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NEPSE TO HIT 1000/- mark in coming days !!

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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Currently since last few trading session market is checking the Pulse of the Bulls. Let see how strong are the Bulls.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
The Mutual Fund whose Tenure is about to Mature could exert Further Selling Pressure in NEPSE.

Majority of the Mutual fund has Under Performed since its Launch !!

Many of the People who thought Mutual fund will give Better Returns now must have faced the Reality !!

Public are now discouraged and might give Thumb Down approach to New Fund Offer of Mutual Fund companies in near future !!

Hmmm The Reality of the Market !!

Happy Investment !! :'( :'(
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Since the last few days the upper range of the bounce back is getting shorter and shorter and frequently takeing support near the Physological level of 1100/- and coming closer to 1100/- indicates that the Market is set to break the 1100/- level just awaiting for the tigger to break it down.

1100/- acting as Physological support technical support is seen @ 1065-72 level for the short term.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
As the News flow of FM Resignation was arrested as it turned out to be just a rumour which saved NEPSE from 20+ points down swing.

Yesterday we did break 1100/- on intraday basis but by just 2 basis point which was just like a eye blink.

1100/- still acting as a Physological support.

Yesterday some bargain hunter picked up the stock. later draft registration for Foreign Investment lifted the sentiment in the second half of the trading session amid volatility which pushed Nepse in +ve teritorry.

Today a day to watch wheter this +ve momentum to continue or will exhaust.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Feb 26, 2019 8:46 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
The News flow in the Market about Resignation of FM will impact the market badely. We could see a 20+ points down swing in the market if this news further accelarate.

Looking at the Yesterday Pattern we see a break down of the 1100/- level on NEPSE.

Today could be a Volatile session in the market !!
Member
Registered: Apr 2018
Posts: 25
Those who are accumulating now will be eventual winner when NEPSE bounce back from around 1080. The tentative date of bounce start from March 3.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
As predicted NEPSE to see Resistance @ 1117-. Market moved till 1116.34/- and then took a Back Gear !!

As said Market is going to trade with Negative Bias will Physiological Support seen @ 1100/-

As today Market made a low of 1101.88 near Physiological Support Level of 1100/- Level finally closing @ 1102.32/- down by 10.75 Points.

As today Range was between 1100-1117/- as expected !!

What Next now ???

Will Update Later !!

Till then Happy Investment !! :lol: :lol:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
NEPSE likely to open Flat with -VE Bias !!

Market to face Resistance @ 1117- and Physiological Support seen @ 1100/-

Market to trade in a range between of 1100/- to 1117/-

News based Movement likely to be seen in the Market !!

Happy Investment !! :lol: :lol:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Company ka Board ra Management Driver Seat ma baseko xa ani aam Laganikarta Non-Driver seat Ma !!

Aba Driver le Gantabya Time ma puranxa ki dhilo Puranuxa ki gantabya purauni niyat ne xaina ??

Driver Le gantabya time ma purauna khoje pani kaile kaile Bato (Market Environment ) na ramro huna sakxa. Pangra puncture huna sakxa.

Careless Driver bhayo bhani kata gayera judai dinxa ( Company Dubai dinxa)

Multiple PROS and CONS !!

Conclusion :- Tehi gadi ma chadnu parxa jose le sakusal ra time ma gantabya puraunxa !!

Happy Investment !! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Mar 2016
Posts: 11
Nepse 1800 pugda kinne and Aile Ayera bechne haru chan ta hamile uthauna payeka cham. Commercial bank ko share IPO ko bhau ma pai ra ko cha. PE 10 ko around ma cha.. yo bhanda good oppurtunity bazar chirne pachi audaina.. 10% fixed ma rakheko jati dividend aucha.. aba ko 1-2 yr ma feri bazar bacha ani feri bheda haru ufranchan ani bechnu parcha
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 130
Presence of extreme fear, disappointments and anger in the market is suggestive of impending bull run (reflected by scanty volume).

साधारण लगानीकर्ता टाट पल्टेपछी बल्ल व्यापरीको प्रवेश हुन्छ । जब सर्वसाधारण सङ्ग कौडिको भाउमा पनि शेयर उठाउन पैसा हुँदैन तब व्यापारीले सब उठाउछ । त्यही समयलाई accumulation भनिन्छ । यो नियम Ralph Nelson Elliott ले wave सिद्धान्त प्रतिपादन गर्नुभन्दा धेरै अघिदेखि स्थापित थियो । Weekly chart मा OBV rising trend मा छ । अर्थात accumulation stealth mode मा भइरहेकै छ । खुल्लम खुल्ला कहिलेबाट हुने हो त्यो समयले देखाउनेछ । त्यसैले सक्नेले क्षमता अनुसार खरिद गर्नुलाई trap होइन Deepak ji, बुद्धिमानी पुर्वक बल्छी हालेको भनिन्छ ।

मैले त थोरै थोरै गरि उठाउन शुरु गरिसके । तपाईंले नि?
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 320
Deepak ji said "People who bought yesterday are trapped by Bears !!"
दिनकाे १५/२० कराेडकाे काराेवार हुन्छ, शेयरकाे भाउ ५/१० रूपैंया बढी तिरेर किन्दैमा के trap मा पर्ने हाे । बेच्न बन्द गरेकाे धेरै भयाे, किन्ने मात्र गरिएकाे छ । जति trap मा परे पनि पीर छैन ।
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
As Forecasted that Market will lose its Steam @ 1129/- . After making an Intraday high of 1128.97/- NEPSE took the back Gear and Collapsed by more the Dozen Points, which is hinting that it is now ready to break the 1100/- Level.

Any Positive News flow also will not be able to Lift the NEPSE looking at the Current Pattern !!

Avoid any Purchase till it forms the bottom !! People who bought yesterday are trapped by Bears !!

Sooner or Later these trapped bulls will exit their Position which will further Pressure the NEPSE !!

Happy Investment !! :roll: :roll:
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Feb 20, 2019 3:31 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
The maximum extension of this Bounce back i see till 1152/- but i feel it will lose it's steam @1129/- level. If Nepse continue to hold above 1129/- by 1 pm then traders could initiate long position.
Till then Wait N Watch is advised !!

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
As 1100/- Level was seen as a Physiological Support and NEPSE was well defending that Level from last 2 days and we expected a Technical Bounce Back from Level near there which has occurred today thus going beyond 1124/- Level.

Thus the Bounce back which was expected was finally happened today !!

Let see till where it get extended or matures here only !!

Happy Investment !! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
1100/- Level on NEPSE is acting as the Physiological Support at the Moment !!

Once we break Physiological Support of 1100/- then we will witness Panic Selling in NEPSE !!

I see Next Line of Technical Support in between 1065-1072/- Level !!


Since 2 days NEPSE is respecting the 1100/- Level !!

Happy Investment !! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Finally Nepse made a 52 week low on intrday basis also @1107.85/- apart from 52 week low on closing basis.

The convesrion of Nabil Promotor Share to ordinary share will put further pressure on Nepse despite of 12% Bonus annoucement !! As Nabil being one of the heavy weight on NEPSE.

Break of 1100 could trigger Panic selling by traders.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Feb 18, 2019 7:38 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
On a closing basis NEPSE has already hit 52 week low but not on intraday basis.

Once it dives below 1109 then it has hit 52 week low on intraday basis too.

Happy investment.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Today 3 Block Deals in EBL Promoter share was seen @ 265/- !!

Who sold today ???

1. B. K. Shrestha
2. Punjab National Bank
3. Others


Any guesses ??

:mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Today being the Last Trading Day of the week is being regarded as very crucial.

NEPSE need to defend 1117/- Level in today session, failure to do so confirms 100% that we heading towards a new 52 WEEK Low, The New low is expected in range of 1065-1072 Level.

Let see what NEPSE does today ??

Finger Crossed !!! :roll: :roll:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
As said Earlier Before i went for Hibernation that a Break Below 1175/- will lead further downfall in the Market !!

As we have also witnessed NEPSE forming Lower Tops and Lower Bottoms Pattern with no sign of revert indicates more Pain is Left in the Market !!

As per my forecast this trend will make a New 52 Week Low if Level below 1100/-

I see Support @ 1065/- to 1072 Zone in near term.

Don't try to Catch the falling Knife !!

Happy Investment !! :lol: :lol:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
HDL ( Himalayan Distillery Ltd.) is a BUY Call in this Bear Market for Minimum Target of 2100/-

Happy Investment !!! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Few Good Reasoning was given by the fellow forum members !!

As said by some one that making money in stock Market is not that easy as it is in other Business.

Once it was time when NEPSE was in golden Era where every body in-fact most of the People made money.

When Hedge fund comes into Play then making money in Stock Market will become more and more complicated until or unless you are an insider and you got the info from an insider !!

Any Way enjoy your weekend & Happy Investment !!

:lol: :lol:
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 130
In stock market,
Patience is the greatest wisdom.
Bearish market is the greatest opportunity.
History is the best friend.

Yes, you said it right Dareinshare ji. Only a few are real winners. And if you want to outsmart everyone else, then you should not use the same strategy everyone else is using. You can use the technical indicators you mentioned. Those will guide you to land safely. But have you ever pondered upon alternative strategies? How about only buying at the lower lows and not selling at the lower highs? (Of course, one must not invest every penny and must not invest through short term loan in bearish market. To have more capital is added benefit, but not mandatory.)

Bearish market is the greatest opportunity and if Nepalese really are sheep, then there's no pity for getting slaughtered.

Currently, interest rate is the primary factor. The political scenario was preplanned before handing over the government. If interest rate were to go low, the supply can be absorbed by current players, although CIT and NRN would be an additional benefits and I would love to see them enter.

And when interest rate shows improvement, Microfinance (not all of them) will be the first to surge and higher than ever. I cannot say anything about insurance right now.
Member
Registered: Mar 2016
Posts: 11
I realize that Nepalese are real Sheep. bheda nai hun...
Nepse 1800 huda, PE ratio 30-40 pugda, sab line lagera Broker office ma hunthye.. Ridi etc hydropwer ko IPO ko line ghantau samma basthye, aile 90 mai pauda ni uthaudainan....FPO ko kura garda 1200 ma SCB , 601 ma NIB, 501 ma BPCL pauna line lagera basthye...
Now, Commercial Bank ko PE ratio 10 ko average ma cha, dividend batai loss hudaina, market badhna ta badhi halcha ekdin.. aile sab sell garna line lagirachan.. Bheda haru

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