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GDP of Nepal

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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
Thanks Chutiya ji for your motivation and support.
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 100
2019 Nepal's GDP ~33 kharab
Nepse's Market Cap as of 2/17/2020 ~17 kharab


Nepse is so undevalued. The bull is just a baby now.
Member
Registered: Jun 2018
Posts: 74
THE RISING SUN JEE......I am also your true admirer for your in depth analysis and overwhelming knowledge of economics and intricate relationships of market supply and demand. At first it was hard for me to grasp what you meant but after few years of reading your posts, now they all make sense. Keep enlightening us with your wisdom. Always grateful to you..
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
Thanks, you are the first one to appreciate (hope its not sarcasm). Even my father and brother used to say- timro kura testai ho.. but after NEPSE hit the record it stopped and after it crashed, there were some question marks...... hope my father remembers what I said about a decade ago like- some day electric car will be cheaper than petrol car cause it requires very less parts. I heard, my that prediction will become correct in 2/3 year.



I told my brother that electric toy cars/ RC and real are similar- only difference is quality of parts, size and few extra parts.

I also have said, some day, electric car will be much faster than petrol cause electricity travels faster than wind. Battery is the problem till now. And my cousin laughed. Hope he remembers.

I have made many such predictions.


Thanks to internet, now I can post and later claim, I told you so.




I am not that social so...


By the way, I am a great looking fellow.



Really, grammar??? I thought my problem in language is vocabulary and lazy to read before posting and spelling (thanks to auto correction and google, I am not exposed in this department :mrgreen: ).


I never used to curse, It all started cause of the NEPSE crash, now I cant stop cursing in the road. Hope, it ends after NEPSE breaks the record. ;)



That is why, it is called conspiracy theory. :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Dec 2016
Posts: 100
I would like to applaud Rising Ji sincerely for forecasting correctly many of the issues we have been facing in the economy.
Now, I would also encourage Rising Ji to come out of his shell, get a nice hair cut, put on some smart glasses and start writing articles for online business portals. He will definitely have to improve his grammar and stop cussing, but, if he comes out and start making timely economic projections and well formed arguments, may be he can start wider conversations on these serious economic matters. People will definitely be well informed. Overall, a win win for the public.
P.S. He may also have to delete his conspiracy thread if he wants to be taken seriously. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
आर्थिक वृद्धि ६% भन्दा तल झर्दै, तथ्यांक 'छेडछाड',अर्थतन्त्रका लागि आन्तरिक र वाह्य दुवै प्रतिकूल






Remember, I said, during the budget, this year's GDP growth will be around 1.5% less than last year's (7.2%, they said, which also I think is fake).

Now so called, experts are saying today, which I said during analysis of fiscal policy and budget. That is called analyzing policy.


That's natural born expert. Or you can say, second to GOD. :mrgreen:













एक अर्थशास्त्रीले भने- 'हामीले नबुझेर हो| उहाँले किस्ता किस्तामा ढाँटिरहनु भएको छ| हामीले त्यसलाई अर्थमन्त्रीको आत्मविश्वास बढेको भनेर विश्लेषण गरिरहेका छौं :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
केपी ओलीलाई विस्तारै साइड लगाउने प्रचण्डको यस्तो रणनीति

आफूलाई एक्ल्याइँदैछ भन्ने बुझेपछि ओलीले आफ्नो प्रधानमन्त्री पद यसपटक जोगाएका छन्, नेकपा स्रोतले भन्यो

अहिले नेकपाको केन्द्रीय कमिटी र स्थायी कमिटीमा प्रधानमन्त्री ओली अल्पमतमा छन्

आफू अध्यक्ष बनेपछि उपाध्यक्ष वामदेव गौतम, प्रधानमन्त्रीमा माधवकुमार नेपाल र राष्ट्रपतिमा झलनाथ खनाललाई बनाउने आश्वासन प्रचण्डले दिइसकेको स्रोतको दाबी छ





Share market lost 1000 billion and 4 year, in a country whose GDP is 3000 billion. That is a huge loss.


How is people gonna invest when they have lost 1000 billion. How much people could consume when they have lost 1000 billion.

With low investment there is low capacity.

With low consumption, there is over production.

And results economic problem.

All caused by yuraj k and bureaucracy.

Due to yuraj k and bureaucracy, KP Oli is about to be killed and so is communist party. 3 year left for communist to save their vote.

Do they want to go to sati with KP Oli?

Does KP Oli want to go to sati with yuraj k?



Even after learning, economy was in trouble, communist or KP Oli did not fire yuraj k. He is still not fired.

You can win election by lying, but you wont be re elected without brain.

Only I can give you re election victory. Cause I am second to God.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
टेलिकम र आयल निगमको लाभांश जोडेर राजस्व लक्ष्य पुर्‍याइयो


who gives a fk.

all you have to do is fool KP Oli and I am sure he did. Soon, KP Oli may use this as an example of govt success.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
आर्थिक वृद्धिदरमा यसैपालि ब्रेक लाग्न सक्छ !
'चिन्ता लिइहाल्नुपर्दैन' भन्ने थेगो नै भयो


नरबहादुर थापा ----------- He is one of the main or should I say main reason behind liquidity crisis, interest rate crisis, share market crisis, over production crisis, consumer demand crisis and many many

and now he has become sarba gyani.



When he was top official of NRB, when Nepal was going through all crisis, he kept on saying every this is ok, instead of handling them properly. He was more radical in implementing bad monitory policy than the governor.


Sati ko sarap.



He was representing Share market from NRB in SEBON. While in post to save share market, he was always working to destroy share market. ......

...... what kind of a person sits in a position which is suppose to save it but instead keeps on trying to destroy it ......... only person who is born from certain kind of a woman (you all know what I mean, right ;) )




alchina pakhe

sati ko sarap.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
Amazing, so called economic expert, economic enthusiast who has no idea what is happening in the economy in Nepal comments/analyze about Indian economy as if they are the expert of Indian economy or economics!!!!!!!!!


They may wish, somebody outside Nepal would write about economic of Nepal so that they could copy and paste in Nepal's media and social media :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:





Yuraj k!!!!!! When India reduced their tax a few month ago to kick start their growth, talked about reducing tax in Nepal too. Which still has not happened.

And I read, India will soon reduce next phase of tax again. Yuraj k is all talk and no action- he talked about solving liquidity and interest crisis two year ago. And he has had no idea how to do that.

Yuraj k talked about reducing tax in Nepal when India did a few month ago. And still has not happened in Nepal. And India already working on to reduce second phase of tax reduction.











About Economic slowdown in India- Let the master (I) do the prediction. You just read my comment and prediction and analysis. This economic slowdown and Economic growth in India will bring in permanent lower tax and lower interest rate in India and South Asia and due to low life/brain dead/sarbagyani like yuraj k, Nepal will be too late to react.


Fire Yuraj k and stop yuraj k to waste any more precious time of Nepal.


KP Oli, dont wait for another 3 month, fire yuraj k immediately and save 3 precious month time of Nepal. And make Surendra Panday Finance minister immediately.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
७ दिनमा बैंकहरुको निक्षेप ९ अर्ब बढ्यो, कर्जा लगानी स्थिर


Deposit UP by 9 billion
Loan Up by 0 billion
In a week.





Another problem/failure of Yuraj k, but great for Share market. Now Some BFIs are begging to take share loan. , Interest is down due to base rate down, Plus, to attract customer, some even offering loan at 11.5%, which used to be 16% till a couple of year ago.

Market crashed 20/40% in the name of 16% interest, but when will NEPSE increase 20/40% in the name of down interest????






Finally, data is coming that says, loan demand is low and economy is slowing down. And still, yuraj k is able to fool KP Oli and comreds how economy is doing great.




It would have been great if there was somebody in Nepal who could predict these things 3 year back, 1 year back, 6 month back ....................... Wait I did that. Only I did that.



I predicted this around 6 month back. And Puji bhairab ji been taking about this for weeks too.



This Sharesansar forum has been the only economic analytical site (should be media) in Nepal. Its sad, and still we find sarbagyani, spreading economic gyan in media and social media in Nepal.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
Look at the charts KP Oli:

https://www.sharesansar.com/newsdetail/three-months-macro-economics-data-has-been-published-inflation-at-621-imports-worth-rs-33495-billion-and-exports-worth-rs-2717-billion



all the indicators which are suppose to be going up or stay in the same level have crashed during yuraj k's tenure and still he is not fired but those minister who neither have done anything good or anything bad than what has been going on are fired.




This is going to be the longest winter in the life of yuraj k and he will take down a few ministers along with him in falgun.

poor ministers, will be fire cause of unpopularity of KP Oli govt which is the result of the state of the economy cause by, mainly, yuraj k.
« Last edit by The Rising Sun on Sun Nov 24, 2019 8:14 pm. »
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 405
Liquidity to flourish from this quarter....
Disbursement to local levels and contracts....
Hope government spends well before it collects first installment of advance tax....

...Baki Ishwor ko Leela...
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
Remittance is down by 5%. That's huge. Only thing that is running positive economy is dead. tic toc Yuraj k. You never told me, what is your contribution on 6/7% GDP growth????



Import down by 10%. I said by the end of the year, import will be slightly up. I could be wrong here, once in a blue moon event. :mrgreen: Nepalese have become poorer under yuraj k and kp oli.

Only good thing in this data is import of Oil is down by 10 billion. But 10 billion in 250 billion is nothing.



Fake Export till last month was Up by 25%. In a month, that growth is down to 14%. In 2/3 month, it could be zero. Every thing is going against yuraj k.

His fake data is no longer protecting him.




Due to weak consumer, our balance of payment is positive. Good for the liquidity. And bank loan demand is down, and when govt spend 100+ billion, bfis will have good liquidity. Bad for the economy, bad for yuraj k, but great for share market.

Its amazing, they talked a lot but still has not deposited govt revenue in BFIs. One thing, even idiot could easily do. If they had, it would have supported GDP growth by around 1%.



Winter is coming!



And yuraj k will die a total failure and he already has destroyed 9 ministers, and he may take down few more along with him when he will be fired in falgun.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
yuraj k increased tax on import and in response india increased tax on import from nepal too.


in the world, most of those countries which export a lot also imports a lot and their import tax is very low too.



kukur batho bhaya pachi gu khancha bhane ko yahe ho.



soon, yuraj k's fake export will nose dive. and will so called experts blame him????
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
Imports decline by 10% and Exports up by 14% in first quarter of 76/77;Rs 35 arba duty collected on imports



---- I thought, increase export was a good sign, turned out its all due to palm oil export. They are not using palm export to laundry money are they???




I demand govt provide info on how they calculate GDP, GDP growth???

- Investment down,
- confidence negative
- business says, suffering
- import down
- export growth is suspicious.
- revenue growth down
- remittance growth nil

And still GDP growth 6/7% how come?????
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
A new survey from consultancy McKinsey & Co has found that a majority of banks globally may not be economically viable because their returns on equity aren't keeping pace with costs.



When I say it, people may laugh, sad little men may go critic. Now, khaires' talking about it.


Average return of BFIs in Nepal is 25%, which is too low. Those BFIs whose EPS is below 25 should be forcefully merged.

------------------

I advised on #6 Fri Oct 04, 2019 1:01 pm

I believe Indian banking crisis would effect Nepal too, and I believe there are not many good economist in India. So to save Nepal, I would like to save indian banks. So how to save banks:


4: Increase profit of Bfis.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
One of the reason, Nepal have been getting 6% growth was huge growth in remittance. It used to grow, what, 10/25%.


Now, growth is zero. What would happen?


Yuraj k or govt had no contribution towards 6% growth, now with zero percentage remittance growth leading to lower GDP growth, how would yuraj k explain.



४ वर्षपछि पहिलोपटक घट्यो रेमिट्यान्स

I blame, bista, labor minister.


When he was hydro minister 7 year ago, we had long load shedding, we still importing a lot of electricity.

alchina bista now has destroyed labor market.








----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=6227


What is banking/money/wealth????


Let's skip basics.


How money is created?

Let's say,

A- deposits 100 money in the bank.

B- borrows 100 money from the bank.

C- gets paid by B 100, which C deposits into the Bank.

Here, new 100 is being created.





What if, we eliminate-

1: A- Those who see economy as black and white- those so called experts in Nepal, social media expert, bhatti ma guff dine haru.......... may say, if there is no A, there is no bank.

But that is not true, if somebody creates credit, or let's say, govt lends money to bank then Bank can exist, and banking system can be created.

So A is really not important.



2: B- B has been targeted, attacked from govt, nrb, bfis, society for last 3 year. What if B is eliminated?

I say, if there is no B, there is no bank, there is no money created, no wealth created, no banking system exists.

Banking system, money, wealth creation is all possible when B, takes loan, and pay the loan to creditors and pay back interest to bank.

Without them, Banking system wont exist. No money is created. We would be living in barter system. Do we want that? NO.


Let's say, can A create money? Let's see,

What if A pays D salary, make payment? Would it creates wealth, money? NO.

Why? A paying D means, A taking out deposit from Bank and paying to D. Means, no more money is created, only there is transfer of money, not money created. No new deposit will increase in Bank.




3: C- C is A here, so C is not important.





Let's talk about Govt? Can govt revenue create wealth? No, why? Govt getting revenue means, somebody taking out deposit and paying to govt, and govt paying means same, taking out deposit and paying to creditor.

So govt, also cant create wealth?



Which makes, borrower God in banking system. Without Borrowers banking system cant work, no wealth/new money is created.

If borrower cant make enough profit, there is no interest payment, no payment to creditors and no money is created, no wealth is created, no economy prosperity. There will be depression. Depositors would loose their deposit.

And there will be liquidity crisis.



And still, borrowers are being targeted by govt, yuraj k, chirinjivi nepal, d governors, bifs, society, social media, so called expert.




I never remember, what I said above, reading in school economic book. Reading comments from govt, yuraj k, chirinjivi nepal, d governors, bifs, society, social media, so called expert------- it is clear non of them knows what I talked about above.


Bankers are so pathetic, there was one ad from NBL recently, which says- dont invest, just deposit money in NBL a/c.
If there is no investor, borrower, there is no banking. And that person behind that ad has become CEO of NBL today. Sati ko sarap.



Yuraj k, chirinjivi nepal said "dont take loan, dont invest, dont take risk....... just deposit money in the bank".

And they are, were Governor of NRB. Sati ko sarap.

I hope, they gave same advise to officials at world bank during their recent visit.





Now, I want my Nobel prize. By the way, those three, who received Nobel prize, do know, what I said above????? From, One line news about them, I think there research was based on donation, freebees. No creating wealth, not making people rich.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
People dont listen to me in Nepal but here is what Bloomberg wrote, like what I have been saying about Nepal's import - about like Indian import:




India Trade Gap Narrows to Seven-Month Low as Demand Ebbs


Exports fell 6.6% on-year in September, imports down 13.9%




Some in Nepal are happy when trade gap narrowed due to import downfall. But in India they are worried. Economic problem is worst than trade gap (at least for short and mid term). Cause you can manage trade gap if you play right but if people are poorer, govt has to face revolution.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
Only a handful hotels in Pokhara have good occupancy


"It is not that the guests have not arrived but we have not been able to feel as if they have arrived."


He said the number of hotels has increased and the sharing of tourists might be the reason for fewer guests. "The guests have spread out at different big hotels built around Pokhara," he told Republica, "Medium-sized hotels are struggling,"



---------- I have been warning about this over investment since last three year, since chirinjivi nepal, of NRB introduced his second monitory policy.

When our liquidity crisis started, NRB kept on preventing flow of fund into other sector of the economy and focused on so called productive sector, which have always been handful.

Almost all supported this policy, they even told govt to reduce flow of fund to other sector, more and sent it to so called productive sector.

I am the only one in the whole wide universe who warned not to do so. I have been telling, all sector of the economy is important. Only under investment and over investment is bad. Now, after three year, I turned out to be right. I am the only one who turned out to be right. In the whole world. Its not easy to be alone in the world of 7+ billion. But, I am the only one who turned out to be right.

And still, people go after what so called Nobel prize winner has to say, instead of listening to me.

Nobel prize, previously used as a weapon in color revolution. Lately, they look like, using in indopacific.






Today, I read somewhere, Chicken is about to cost as much as vegetable.

They (govt/NRB/society/BFIs) have been forcefully injecting liquidity/loan into agriculture. I warned about this too, for last three year and today too.

Over investment in agriculture is more dangerous than over investment in other sector. One bad season is enough to destroy the industry and banking sector. Which I have been warning for last three year.



Nepalese, so called biddwan, sarbagyani in media and social media may not agree, but, let me say- margin loan is the only loan where bfis could lend freely at this time, most of other sectors are in over capacity. Share market can easily consume 1000 billion. Trust your's truly. instead of fake nobel prize winners.







'अर्थतन्त्रमा सकारात्मक संकेत देखिन थाल्यो, तरलता अभाव चिन्ताको विषय हो,' शेखर गोल्छाको लेख

I thought he would say, business is improving. Turned out he is talking about same data all are watching.


No, reduction in import does not mean our economy is improving. import is not being replaced by production. consumers have become poorer.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
Trump economic adviser says delisting Chinese companies is off the table


Look how important share market is.

Investment in companies by public, mutual fund, pension fund is.

Importance of wealth is.


Why US does not want to delist Chinese company? Why China wants their companies to inlist inside china? Why other share market want to bring Chinese and other companies to list their share in their share market?


Only commie, yuraj k, KP Oli are dumb. World knows the importance of share market.







----------------------------------------------------
I wrote few days ago: Sat Sep 28, 2019 12:47 pm
https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=5889


Trump threatening to delist Chinese companies from US share market. (look how important share market is, yuraj k and KP Oli).

But trump is too dumb. What if they delist them, its US investors who will loose, what will chinese listed company loose, nothing.

And China will be happy if he delist them. China is trying to make chinese company list their share in China. Cause of international law, and if China bans chinese company from listing outside china, world wont trust china, so china cant prevent chinese company go to public outside china, which china wants by the way to force them to list in china cause of importance of wealth and helping their people to invest in business.

And Trump just helped Chinese govt in their goal of making Chinese company list their shares inside China.
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Posts: 4694
Cont ....


8: No increasing in productivity- investment in that sector- but investment by already existing companies in new technology should be welcome.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
After Nepal's economy, I know more about US economy. I even know chinese economy more than Indian economy. Its' been years I stopped following indian tv. World does not care about Indian economy.



Indian economy is growing at 5% and projection of the year is 7%, which is better than Nepal's economy but they are talking about slowing down of economy, even talking about economic crisis.

In Nepal. Some are talking about economic problem. But yuraj k says it grew at 7%, every thing is fine. Learn from US and chinese and indian economy. Their GDP growth are great and talking about crisis in a year. And they are already making decisions to tackle their incoming crisis. In Nepal, yuraj k says, everything is fine. Just like commie. They wont see the crisis until millions are dead.


About Banking crisis in India. (I believe, banking crisis in India is more problematic for Nepal and economic crisis in India, Banking crisis do lead to economic crisis and vice versa).


I read a week ago, Indian NPL is close to 10%, most of those NPL is from cooperative.

Its amazing, idiots politicians from both commie and congress are pushing for three pillar economy- including cooperative. Why, they used to feed their dogs from INgo, ngo money, which must be running out, now they wants to feed them with cooperative money.

Communist are dead in the world, in Nepal they are alive cause they buy votes and cadres using Ingo, ngo money and govt money and cooperative money. Just like in India, in Nepal too, its cooperative will bring banking crisis far more than other Bfis. and its yuraj k who been promoting cooperative, cause he is corrupt and brain dead.


I believe Indian banking crisis would effect Nepal too, and I believe there are not many good economist in India. So to save Nepal, I would like to save indian banks. So how to save banks:

1: Which ever economic sector is pressuring banking sector, create more demand in those sector.

2: Send companies in those sectors into merger and acquisition even before they go bankrupt. If there are too many BFIs, send them to merger too. Companies using old technology, inefficient should be closed through merger, acquisition.

3: Reduce interest rate.

4: Increase profit of Bfis.

5: Increase liquidity in the BFIs.

6: Assure depositors that govt guarantees their deposit. If there is panic, it will create more damage than NPL.

7: Teach society, dont run after high interest rate on deposit. If interest rate on deposit is high, ultimately, it will collapse the bfis and forget about interest, they wont even get their deposit bank.





Banking crisis could come in Nepal too due to monitory policy and high interest rate. And cause of cooperative. It is just a matter of time, cooperative will collapse. Some have already collapsed in last few years. Its cause politicians are looting through cooperative. Burn politicians inside cooperative if you loose money in cooperative. Fixing interest rate of 16% in cooperative is good for cooperative. Cause borrowers are more likely to be able to pay 16% than 20%, which decrease NPL.




:roll:
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
US economy have been growing at one of the highest pace for last few decades.

And still, majority of economist there are saying, there is high chance of recession in 2020.


In Nepal, yuraj k/govt think 6/7% growth is great going. No problem.


I say, we are going through depression. Growth is cause of underground economy joining mainstream economy due to tighter regulation.

If underground economy have lost 200 billion and another 200 billion joined mainstream economy, it looks like, technically we are growing. but in reality, people are suffering. Underground economy is the main source of income for poor and middle class. communist will pay in Next election.


I did advise to bring most of the underground economy into mainstream economy through 10 year plan by reducing tax.

Dont tell me, I did not warn.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4694
Govt say, Nepal's GDP growth was 7%, some say it was a fake, and real is 6%. What ever the no is, its is good growth buy what is the contribution of Yuraj K in 7% or 6% GDP growth????

What ever growth there was, its due to previous govt not trying to kill people. Yuraj k's work will be seen this year.


Since yuraj k has negative contribution to the economy, other reason wont help him in achieving high GDP growth this year. Like- this year's rain is not good for agriculture, end of over investment in so called productivity- their capacity has already crossed over capacity by a huge margin- which I had been warning since last 3 years against NRB monitory policy and later fiscal and budget of yuraj k.


Now comes, what I want to talk about. If yuraj k had been finance minister of advanced economy, their economy would already have gone into depression. even indian economy would have gone into recession. Cause Nepal's economy is dependent on remittance, our economy has not totally crashed, at least outside. Inside, its in depression, that is why Nepalese are angry and ground for revolution already there, only waiting for a trigger.

What I meant is, till now remittance growth is just 2%, so nothing is helping yuraj k to hide is incompetence this year. In the past, condition which he has no control over like- rain, remittance growth, previous year's activity had been helping high GDP growth. This year, non is there. And malemchi, tamakoshi will be completed late so it wont help in the economy for Yuraj k to lie to KP Oli and other commies.


Malaysia contract, I dont think it will help to increase remittance soon enough for Yuraj k who has 5 more month.

If yuraj k fools KP Oli using Malaysia remittance will help GDP growth, KP Oli should ask Yuraj k, what is your contribution on Malaysia.

Labor minsiter bista destroyed Malaysia deal, now he has reversed his stand. Bista should be fired too. Bista is the second worst after yuraj k in this ministry.




I believe, this year's GDP growth will be around 1.5% less than last year's GDP. Some say it was 6% some say 7%. I said 5.5%.

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