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GDP of Nepal

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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
NRB has printed just 500 billion.


Till a few weeks ago, BFIs had more than 100 billion in cash holding without issuing loan. 100 billion may have stayed in BFIs for more than a month.

I believe, if 100 billion stays in bank for a month, Nepal may loose .01-.02% GDP growth. How about that, 8.5% GDP growth target of KP Oli and yuraj k?????


And, NRB wants to force BFIs to hold more cash than before........ how about that yuraj k, and bureaucracy and so called economic expert.


If due to, NRB's new calculation of spread rate, if BFIs dont or reduce in buying Treasury and hold back cash- since buying govt treasury is no longer beneficiary, it will hit govt program as well as GDP growth by a lot plus reduce economic activity which will lead to less business to those industrialist who had been pressuring govt to attack BFIs.

No more job creation, business will not be able to pay salary, tax, interest. No GDP growth of 8.5%, No govt revenue to buy 1 lakh shoe to KP Oli.




How about that!!!!!









I repeat again, its not the job of pakhes to make policy. Let, real think tank do it.





Yuraj k is too incompetent, so is NRB governor and SEBON and finance secratery. Resign or fire them all.




If you study all the new policy of yuraj k or finance ministry or NRB or SEBON............ all came in order to satisfy their ego, or as a revenge.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
This year's GDP growth will be worst than last year's growth.

The real Yuraj K accomplishment. Last year's growth was some what affected by year earlier economy.

I guess, around 1.5% less than last year's GDP, going to be this year's GDP growth.



Last year's I predicted around 5.5% and yuraj k wanted 8%. Let's see who is going to be closer.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
My Prediction recap:

******
The latest revised GDP growth I predicted is 5.5% of 2019

Here some organization has predicted 5% growth (IMF- did not they predict 6.5% before???)

And yuraj k predicts growth of 7%, Oli predicts close to 8%, Worldbank/IMF predicts 6.5%.


*****
Remember, I predicted 5.5% in Thu Nov 22, 2018 4:39 pm

IMF has revised to 5% on 2019-2-17

६ महिनाको राजस्व संकलन्: लक्ष्यको ९३ प्रतिशत मात्रै, २८ अर्ब कम राजस्व, कहाँ चुक्यो सरकार?


*******
Its basic economic knowledge. Increasing TAX without increasing significant GDP is forcing problem for future.


Just wait another few months, tax collection will decrease even more. (Tue Jan 15, 2019 4:54 pm)

******
Remember, first three month, tax collection was higher than estimated. In 6 month, its 7% lower than expected. So, Tax collection has decreased far more than 7% within 3 month.

In commie/socialist govt. goods and services are suppose to be cheaper. But in reality, its just the opposite.

And still, social media expert talk big about socialism.


I told you!




******

In this First four month, there was dashain and tihar and Income tax clearance period and still they are able to collect only 26% tax for the year.

It is clear, their target wont be met.

There are two worst clues hidden:
1: They are able to collect only 30% more during first 4 month after tightening tax policy. Next months, it will be even harder since, they have already squeezed Nepalese.

2: Whatever high tax they have been collecting, its cause of previous govts/years hard work. Real down fall will be seen next year. Biddwan yuraj k's work will be seen next year. There could be negative if not, very low increase in tax collection next year.

Conclusion, lateral month, tax collection growth rate will fall significantly. Next year, there will be crisis.




------------------------- Today's reality:

राजस्वको लक्ष्य र संकलनको अन्तर ८६ अर्ब रुपैयाँ नाघ्यो, चैतमा ३६ अर्ब रुपैयाँ कम संकलन


अर्थ मन्त्रालयका अनुसार चैत मसान्तसममा सबैभन्दा कमजोर अवस्था मूल्य अभिवृद्धि कर (भ्याट)को छ| भ्याटको वृद्धिदर १० प्रतिशत मात्रै छ| सरकारले चालु वर्षमा करिब ३५ प्रतिशत भ्याट बढ्ने अनुमान गरेको थियो| तर राजस्वको मुख्य आधारमा कमजोर वृद्धिदर देखिँदा समग्र संकलन नै प्रभावित बनेको छ|








------------

Am I great or What??????


They are saying, GDP growth will be 6.8% revised from target 8%, Mine prediction is still same as before 5.5.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
Gap between projected revenue and actual revenue collected exceeds Rs 70 arba
https://www.sharesansar.com/newsdetail/gap-between-projected-revenue-anld-actual-revenue-collected-exceeds-rs-70-arba



- Do not push to hard. dont play with the ego of idiots- bureaucrats and sarbagyani yuraj k.

Or, they will make thing worse. Its already pretty bad, if they try hard it will get worse.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
नेपालको आर्थिक वृद्धि ५ प्रतिशत मात्र हुने आइएमएफको नयाँ प्रक्षेपण, ४ महिनामा डेढ प्रतिशत घटायो


यसअघि आइएमएफले गत डिसेम्बर १३ मा जारी गरेको रिपोर्टमा चालु आर्थिक वर्षमा नेपालको आर्थिक वृद्धिदर ६.५ प्रतिशत हुने प्रक्षेपण गरेको थियो |

केपी शर्मा ओली र अर्थमन्त्री डा. युवराज खतिवडाले आइएमएफको प्रक्षेपणलाई देखाउँदै सरकारको ठूलो उपलब्धिको रुपमा व्याख्या गरेका थिए |

उद्योग विभागका अनुसार विदेशी लगानी चालु आर्थिक वर्षको प्रथम ८ महिनामा ६३ प्रतिशतले घटेको छ |

आइएमएफको टिम लिडर ग्रीर्ट अल्मेकिन्डर्सले नेपालको आन्तरिक उत्पादन क्षमता कमजोर भएकोले अर्थतन्त्र संकटमा रहेको बताएका छन् |

संघीयतामा धेरै नीति तथा कार्यक्रम दोहोरिएको, कर वृद्धि, पुराना नीतिले लगानीको वातावरण बन्न असहयोग गरेको आईएमएफले जनाएको छ |

--------------------------

The latest revised GDP growth I predicted is 5.5% of 2019

Here some organization has predicted 5% growth (IMF- did not they predict 6.5% before???)

And yuraj k predicts growth of 7%, Oli predicts close to 8%, Worldbank/IMF predicts 6.5%.


Remember, I predicted 5.5% in Thu Nov 22, 2018 4:39 pm

IMF has revised to 5% on 2019-2-17

----------------------------

If GDP growth reach around 5.5%, Since only Jews gets Nobel prize, I demand world to use one time "master of Universe" and give it to me. :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


I have been saying- high tax rate and unnecessary hard and complicated policy would never help economy.

And still why there used to be 6/7% GDP growth? Investors did not use to follow the policy and pay tax.

Now sarbagyani yuraj k has not only forcefully implemented policy and tax rate- he has made policy even tougher and increased tax by a lot.


I had recommended 8 classe Oli, when he won the election to - slowly decrease tax and slowly inforce it. There should be 10 year plan to bring underground and black economy into mainstream economy.

And make fiscal and monitory policy liberal and other policy too.



When tax rate is high and policy is conservative- good people wont enter and who enters are idiot criminals and crony capitalist like people around prachanda and all other politicians who neither any willing to build anything nor pay tax.


When tax is high and policy is hard- if criminals evade them, good investors wont be able to compete with criminals that is why all business community are criminals in Nepal. That is why no Nepalese can compete with indian traders in Nepal. Indian origin traders nor pay tax and they import damaged and expired goods into Nepal.


Traders from south are very rich cause they dont pay tax and import damaged goods and involved adultery. And today, they are so rich, majority of banks and insurance too are controlled by them including media too.

we are so dead.

All cause tax in Nepal is high, policy is tough and they follow non.


Its all cause of characters like sarbagyani yuraj k. Who has no idea what economics is, what share market is but he believes he knows everything. And made policy tough and tax high.


If policy had been liberal and tax rate had been low- even if criminals evade them, it would he hard/impossible for them to compete with good investors.


Look at so called civil society members, experts and media, whom they consider to be hero among finance minister. What work they glorify?


- They made hero to ramsaran mahato. They gave him credit for increasing tax. and those idiots dont see that same high tax is the reason every thing is expensive in Nepal compared to other south asia.

Because of high tax, life in Nepal is very expensive and so doing business is very expensive and cant compete with world.

And still they give credit to idiot mahato.

- And there is another hero. recently dead bharat mohan adhakari. They gave him credit for distributing free wealth.

Since when looting from hardworking and giving it to bhat mara is glorifying.



In the world, leaders who have made their country rich are considered as hero. But in Nepal those who increase tax and distributing wealth are considered as hero.


Sati ko sarap




and they ask why Nepal is poor. zzzzzzzzzzzzzzee



May be because in Nepal, those who have louder voice are all idiot and people like me, whose voice is not heard????
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
सात महिनामा भित्रियो ५ खर्ब १५ अर्ब रेमिट्यान्स, वैदेशिक रोजगारीमा जाने घटे


Around 60 lakh Nepalese in foreign employment.

I guess average they sent to Nepal is at least 5 lakh.

So Nepal is suppose to get 3000 arab (30billion dollar) as remittance in a year but in reality gets less than 10 billion dollar. (I wrote about this about year ago, but it got auto deleted due to sharesansar forum dont recognized all funds).

So where has 20billion dollar gone???????

I guess, 5 billion dollar is used on import, to evade tax.

And then, where is min of 15billion dollar?

I guess 5 billion dollar goes to off shore account belonging to those bureaucrats and politicians and crony capitalists who are raping Nepal.


And where is 10 billion dollar?

I think, it goes to india as black money, being robbed as tax evasion by certain business community who came to Nepal from India and today totally controls Nepal trading.


If I were the dictator of Nepal, this would not have been happening.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
अबको २५ बर्षमा नेपालीको प्रति ब्यक्ति आय साढे १२ हजार डलर, १५औं योजनामा परामर्श


I can get to 12k$ (in today's value, in 10 year, dollar would be long gone) within 7-10 year.

If you Accept me as your master.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
The latest revised GDP growth I predicted is 5.5% of 2019

Here some organization has predicted 5% growth (IMF- did not they predict 6.5% before???)

And yuraj k predicts growth of 7%, Oli predicts close to 8%, Worldbank/IMF predicts 6.5%.


Remember, I predicted 5.5% in Thu Nov 22, 2018 4:39 pm

IMF has revised to 5% on 2019-2-17




GDP growth, 2019.

Ethiopia: 8.5%
India: 7.4%
Bangladesh: 7.1%
Laos: 7%
Cambodia: 6.8%
Myanmar: 6.8%
Philippines: 6.6%
Vietnam: 6.5%
Mongolia: 6.3%
China: 6.2%
Kenya: 6.1%
Nepal: 5%
Oman: 5%
Uzbekistan: 5%
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
अर्थतन्त्र बिग्रिएपछि आत्तिए खतिवडा


मन्त्री हुनुवित्तिकै अर्थमन्त्रीज्यू अर्थतन्त्रलाई सजिलै ट्र्याकमा ल्याउँछु भन्नुहुन्थ्यो

- he he :mrgreen: :mrgreen: to bring economy on track, first of all you need to understand economics, then you need to understand ground reality of the country/society. You need to understand money. you need to understand investment. you need to understand banking. you need to understand share market. you need to understand a lot about a lot.

Person who does not even know what is S of share, how would he run modern economy. A person who advise people to only deposit money in the bank, cant run economy. a person who talks about diverting capital from share market, how could he promote investment. in Nepal, who tells people not to take loan becomes central banks governor. sati ko sarap.
fellow who tries to charge tax on loss leads finance ministry. person who says share market is unproductive tries to teach people how to invest. sati ko sarap

looks like if you write the whole story, it will become longer than mahabharat.



'आयात नरोके अर्थतन्त्र झनै खराब अवस्थामा पुग्ने मन्त्रीज्यूको निष्कर्श छ |'

- If blocking import would have helped economy, N korea, cuba would have been the richest country in the world.



निर्यात बढ्न सकेको छैन

- its cause of yuraj k. cause of him, investors are not investing in industries. people dont want to invest big.


त्यतिमात्रै होइन, वैदेशिक लगानीको प्रतिवद्धता पनि घटेको छ


- yuraj k is the sole reason. and Oli is dumb not to see it.


दिनानूदिन अर्थतन्त्र कमजोर बन्दै जाँदा नेकपाभित्रै बाट अर्थमन्त्री खतिवडाको विरोध हुन थालेपछि उनी अत्तालिएको स्रोतको दाबी छ

- retards are too slow mentally and physically. its science.





अर्थतन्त्र बुझेको मान्छे भनेर उहाँप्रति सबैले आशा गरे, कसैले पनि विरोध गरेनन्

- its not 100% true. I am the only person who opposed his policy from day one. I gave 1% benefit of doubt till oli's policy and programmer and i lost all confidence in yuraj k since his budget, monitory policy, fiscal policy, his attitude.


dont tell me I did not warned you. I warned you from day one even before he became finance minister. I made almost 100% correct prediction. Only prediction I failed was, I expected him to inject cash into banks and solve liquidity problem, but even that did not happen. which was very easy to do.

If you dont believe me, go through these links:

https://forum.sharesansar.com/post.php?topic=5490

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=5834

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=5870

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=5873

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=5446

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=6144

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=6162

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=5965

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=6154

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=6142

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=5807

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=6136

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=6133

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=6132

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=6012

https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=5866



'आफ्नो आलोचना सुन्नै नसक्ने व्यक्तिलाई आलोचना सुन्नुपर्दा कस्तो हुन्छ ? हो, त्यस्तै भएको छ मन्त्रीज्यूलाई |'

:mrgreen: :mrgreen:



आयात निरुत्साहित गर्दा राजस्व कम उठ्छ | त्यसैले स्वदेशी उत्पादनमा पनि अन्तशुल्क लगाएर राजस्वलाई कम हुन नदिने अर्थन्त्रीको तयारी छ |

- [b]Mark my word: My latest amended GDP growth is around 5.5%. If sarba gyani does what he is planning to do. Next year's GDP growth will be around 5% that's like recession for under developed country like ours. Unless they make positive change.




I am the only one who predicted current problem going on in Nepal, in the entire universe. better listen to me before more time is lost.



I can solve all problem very easily.

Unlike majority, I grew up watching system all over the world. I know how it works. I can easily solve all problem in Nepal without making any restriction.

All Oli has to do is beg in live TV "dear malik "The Rising Sun", you are pravhu, you are sarba gyani, help me save this country" :mrgreen: :mrgreen:


seriously!
Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 532
khatiwada should die in a cup of water..

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

Economy is all shattered. Neither domestic investors or international investor believes economy of Nepal in good hands.

:mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
US says Nepal Investment Summit is premature


The US has said that the government must come up with necessary measures to bring reforms in laws, policies, procedures and corrupt practices that continue to keep investment away before hosting such a summit. "The embassy is concerned that holding this forum before real, bold, and tangible reforms are made, both to laws and practices, is premature and risks undermining Nepal's credibility and investment prospects when investors see the reality on the ground," said the US embassy spokesperson Andie De Arment.

The cumulative American investment in the Indo-Pacific region as of last year reached $940 billion. "The US embassy would love to attract a large portion of that to Nepal. Once reforms are made to law and practice, the Embassy would be pleased to be the loudest champion for a Nepal that is open for business," the spokesperson further said.




------------

I believe sarbagyani yuraj k has been convincing 8 class Oli to wait till investment forum is held to see result of gya of yuraj k.

ding dong


in a country where domestic investors dont want to invest, you are asking foreigner to invest.... this is what happens when 8 classe, 10 classe, 4 classe runs country and let bureaucrat run policy, govt.



yuraj k has destroyed what ever Nepal had. Many were waiting for stable govt so that they could invest, and finally stable govt came but investment did not came. cause of yuraj k and yadav and majority of commie politicians and ministers.


remember, commies are dead outside nepal, in nepal they are alive cause they are able to dilute into corruption culture of nepal. and that does not mean they know how to run a country.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
६ महिनाको राजस्व संकलन्: लक्ष्यको ९३ प्रतिशत मात्रै, २८ अर्ब कम राजस्व, कहाँ चुक्यो सरकार?


Its basic economic knowledge. Increasing TAX without increasing significant GDP is forcing problem for future.

Higher tax fro similar income means, people are made poorer, commie style.

Just wait another few months, tax collection will decrease even more.

Remember, first three month, tax collection was higher than estimated. In 6 month, its 7% lower than expected. So, Tax collection has decreased far more than 7% within 3 month.


In commie/socialist govt. goods and services are suppose to be cheaper. But in reality, its just the opposite.

And still, social media expert talk big about socialism.


I told you!
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
अर्थमन्त्रीको नीति: राजस्वको लक्ष्य नपुगेपछि अनुत्पादक गाडी पनि उत्पादक, कोषका पैसा तानिँदै


gobar sorne aukat should not run system.

Economy is suppose to be increasing consumption power of people. Increasing tax without increasing GDP will eventually harm economy.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
नेपाल उद्योग बाणिज्य महासंघका निवर्तमान अध्यक्ष पशुपति मुरारकाले २५ बर्षको अवधिमा अहिलेको जस्तो व्यावसायिक मन्दी पहिले कहिले देखेका थिएनन्|

yuraj k and Oli turned out to be the biggest alchinas than the earthquake and blockade.

कुनै पनि क्षेत्रको व्यापार राम्रो छ भन्ने सुनेको छैन|

'पहिला ४५ दिनभित्र सिमेन्ट र डन्डी बेचेको पैसा आउँथ्यो| तर अहिले ९० दिनमा समेत पैसा आउन कठिन हुन थालेको छ|

दशैं\तिहार इलेक्ट्रोनिक्स सामान बिक्रीको लागि सबैभन्दा राम्रो समय हो| व्यवसायीका अनुसार यो समयमा अरु सामान्य समयमा भन्दा झण्डै ४० प्रतिशतभन्दा बढी इलेक्ट्रोनिक्सको सामान बिक्री हुन्छ| यो समयमा सामान्य समयभन्दा केही बढी मात्रै इलेक्ट्रोनिक्स सामान बिक्री भयो||

गोल्छाका अनुसार पाँच महिनाको अवधिमा मोबाइलको व्यापार ७० प्रतिशत घटेको छ|

विश्व बैंकले सार्बजनिक गरेको 'डुइङ बिजिनेस रिपोर्ट' मा नेपालको रेटिङ पहिलेभन्दा कमजोर देखिएको छ, यसले पनि एफडिआइलाई निरुत्साहित गरेको छ|

ब्याज दरकै कारण शेयर बजार पनि घटेको छ|

'पैसा परिचालन हुने सबै क्षेत्र ठप्प भएकाले आर्थिक गतिविधि ठप्प भएको हो' मूरारकाले भने, 'सरकारले व्यावसायिक वातावरण बनाउने गरी काम गर्नुपर्छ| अव्यवहारिक नीति ल्याउनेभन्दा व्यवसायीलाई विश्वासमा लिने वातावरण तयार पार्नुपर्छ|'

अर्थमन्त्रीको परफरमेन्स कर असुलीमा

Mark my word, tax increasing without growth in economy means there is trouble in the economy ahead.

सरकारको संरचना नै व्यवसायीलाई उत्साहित गरेर आर्थिक कृयाकलाप बढाउनेभन्दा पनि निरुत्साहित गर्ने खालको भएकाले मन्दी अझै लम्बिने व्यवसायीहरुको विश्लेषण छ|

उनका अनुसार जबसम्म व्यवसायीहरु जोखिम लिने अवस्थामा पुग्दैनन्, त्यसबेलासम्म आर्थिक कृयाकलाप बढ्दैन| 'त्यसैले मन्दी त्यो बेलासम्म लम्बिन्छ, जबसम्म सरकारले व्यवसायीलाई विश्वास दिलाउन सक्दैन, उनले दावी गरे|

Remember, business community are not khana napaue haru. They dont need to invest so that they could feed their family. It general public and commie who need private sector to invest and increase economic growth.
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Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
Fastest growing GDP, 2019.

--------GDP growth----Highest corporate tax----highest income tax----tax revenue to GDP ratio

Ethiopia: 8.5% ------NA----NA--- 11.6
Rwanda: 7.8% -------NA----NA---- 14.1
Ghana: 7.6% -------- NA----NA----20.8
India: 7.4% ---------34.9----30-----16.8
Bangladesh: 7.1% ---35----25-------8.5
Ivory Coast: 7%------NA---NA-------NA
Cambodia: 6.8%-----20----20------8
Myanmar: 6.8%------NA----NA------4.9
Panama: 6.8%-------25----27------10.6
Djibouti: 6.7%-------NA----NA------20
Philippines: 6.6%----30----35------14.4
Tanzania: 6.6%------30----30-------12
Iraq: 6.5%----------NA-----NA-------NA
Vietnam: 6.5%------20-----35------13.8
Mongolia: 6.3%-----10-----10-----30.8
China: 6.2%---------25-----45----20.1
Kenya: 6.1%--------30----35---18.4
Uganda: 6.1%-------30----NA---14.2





Slowest GDP growth, 2019.

Venezuela: -5%---------34------34----25
South Sudan: -4.5%
Iran: -3.6%--------------25------35-----6.1
Sudan: -1.9%------------NA-----NA-----6.3
Argentina: -1.6%---------35----35-------25
Puerto Rico: -1.1%------20-----33-------NA
Nicaragua: -1%
Barbados: -0.1%
Turkey: +0.4%---------20-----35--------25
Ecuador: +0.7%
Japan: +0.9%---------30----56----------36
Italy: +1%-------------28----47--------43.5
Lesotho: +1.2%
Lebanon: +1.4%
South Africa: +1.4%----28----45-----27
UK: +1.5%--------------19----47----34.5
Jamaica: +1.5%



Nepal- 7%(yuraj k says)---- 45----37----well above 30
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राजस्व सचिबमा लालशंकरलाई ल्याएपछि नयाँ चर्चा: अर्थमन्त्रीले टीम परिवर्तन गर्न लागेकै हुन् ?
https://clickmandu.com/2018/12/70129.html


What kind of a biddwan changes his successful team :roll: :roll: the one who has been lying about his success?? :mrgreen:

This has cleared that yuraj k has been lying about his success to Oli.

Will Oli fire yuraj k, or he will go to sati with yuraj k? Same yuraj k who has teamed up with dalal pujipati working for Oli's enemy- NC and RAW and thrashing Oli's party cadres- those in hunger strike demanding mordanization of share market, who lost their saving due to manipulation by dalal pujipati working for NC, RAW.


I was always skeptic about yuraj k, I always saw him as a threat to Nepal and Nepal's economy but still I gave him 1% benefit of doubt till before budget but after budget its all over for me. I did warned all.
But I had one expectation from yuraj k, I expected him to bring cash in bfis from outside and end liquidity and interest crisis. He is still a failure after almost a year.

What a looser? I can solve all problems which yuraj k's head is aching for almost a year- within 24 hr.

Cant believe, share market which world considers to be the most important after bfi to economy was presented as enemy of the economy by yuraj k.


RIP
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Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
Few days ago, I gave very slow VAT collection growth as indicator of slowing of economy, weakening of purchasing power of Nepalese Nepalese are getting poorer, no job growth or negative job growth.

Here is another example which proves economy is slowing, purchasing power is weakening: '६ महिना अघिसम्म छड र सिमेन्टको भूक्तानी ६ महिनाभित्र हुन्थ्यो तर अहिले यो चक्र खलबलिएर १० महिना पुगिसक्यो| यो भनेको मुलुकको अर्थतन्त्र ज्यादै नै खराब भएको उदाहरण हो' ती व्यवसायीले भने| अझ निजी क्षेत्रसँग प्रत्यक्ष सरोकार राख्ने अर्थमन्त्री र उद्योगमन्त्री उद्योगी/व्यवसायीका कुरानै सुन्न चाहँदैनन्|


Remember, I predicted NEPSE crash months before crash.
I predicted liquidity crisis month before crisis.
Now, I am predicting economic crisis well before it is seen on the surface.
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Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
500 billion cash in circulation.

200 billion with govt.
Probably 150 billion with BFIs in the name of maintaining CCD ratio (remaining in govt securities).

Few billion with indians, may be.

Which means, more than 70% cash outside the system? This way, how will Nepal prosper.

Does this happen (70% cash outside the system) in all countries or just in sati le sarape ko des?
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Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
Reevaluation of GDP growth: will be below 5.5

(yuraj k, single handedly bringing down Nepal's economy).

Next, evaluation will be in 6th month.


पहिलो चौमासिकमा २६ प्रतिशत राजस्व संकलन, भन्सार बढे पनि भ्याट संकलन कमजोर, गैरकर पनि उठेन


यस्तै आयकर तर्फ पनि लक्ष्यअनुसार संकलन भएको छैन| ३८ अर्ब ६५ करोड रुपैयाँ संकलनको लक्ष्य राखिएकोमा ३५ अर्ब ८९ करोड रुपैयाँ अर्थात ९३ प्रतिशत राजस्व संकलन भएको छ|

गत वर्षको पहिलो चार महिनाको तुलनामा यो वर्ष राजस्व संकलन ३० प्रतिशतले बढेको छ|


In this First four month, there was dashain and tihar and Income tax clearance period and still they are able to collect only 26% tax for the year.

It is clear, their target wont be met.

There are two worst clues hidden:
1: They are able to collect only 30% more during first 4 month after tightening tax policy. Next months, it will be even harder since, they have already squeezed Nepalese.

2: Whatever high tax they have been collecting, its cause of previous govts/years hard work. Real down fall will be seen next year. Biddwan yuraj k's work will be seen next year. There could be negative if not, very low increase in tax collection next year.


Conclusion, lateral month, tax collection growth rate will fall significantly. Next year, there will be crisis.


Investors had been waiting for stable govt to invest. Finally they got, but with it, came biddwan yuraj k. Yurak K single handedly preventing economic growth, investment, economic activity.

Is not there any one in commie who understands economy or anyone in Nepal who can see what I am seeing and educate 8 class dr.Oli?

Kaile samma yuraj k nam ko las bokcha oli le????



I warned Oli about yuraj k when he made him FM. We already lost almost 1 year.

Make Prachanda's buhari finance minister and order her to make ME her malik. I will guide her and this govt how to run economy and state.


Yurak K is sati ko sarp. so is 8 class dr.oli.


Yuraj k actions and policies has been against all rule of economics. Could he be indian agent sent to prevent development of Nepal????

Till 2 year ago, my financial position was very good. Today, I am poor. Commie has turned everyone equally poor. Just like, history taught us about commei and socialist. That is why, they are extinct and about to be extinct in small area where they are left. In case of Nepal............ sati ko sarap.
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Registered: Oct 2013
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आर्थिक वृद्धिको लक्ष्य भेट्न नसकिने अर्थमन्त्रीको स्वीकारोक्ति


Dont tell me, i did not warn before current fiscal year began. I pointed out exact problem with the honorable biddwan yuraj k who should have engaged in gai palan as profession.

Economics/management is bigger nut for his to crack.
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Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
Yo Indian agent le pani des siddhaune bho.

म्यानपावर कम्पनीबीच 'फोर्सफुल मर्जर', 'श्रमबजारलाई १५ म्यानपावर काफि'

Did not he take money from Indian agent Golcha and when he was exposed, he disappeared for years?
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
In 3/6 month, I could revise GDP growth to close to 0 or negative/recession. I am suspecting, monitory policy could hit economy very hard.

Earlier, I was expecting, fiscal and monitory policies hitting economy hard.



In India, when modi won the election, their share market increased a lot, private sector welcomed. And today, Indian is seeing higher GDP growth.


While in Nepal, as soon as biddwan Yuraj K became finance minister- private sector was disappointed and share market has been crashing even harder. Has any economy in the world prospered while private sector and share market lost confidence???? None.


It takes months even years to find out, how your economy is doing. But there are few early indicators 8 class Oli can watch for Nepali context:
1: BFIs borrowing (bad if not enough borrower.
2: Dashain is near, so dashain spending. Cause of new local bodies, spending may rise outside cities, but in cities ........
3: Confidence of private sector and share market.
4: Import for dashan and tihar, which should have already began.
5: Bfi deposit.
6: Meat consumption (if there is real data).
7:
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
- Economy of a nation is economy of a nation. GDP growth is GDP growth.

Nepal's normal GDP growth is 6%. If govt do nothing or if govt does not harm, Nepal GDP growth reach around 6%.

GDP or GDP growth means Nepal's GDP or GDP growing under constant conditions. i.e- Nepal GDP or GDP was growing under previous tax rates.

And

Nepal GDP or GDP growth was growing by using capital/bank loan based on past policies.


Now our biddwan dalal gothalo ka santan Yuraj K has Increased TAX RATES and prevented bank loan from going to those sector which were helping GDP or GDP growth.

Cause of his new high tax rate and blocking of capital flow to those sector which were fueling yesterday's GDP or GDP growth will now be affected. Which means, contribution of yesterday's sector to GDP or GDP growth will be down, so will loose employment.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
Normal GDP growth- 6% even when govt does nothing- nor harming nor building.

Under Biddwan Yuraj K GDP Growth:

Suppose to be normal growth: 6
Impact of biddwan's budget: -2
Caused by demoralization of private sector from biddwan: -1
Solved Banking crisis : 2
If mega projects are completed in time: 2
Re construction: .5
Monitory Policy: -1
Wasting of time: -.5

Total= 6-2-1+2+2+.5-1-.5= 6% GDP growth

(Revised growth rate after revising banking crisis and monitory policy and wasting of time)
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4523
This year's GDP growth- 6%

Next year:
Suppose to be normal growth: 6
Impact of biddwan's budget: -2
Caused by demoralization of private sector from biddwan: -1
Semi solved Banking crisis (if it is semi solved): -1
If mega projects are completed in time: 2
Re construction: .5

Total= 6-2-1-1+2+.5= 4.5% GDP growth

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