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NEPSE TO HIT 1000/- mark in coming days !!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
The market is still under Selling Pressure with limited Turnover indicates many of traders who had put bullish bets are stuck in their Position with limited cash in hand. Bears are encashing their shares with every rise or rally in the market.

Market need fresh money to move up. Until or unless new cash don't come in the market the market is unlikely to move up.

Smart investor are sitting on Cash and looking for the 1200/- with question whether there it take support or break that Physological Support. If market takes U Turn from 1200 then Smart money will enter the market again.

If not then may be @ 1182-85 level. :x

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
Last week Market has Broken Crucial Support level thus indicating further Down side to continue. We might witness some technical bounce back, which is just a relief rally only but not a Bull Move.

1200/- to act as Physological Support.

If We take a U Turn from 1200/- then we could Buy at those levels.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
Time to Go a Long Leave for Now. May be back after the Leave !!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 630
5 out of 10 TOP losers are MICROFINANCE till 2 PM.
MICRO index will probably hit the target of 1360 before significant bounce back.
« Last edit by Dubosi7 on Thu Aug 08, 2019 2:09 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
Yesterday Micro Fiance after 30% Retracement from Top till Tuesday, Yesterday formed Bull Engulfing Pattern. Now again it is going to New High on the MICRO Index !!


Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4846
Micro has began to rise, but same micros which hit more than a dozen circuit few days ago started to hit circuit again and strong micros still not showing sign of life yet :roll: ...... another failed TA prediction????????
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
As to Many it looks the Resistance of 1252/- has been broken. But due to Central Bank Policy and Other News Factor there has been adjustment in the Resitance and Support level as forecasted earlier. We had discounted the Level by 10 Points.

So Earlier projected Support of 1252/- has been revised to 1242/- and Earlier Projected Resistance of 1265/- has been revised at 1255/-

Now adjusted Support is 1242/- and adjusted Resitance is 1255/-

After the Recent Strong run up in Micro it need to Retrace by 30% from it's peak on Index level. Which is done today. After the Retracement level reached we turned net Buyers on Micro Finance as we were net sellers on Monday.

As Micro Finance is in Bull Run and 1 lot of Retracement was required from Peak which was done today.

Now Micro will Pick up again to hit new high Levels on Index.

Avoid Schengen and Rasuwa Hydro till Sunday. After Sunday you can rethink on it.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Aug 06, 2019 7:39 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
Today is a very interesting and Hectic Day with lot's of event's and Confusion in the market.

1. Two Hydro power companies to start trading in Secondary market. In the GREY MARKET the stock were traded between 135-150 range. Let see at what price the early trade happens and where it get settled finally ??

2. Yesterday Micro Finance Index nose dived more then 1.5% on index. Fast movers Micro Finance were the big Losers yesterday and now which direction it will head now ??

3. Shivam has come closer to to it's crucial support of 580/- let see whether it breaks that level or takes support there ??

4. NEPSE has come closer to it's support level of 1352/- let see whether it breaks that level or take Support there ??

5. Recent NRB Policy to hit the Banking sector severely which has created some sort of Panic among the Bank Share holders. Yesterday we witnessed some players selling Bank Stock and Buying Large Capital based Micro Finance, currently this churning is in Baby steps now. Will this baby step will take large steps ??

6. Lot's of Media reporting news which could trigger a Bear move in the market, Will Bear Movement in Nepse will Happen ???

7. Insurance has not yet corrected much as is still trading far ahead of it's Valuation, Will that Premium will fall down ??

8. Lot's of Player are worried and hopes Nepse won't Hit Lower Circuit Today. Whether any Lower Circuit can been seen today ??


Disclosure :- The above based information are for Study Purpose only. This should not be considered as an Expert Advise. Kindly do proper Research before making any decision.

Happy Investment !
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Aug 06, 2019 7:18 am. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 458
Agreed with deepakjee

GBLBS is a best pick for large capital based MFI
@ accumulates loss of 75 crore almost over
@ Authorized Capital to reach 2 arab and bonus share to come from now onwards and capital increment of 1 arab to 2 arab to reach via bonus
@cheap & strong MFI
@ NATIONAL LEVEL MFI
@ 25 years into business and over 190 branches
@ EPS to be maintained at above 30

....Baki Ishwor ko leela....
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
As Nepse unable to break 1265/- with Strong volume has given the advantage to Bears. Bears has the tendency to Push the Nepse till 1252/-. To break 1252/- Bear need lot of Energy.

Due to .10% holding Disclosure Policy has put Pressure on Banking Index. Despite that ADBL was outperforming among all Bank and will continue to Outperform in near term also.

Yesterday we saw a Profit booking session in Micro Finance and Profit booking was easily absorbed by market despite Negative Nepse. Micro finance index continued to closed in Positive with minor gain on Index. After the recent run up from small capital based Micro finance now the turn for Large capital based MICRO FINANCE like FMDBL, NUBL, RMDC.

INVESTOR CAN PICK LARGE CAPITAL BASED MICRO FINANCE, IT DOSEN'T MEAN RALLY IS OVER IN LOW CAPITAL BASED MICRO FINANCE. MICRO FINANCE IS IN PURE BULL RUN AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE UP.

LET SEE HOW 2 NEW HYDRO WILL PERFORM.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Aug 05, 2019 7:09 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
On last Trading Day of the Week the Market could not sustain above it's Resistance Level of 1265/- and thus closed below it's Resistance indicates Bulls look exhaust.

Micro Finance Bull Run to Continue irrespective of Nepse movement.

People who are left out in Micro Bull Run could look to Buy those Micro Finance which has not moved much like FMDBL, RMDC, NUBL etc.etc.

Due to Central Bank requirement on Disclosure of .10% or above Share Holders details will pressure Banking Index. More hampered will Private sectors Bank.

NBL Result look Average and will be Re-rated as soon as it Declare Bonus or Dividend or Both. ADBL valuation looks attractive and Strong Result is expected from it.

Insurance and Hydro is not advised to Buy at Current level as Business Outlook still not Good in these 2 sectors.

No Strong move expected in Nepse until or unless it break its range og 1252/- on lower side and 1265/- on Upper side on closeing basis with Strong Volume.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Aug 04, 2019 7:33 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
We witnessed a Dip in NBL Profit. But NBL After Q4 still look fairly Priced to us. The Market has already discounted the Q4 result Price in Advance. If any Dip is seen in it's Price is a Purely a Buy Oppurtiniry. On Sunday if we see any Dip in its Price we will be Buying it.

NBL WILL RE-RATED AS SOON AS IT ANNOUNCE DIVIDEND OR BONUS OR BOTH. TILL THEN WE ARE NEUTRAL ON NBL.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
We witnessed a Dip in NBL Profit. But NBL After Q4 still look fairly Priced to us. The Market has already discounted the Q4 result Price in Advance. If any Dip is seen in it's Price is a Purely a Buy Oppurtiniry. On Sunday if we see any Dip in its Price we will be Buying it.

NBL WILL RE-RATED AS SOON AS IT ANNOUNCE DIVIDEND OR BONUS OR BOTH. TI THEN WE HAVE A NEUTRAL ON NBL.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
Member
Registered: Aug 2018
Posts: 17
would definitely like to hear from the pros here esp from deepak ji as he has been getting all his predictions right.... ;)
Member
Registered: Aug 2018
Posts: 17
How about banking sectors?? all the banks have posted good profit and good chance of dividends.........
NBL has great reserves so can we expect a bumper bonus from NBL??? will it be a next great blue chip company?
Member
Registered: Aug 2018
Posts: 17
How about banking sectors?? all the banks have posted good profit and good chance of dividends.........
NBL has great reserves so can we expect a bumper bonus from NBL??? will it be a next great blue chip company?
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
Yes Punji Bhairav Ji Micro Finance to surge further as Micro finance has given a clear Bullish Breakout in INDEX too.
On Wednesday.

At least 1700/- Level will be seen in the Micro finance INDEX.

Your Micro Bull Term has come, Hope you are enjoying the Bull Run.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 458
Agreed with deepakjee
MFI to surge further.

GBLBS & FMDBL was good.
GBLBS accumulated losses is almost over. We can now anticipate bonus from current year.

...Baki Ishwor Ko Leela....
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
TODAY AN Interesting, important and last trading session of the Week.

As Said earlier 1265/- an important Resistance and we are hovering near that Level.

Though we have managed to close above 1265/- by 57 Pips but Turnover has not crossed 56 crores mark but was at 35 odd crores still short of 21 crores.

In Today if we continue to hold above 1265/- on closing basis means Bull has taken the Control of the Market.

Micro Finance Index has Broken its Resistance and has given a Bullish Break Out. Now Micro Index will head further up to 1700 level irrespective of Nepse Movement.

Among Bank ADBL look preety Strong and Promising and will outperform the Over all Banking Shares.

Insurance any Upmove should used as an Exit Oppurtinity.

Insurance and Hydro still a Big NO NO.

HAPPY IVESTMENT !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Thu Aug 01, 2019 6:33 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
Now on Nepse 1265/- is a crucial Resistance. Market need to Break 1265/- with strong volume may be 56 crores or so to convince that Market control has been taken by bulls. Any break of 1265/- with low volume will be considered as false break of Resistance. Matching based Turnover and Promoter group changed in hand should not be counted.

A break of 1252/- on closing basis indicates more downside to come.

Micro Finance to Perform irrespective of Nepse movement.

ADBL to out perform in overall Banking Index.

Insurance as a Sector is still a Big NO No.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
We are witnessing Churning of Portfolio of Investor from Insurance Sector to Micro Finance !!


As Said earlier it's time to churn your Portfolio from Insurance to Selective Micro Finance.

Happy Investment !! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
After 2 days of Strong Down moves the market has come to it's Crucial Support Level of 1252/-.

Yesterday market broke 1252/- but managed to close above 1252/- was a bit relief to bulls.

If 1252/- is broken and Nepse continue to remain below 1252/- in first 30 minute of trade then again we will see selling pressure to continue where 1238/- to act as next Support level.

Don't try catch the Insurance Sector at all. As insurance is a pure falling knife. Avoid Insurance as more deeper correction is expected.

Stick to most Defensive and Blue Chip Counter like ADBL which will be the Top Performer in overall Banking Sector. Any DIP in ADBL is a Pure Buying Oppurtinity.

Among the Banking Space avoid Sanima. As strong non compliance has put a lot of Question mark on it's Corporate Goverence and the Quality of its management it has.

Sell Sanima if you hold. Avoid sanima in Banking Space.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4846
karki in sebon kina mardaina

taska bau should be brought back from death and burn him alive for fking his mother and giving birth to the ugly one.




foreigner investor yuraj k ko bau le laune ho ko teska ala le??????????????? i am confused. we already lost decades in the name of opening share market to foreigners.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 630
TITLE "NEPSE TO HIT 1000/- mark in coming days" is about to reach its target, mere coz being fleeting policies adopted GOV/REG bodies. May breach the bottom mark quoted in this title.
Any one can answer, why a general investor who has saved meager amount from his sweat/blood invest in secondary market ?
To make manipulators rich ?
Just to pay government tax even if he is in loss ? or
to make brokers/bankers (those lending amount from banks) healthy ?
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1501
Market Still under Pressure. The Pressure to increase in Life and Non-life companies.

Don't try to Fish Insurance companies if you see any Dip in its prices. I forsee from 38% to upto 65% correction in Insurance share Prices.

Microfinance Sector Overall is Performing among all sector Average. STOCK SPECIFIC MICRO FINANCE CAN BE PICKED. TIME TO CHURN YOUR PORTFOLIO FROM INSURANCE TO STOCK SPECIFIC MICRO FINANCE ONLY.

PREFER MICRO FINANCE WHICH ARE LIQUID COUNTER ONLY. IN LIQUID COUNTER IS NOT ADVISED.

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Jul 28, 2019 7:39 am. »

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