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Chakka Panja Stocks of NEPSE !!

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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
TRH notification to NEPSE
http://www.nepalstock.com.np/uploads/files/company/e2dbfeb4cce33371b80276c85a1ace76.PDF
Member
Registered: Aug 2015
Posts: 77
Eagerly waiting for Shivam @285, and NTC@585...... :) :) :)
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 811
IN REPONSE TO dEEPAKJEE NTC prediction

NTC please come to 550-600...
I want to love you with my money....
Been in love with you since i bid you farewell at 1200 soon after ur ipo....

But i dont think it will come to that level
Market to surge soon..

....BAKI ISHWOR KO LEELA....
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
I am not saying NTC can't launch such things but ....

As Ncell has become fast mover in it's Data Business and fast mover always have a business advantage. By the time NTC might be thinking what to do next by then major market share will be captured by Ncell.

As the Data Price war has begun between the 2 telecom giants this will lead to shrinkage in their profit margin. As the Price war has began between the 2 telecom rivals. Smart Cell is also penetrating the market and is eating the market share of NTC more compare to Ncell.

Based of these Parameter we are forecasting a decline of 29% in profit margin and Dividend payout. Thus it's being de-rated for TGT of 585/--

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sat Jun 15, 2019 7:46 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7431
After successfully predicting NBL, DBBL (where I lost 10s of thousands, thanks to you), here he predicts about NTC :mrgreen:

""""after the launch of Ncell Pocket Wifi"""" is this you analytical ability, or just using random reason to support your crash prediction????

Telecommunication is not kera where you can change vendor as per your will.

And wifi package, I am sure NTC can launch it easily too.

I have only a few hundred NTC shares, dont give a damn it rises or falls. 8)






Share is not a kera & Dont ask- Why me, in future.
https://forum.sharesansar.com/topic.php?id=5866

They, including yuraj k, used to say, share was like kera, it crashed cause of over supply.

Its been more than two year, we hardly see big right share issue and far less bonus shares and still NEPSE is unable to rise.

What happen, less supply not working???
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
NTC is de-rated for the Target of 585/- from current Price of 700/- after the launch of Ncell Pocket Wifi. Profit Margin of NTC to sink by 29% in coming days from the current level.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
पाँचतारे होटल हायातमा कार्यरत मजदुरहरु आन्दोलनमा उत्रिएका छन्। It may affect profitability in coming quarter.
So those who bought TRH at PEAK may ve to repent. NO CHHAKA NO PANJA but JOKER. :lol: :lol: :lol:
Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2288
Some of the professionals from corporate-legal sector were gossiping about the final verdict of counter guarantee issue on melamchi case getting finalize soon. If favororable result, it will be great boon for worst affected BOK and to some extent HBL. Can any forum member share more concrete information on this issue ?
BOK used to parallel NIC bank in most of the parameters till 5 years back, BOKs downfall started when NRB blocked there counter guarantee amount on melamchi case. Hope BOK will recover there past supremacy once there RAHU DOS get mitigated.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
The UP Rally in Hydro was arrested in last Trading session. As Fundamentally there has been no change in Hydro Sector. Hydro will Continue to Underperform in near term too.

Stay Away from Hydro don't get fasinated by the Punter speculative activities seen in Hydro Sector.

Recent news on Merger of NIB and HBL. Merger is unlikely even if so happen the Swap ratio likely be 1:1. Based on it Buy NIB and Sell HBL. Based on this there is an Arbitrage oppurtinity of 10%. Who belevies in the Story of Merger.

HDL recent Iterim Dividind looks like a Honey Trap if Promoter are really selling the shares in the open market. Better to wait n watch till further clouds are cleared.

In term of Valuation there is no concern but if Promoters are really selling into open market then HDL to Face Strong Resistance between 1800-2000 level.

Apart from that Shivam is showing Lower top lower bottom pattern which suggest it is heading for the Target of 480/-.

Avoid Fresh Purchase in Shivam too.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
The UP Rally in Hydro was arrested in last Trading session. As Fundamentally there has been no change in Hydro Sector. Hydro will Continue to Underperform in near term too.

Stay Away from Hydro don't get fasinated by the Punter speculative activities seen in Hydro Sector.

Recent news on Merger of NIB and HBL. Merger is unlikely even if so happen the Swap ratio likely be 1:1. Based on it Buy NIB and Sell HBL. Based on this there is an Arbitrage oppurtinity of 10%. Who belevies in the Story of Merger.

HDL recent Iterim Dividind looks like a Honey Trap if Promoter are really selling the shares in the open market. Better to wait n watch till further clouds are cleared.

In term of Valuation there is no concern but if Promoters are really selling into open market then HDL to Face Strong Resistance between 1800-2000 level.

Apart from that Shivam is showing Lower top lower bottom pattern which suggest it is heading for the Target of 480/-.
Avoid Fresh Purchase in Shivam too.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
The UP Rally in Hydro was arrested in last Trading session. As Fundamentally there has been no change in Hydro Sector. Hydro will Continue to Underperform in near term too.

Stay Away from Hydro don't get fasinated by the Punter speculative activities seen in Hydro Sector.

Recent news on Merger of NIB and HBL. Merger is unlikely even if so happen the Swap ratio likely be 1:1. Based on it Buy NIB and Sell HBL. Based on this there is an Arbitrage oppurtinity of 10%. Who belevies in the Story of Merger.

HDL recent Iterim Dividind looks like a Honey Trap if Promoter are really selling the shares in the open market. Better to wait n watch till further clouds are cleared.

In term of Valuation there is no concern but if Promoters are really selling into will HDL to Face Strong Resistance between 1800-2000 level.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
The UP Rally in Hydro was arrested in last Trading session. As Fundamentally there has been no change in Hydro Sector. Hydro will Continue to Underperform in near term too.

Stay Away from Hydro don't get fasinated by the Punter speculative activities seen in Hydro Sector.

Recent news on Merger of NIB and HBL. Merger is unlikely even if so happen the Swap ratio likely be 1:1. Based on it Buy NIB and Sell HBL. Based on this there is an Arbitrage oppurtinity of 10%. Who belevies in the Story of Merger.

HDL recent Iterim Dividind looks like a Honey Trap if Promoter are really selling the shares in the open market. Better to wait n watch till further clouds are cleared.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
The UP Rally in Hydro was arrested in last Trading session. As Fundamentally there has no change in Hydro Sector. Hydro will Continue to Underperform in near term too.

Stay Away from Hydro don't get fasinated by the Punter speculative activities seen in Hydro Sector.

Recent new on Merger of NIB and HBL. Merger is unlikely even if so happen the Swap ratio likely be 1:1. Based on it Buy NIB and Sell HBL. Based on this there is an Arbitrage oppurtinity of 10%. Who belevies in the Story of Merger.

HDL recent Iterim Dividind looks like a Honey Trap if Promoter is really selling the shares in the open market. Better to wait n watch till further clouds are cleared.
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Today Both HDL & SHIVAM both were down by 6 odd Percent in Today trading Session as expected on Rumors of Promoter Stake Sale.

Though due to +VE NEPSE Movement they were saved from 10% Lower Circuit Level.

Till now it has not been cleared whether these are just Rumors or Reality.

Better to Stay Away from these 2 Stock as we might continue to see Further Selling Pressure in these 2 stocks !!

Those who hold these Stocks don't try to Average it as it could be a Loss Making Deal.

We Witnessed Strong Rally in Hydro Sectors on 2 factors :-

1. FM to make some Special Address or Incentives to Nepal Hydro Sectors.
2. Traders are Making Pre-Bet that NEPSE might break 1352/- Level thus a Trigger Level for a New Bull to Start.

But Personally i feel that Hydro Sector is in its Last Leg or close to Last Leg of Up-move.

Fundamentally i don't see any Strong Positive Change in Hydro Sectors until or Unless there is increase in Tariff Rate of Power Purchase Agreement if any such is announced in the Upcoming Budget !!

If Tariff Rate is hiked then only we can see Strong change in the Fundamental of Hydro Sector.

Tomorrow is Another Important Day For NEPSE in terms of Marwadi Money Inflow or Outflow in NEPSE.

Tomorrow is the Outcome of Result of Indian General Election.

If Stable Government comes in Power in India then Marwadi Money will Divert to Indian Equity Markets through Un-official Channel, where we might see Outflow from NEPALESE Equity Markets.

Finger Crossed Let see What Happens !!

Happy Investment !! :roll: :roll:
Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 130
Deepak ji, please put forward with evidence (fundamental or technical). Hallai halla ko var ma negative circuit lagcha kasari vannu. Lage lagcha. Aafnai Karan le lagcha. But halla ko var ma "Investors are advised...." jasto avibyakti tapai jasto professional manche le vaneko suhayena.
Member
Registered: Mar 2014
Posts: 163
Deepak ji do not write FATAHA KURA in share forum. Just like local people
share ,promoters shares of SHIVM are also locked for two years.
« Last edit by LBS on Wed May 22, 2019 8:34 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Yesterday we saw Soft move in HDL on Rumours that HDL Promoters are willing to Sell some few lakhs kittas in Some Investor Group. Now Talk's has also began about SHIVAM also in some investor Group that Shivam Promoters are willing to Sell some few lakh kittas.

This will also Put Pressure on Shivam Share too. Talks have also started in some groups that it will hit 10% Lower Circuit.


Investor are advised to Stay from Shivam and HDL for time being though we have iniated a Bull Call on HDL.

Among the 4 Stocks recommended for Buy which were ADBL , DBBL, HDL and And NBL. HDL is removed for time being.

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed May 22, 2019 8:34 am. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
DBBL is on Radar and is being watched closely by Investor. Once 156/- Level is Broken Then it has given a bullish Break Out.

Once Bullish break out happens it will move for the Target of 192-195/-

Keep and Eye on It.

HDL is under consolidation near 2000/- Zone Before giving a strong Move for TGT of 2356/-

ADBL & NBL is under Accumulation by Investor !!

Happy Investment !! :lol: :lol:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
ADBL, DBBL, HDL ra NBL. Sabai L means long garne share. Means Buy Buy

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Today DBBL has hit 52 Week High @156/- finally settled @151 up by 3 rs. It headed for a Bullish Breakout but Nepse negative movement spoiled DBBL to break it crucial level 156/-.

As the volume too has picked suggesting it getting ready for a Bullish Break out. Once it Breaks 156/- level then it is heading for a Tgt of 192-195 within a short span on time.

Keep an EYE on DBBL.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Shivam Technical Target of 650/- which was later downgraded to 590/- has been achieved as Shivam has hit 629/- on Intra-day and Closing basis and closed on 10% Upper circuit.

Now Investor can Book Full Profit on Shivam if not yet booked.

On fundamental Basis SELL Call has been initiated for Shivam for the target of 285/- over a period of 6-9 Months.

Happy Investment !! :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
SELL Shivam for Target of 285/-. Looking at the Pattern it looks like it's a Few Player Leverage game. Once Leverage condition weakens we could withness Strong Downfall with 4-5 consecutive Lower Circuit.

Who are in Good Profit are advised to Book the Profit. Else it could become a Big Nightmare who have long Position in it.

Shivam EarlierUpside Target of 650/- has been downgraded to 590/-

Happy Investment !!
« Last edit by deepak_mm on Sat May 18, 2019 5:50 pm. »
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
SELL Shivam for Target of 285/-. Looking at the Pattern it looks like it's a Few Player Leverage game. Once Leverage condition weakens we could withness Strong Downfall with 4-5 consecutive Lower Circuit.

Who are in Good Profit are advised to Book the Profit. Else it could become a Big Nightmare who long Position in it.

Happy Investment !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Stock to Watch for the Day !!

ADBL
BBC
HDL
SHIVAM

SHIVAM TODAY ALSO STRONG EXPECTED FOR ATLEAST 585/-

INFACT TODAY ALL 4 ARE 10% UPPER CIRCUIT CANDIDATE !!

HAPPY INVESTMENT !!
Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2090
Shivam Third Upper Circuit in a Row after entering the uncharted Zone. After Buy Call initation on Shivam we have witnessed 3 consecutive 10% Upper Circuit.

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