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Liquidity crisis past Vs present

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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 507
बैशाख लागेसँगै घट्यो घरजग्गा कारोबार, व्यवसायीहरु नयाँ बिकल्पको खोजीमा
WATER(LIQUID) will find its own way - REAL STATE to STOCK and viceversa.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 507
सानिमा बैंकले पनि विदेशबाट ऋण ल्याएर गर्ने भयो लगानी
सानिमा बैंक र आइएफसीबीच कर्जा सम्झौता
बैंकहरुमा तरलता अभावको समस्या कम हुँदै, सरकारी खर्चको प्रभाव निक्षेपमा/बैंकहरुले निक्षेप बढेसँगै ऋण पनि बृद्धि गर्न थालेका छन्।
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 507
बैंकहरूमा पैसा आउन थाल्यो, २१ दिनमा ३० अर्ब निक्षेप संकलन
वैशाख ७ गते २२ खर्ब ६३ अर्ब रुपैयाँ रहेको वाणिज्य बैंकहरूको निक्षेप संकलन २८ गते २२ खर्ब ९३ अर्ब रुपैयाँ पुगेको छ
निक्षेप बढेसँगै बैंकहरू सहज बन्दै गएको
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
निक्षेप भन्दा कर्जाको वृद्धिदर उच्च हुँदा वित्तीय असन्तुलन देखियो : राष्ट्र बैंक

tero bau khaire le pani bhani sakyo- budget not implementing is the main reason behind liquidity crisis.

Increment in BFIs capital is another main reason. And NRB is behind it.

Liquidity crisis could have been easily avoided just by signing a couple of papers. But criminals/incompetent are our bureaucrats.


Bringing $ form international is turning out to be a flop too since rule is drafted by same incompetent bureaucrats.

dharti ko boj.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1419
I feel the market is looking for valuation in PE multiple of 14-16 instead of earlier used to be 24-28. The Dividend yield has shrinked Invrstor looking for dividend yield of 9-15 percent instead of 2-4 percent.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 351
As soon as Mutual Funds Understands - Interest Rate is about to DIP

1 - All their FD will go into stock market
2 - Market to witness big turnovers and surges

Question is when will Interest Rate begin to Dip
1 - As Govt expenditure is accelerating
2 - As new govt will avail every way to increase the liquidity
3 - Trend of interest rate going down is likely to begin from next month (2/3 weeks from now)

.....Reseach, Analyze and Invest.... Baki Ishwor Ko Leela...
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
ब्याजदर उच्च हुँदा निक्षेपकर्तालाई फाइदा हुने भए पनि उत्पादन लागत बढ्न गई समग्र आर्थिक वृद्धिमा प्रतिकूल प्रभाव पर्ने भएकोले यसतर्पm राष्ट्र बैंक सजग रहेको गभर्नरले बताए ।

व्याजदर स्थीर बनाउने प्रयास

उपयुक्त मौद्रिक व्यवस्थापनका माध्यमबाट कर्जा तथा निक्षेपको ब्याजदरमा आउने उतार चढाबलाई नियन्त्रण गर्न, उच्च ब्याजदरका कारण कर्जा प्रवाह अबरुद्ध नहुने वातावरण सृजना गर्न तथा उत्पादनशील क्षेत्रमा लगानी विस्तारका लागि आवश्यक मौद्रिक तरलता उपलब्ध गराउन नेपाल राष्ट्र बैंक प्रयासरत रहेको उनले बताए ।

सरकारसँग समेत सहकार्य गरी पुनरकर्जा कोषमा थप रकम सुनिश्चित गर्ने, पूँजीगत खर्च बढाउन सरकारलाई अनुरोध गर्ने, ब्याजदर करिडोरमार्पmत् तरलता व्यवस्थापनको कार्यलाई अझ प्रभावकारी बनाउने, निर्देशित कर्जा कार्यक्रमलाई थप सक्रिय तुल्याउने कार्यलाई राष्ट्र बैंकले उच्च प्राथमिकता दिएको उनले बताएका छन् ।


Looks like who invested today are really blessed by lady luck. and those who dumped shares. .........

I added 25% more. thought, there is two off trading days, in this bullish market any good news may appear so added some more :D
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 351
Liquidity
1 - This will get solved

Impact to MFI
1 - Direct impact will be on MFI
2 - Cost of funds becomes low
3 - Income remains constant or sustains normal growth
4 - Profit surges due to lowering cost of funds
5 - EPS of MFI will rise

Impact to commercial bank
1 - No major impact as amount of spread remains same

Impact to Economy
1 - Good for expansionary economy for increased investment

.....Research, Analyse & Invest.....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela...
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 507
gradually liquidity problem is getting solved.
https://www.nagariknews.com/news/44722/

Cheers now investors will get enough loan from bank :) :) :)
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
While, So called expert, NRB, Beurocrats, media, wanna be economist all were saying "we have liquidity crisis cause Banks gave 15/20 extra loan than they are suppose to".

I said, main reason, there is liquidity crisis is "govt not spending revenue".

They did not listen to me, now, since khaire has spoken too "उनले स्रोतबीना बजेटको आकार बढाउने, पैसा खर्च नगरी कोषमा थुपारेर राख्ने र निजी क्षेत्रले परिचालन गर्ने रकम सरकारको कोषमा थुप्रिएर बस्ने जस्ता कारणले वित्तीय क्षेत्रमा उतारचढाव देखिएको बताए।".

Now they may listen.

Another reason is, BFIs restriction in lending capital and reserve as loan while they keep on increasing.

These problems could have easily been solved just signing one document. Deposit govt revenue in the BFIs and let banks give loan from capital and reserve.
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
Interest rate down by good number of almost all :D
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
We need to bring 200 billion now and 200+300 billion within one year.

And govt revenue and capital & reserve & 5% CD ratio cash of BFIs should join the system immediately.
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 351
Sir, Anal Raj Bhattarai is RIGHT.
1 - Commercial Banks should be able to accept deposits from abroad as well, not just loans

...CREDIT CRUNCH SHALL SIGNIFICANTLY EASE IN COMING DAYS....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA.....
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
Yesterday, NMB was offering 10% interest for 2 week FD today, 5%

do they change offer for one client? jaha pani connection chalne
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
तत्काल ७८ अर्ब विदेशी पैसा भित्र्याउन राष्ट्र बैंकले नयाँ ब्यवस्था गर्दै, १०% ब्याजमै ऋण पाइने
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
स्रोत नभएर ऋण विस्तार ठप्प भएपछि आर्थिक वृद्धि प्रभावित हुने, स्रोत जुटाउन तीन विकल्पमा छलफल

नेपाल राष्ट्र बैंकले ७.२ प्रतिशतको आर्थिक वृद्धिलाई पच्छ्याउन बैंक तथा वित्तीय संस्थामार्फत एक बर्षभित्र ६ खर्ब १० अर्ब रुपैयाँ ऋण लगानी गर्ने रणनीति लिएको छ। सरकारको कुल विकास बजेटभन्दा ५५ प्रतिशत बढी रकम वित्तीय क्षेत्रबाट परिचालन गर्ने राष्ट्र बैंकको रणनीति हो।


used to think banks can lend 80% of what they have including capital/reserve. there were some who blamed increase in bfis capital to liquidity crisis. i thought they meant, cause of increase in capital, CEO had to make more profit so they had to lend aggressively. Turned out, those increased capital were kept outside the system.

350 billion, that's like 15% of economy. What do bureaucrats think they are doing? govt has more than 5% cash unspent. And another 20% of equivalent of the economy in the name of CD ratio is also outside the system.

total of more than 40% in Cash compared to GDP is outside the system. What kind of individuals is running Nepal? They are simply dumb or some evil foreign power are paying them to destroy our economy.

I believe to pay back depositor- 15% in bank and 12% in dev bank and 10% finance is enough. Govt can deposit revenue in BFIs and banks can lend 85-90% of their deposit. This is called mismanagement of resource.

This can be done over night with one decision.


दीर्घकालिन उपायका लागि बाणिज्य बैंकहरुलाई विदेशस्थित बैंक तथा अन्य निकायबाट पैसा ल्याउने नीतिगत सहुलियत दिनु पर्नेतर्फ छलफल अगाडि बढेको छ। राष्ट्र बैंकले यस बिषयमा 'होमवर्क' गरिरहेका बेला नवनियुक्त अर्थमन्त्री डा. युवराज खतिवाडाले पनि यसै दिशामा कुराकानी गरेकाले प्रकृया अगाडि बढ्ने भएको छ।

ब्याज दर, ल्याउने प्रकृया, सीमा, अवधि बारेमा राष्ट्र बैंकमा छलफल सुरु भइसकेको छ।

यस बाहेक बासेल थ्रीको पूर्ण कार्यान्वयन गरेर सिसिडी खारेज गर्ने बारे पनि बैंकहरुले माग गरिरहेका छन्। राष्ट्र बैंकले बासेल थ्री पूर्ण कार्यान्वयनमा जाँदा के हुन्छ भन्ने बारे अध्ययन सुरु पनि गरिसकेको छ।

साथै स्थानीय निकायमा जाने पैसालाई पनि बैंकहरुलाई निक्षेपका रुपमा परिचालन गर्न दिनु पर्ने बारे पनि छलफल भइरहेको छ। यसमा अर्थमन्त्रालयसमेत सहमत भइसकेको छ।
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
गभर्नर नेपालले भने- 'पैसा खोज्न विदेश जाने होइन, घरमै बैंक आएको छ त्यहीबाट पैसा बनाउने हो'

Cold war has begun between FM and governor. two retards. hope both kills each other.


People in UNDP must be laughing. they may be saying " we released yuraj k (who used to work for UNDP and posted in srilanka) cause he showed outdated syndrome, but, Nepali media keeps on making him god using UNDP job which had to release him for being too outdated.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 1419
Well i am not a Banker. But what i feel is If there is reduction in Interest rate by banks then we might see Many More Ponzy schemes by thags and fatta which will loot out the Public money in name of higher interest which will eventually be a Capital flight from the Nation.

Banker are in a better position to mobilize the fund of the Public as a deposits and deploy in Productive Sectors as a loans. Definitely they will deploy in those business where business is fissible.

;)
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
संघले मुद्धती र निक्षेपको व्याजदरको अन्तर १ प्रतिशतमा पुगेको भन्दै सो अन्तर बढाउन बचतको व्याजदर ८ प्रतिशतभन्दा माथि नबनाउने निर्णय गरेको थियो ।

- bring down more, 9 for FD, 7 for SA.

Finance minister is suppose to deal it with emergency approach.


Where the hell is emergency meeting for NEPSE crisis- FM, Oli???
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
In the first day Oli becomes PM, he should form committee to study and give solution to the Banking crisis and NEPSE crisis.

And that committee should not include any Bureaucrat.

From the actions of bureaucrat, since we got democracy, it seems like, they get paid by India and other to do nothing in Nepal, not just sell secrets of Nepal for money, visa.
Member
Registered: May 2014
Posts: 237
बजारमा पैसा फालफाल, ४ वटा बैंक बुझाए ३ अर्ब ९० करोड

http://www.bikashnews.com/2018/01/08/84209.html
Member
Registered: May 2014
Posts: 237
कतारमै अड्कियो रेमिट्यान्स, डलर अभावले निम्तियो समस्या

https://www.onlinekhabar.com/2018/01/651197
Member
Registered: May 2014
Posts: 237
पैसा विदेश गएपछि नेपाली बैंकमा हुन्छ पैसाको हाहाकार

https://www.clickmandu.com/2018/01/39761.html
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 4591
सरकारले चाहिएको अवस्थामा तत्काल पैसा फिर्ता माग्न सक्ने हुँदा बैंकहरुको समस्या जहाँका त्यही रहन्छ ।

त्यसमा विस्तृत रुपमा हेर्न बाँकी नै छ । त्यो सम्भव भएको कुरा चाँही हो । केही उपकरण बनाएर पठाउन त सकिन्छ तर ठ्याक्कै सर्व सञ्चित कोष नै सिफ्ट गर्न त कानूनी कुराहरु पनि आउँछ ।

- billions of rs is being deposited every hour as well as billions are cashed. But still bfis dont face problem, cause that money is being taken out from one and goes to another. and vice versa.

- since, keeping money in saving account in bfis is going to be new practice, and no one can tell exactly the out come. So start it as a trial and need to form committee so that they would be able to watch and change rules in weekly basis.

I believe it can be done, and increase govt revenue and creates job. But, there is no 100% guarantee, so start with 150 billion.


यो मिल्ने जस्तो मलाई लाग्दैन । ( yestai negative individual le des chalaya ko le , yesto halat cha)

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