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#76 Tue Sep 03, 2019 6:46 am
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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2145
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Few Days Ago the Nepse Vix was @ 47/- Vix is basically the Volatility Index or Fear Index in General. Yesterday there was a decline in VIX till 36 when Nepse was consodilating at 1177-78 level. But one of sudden the consodilation was broken and the Nepse VIX spiked to 52 week high of 52/- All time Vix high is seen @56/- in the past when NEPSE BROKE 1165/- in the Past. When Vix is @ 42/- or above then it violets all technical rule. IN THAT CONTEXT TA DON'T WORK AT ALL. AS MARKET DON'T FOLLOW TECHNICAL RULES. In such scenerio TA can make only wild guesses only. In the Past we have seen many Technical Analysis fails when VIX rules beyond 42/-. Happy Investment !! Let see where market will head. « Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Sep 03, 2019 6:48 am. »
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#77 Mon Sep 02, 2019 8:35 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2145
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Today we bought to the tune of 8 Crores and based on MTM we are curently sitting on 6 Lakh MTM loss. Today Market was consodilating @ 1177-78 level but Margin call based sell off discouraged us to add further.
We don't know the size of the Margin call based sell off and NADA auto booking details also has not reached our hand.
Thus we are also unable to decide the Market Stragety.
What ever we bought today will keep 1152/- as a stoploss level
Tomorrow if market show the sign of consodilation till 2 PM then we will again deploy fresh cash in the market. Else whatever we pumped today will be the final figure with Stoploss of 1152/-
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#78 Mon Sep 02, 2019 7:10 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 822
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To all the dear investors, Every Dip is a Buying Opportunity Do not panic A constant level of focus during rise (exhilaration) and fall (panic) is necessary The factor that is hindering the sentiment is the demonic taxation that govt envisages & int rate I REVOKE MY SUPPORT TO YUBARAJ KHATIWADA from this day TAXING ANCESTRAL PROPERTY IS A CRIME Each generation works hard, saves and accumulates weath and they already pay their personal tax and corporate tax and taxing such again is a crime Just like a land that doesnt give anything rises over the course of time Similarly stock market rises over a period of time - only thing is it suffers from severe flux As for market, do not panic. Good surge will come soon before the season ends be confident in it .....Baki Ishwor Ko Leela... « Last edit by पूजीभैरव on Mon Sep 02, 2019 7:16 pm. »
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#79 Mon Sep 02, 2019 4:48 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7682
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Technical analysis never works. That is why TA guys keep on changing the goal post.
Fundamentals: big players wanting to crash the market, yuraj k wanting to destroy the market and the economy. Both are parts of fundamental. And these are the most important fundamentals in Nepal.
Unless, they dont want to destroy share market, it wont crash to 900 lvl, of they do, no one can save.
Only immediate death of KP Oli can save.
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#80 Mon Sep 02, 2019 4:42 pm
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Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 131
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I don't believe NEPSE will undergo freefall. Fundamentals haven't changed, rather improved.
From technical standpoint, a sudden uprise is expected. RSI at oversold zone. Confidence meter shows rising fear level.
Bull run is impending.
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#81 Mon Sep 02, 2019 4:17 pm
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Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 844
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Deepak congrats if you have inject some cash today. But you couldnot impress me much. I was sure that turnover would be over 50 c today.
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#82 Mon Sep 02, 2019 4:08 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7682
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Deepak ji, you are biggest fathaha in this forum. God will make you pay for your Paap.
I am sure, you got the memo that big players now want to crash the market to 900 lvl, if they can. I knew a week ago, today, it is conformed.
Only death of KP Oli can save NEPSE, Nepal.
Yuraj k is trying to kill Nepalese like Mao, stalin killed millions in ussr, china.
KP Oli, during his last days, ghit ghit bhayar marcah, that day I am going to enjoy every moment of his pain.
Yuraj k has been enlisted in the list.
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#83 Mon Sep 02, 2019 12:39 pm
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Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 844
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#84 Mon Sep 02, 2019 5:48 am
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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2145
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Yesterday Nepse achived the Downside Target of 1183-85 as forecasted earlier. Today Nepse will Consodilate with +Ve bias. NADA AUTO SHOW AUTO BOOKING FIGURE DATA WILL BE THE KEY TRIGGER FOR THE NEXT UPMOVE IN THE MARKET. AS THE UPDATED FIGURES WILL COME THE ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE IN BANKING AND NON LIFE INSURANCE SHARES. MICRO FINANCE SECTOR WILL TAKE THE LEAD IN OVERALL SECTOR OUT PERFORMANCE. TODAY ONWARDS WE WILL START DEPLOYING Cash in the market till now we were sitting on cash as our Purchase level had not hit the market till Yesterday. We will be also deploying cash in Merger bank list based on information on possible Swap ratio information. NEXT AND FAST UPDATE on market @ 1:30 P.M. today. Happy Investment !! « Last edit by deepak_mm on Mon Sep 02, 2019 5:59 am. »
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#85 Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:06 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7682
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#86 Sun Sep 01, 2019 9:23 am
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Member
Registered: Jun 2017
Posts: 844
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Dont buy banks re, stay away from insurance and hydro re.. Seems like BBC is only stock left for buying..
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#87 Sun Sep 01, 2019 7:16 am
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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2145
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Today the Last Day of the NADA Auto Show 2076. Nada Auto show Automobile Booking figure to forecast the earning Guidence of the over all Banking Sector and General Insurance sector. Apart from that it will also somewhat forecast the upcoming Balance of Payment status of the Country. Nepse continue to form Lower Top lower bottom pattern with no sign of consodilation hint for Bear Still has a strong control on the market. Nada Auto figure to dictate the next direction of Nepse. Merger news is the same old news comeing again and again. The Possible swap ratio speculation by traders could lead to volatility in its prices. The shares u hold some might bring quick return some might give quick losses based on Swap figures. Avoid buying banks which are in possible merger list. Until or unless you have reliable Insider information on Possible swap figure. HAPPY INVESTMENT !! « Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Sep 01, 2019 7:24 am. »
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#88 Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:53 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2362
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Expected duration when we can see 1000 mark ?
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#89 Wed Aug 28, 2019 6:50 am
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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2145
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Yesterday we saw the Technical Bounce back as expected and told earlier. Nepse in order to show strength need to stay above 1208/- on closing basis. Failure to hold above 1208/- means the bounce back is over and again we are heading down for the Next Target of 1182-85/- level. If we manage to surpass 1217/- on closing basis with good volumes then we can see trend reversal in Nepse. But i Personally feel market will be heading down again from today onwards. As the current wave cycle is yet not over. Happy Investment !! « Last edit by deepak_mm on Wed Aug 28, 2019 6:54 am. »
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#90 Tue Aug 27, 2019 1:12 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 37
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deepak_mm BBC 3980 % Bonus Share !!! Reply #1 Wed Apr 25, 2018 8:31 am Member Registered: Oct 2017 Posts: 1392 Once it shoot up we will see a non-stop rally r Till 5600/-
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#91 Tue Aug 27, 2019 6:41 am
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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2145
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As said Earlier technically market looks weak and will hit below 1200/- mark and yesterday it broke below 1200/-. After days of Fall there is need for Technical Bounce Back and we might witness it in Today Session. 1208 to remain immediate Resistance for Nepse. Market still form lower top and lower bottom pattern which suggest Bear still has a control on the Market. If we manage to Surpass 1217/- on closing basis then we can say trend reversal has happen. Then one could initiate fresh long. Till then it's a Sell on Rise on Market. Investor can opt for Selective Micro Finance. But do Avoid Insurance and Hydro. In Banks avoid or exit Sanima and Nic Asia Add ADBL and PRVU. Happy Investment !! « Last edit by deepak_mm on Tue Aug 27, 2019 6:48 am. »
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#92 Mon Aug 26, 2019 6:57 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2362
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Seems triple digit nepse is not too far. नेप्से १२०० मुनि झर्दैछ ? लगानीकर्ताको मनोबल कमजोर, अन्यौलको चाङ Now major operation is needed to save 4th stage cancer of CAPITAL MARKET, simple medicine wont help much. « Last edit by Dubosi7 on Mon Aug 26, 2019 7:00 pm. »
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#93 Mon Aug 26, 2019 3:03 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2362
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DHARKE JYOTISH and TUKKE OPTIMISM are almost comparable.
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#94 Mon Aug 26, 2019 3:01 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2362
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Market is dwindling by single digit every day almost for a month. Dont know when will it hit our sentiment hard and PANIC SELL begin. FM/NEPSE/SEBON take appropriate action before its too late.
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#95 Sun Aug 25, 2019 10:59 am
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Member
Registered: Oct 2013
Posts: 7682
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What would I say if I dont have integrity and need to buy?
There are two groups of m0r0ns in share market? One sell on week end and another first day. Since, this week may be, base rate kanda may be solved. So let's see what would happen tomorrow???
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#96 Sun Aug 25, 2019 6:52 am
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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2145
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Market was Dominated by Bear and will continue to dominate this week too. Technically the chart suggest the market is all set to break the Physological level of 1200/- We might see early uptick in the market as some traders will try to push the index up on low volume trade to Avoid their Margin call. Some big fish are also stuck in the Majhi dai Ko Jaal Trap. Don't get excited and become aggressive if u see an early uptick. Be Calm and Smart. Margin based sell off will give Good Quality stock also at lower levels from the current level. Smart traders can go for Short selling (STBT) Sell Today Buy Tomorrow Stragety. Here Tomorrow refers to after the Margin call based sell is executed. Here Short sell refers to sell off of existing holding and buying at later stage. Disclosure : The above statement is for Study Purpose only, kindly consult an expert advisers and others before makeing any decesion. Happy Investment !! « Last edit by deepak_mm on Sun Aug 25, 2019 7:01 am. »
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#97 Thu Aug 22, 2019 3:32 pm
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Member
Registered: Oct 2017
Posts: 2145
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THIS WEEK U TURN HAS HAPPENED TWICE BUT FROM HIGHER END TO LOWER END ^^^WHAT ARE YOUR GUESS NOW ??? I WILL UPDATE MY REPORT ON SUNDAY MORNING !! TILL THEN HAPPY JANASTAMI !! « Last edit by deepak_mm on Thu Aug 22, 2019 3:36 pm. »
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#98 Thu Aug 22, 2019 12:26 pm
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Member
Registered: Mar 2018
Posts: 2362
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DOJI, MOJI, HARAMI, ICHIMOKU,ALLIGATOR ,ELLIOT AND blah blah blah are not at all relevant IN THE CONTEXT of Nepali share market. What matter is your link to REGULATORS (like to call them MANIPULATORS) who can provide information regarding upcoming policies framework. Rest of technicals and fundamentals are BULLSHIT. Those still following ACADEMICS are just like those people who lost there vision and predicting the ELEPHANT parts with there tactile stimulus. In developed country academic in capital market really works.
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#99 Thu Aug 22, 2019 9:06 am
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Member
Registered: Jan 2018
Posts: 131
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Candlestick - Bullish doji Indicators:NEPSE right above 200 days moving average RSI - bullish divergence noted Volume rate of change - bears showing fatigue DMI - bears showing fatigue Daily/weekly volume - decreasing on downside Fib retracement - NEPSE at 0.5 level (tracing from 1100 to 1320) Elliott waves - counting from 1100 to 1320 as 1st wave and then below, the 2nd wave is almost complete by tracing 0.5; and we know 3rd wave is the longest wave NEPSE is at many support levels; 1210, 1208, 1200, 1196 etc. Today is "THAT" day. Join the winning side and become a winner. Deepak ji, our views do not match. Time will tell whose logic is correct. Please correct me and let us know your logic and method after 3 pm. I will be watching too.
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#100 Thu Aug 22, 2019 8:50 am
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Member
Registered: Apr 2018
Posts: 30
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I disagree Deepak sir...we observed a rsi divergence yesterday therefore I believe today is the day we are going to see the u- turn you are talking about...
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