir, Invest in cement industry, produce cement, then public buys cement and builds house, and creates job, all good and nothing but good.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Wait right there. I did not say, building house is good. Housing sector is unproductive.

Student- You mean producing cement is good but, buying cement to build house is bad.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Exactly.

Student- Then, What to do with the cement.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Build dam, and provide irrigation.

.................................................................................................................................................
.................................................................................................................................................

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada University Of Economics 101. :mrgreen:


The way how you interpreting the productive and unproductive is totally wrong Mr. The Rising Sun, you have to look after the value-addition behind or after the assets you purchase.

The example you have given housing is "Unproductive" is totally wrong but ofcourse "Real Estate" Which means here is only purchase a piece of land, break it into various part and sell it to the others is "Unproductive". Again the productive is "primary" or "supplementary" the same thing applies for "Unproductive" either it is necessary or luxury, again another terms comes up, either for "return on equity" or "speculation" for "capital gain"

The most debate here ongoing in the country is "our country" will be continuing the "Free Economy" or we are going to adopt "Controlled J.M. Keynes theory based Economy"?

"So best is - 'be into correct chapter!'"
Member
Registered: Feb 2014
Posts: 34
Africa ma stock exchange ko status ekdamai poor chha.

Ethiopia ma Stock exchange chhaina, teha kewal Ethiopia Commodity Exchange (ECX) Chha, which is known for coffee trading globally.

Rwanda ma kewal name matrai ko stock exchange chha jaha ajhai pani trading pit ma whiteboard ma lekhera karobar huncha.

Stock exchange kei baliyo presence vaneko Southafrica, Kenya, Nigeria jasta british or other western countries ko rules vayeko african countries ma dekhna sakincha.

Guys you can check the exchanges list in Africa from this link:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_African_stock_exchanges
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4690
Abhi- I dont use facebook, you can do it.

Yo Yo- Ethopia has one of the highest GDP growth in the world, share market there must be doing good too. Don know about ruwanda.

Invest- media le suru gareo ko hawa le yuraj k lai pani udayo.

Ramesh N- Yes Share market not just create environment for investment, it also creates better transparency.

Deepak- Productive, unproductive are a big words, being used lightly like some fashion.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1456
I guess today Dr. Mahat comment has created a Climate for Crash.

He should have understood the sensitiveness of the Market.


Today Crash Credit Goes to Dr. Mahat for sure !!! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Feb 2014
Posts: 34
Guys, before commenting anything else, everyone should watch this series: 1-3: Commanding Heights
1) Commanding Heights Episode 1- Battle of Ideas : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DoWbm8zUG6Y
2) Commanding Heights Episode 2- Agony of Reform : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oykvdDm0qwk
3) Commanding Heights Episode 3- Rules of the Game : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bSGAJTJzgLA

You all will understand which theory he will be imposing in coming days.

Hope this will help our forum member here.
Member
Registered: Nov 2017
Posts: 20
Or may be big daddys are creating negative climate to crash market.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1456
Only B'coz of one Debatable comment of "Productive and Unproductive" had lead to crash in the Market.
8)
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 225
राइजिङ्ग सरकाे प्रस्तुति एकदमै राम्राे र सहज छ । एक जनाकाे अाम्दानी अर्काेकाे खर्चबाट भइरहेकाे हुन्छ, Productive र Unproductive काे विवाद किन । अर्थतन्त्र त्यसरी नै चलायमान भइरहेकाे हुन्छ । सेयर बजारमा सबै Sector हरु समेट्ने गरी सकेसम्म बढी कम्पनीहरुकाे काराेवार र हस्तान्तरण हुने व्यवस्थाबाट सरकारले अर्वाै रुपयाँ कमाउन सक्थ्याे । NCELL कै उदाहरणमा हेर्दा नेपालीबाट नेपालीमा र विदेशीहरुलाइ सेयर हस्तान्तरण अपत्यारिलाे मूल्यमा र लाभकर छल्ने उद्देश्यबाट भए गरेकाे देखिन्छ । सरकारले नियमन क्षमता बढाउने, सबै Sector हरुमा नियमन गर्ने संस्था बनाउने र सकेसम्म सबै कम्पनीहरुलाइ Stock Exchange मा सुचिकृत गर्नु पर्दछ, जसबाट देशकाे अार्थिक अवस्थाकाे एेना Share Market बन्न सक्दछ । अन्य देशहरुमा Share Market हेरेर नै देशकाे अवस्था मूल्याङ्कन गर्ने गरिन्छ, Share Market मा ठूलाे उतार चढाव अाउने वित्तिकै सरकारले सम्बाेधन गर्ने गर्दछ । नेपालमा Share Market लाइ चलखेल गर्ने थलाे बाट कहिले परिवर्तन गरिने हाे खै ।
« Last edit by Ramesh N on Tue Mar 06, 2018 10:29 am. »
Member
Registered: Nov 2017
Posts: 20
Lol.sahi ho rising sir.phd ni productive ra unproductive sector ma gare ka hun jasto xa.jata gayo tetai nara lagaune.
Member
Registered: Sep 2013
Posts: 222
अफि्कन मुलुक ईथियोपिया र रुवाण्डाको Index कति रहेछ ?कसैलाई जानकारि छ कि हजुर ?उत्शुकता जाग्यो सर ।
Member
Registered: Jul 2013
Posts: 75
Dami yeslai facebook ma post garnu parchha...
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4690
Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Cement factory is productive sector.

Student- Exactly sir, Invest in cement industry, produce cement, then public buys cement and builds house, and creates job, all good and nothing but good.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Wait right there. I did not say, building house is good. Housing sector is unproductive.

Student- You mean producing cement is good but, buying cement to build house is bad.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Exactly.

Student- Then, What to do with the cement.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Build dam, and provide irrigation.

Student- Nice. With irrigation, farmer will produce alu, which we can purchase at cheaper rate and feed ourselves and run economy.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Wait a minute, when did I say, buying alu is productive. Only selling is productive, not buying.

Student- Then what to do with alu, sir.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- We export alu. Export is productive.

Student- Sir, you are a genus. We sell alu to other country and buy cloth from them.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Why are you keeping on adding to what I say. I said export is good, I did not say Import is productive. Import is unproductive sector.

Student- If we dont buy their product, then how can we make them buy our product.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- That is not our problem, that is the problem of diplomats.

Student- If buying is unproductive then what do we eat, where do we sleep, what do we wear.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada- Govt should provide all to public for free. Distributing free stuff is productive.

Student- I already love communism sir. If there is communism, we can have as many wives, children as we can.

Student- GOD SAVE COMMUNISM, COMMUNISM SAVE THE WORLD.


Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada University Of Economics 101. :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4690
Months before election, when Oli formed a team involving Yuraj K, that made me happy, he has good knowledge. But when Oli made him Finance minister, I was confused- khusi, dar akai choti bhyo.

Quality in advise- good knowledge in certain area.

Quality in FM/CEO/Decision maker- person with best knowledge among individual who has positive attitude.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada has bad attitude, stubborn and good knowledge in same area but flaw knowledge in other area. Which is bad quality in decision maker. No body has all the knowledge required, so he need to rely on other in other area. Would Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada listen to other in area which he has no knowledge, If yes, can he identify which suggestions are good and which are not.

In nepal every body is expert, especially media. and media is very dangerous and dumb and manipulative. Media has been saying there is no liquidity crisis.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada, has good knowledge. when many where saying there is no liquidity crisis, he accepted liquidity crisis. But he is not good enough, so he could not see, liquidity crisis is a big crisis and should be dealt like some kind of emergency.

Dr.Yubaraj Khatiwada, cant even see that share market and investment is same. He wants to bring investment from all over the world, wants private sector to invest but he cant see, share market is where we invest.

I liked Oli cause of his attitude, not cause of his ability.

OLI LE INVESTOR LAI DHOKA TA DEYANA???

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